<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Future of Communications]]></title><description><![CDATA[Tech, media, and law in the age of information war.]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png</url><title>Future of Communications</title><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2026 05:35:23 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[martingeddes@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[martingeddes@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[martingeddes@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[martingeddes@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Honey, I was caught on camera!]]></title><description><![CDATA[A light aside with my &#8220;other day job&#8221; of photography]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/honey-i-was-caught-on-camera</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/honey-i-was-caught-on-camera</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 29 Sep 2026 16:44:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg" width="1456" height="970" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E3lC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fbe061a-8001-4789-a3fc-c6703e5fe70c_2048x1365.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>My main work is causing trouble and then writing about it, which just about keeps my head above water financially, as long as you don&#8217;t ask too much about whether I have paid my council tax. Back around 2019 I also started selling my photo art, first as calendars, then as on-demand prints, and more recently as one-off signed prints.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg" width="1456" height="624" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Asii!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F661763e6-b7d9-4b85-ba6e-e2df2ca75e18_2048x878.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I don&#8217;t offer paid commissions (weddings, events, corporate) as photography is principally a mental health activity for me; when distressed, I pick up a camera and create. The playful magic goes if I am trying to fulfil a contract for money.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:817683,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!E4eT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F406ae98a-b1b7-4b77-b922-29495a5685a8_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>There is one exception, however. If you&#8217;re a personal friend, and I feel relaxed about the &#8220;ask&#8221;, then I will do my eccentric &#8220;consistently inconsistent&#8221; style for you as a &#8220;work project&#8221;. And one friend is the proprietress of Hiver Beers in London, whose unique selling point is honey-based grog. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg" width="1456" height="910" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:910,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1321162,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x3nZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F86eb98c3-46a7-4500-b857-222876678052_2048x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>She&#8217;s done a remarkable job of assembling a brand, distinct product, taproom, events space, and workshops all as one business. There are even real bees on-site!</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/acc46502-6ef2-438c-8502-888f9fc20f42_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9ca6178c-1ea0-44b3-8de6-3c2ff873bb27_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2ca6fb31-ad18-456b-b1e7-ca26f2bcf980_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/22c974e4-1f0a-4633-95ab-9234568a3905_1456x474.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>In conventional commercial photography the client typically wants a stable &#8220;look&#8221; across the whole portfolio, and &#8220;safe&#8221; photos of smiling people holding the product or doing the activity. I can do that. For about 1% of the time. Then I get bored.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3325b35a-cc1a-4661-a563-138bc2338e92_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3325b35a-cc1a-4661-a563-138bc2338e92_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>My forte is popping into the stockroom and finding an odd juxtaposition of the brand logo and staff, or holding a ridiculously wide lens at some peculiar angle, or subverting the norms of foreground and background. If there&#8217;s a single whacky software style that fits how I feel about the scene, then I apply it.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:684098,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WLi8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4881b186-da68-4b76-a674-123d2a250242_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I recently attended two Saturday workshops as photographer-in-residence, and was given free rein to &#8220;be Martin&#8221;. I did the bar owner&#8217;s wedding photos as a gift to the couple, both being friends, earlier in the year. This was quite a technical challenge: it really helps to have very specific zoom lenses for moderate winter or indoors light and mixed individual, couple, and group photos (which I don&#8217;t own).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg" width="1456" height="970" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:970,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:801646,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dWfa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea54b7af-6019-472d-bc85-1dd442fa40aa_2048x1365.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>At least my unconventional &#8220;documentary street photography mixed with autist observation and zero restraint on post-processing&#8221; style was no surprise.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/53c53a6b-fe86-444a-9f88-8b640ab73b0b_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/66a8be6b-d5fe-4fdf-82fb-830318f90fee_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cf2ddd54-2000-4934-9fe5-11f86f709396_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/657aa91a-56e4-4198-a342-24baa5f3289e_1456x474.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>I introduced myself, truthfully, as a friend of the owner to the workshop attendees, who had been pre-notified we were doing promotional photography. I think it makes a difference, as I am not some generic hired hand. I actually care about the outcome, and indeed working for friends in some ways is more demanding than just pumping out standard dross for a commercial customer.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/01ae37fd-a226-471e-95ce-6bb6d1f9b80a_2047x1365.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7ea67eeb-0303-4d42-abea-d93ed714957a_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/56f977a7-7b5e-4f9a-9ef7-49f3b315dfaa_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/488f7b18-712a-4a7d-ade4-ce8ccc2a1ddf_1456x474.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>The first workshop was cider-making. It is quite a physical activity!</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg" width="1365" height="2048" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:2048,&quot;width&quot;:1365,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:745905,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lj-b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a872314-f7ae-4229-9e28-f44237ca04cf_1365x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I feel I am doing much more than just capturing the moment so it can be marketed on a website. This is more like being an urban anthropologist plus local historian. I sensed in 2019 the world was about to change, and recall a tweet late that year saying how I felt like I was looking at the last days of some old regime. We know what came next.</p><p>I have a similar sensation now.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg" width="1456" height="624" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:624,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:400088,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sc6f!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F93bc811f-2291-4576-8cf9-a896f823a11a_2048x878.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>So the value is not just for the client; it is recording how people lived and enjoyed themselves at the end of summer in 2026.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/404dfd70-5c52-4f3d-a420-b8ea06a1dc9b_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/044e131f-8066-4bef-a2a4-3c027619b0b8_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/873bd1da-1681-4d5a-864f-fe2eab65ffe4_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/78da8d5a-a89d-4788-8978-19ec0ff29f60_1456x474.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>I don&#8217;t really do &#8220;portrait photography&#8221;; I cannot be bothered with complex lighting and manipulating anxious people into flattering poses. But capturing them &#8220;in the moment&#8221; is fun when you have permission.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg" width="1456" height="910" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:910,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:811390,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tmO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b0ef6ff-09b7-41a3-8f3e-120777165509_2048x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>What struck me was &#8220;making a product&#8221; like cider is a form of &#8220;work&#8221; and yet people LOVE to do such &#8220;work&#8221;. The participants were wholly dedicated to the task.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c6fbab22-f04e-426d-84d3-cb5223137d20_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3436c84b-2593-4e2f-97f4-668b393a1ba1_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fe12a5de-e38d-4e59-bf02-4200e7055cdf_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8cd1126d-3c6c-43de-9966-da44f6cb225a_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/eca3185f-24a8-4501-b072-a821fc293765_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4c6ff023-08a7-4a29-8199-89fdf71e5d4a_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bdf37121-4bd2-43f0-a6a0-630684e137ce_1456x964.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>And then they were off home, with their fermentation bottles and fresh apple juice.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg" width="1456" height="970" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:970,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:821971,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6i2N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2f702de-99fb-4f93-bdcb-5f85d266ba18_2048x1365.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The second, shorter workshop was on harvesting honey. The source material was from hives in London itself.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg" width="1456" height="624" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:624,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:546552,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQ3h!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8737c766-8d20-4cd0-8556-596d32c112b2_2048x878.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>With more people it was a little bit trickier to move around. There is also a balance: they may have been told the session is being photographed, but the attendees remain paying customers, not paid models. I don&#8217;t feel entitled to boss them around!</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/56e860f1-21d1-4bf6-8b2f-36e2ad26d1bb_2048x878.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a943ad4b-fb9e-47b8-be36-19e09682d9d5_2048x1366.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/352fea47-cf83-4163-8c77-76528a8eb427_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/67944a35-deb8-4538-abcd-6f651c422dcc_1456x474.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>As someone who used to deliver highly-crafted workshops in telecoms network engineering, it was also interesting to observe the cadence of the event, with a mix of show, tell, and participate.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:741874,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KtBl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4580299f-5968-4319-a6ff-859dd7a577f7_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>A centrifuge extracts the sweetness from the uncapped honeycomb.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6f5ab424-2b08-4e11-9caa-1d995d91410b_1365x2048.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/14092b63-5637-4233-9f3e-11f89416159a_2048x1280.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1c76c5f9-8f01-43c8-b48f-938582fd93be_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/631a62d7-3638-44d9-abff-34bccf41bf4d_1456x474.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>The best bit was watching their faces at the end as they collected their honey to take home.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg" width="1456" height="1456" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1456,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1157162,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m6wH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15e94d4c-e264-4c6a-bcb8-31f5dd883683_2048x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Although I did get one naughty picture!</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg" width="1456" height="1456" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/abfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1456,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:713438,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OpV7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabfa36ed-d082-4e9a-aeb7-0f52226ed7c8_2048x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I hope you&#8217;ve enjoyed seeing their joy. This article isn&#8217;t part of any &#8220;deliverable&#8221;. It&#8217;s just a celebration of having fun on a Saturday in London with a camera and a pliant crowd.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:790273,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gima!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328dfe2c-05c5-4e7c-ace4-5b1be28aab7a_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I also got to pop around the corner to the sister bar of Fabal; this is much harder for me as it&#8217;s noisy with a DJ, crowded, and harder to &#8220;sell&#8221; people on why I am there.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg" width="1456" height="910" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:910,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:640922,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!89lj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e06711-2be6-459e-81c9-b64650a502db_2048x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Still, a chance to have fun!</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d9f5d59e-fd38-4baf-8ab3-390ab2fe3d80_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d9f5d59e-fd38-4baf-8ab3-390ab2fe3d80_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>Not your typical commercial photos, and that&#8217;s OK!</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg" width="1456" height="1456" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1456,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1266617,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217975096?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7fD2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd69936f3-4c79-4547-b70c-904856403172_2048x2048.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I came, I saw, I snapped away.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ede96a2e-4f2c-4a6a-807c-a28f4174cc7a_2048x878.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ede96a2e-4f2c-4a6a-807c-a28f4174cc7a_2048x878.jpeg&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>If you want to learn more or sign up for a Hiver workshop, click below.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://hiverbeers.com/&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Visit Hiver Beers&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://hiverbeers.com/"><span>Visit Hiver Beers</span></a></p><p>I don&#8217;t have anything to sell you.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/20aaa3ab-b24c-445e-aabe-5668efe0ae2c_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/20aaa3ab-b24c-445e-aabe-5668efe0ae2c_2048x1152.jpeg&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>That&#8217;s the point.</p><p>Honey.</p><p>&#128029;</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Before propaganda comes recognition]]></title><description><![CDATA[Using &#8220;&#9940; My Conspiracy Theory &#9940;&#8221; to examine the hidden machinery of information, classification, and interpretation]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/before-propaganda-comes-recognition</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/before-propaganda-comes-recognition</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 28 Sep 2026 13:41:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9MJR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaa3ea84-2e8a-4261-8091-a103b13fe833_1774x887.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9MJR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaa3ea84-2e8a-4261-8091-a103b13fe833_1774x887.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9MJR!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaa3ea84-2e8a-4261-8091-a103b13fe833_1774x887.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9MJR!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaa3ea84-2e8a-4261-8091-a103b13fe833_1774x887.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9MJR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaa3ea84-2e8a-4261-8091-a103b13fe833_1774x887.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9MJR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaa3ea84-2e8a-4261-8091-a103b13fe833_1774x887.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9MJR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcaa3ea84-2e8a-4261-8091-a103b13fe833_1774x887.png" width="1456" height="728" 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I do actually have a use for the BBC News website. Whenever an Internet connection is on the blink, I tend to use news.bbc.co.uk as my go-to test of whether the connection is active. It&#8217;s easy to type, and the state propaganda engine has excellent uptime, so it is reliably diagnostic.</p><p>Other than that, the BBC plays no part in my life. I don&#8217;t own a television. My radio is never turned on. I never watch iPlayer or other BBC on-demand content. I therefore encounter its output from a detached posture: not as the background soundtrack of reality, but as something I occasionally choose to inspect.</p><p>The BBC has a particular value for this exercise: it provides a useful reference point for the &#8220;official narrative&#8221;. I am less interested in whether every sentence represents some centrally coordinated government position than in the simpler institutional fact that the BBC has allowed it to be published.</p><p>Whatever editorial filters, professional norms, and reputational constraints operate inside the organisation did not prevent this framing from reaching the public. Its institutional immune system did not reject it. I can therefore treat BBC coverage as a reasonable approximation of the range of interpretations presently admissible within the British Establishment.</p><div><hr></div><p>My trigger for reaching for the BBC website was an X post about an ongoing story. I don&#8217;t have much interest in the events at RAF Fairford, but I am curious as to how different worldviews filter and organise the interpretation of those events. So when <a href="https://x.com/realericosborne/status/2104308320634814677?s=12&amp;t=k5wuIumy7qf3XeSqVVvLGw">Eric Osborne posted the following</a>, it caught my attention:</p><blockquote><p>&#9940; My Conspiracy Theory &#9940;<br><br>The British deep state planned a false-flag attack on a US military base in the UK, intending to blame Russia and thereby generate public support for the conflict.<br><br>The Americans and the Q team knew about the planned attack,  prevented it from happening, and then spun the narrative to make it appear as though illegal immigrants were responsible, thereby forcing the UK government to address the immigration issue.<br><br>We are watching a movie.</p></blockquote><p>What makes this interesting is that it begins with an orientation: <strong>&#8220;</strong>My Conspiracy Theory<strong>&#8221;.</strong> That orientation licenses a different recognition of the story: not a terrorist attack that happened to be thwarted, but a thwarted false flag. The change in recognition then produces an alternative interpretation of the same events. Finally comes the enigmatic conclusion: <strong>&#8220;</strong>We are watching a movie.<strong>&#8221;</strong></p><p>It is almost a laboratory-grade specimen of its class. Very little new data is introduced. Instead, the category changes. That category change introduces a different ontology &#8212; different actors, relationships, intentions and causal structure &#8212; into which the existing observations can be placed. The facts have not necessarily changed.</p><p><strong>What the facts are </strong><em><strong>facts of</strong></em><strong> has changed.</strong></p><p>This makes it worth unpacking, with the BBC&#8217;s coverage as our reference model.</p><div><hr></div><p>Before we dive into the BBC&#8217;s take, let&#8217;s stop for a moment to consider what <strong>pre-categories</strong> we are occupying, and how these relate to more conventional analysis of news and propaganda. This is our <em>prolegomenal</em> inquiry: what makes the categories we are about to use attached to reality at all, and what makes the resulting inquiry robust? There are assumptions, boundary conditions, and stances that should first be made explicit.</p><p>The first is that we are adopting a <strong>neutral and non-normative stance as our meta-category</strong>. This is <em>structural</em> analysis: we are trying to identify the patterns being deployed, not litigate the events at Fairford. We need arrive at no conclusion about what sort of geopolitical event actually took place. The story is merely our worked example for illustrating the method and teaching the thinking tools.</p><p>The second is that we are <strong>limiting the recursive depth of the inquiry by assumption</strong>. I am taking it as given that Eric, whoever he may be, is an ordinary member of the public passing comment on events. He is not secretly a member of some military intelligence brigade planting counter-narratives, conducting a psyop, or deliberately leading the masses down false trails. He may be right. He may be wrong. For our purposes, he is just Eric.</p><p>The third is that we <strong>preserve provenance</strong>. A <em>reported</em> <em>fact</em> does not have to be accepted as an <em>ultimate</em> <em>fact</em> about the world in order to be usable. If the BBC tells us that police say five men were arrested, then &#8220;the police say five men were arrested&#8221; is our datum. We need not independently establish the existence, identity, or conduct of those five men before proceeding. Likewise, Eric&#8217;s assertions are facts about Eric&#8217;s model, not necessarily facts about Fairford.</p><p>This differs from conventional media or propaganda analysis because we are not primarily asking whether a message is true, false, biased, manipulative, or serving somebody&#8217;s interests. Those are legitimate questions, but they operate largely <strong>inside categories that have already been instantiated</strong>.</p><p>Recognition warfare moves the inquiry one stage upstream. It asks how the objects of thought themselves came to be recognised: <em>terrorist plot</em>, <em>foreign attack</em>, <em>false flag</em>, <em>intelligence operation</em>, <em>immigration problem</em>. Each category brings with it different actors, causal relationships, relevant evidence, and permissible inferences.</p><p>Propaganda can therefore be perfectly factual at the level of individual claims while still operating inside a misleading ontology. Conversely, an apparently outlandish account cannot be rescued merely by adopting a different ontology.</p><p>The question at this level is prior to either judgment:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>What makes us recognise the thing we are looking at as this kind of thing in the first place?</p></div><p>It is now appropriate to consider what the BBC actually said, and how we might organise that information. I have examined half-a-dozen of its articles on the matter, but am deliberately not linking back to them. This is neither a critique of the BBC&#8217;s coverage nor reportage on the latest developments at Fairford. The particulars matter only insofar as they give us something concrete to think with.</p><p><strong>We are &#8220;combat philosophers&#8221;, but operating at conceptual distance.</strong></p><p>Before doing so, we need to decide how to organise the material. I will use the categories developed in my earlier <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/orroda-and-the-war-on-repentance">ORRODA model</a>: observation, recognition, reconstruction and orientation, while keeping reality as the external constraint against which our models must ultimately answer. We will also preserve provenance &#8212; who says what &#8212; and chronology, since the ordering of observations constrains the causal stories we can reasonably construct.</p><p>The critical distinction is between <em>observation</em> and <em>recognition</em>:</p><ul><li><p>A white van, a masked man, a police cordon or a telephone call can enter our information stream as reported <em>observations</em>.</p></li><li><p>Terrorist plot, false flag, Iranian operation and thwarted attack are <em>recognitions</em>: they tell us what those observations are <em>observations</em> <em>of</em>.</p></li></ul><p>Orientation comes afterwards, when we begin deciding what the recognised object means and how we should respond.</p><div><hr></div><p>Our baseline therefore is the <strong>series of </strong><em><strong>observations</strong></em> as reported by the BBC<strong>:</strong></p><ul><li><p>On Wednesday, residents reported seeing large vehicles parked behind the gates of RAF Fairford.</p></li><li><p>On Saturday afternoon, a resident says armed police told people near the perimeter to return home and close their doors and windows.</p></li><li><p>At about 00:45 on Sunday, Gloucestershire Police say they received a report concerning three vehicles travelling towards RAF Fairford.</p></li><li><p>A local woman says she returned home to find three white vans blocking the road and saw a group of hooded and masked men who ran away when they saw her.</p></li><li><p>She says she tried to telephone the Ministry of Defence police, received no answer, and called 999 at 01:36. Armed police arrived shortly afterwards.</p></li><li><p>Another resident says that at around 02:00 he heard shouting and subsequently saw men being held by armed police.</p></li><li><p>Five men were detained and remained in police custody.</p></li><li><p>Vehicles were examined by an explosive-ordnance-disposal team, a cordon was established, and aerial imagery showed a remote-controlled robot approaching two stationary white vans.</p></li><li><p>Residents of 85 homes in Whelford were evacuated.</p></li></ul><p>So far, so good. We are not here to dispute any of these observations. They are simply the ground we have chosen to work from. They may later turn out to be incomplete, mistaken, or differently contextualised, but reopening them is not necessary for our present purpose.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Now comes </strong><em><strong>recognition</strong></em>: what type of object are these <em>observations</em> <em>of</em>?</p><p>This is where the often-unexamined categories being adopted become decisive. Interpretation comes downstream and can be completely accurate and rational, yet remain anchored in the wrong category. Recognition is therefore the subtle move. It need not be concealed or deceptive; it usually sits in plain sight, just beneath the surface of the text, quietly establishing <strong>what kind of thing we are reasoning about</strong>.</p><p>In the BBC coverage, we can watch recognition being assembled in stages:</p><ul><li><p>The vehicles are <strong>&#8220;suspicious&#8221;</strong>.</p></li><li><p>The situation becomes a <strong>&#8220;major incident&#8221;</strong>.</p></li><li><p><strong>Counter Terrorism Policing</strong> takes over the investigation.</p></li><li><p>The men move from being detained under explosives legislation to being arrested on suspicion of <strong>&#8220;preparation of a terrorist act&#8221;</strong>.</p></li><li><p>In subsequent discussion, the event becomes a <strong>&#8220;plot&#8221;</strong>, and the men become its presumed plotters.</p></li></ul><p>None of this is necessarily wrong. Indeed, each step may be entirely justified by information unavailable to us; that is not our inquiry. What matters is that we can see the recognition function doing its work.</p><p>A collection of observations has progressively resolved into an object:</p><blockquote><p><strong>A terrorist plot against RAF Fairford</strong></p></blockquote><p>Once that recognition stabilises, it quietly reorganises the problem:</p><ul><li><p>Three vans are no longer merely three vans; they are vehicles <em>in a terrorist plot</em>.</p></li><li><p>Masked men become participants <em>in a terrorist plot</em>.</p></li><li><p>Explosives, if established, become weapons <em>for a terrorist plot</em>.</p></li><li><p>RAF Fairford becomes its intended target. Police activity becomes the thwarting <em>of a terrorist plot</em>.</p></li></ul><p>Notice what has happened. We have not yet interpreted <strong>who was behind it or why</strong>. Recognition has done something logically prior: it has told us <strong>what &#8220;it&#8221; is</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Next comes </strong><em><strong>reconstruction</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>A recognition&#8212;<em>&#8220;this is a terrorist plot&#8221;</em>&#8212;is not necessarily permanent. As further observations arrive, they may fit the recognised object comfortably, or they may begin to place it under strain. Reconstruction is the process by which we reopen the question of what we are looking at, and consider correction by reality.</p><p>This does not mean that every inconsistency automatically destroys the existing recognition. Reality is messy, witnesses have partial views, reporting is imperfect, and institutions possess information that is not public. A robust recognition should be able to tolerate some anomaly without collapsing.</p><p>But there comes a point where anomalies accumulate, or become sufficiently structural, that simply explaining each one away starts to incur <strong>recognition debt</strong>. The model survives, but only by adding qualifications, exceptions and auxiliary explanations to preserve the original category.</p><p>Significantly, the BBC itself acknowledges that reconstruction remains open. Its coverage explicitly separates &#8220;what we know&#8221; (in its recognition model) from &#8220;what we don&#8217;t know&#8221;, with the latter including what the men intended to do, whether others were involved, and even how the authorities first became aware of the situation. Elsewhere its framing is unusually candid: &#8220;More questions than answers.&#8221;</p><p>This is important. The BBC has established a recognition &#8212; terrorist plot &#8212; while simultaneously acknowledging that significant parts of the causal structure <strong>within that recognition</strong> remain unresolved.</p><p>Indeed, we can watch the BBC attempt reconstruction within that recognition. Its security correspondent Frank Gardner identifies a &#8220;clear inconsistency&#8221; between the farmer&#8217;s account and Trump&#8217;s claim that the men had been &#8220;under view for a long time&#8221;.</p><p>If Trump is correct, Gardner reasons, &#8220;somebody was asleep at the wheel&#8221; in allowing the men to get so close to the base. He then considers the familiar model of an intelligence-led counter-terrorism operation, but notes that Whitehall officials say this was not one. His conclusion is striking:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Nothing about this case looks like that.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>This is reconstruction in almost laboratory form. An anomaly is recognised; a possible reconciliation is tested against further observations; and the existing causal model remains under strain. Yet notice the boundary of the exercise:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The BBC reconstructs <em><strong>within</strong></em> the recognition of a terrorist plot.<br>It does not reconstruct the recognition itself.</p></div><p>Meanwhile, Fairford gives us several potential triggers for such reconstruction, and perhaps re-recognition along the lines Eric proposes:</p><ul><li><p>A member of the public believes that she stumbled across the activity by chance and raised the alarm.</p></li><li><p>Yet Donald Trump says the men had been &#8220;under view for a long time&#8221;.</p></li><li><p>The BBC reports that the operation was not intelligence-led.</p></li><li><p>A resident reports unusual activity at the base from Wednesday and armed police moving people away from its perimeter on Saturday afternoon.</p></li><li><p>The Defence Secretary responds to the farmer&#8217;s account by saying that she has only a &#8220;partial picture&#8221;.</p></li></ul><p>Again, we need resolve none of these tensions. Their importance here is structural. They create pressure to ask whether our existing recognition is complete.</p><p><strong>Reconstruction begins when &#8220;How do I explain this within the category?&#8221; gives way to &#8220;Do I still have the right category?&#8221;</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>And now Eric becomes relevant again.</p><p>Notice what his post does <strong>not</strong> principally do. It does not supply us with a competing set of <em>observations:</em> the white vans remain white vans; the masked men remain masked men; the police response, arrests, evacuations and activity around RAF Fairford can all remain exactly where we left them.</p><p>What Eric changes is their <em>recognition</em>.</p><p>The BBC recognition is approximately:</p><blockquote><p><strong>A suspected terrorist plot against RAF Fairford was detected and thwarted.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Eric reconstructs this as:</p><blockquote><p><strong>A planned false-flag operation against RAF Fairford was detected and thwarted before it could be carried out.</strong></p></blockquote><p>The observations have barely moved. <strong>What the observations are </strong><em><strong>observations of</strong></em><strong> has changed.</strong></p><p>This is why reconstruction is such a powerful move. Once the recognition changes, the same observations can acquire radically different significance:</p><ul><li><p>Prior knowledge of the suspects is evidence of <em>competent surveillance</em> in one recognition, but potentially evidence of <em>foreknowledge</em> in another.</p></li><li><p>Police activity before the farmer&#8217;s call can be <em>protective action</em> within one model, yet becomes suggestive of a <em>pre-existing operation</em> within another.</p></li><li><p>Even the apparent interruption of the event can be recognised either as <em>successful counter-terrorism</em> or as the disruption of an operation whose public appearance was itself <em>intended to deceive</em>.</p></li></ul><p>None of this establishes Eric&#8217;s reconstruction as true. That distinction is essential. <strong>Evidence sufficient to reopen a recognition is not necessarily evidence sufficient to establish its replacement.</strong> Reconstruction restores the category to question; it does not answer the question for us.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Now we come to </strong><em><strong>orientation</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>It is tempting to draw ORRODA as a simple left-to-right process, but cognition does not conveniently reset itself after every observation. Our existing orientation affects what we subsequently notice, which recognisers we invoke, and which recognitions we regard as permissible in the first place.</p><p>This makes the identity of the observer figural rather than incidental, since orientation naturally attaches to identity. Who I am shapes how I orient; how I orient constrains what I can recognise.</p><p>So the BBC does not approach Fairford as a blank cognitive slate as each news story breaks. It approaches it as an institution with a long history that orients itself as legitimate professional journalism: authoritative sources are quoted, claims are attributed, uncertainty is qualified.</p><p>Official institutions are treated by the BBC as meaningful sources of knowledge, and departures from an established account require evidential justification. Whatever criticisms one makes of the BBC&#8217;s historical relationship with official narratives, this institutional orientation constrains the recognitions that can comfortably appear in its reporting.</p><p>Orientation therefore creates what we might call a <strong>recognition envelope:</strong> a bounded space of recognitions that the observer&#8217;s existing identity, assumptions and relationships of trust make available at reasonable cognitive cost.</p><p>The envelope does not determine what <em>will</em> <em>be</em> recognised, but it conditions what <em>can readily be</em> recognised. Some categories sit near its centre; others require increasingly strong evidence to entertain; some may lie so far outside it that they are rejected before serious consideration begins.</p><p>For the BBC, a terrorist plot, foreign-state involvement, an intelligence failure, or a security lapse can all exist within that envelope. A British state false-flag operation involving deliberate narrative manipulation sits much further towards, or beyond, its boundary. This tells us nothing about which recognition corresponds to reality.</p><p><strong>It tells us what the BBC&#8217;s orientation makes cognitively recognisable.</strong></p><p>We can see this orientation expressed particularly clearly in the official commentary the BBC chooses to carry. Asked about possible Iranian involvement, Defence Secretary Wes Streeting explicitly declines to make that connection, but immediately adds:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;We know that Iran and their proxies wish to do us harm.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>He then places the episode within a still wider orientation:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;In the dangerous and turbulent world we find ourselves in, investment in defence is a price worth paying.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Notice what is happening. Neither statement establishes what happened at Fairford. Instead, they supply the larger threat landscape within which the recognised object is being understood. This is <em>orientation</em> in unusually visible form: here is the kind of world in which this event is taking place.</p><div><hr></div><p>Eric begins from something close to the opposite orientation, and signals this before we have even reached his first proposition. &#8220;&#9940; My Conspiracy Theory &#9940;&#8221; is visually framed by two stop signs. That is doing more work than merely labelling what follows as speculative, as it foregrounds the social prohibition attached to the category:</p><blockquote><p><strong>STOP; dangerous thoughts ahead; this is the sort of thing respectable cognition is trained not to enter.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Eric then steps across that boundary deliberately, much as great comedy draws the line of what is acceptable to say, and then knowingly hops over it. &#8220;Conspiracy theory&#8221; becomes almost an anti-credential: he is signalling that exclusion from the BBC&#8217;s admissible recognition space is not, for him, evidence against a recognition of reality. It may even make the recognition more enticing to readers.</p><p>And there is another subtlety: &#8220;My&#8221; matters too. <em>My Conspiracy Theory</em> marks personal ownership rather than institutional authority. So the title almost compresses the whole contrast into four tokens:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#9940; = </strong>prohibited recognition space<strong><br>My = </strong>personal cognitive sovereignty rather than institutional epistemic authority<strong><br>Conspiracy Theory = </strong>officially disfavoured category<strong><br>&#9940; = </strong>boundary reinforced</p></blockquote><p>The heading itself is a tiny recognition-warfare artefact.</p><p>Where the BBC&#8217;s orientation tends to grant institutional claims provisional legitimacy, Eric&#8217;s personally grants them provisional suspicion. In caricature: the BBC asks what the authorities know; Eric asks what the authorities need us to recognise.</p><p>The stop signs therefore make the post unusually useful for our purposes. They mark the <strong>boundary between two recognition regimes</strong>. On one side, certain categories are institutionally inexpensive and others prohibitively expensive. On the other, that pricing structure is itself treated as potentially adversarial.</p><p>Neither orientation logically determines the truth of the resulting recognition:</p><ul><li><p>Institutional trust can stabilise a correct recognition or protect an incorrect one.</p></li><li><p>Institutional distrust can expose a false recognition or manufacture an elaborate alternative where none is required.</p></li></ul><p>The important point is that <strong>orientation changes the recognition search-space</strong>.</p><p>We therefore have a feedback loop:</p><blockquote><p><em><strong>Recognition</strong></em><strong> shapes </strong><em><strong>orientation</strong></em><strong>, but </strong><em><strong>orientation</strong></em><strong> subsequently governs </strong><em><strong>recognition</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Once I am oriented towards the BBC as reliable journalism, &#8220;counter-terrorist operation&#8221; is an inexpensive recognition and &#8220;British false flag&#8221; is an extraordinarily expensive one. Reverse that orientation, and the epistemic prices change.</p><p>This also gives us the proper place to understand Eric&#8217;s final line:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;We are watching a movie.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>It is easy to read this merely as rhetorical flourish, but structurally it is the most expansive orientation in his post. The false-flag claim reconstructs this particular event; its scope is limited. &#8220;We are watching a movie&#8221; proposes <strong>a wider way of orienting towards the information environment itself</strong>.</p><p>Public events may be staged; official explanations may be scripts; apparent antagonists may be playing assigned roles; and inconsistencies that would otherwise undermine the narrative may instead become evidence that there is another layer of narrative underneath.</p><p>The power &#8212; and danger &#8212; of such a meta-orientation should be obvious. Once adopted, it changes the recognition envelope for <em>everything</em> that follows. Events that would previously have been recognised as contingent, chaotic or contradictory can now become recognisable as scenes in a larger production.</p><p><em>All the world&#8217;s a stage.</em></p><p>Again, we need neither accept nor reject this orientation. We only need to notice its scale. &#8220;False flag&#8221; reconstructs the object. &#8220;We are watching a movie&#8221; reconstructs the theatre in which objects appear.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Finally we get to decision and action.</strong></p><p>In a military setting these words naturally suggest choosing a course of action and then executing it: it&#8217;s an enemy aircraft attacking us, so shoot it out of the sky. For our purposes they can be understood more broadly. A decision is the point at which we commit sufficiently to a recognition and orientation for them to govern what we do next.</p><p>That commitment need not amount to certainty. We might decide that the BBC&#8217;s recognition is probably correct. We might decide that Eric&#8217;s alternative recognition is more plausible. Or we might make the much weaker decision that Eric has done enough to make his alternative recognition worthy of investigation.</p><p><strong>&#8220;I should take this alternative hypothesis seriously&#8221; is itself a decision.</strong></p><p>That weaker decision is more consequential than it first appears. Eric has punctured the mass media&#8217;s orientation&#8211;recognition dominance on the story. The institutional account is no longer the <em>only</em> frame within which the observations may legitimately be organised. A different recognition that previously sat outside the admissible envelope has entered the inquiry as a live possibility.</p><p>This does not transfer the monopoly to Eric: we have no need to replace automatic trust in the BBC with automatic trust in the dissident. Indeed, doing so would merely exchange one captured recognition process for another. The epistemic gain of plural recognitions is corrigibility: each can now be held against the same observations and tested for how well they survive contact with reality.</p><p>The decision, then, may be no stronger than: <strong>the category is reopened.</strong></p><p>That is arguably the most important effect of his post. Eric does not need to convince us that there was a British false flag, a &#8220;Q team&#8221;, or a deliberately constructed immigration narrative. He only needs to make those categories thinkable. The &#9940; signs around &#8220;My Conspiracy Theory&#8221; almost advertise the crossing of the information warfare rubicon:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Here is a recognition that sits outside the normal admissible space,<br>and I am inviting you to decide to consider it anyway.</p></div><p><strong>From </strong><em><strong>decision</strong></em><strong> comes </strong><em><strong>action</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>In an inquiry, action means deciding what to look at next.</p><p>If I adopt &#8220;terrorist plot against RAF Fairford&#8221; as my working recognition, I am naturally drawn towards the suspects, possible explosives, their communications, foreign connections, motives, and intended target.</p><p>If I admit &#8220;thwarted false flag&#8221; as a serious alternative, an entirely different set of questions becomes salient. Who knew what, and when? Why was there unusual activity around the base beforehand? What does Trump mean by saying the men had been &#8220;under view for a long time&#8221;? How does that coexist with the BBC reporting that the operation was not intelligence-led? What evidence would actually discriminate between the competing recognitions?</p><p>There is also a strikingly compressed example of decision and action in Trump&#8217;s account. He says: &#8220;We had them under investigation. They were looking to do big damage to our fort&#8221;, before concluding:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;We had them under view for a long time, and we got them.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Whatever the underlying facts ultimately prove to be, the structure of the statement is revealing. A recognition has become operational: these are dangerous actors threatening the base; surveillance follows; eventually, &#8220;we got them&#8221;.</p><div><hr></div><p>Decision and action are therefore not merely what happens after the epistemic work is finished. They determine what happens next to the epistemic process itself.</p><p>This is where ORRODA stops looking like a pipeline and reveals itself as a loop:</p><ul><li><p>our actions determine what we investigate;</p></li><li><p>our investigations generate new observations;</p></li><li><p>those observations enter recognisers already conditioned by our existing orientation.</p></li></ul><p>The output of one pass becomes part of the machinery of the next.</p><p>The danger should now be apparent. A mistaken recognition does not merely cause us to interpret the evidence we already possess incorrectly. <strong>It can determine which evidence we ever go looking for.</strong></p><p>A sufficiently entrenched recognition can therefore become self-reinforcing:</p><ul><li><p>we investigate the questions it makes sensible,</p></li><li><p>obtain the answers those questions are capable of producing, and</p></li><li><p>take those answers as further confirmation that we recognised the situation correctly in the first place.</p></li></ul><p>This is why recognition warfare operates so far upstream of conventional propaganda. Control the recognition, and you do not merely influence the answer. You influence which questions get asked.</p><div><hr></div><p>So this Fairford&#8211;BBC&#8211;Eric trio is recognition warfare in miniature. What matters to me is that you have had the stamina to read this far and see the whole structure <strong>without needing to resolve the underlying contention</strong>.</p><p>By analysing the process at the meta-level, you have given yourself a new, higher-order position from which to observe and orient. You no longer have to choose immediately between the recognitions being offered to you. You can inspect the machinery by which they are produced, the orientations that make them admissible, and the actions they invite you to decide to take.</p><p><strong>Prefabricated recognitions, whether supplied by incumbents or challengers, can be kept in the mental laboratory for long enough to become objects of recognition themselves.</strong></p><p>That is the cognitive move I am trying to teach.</p><p>Enough of you will have read this far to have learnt it.</p><p>&#128065;&#65039; Well done! &#128065;&#65039;</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Surviving the odious state]]></title><description><![CDATA[The pain of ambiguity, incompleteness, and impotence]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/surviving-the-odious-state</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/surviving-the-odious-state</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 25 Sep 2026 20:04:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/baf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3080589,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/217369516?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!whr_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbaf027b2-8eb8-40e9-a0dd-1e5d5f34cc19_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I suspect that people ten or fifty years from now will look back at the testimonies of this time in utter disbelief. How did people manage to put up with a society where the state, entrusted with their protection, had become predatory, yet the machinery continued to operate as if everything was normal, when it manifestly was not? My purpose in pulling out my laptop today is to document what I anticipate many of us feel, but rarely express.</p><p>Let me make this real. Yesterday I forced myself outside for my daily walk, and made my local Tesco the destination rather than a round of the pond in the park. I hit jackpot in the fruit aisle, finding both delicious rhubarb in stock (a rarity) as well as giant Bramley cooking apples (also not common at my Tesco). Flush with my provisioning victory, I headed over to the bread aisle.</p><p>I have been reading a lot about synthetic folic acid (SFA) being mandated for our flour, and its possible negative effects. Allegedly wholemeal bread doesn&#8217;t automatically have to contain it, so I check the loaves. They all have SFA except one, which has a bunch of other undesirables. There aren&#8217;t any of the more exotic grains, like spelt, which are exempt from the rules.</p><p>So I walk away, without bread.</p><p>Perhaps it&#8217;s time to get a cheap bread-making machine and bake my own from heritage flour from a boutique mill that falls outside the regulations. I don&#8217;t really have spare cash or counter space, but as hardships go, it is minor.</p><p>Or is it?</p><p>Once you experience the state as being murderous (think Covid), rapacious (taxed to death), and treasonous (cultural destruction via mass immigration), your relationship to officialdom fundamentally changes. It doesn&#8217;t particularly matter, for the purpose of this essay, whether you agree with those assessments. What matters is what happens to a person who has reached them sincerely, after years of watching and investigating, yet must wake the next morning and continue living inside that system.</p><div><hr></div><p>In a conventional kinetic war there are obvious weapons and visible injuries. A bomb may fall nearby, and the soldier with PTSD forever reacts to sudden loud bangs.</p><p>A trip to Tesco is, for me, a bangless war zone.</p><p>The paradox is that almost every imposition of authority, no matter how small, can acquire the same triggering power. The wounds are psychological, yet absolutely real. You can become an emotional cripple while seeming to be fully functional. You shop. You cook. You work. You answer messages. Yet the nervous system has learned that institutions presenting themselves as sources of help and protection may instead be sources of danger.</p><p>The inversion of care and killing pervades ordinary life. The state speaks health and safety, welfare and protection, even of the unborn, while on the face of it acting to cause or facilitate mass injury and death.</p><p>The price is a ubiquitous threat environment. Every interaction with authority needs audit for subversion and deception. And authority is everywhere. On the tax demand. On the hospital form. On the parking sign.</p><p>Even on the ingredients list of your loaf of bread.</p><p>There is nowhere safe to retreat to.</p><div><hr></div><p>This creates the first pain I want to describe: <strong>ambiguity</strong>.</p><p>Do I know that this SFA is actually being added to flour as claimed? No. Do I know whether the danger is real, or whether I have misunderstood its scale? No. Do I know for sure if this is intentional poisoning by the rump of an outgoing regime? No. Do I know whether supermarkets that joined WEF programmes are implicated in anything more sinister? No. Do I even know if the risks from this one additive are sufficient for me to need to take notice?</p><p>No.</p><p>Do I know whether asking all these questions is prudent vigilance, or evidence that living this way has already injured me?</p><p>No.</p><p>That may be the most painful question of all.</p><p>Once trust has collapsed far enough, your own threat perception enters the audit. You cannot outsource reality to institutions you no longer trust. But neither can you personally investigate everything. Toxicology, medicine, food, law, finance, communications, surveillance, energy, education: the verification workload is infinite.</p><p>Meanwhile you are surrounded by people with an effortless certainty you no longer possess. They watch the news, visit the doctor, pay the bill, sign the form, buy the bread and get on with their lives. Their certainty offers no solace whatsoever, because I regard much of it as misplaced. Yet I cannot replace it with certainty of my own.</p><p>The very concept of reality becomes amorphous and fluid.</p><div><hr></div><p>That brings us to the second pain: <strong>incompleteness</strong>.</p><p>If the goal is to evict evil from this realm for a hundred generations and more, then we are in a transitional space. The problem is not only the rollback of normalised enslavement to debt, nor the prevention of catastrophic collapse in the interim. It is embedding the outcome so deeply that evil cannot find a purchase upon humanity again for a very long time.</p><p>There is, presumptively, a place in that process to deal with problems like SFA in food and whatever harms it may actually cause or facilitate.</p><p>But not yet.</p><p>And we are in the now, not the then.</p><p>So one has to face not only the ambiguity of not really knowing what one is confronting, but the incompleteness of whatever process of truth and justice may be underway. There is no closure. No clean before and after. You inhabit the gap.</p><p>My nervous system now perceives bread as danger, rightly or wrongly.</p><p>Maybe that&#8217;s a good thing!</p><p>But my capacity to hold prospective invisible harms is finite. At some point you just become a wreck trying to navigate ordinary living.</p><p>I notice the same thing with hope. Every quasi-official hint that resolution and liberation are approaching has a dual effect. One part energises me, reinvigorates me, restores my determination to prevail. But another is a burden. Every teaser of financial relief, &#8220;truth TV&#8221;, disclosure or social reconciliation that fails to manifest rapidly in reality degrades whatever remaining capacity I have to engage with a perverted daily life.</p><p>There is a cost to inhabiting multiple versions of reality at once: that of the &#8220;normies&#8221;, that of the &#8220;Anon&#8221;, and whatever reality ultimately sits underneath them both.</p><p>You cannot settle into the old world because you believe it is dying. You cannot inhabit the new world because it has not arrived.</p><p>Again: we are in the now.</p><div><hr></div><p>Which brings me to the third pain: <strong>impotence</strong>.</p><p>None of these societal matters is under my control. Taking bread as our case study, I don&#8217;t even bother signing petitions against SFA. Once you believe an authority itself is acting illegitimately, petitioning it begins to feel absurd. You don&#8217;t plead with people you believe are harming you. You want the harm stopped, the facts established, and those responsible held to account.</p><p>The relationship between citizen and state has broken somewhere much deeper than disagreement over policy.</p><p>Take another example. This week there has been discussion of replacing the BBC television licence with a levy attached to broadband. The merits don&#8217;t interest me here. What interests me is my reaction.</p><p>I regard the BBC as a propaganda outfit that has caused immense social harm. I spent a year engaged in part-time litigation involving the BBC and Capita over TV Licensing and the coercive methods used to extract information from people who have no obligation to provide it. It was stressful, at a time when I had little capacity for more stress.</p><p>I don&#8217;t want the BBC&#8217;s product. I don&#8217;t accept its claim to moral authority. I don&#8217;t wish to fund it.</p><p>And now somebody proposes attaching the financial obligation to an essential communications service instead.</p><p>You withdraw here; the claim reappears there.</p><p>There is an almost comic personal footnote. The new Director-General of the BBC is someone I went to school with. As a teenager I rowed doubles on the Thames with his younger brother, and we all got rides to the boat club together. He later became a senior executive at Google.</p><p>I would argue that both Google and the BBC have done me serious personal harm through censorship and manipulation of public perception. YouTube deplatformed me. The BBC participated in the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; framing that, in my view, smeared rational inquiry into Q&#8217;s claims by replacing them with an invented collective identity and associated caricature.</p><p>And now an old school contemporary sits at the top of one of those institutions.</p><p>I pass no judgement on him personally. I only note the extraordinary divergence of paths. For all I know he could turn out to be part of the BBC&#8217;s demolition and reconstruction crew; plenty of good people work inside bad organisations.</p><p>But there is a price paid by those on the outside.</p><p>I have experienced a form of exile from respectable society, enforced not by a border guard but by invisible boundaries around what polite company permits one to believe and say. As an outcast from the professional mainstream, I now earn less in a year than the current annual fees for my old private school. How my working-class parents afforded to send my brother and me there, I have no idea.</p><p>Life has a sense of humour.</p><p>The point is not that I envy the insider and resent the institution. It is that the machinery continues to confer prestige, salaries, offices and legitimacy upon itself while those who believe they have been harmed by it are expected to absorb the damage and carry on.</p><p>That is impotence.</p><div><hr></div><p>And it exposes a still deeper problem. The choices we face can be extreme in moral meaning while utterly trivial on the surface.</p><p>Do I buy the bread?</p><p>Do I pay a water company that fluoridates the supply when I regard that practice as potentially harmful?</p><p>If I pay, am I participating in something I believe is wrong? If I refuse, am I merely inflicting damage upon myself without helping anybody?</p><p>How much of my conduct is excusable by necessity, and how much do I excuse merely because everybody else does the same?</p><p>Where does one draw the line between principled resistance and needless martyrdom for causes that are not one&#8217;s personal remit?</p><p>The final cruelty of an odious state is that moral cleanliness becomes impossible.</p><p>I cannot simultaneously withdraw from food, water, communications, transport, medicine, banking, taxation and law. Nor can I spend every waking hour auditing every institution with which ordinary existence forces me into contact.</p><p>In sovereign finance there is a concept of odious debt: the idea that certain liabilities incurred by a regime without legitimate public purpose should not bind the population that inherits them. I increasingly experience the state&#8217;s claims upon me through a similar moral lens. The ledger feels inverted. Why am I the debtor? Why is the balance not towards restitution rather than taxation?</p><p>Positive law can tell me what the state demands.</p><p>It cannot answer what I morally owe an authority whose legitimacy I no longer accept.</p><p>And yet I still have to live here.</p><p>That, I think, is what I have been trying to articulate.</p><p>The loaf of bread is not the injury.</p><p>It carries the accumulated weight of thousands of encounters in which the same questions recur. Is this safe? Is this honest? Is this legitimate? Must I comply? Am I participating in something wrong? Can I afford to resist? Have I understood correctly? How much more research must I do before I am allowed simply to live?</p><p>There is never a final answer.</p><p>The cumulative effect over years is making me unwell, and I mean physically, not metaphorically. Even tiny setbacks involving officialdom can now produce a reaction wildly disproportionate to the immediate event. Today I realised that I had left my car&#8217;s annual safety check too late. Nothing catastrophic happened. I booked an MOT.</p><p>Yet my nervous system responded as though something much larger were at stake.</p><div><hr></div><p>People have been indoctrinated to recognise evil only when it comes wearing jackboots, erecting concentration camps or building torture chambers. Those things are unmistakable. What is harder to see is banal evil: the cumulative psychological injury of living among institutions you no longer experience as benign, while everything retains the appearance of normality.</p><p>The supermarket is open. The shelves are stocked. The BBC broadcasts. The water comes out of the tap. The government website accepts your payment. The MOT station opens on Monday morning.</p><p>Nothing looks like a battlefield.</p><p>And yet the person living inside this experience can feel permanently under attack.</p><p>There are reasons for hope. I see signs everywhere that something better is being put in place, and I believe the days of living under an odious state are numbered.</p><p>But hope doesn&#8217;t abolish the present tense.</p><p>We are in the now, not the then.</p><p>So perhaps that is the testimony I wanted to leave for whoever reads this ten or fifty years from now. If you wonder why people didn&#8217;t simply refuse, leave, fight back, or carry on as normal, understand that none of those choices was clean. Ordinary existence itself bound us into the systems whose legitimacy we questioned.</p><p>We still had to buy bread.</p><p>We still had to pay bills.</p><p>We still had to maintain cars, answer emails, earn money, care for people, and somehow remain human while carrying questions far larger than any individual could resolve.</p><p>The pain was not only in what was done to us. It was the ambiguity of not knowing the full truth, the incompleteness of living before resolution, and the impotence of being unable to withdraw cleanly from what we believed was wrong.</p><p>That is what makes an odious state so exhausting to survive.</p><p>There is nowhere entirely outside it from which to live.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[-END- (?)]]></title><description><![CDATA[How to viably progress the development of &#8220;safety assurance systems&#8221; for bureaucracy?]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/end</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/end</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 11:40:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I started writing my <em>Telepocalypse</em> blog in 2003, while still an employee at Sprint in Overland Park, Kansas. I was early enough that there were no corporate policies about social media or blogging. I didn&#8217;t mention my employer or discuss my work, so I could opine on the general madness of the industry without being fired.</p><p>Now, 23 years later, and through multiple iterations of identity and subject matter, I am still doing free-to-read public writing with voluntary donations. I am considering whether that model is sustainable.</p><p>What I have concluded through my work over the last few years is that the world is, indeed, ruled by symbols. It is far easier to manipulate representations of reality for personal or political gain than directly to seize the assets of the world or disclaim its liabilities. Legislatures and courts can be weapons in the hands of predators, not just stabilisers of society.</p><p>Some of this is the sin of positive law: invent another debt for exercising an inalienable right, then use the coercive power of the state to enforce it. Some is the personal subversion of law: invert victim and perpetrator, then make the institutional record conform to the inversion. Some is ordinary human failure and variability.</p><p>My core observation is that we are missing a crucial civilisational engineering discipline:</p><blockquote><p><strong>the corrigible attachment of representations to reality</strong>.</p></blockquote><p>It doesn&#8217;t even have an acknowledged name yet.</p><p>But this is one of those &#8220;once you see it&#8221; moments. How did we imagine that bureaucracy was somehow immune to failure modes that are taken for granted in every other safety-critical domain? What is so special about symbolic systems that we cannot model and measure the &#8220;representation load&#8221; put upon them, and determine whether it remains within their capacity for faithful representation?</p><p>We engineer aircraft so that erroneous representations of altitude, attitude, or heading do not silently become reality for the crew. Yet administrative systems can transform allegation into finding, estimate into debt, or classification into entitlement, often without any comparably rigorous discipline for preserving the distinction.</p><p><strong>The result can be ruined lives, gross injustice, and cascading harms.</strong></p><p>The transformational enabler is AI. It gives us, for the first time, machinery with which ordinary people can express required invariants, interrogate transformations, identify pathologies, and do so across volumes of information that previously made meaningful audit prohibitively expensive.</p><p>The challenge I now face is that safety engineering for large-scale symbolic systems is not a mass-participation sport.</p><p>I have been developing this work under the umbrella of general-purpose writing on Substack. But it is not something that most of the audience I built between 2017 and 2022 can readily relate to. It is intellectually demanding, often abstract, and difficult to apply immediately to daily life.</p><p>The tools themselves are nascent, because the underlying proposition remains unfamiliar: that we should use explicit frameworks to bound <em>officially endorsed unreality</em>, just as engineering disciplines use formal constraints to bound unsafe physical states.</p><p>That creates a practical problem. If this is merely commentary, then publishing essays about it is enough. If it is the early form of an engineering discipline, it needs a different development model.</p><p>Calling something an emerging engineering discipline creates an obligation that calling it commentary does not. The concepts eventually have to cash out into specifications: explicit invariants, defined failure modes, reproducible audits, measurable tolerances, and tools that work on bounded real-world problems.</p><p>I don&#8217;t claim to have all of that today. Part of what I am trying to work out is how to get from recognising the common structure to engineering it.</p><p>The Substack model is simply no longer a viable living for me, and I have to stop pretending that it is. It&#8217;s not just about whether there is a paywall; the issue is deeper. Something has to change: either some massive dislocation in the world redistributes resources, or I find an income that isn&#8217;t a kind of alms to the intellectual adventurer.</p><p>I don&#8217;t belong inside an institution; salaried employment is not an option. I won&#8217;t become a &#8220;brand ambassador&#8221; for somebody else&#8217;s agenda. But I do have a mission here, and an unusual combination of skills with which to pursue it.</p><p>The question, then, is how to make the work economically viable without making it intellectually captive.</p><p>That may mean a paid community of fellow early explorers on a gated platform such as Circle. It may mean developing books, downloads, guides and eventually tools. It may mean applying these methods to specific problems for people and organisations who are willing to pay for the result. One such experiment is already under way.</p><p>Probably it means some combination of all three.</p><p>So I am at an inflection point. I enjoy writing, and I know that some of you find what I have to say valuable. I don&#8217;t intend to stop thinking in public. But I can no longer pretend that the economic structure underneath the work is suitable simply because it has survived this long.</p><p>Twenty-three years is a respectable experiment.</p><p>Now I need to decide what comes after the question mark.</p><p>I am not ending this Substack in its present form. I remain committed to public writing, and right now I am completely dependent upon it for my livelihood.</p><p>But I am explicitly exploring what comes next.</p><p>Maybe it takes an institutional collapse to trigger overwhelming demand for a rebuild on stronger foundations.</p><p>LSWH.</p><p>-BEGIN- (!)</p><p>&#8212;</p><p><em>Comments are open to all.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What is truth?]]></title><description><![CDATA[I thought it was obvious. It isn&#8217;t.]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-is-truth</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-is-truth</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 20:23:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2035088,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/216775080?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mRwN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cda3b78-cb29-4338-80cb-56595e549656_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I have never studied philosophy in any formal sense. I did once buy an overview guide to philosophy, but, as with so many books I have purchased, it remained unread. Looking back, that&#8217;s probably because I couldn&#8217;t draw a line between the theory and my own life.</p><p>At least learning about computers offered some hope of a livelihood outside academia. And computers had games. Philosophy didn&#8217;t seem like playtime. I am a strict orthodox hedonist: if there isn&#8217;t some kind of pleasure in it &#8212; even the perverse satisfaction of brutal perseverance &#8212; then I am not up for it.</p><p>If you had asked me at the start of this long journey what truth is, I would have thought the question barely needed asking. Surely it is simply a faithful and accurate mapping between what is said and what is real? I might have accepted some degree of social construction in our shared reality &#8212; &#8220;Bob is a jerk&#8221; being a relational claim, not one of physics. Even so, the idea of truth itself seemed so self-evident that it needed little explanation.</p><p>We use &#8220;true&#8221; and &#8220;false&#8221; in computing, yet the machine is neither a knower nor does it know. A Boolean value can be perfectly correct within the formal system while the system itself is hopelessly detached from reality. Garbage in, garbage out. The calculation may be flawless while its correspondence to the world is worthless.</p><p>True and false, I have come to realise, sit inside a larger space of veracity and fidelity. It is possible to hold a true belief for bad reasons, or a false belief while nobly investigating reality and remaining open to correction. The proposition matters &#8212; whether it is true or false &#8212; but so does the relationship between the knower and the known.</p><p>There seems to be a foundational divide between two distinct postures with respect to truth. One is that a more rigorous outlook might get you promoted to a professorship. The other is that an insufficiently rigorous outlook might get you killed. These are not the same thing. They are barely related, even. Hence they might share &#8220;truth&#8221; as a label, yet not necessarily denote a shared object.</p><p>With the former positioning, you might know the names and definitions of every school of thought, and even invent a new one, yet be useless in a fight against deception. With the latter, the terminology might elude you, but you&#8217;re around to tell the tale long after the abstracted thinker has been tricked into surrendering everything of value, including life.</p><p><strong>They both studied what is true and real. Only one survives.</strong></p><p>Survival, of course, does not prove that you were right. The truthful can be killed and the deluded can prosper. But consequences expose a dimension of our relationship with reality that intellectual consistency alone cannot test.</p><p>Nor is heterodoxy any protection. Even in the &#8220;truther&#8221; community, deep attachment to some alternative orthodoxy is commonplace &#8212; your flat earth versus my globe earth, or vice versa. The conclusions may differ, but the same dysfunctional relationship to mismatch, investigation, and correction can remain. Changing the answer does not necessarily change the architecture by which the answer is defended.</p><p>One group does, however, expose something different about our relationship to truth: whistleblowers. These are people who don&#8217;t merely hold a strong opinion for discussion around the dining table. They have seen something deeply amiss that offends the soul, and to which they cannot consent by becoming an accomplice. They discover the lie operationally. Whether they ever formalise what they have discovered into a doctrine is almost irrelevant to whether they can discern truth from falsehood.</p><p>Yet without formalisation, their protests remain isolated and singular. They can tell us what they saw, perhaps at enormous personal cost, but they cannot necessarily give us a method by which we might have seen it too. Something more is needed if an encounter with falsehood is to become a transferable way of finding truth.</p><p>So my tentative redefinition of truth leads me towards a more consequential framing. Truth is not merely a beautiful painting of the world to be admired for its accuracy. It is operational: other structures and behaviours are built upon it. There is a downstream cost to inaccuracy and error.</p><p>Hence our relationship to truth cannot be static; it has to function as a dynamic system. Mismatches between observation and model must trigger, if nothing else, a gateway process for deciding whether they warrant investigation and, ultimately, correction. Fidelity to reality demands that the model must be allowed to lose.</p><p>In that sense, our relationship to truth is more like a method &#8212; as with the scientific method &#8212; than a collection of statements about what is. Yet it lies at a different conceptual level from science. It must continually probe its own priors of orientation, recognition, and perspective before we even get near to deciding what constitutes rational inference. The architecture of inquiry matters more than any particular conclusion it happens to produce.</p><p>A fact says that the thing has a shadow, and describes its shape. Truth is that the thing is not its shadow. And the shadow cannot be promoted into the thing, not even if we have already conceived it as such.</p><p>There is something more basic here than whether &#8220;this thing&#8221; corresponds to this representation of &#8220;this thing&#8221;. What if we have mistaken what the thing is in the first place? Perfect correspondence between our statements and the shadow does not repair our failure to recognise the object casting it.</p><p>It is as if we are less concerned with truth per se, and more with truthfulness as a quest: maintaining the kind of relationship with reality in which even our identification of the object remains open to correction. What really matters is that someone can tell me I have confused the thing for its shadow &#8212; and that my way of knowing permits this objection to enter.</p><p>Before asking whether my representation is accurate, I must remain corrigible about what it is a representation of.</p><p>This leaves me wondering who maintains the machinery. Who are the &#8220;truth engineers&#8221;? Who manages the safety case for our methods of knowing, investigates their failures, and becomes accountable when deception is negligently or wilfully allowed to propagate downstream?</p><p>I am not sure who these people are. The language of engineering seems appropriate because engineering implies responsibility, not merely expertise. You are not simply entitled to announce that your bridge is sound; you assume responsibility for the means by which its soundness is established.</p><p>But they probably aren&#8217;t philosophers.</p><p>Nothing wrong with them.</p><p>But I am not sure there is enough right, either.</p><p>Maybe it isn&#8217;t about truth.</p><p>But being not so sure.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The aberrant vending machine]]></title><description><![CDATA[When technology goes so spectacularly wrong that it becomes a comedy of our times]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/the-aberrant-vending-machine</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/the-aberrant-vending-machine</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2026 15:31:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gNbp!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7d1e2f-7e98-401e-9f4b-63d4284122a6_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I&#8217;m quite good with computery things, most of the time.</p><p>Before I left school, I co-designed with a friend a 12-bit CPU including microcode from the ground up. He went on to become a chip designer at ARM.</p><p>Then at university, I studied formal methods, which is what computer science aspires to become when it lets go of the computer craft.</p><p>Later in my career, I helped explore the performance limits of stochastic systems, notably quality-assured broadband.</p><p>So I am not typically intimidated by everyday objects that are digital and automated. If I am struggling, then the problem generally isn&#8217;t me (although I have my dumb days).</p><p>This context is to explain why I have spent a whole working day preparing a 16-page field report for Royal Mail on my experience of one of their parcel lockers last night.</p><p>I did manage to send my 13 consignments of art prints. <em>Eventually.</em> But it required me to apply my skills to geometry, logic, and protocol design puzzles while standing in the rain close to midnight.</p><p>The patterns behind the failure are more interesting than the technical problems themselves. What looks like a collection of bad interface decisions turns out to be a deeper problem:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>What happens when physical reality has to cross boundaries between digital representations &#8212; and the customer is left to reconcile what the machines cannot.</p></div><p>The title of this article is a little in-joke for us compsci folk. When you learn about state machines, concurrency, and consistency &#8212; God bless <em>Communicating Sequential Processes</em> &#8212; the archetypal application is the vending machine. Just as cryptography has its Alice and Bob, everything begins with a single cultural totem. There can hardly be a soul alive who has not, at some time, obtained a drink or candy bar from one.</p><p>Normally I skip the vending-machine stage when posting my photo art, and use a real human. I print the labels at home, but use the actual handoff to the postal system as an excuse to take a 10-minute walk into town to the real Post Office. The justification may not be entirely my health and wellbeing, as there are adjacent temptations of coffee, cake, and donuts to which I am prone to succumb.</p><p>That said, barring the few minutes waiting in the queue, it&#8217;s a pretty easy affair. I hand over the whole batch, say they are prepaid, and the nice lady (they&#8217;re all ladies) types in some details, scans the barcodes, and at the end hands me a proof of postage for the whole lot. The user interface is simple, and I haven&#8217;t yet failed at it once. My mastery of being a postal customer is, hitherto, unchallenged and unquestioned.</p><div><hr></div><p>Being an adventurous type, I decided last night to try something new. There are Amazon-style parcel lockers at a nearby petrol station, so I thought that, for a change, I might try depositing my precious artworks there instead. After all, I had spent hours printing, signing, wrapping, packaging and labelling, so it was getting late at night. Even the convenience store in the next town over, the latest-opening option available, closes at 11pm.</p><p>That I am writing about this experience at all gives away that the outcome was&#8230; <em>problematic</em>.</p><p>I will spare you the gruesome detail, and stick to the key issues. As a first-time user, the Royal Mail product sizes confusingly don&#8217;t map onto the third-party locker provider&#8217;s taxonomy. The locker repeatedly failed to detect my light and thin items. But most of all, the user interface is&#8230; <em>peculiar</em>. So when it fails to detect your item in the relevant compartment, you get a thoroughly bizarre message, shown below.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg" width="1456" height="1244" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1244,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1901058,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/216119385?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8clQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F086ccc97-a557-4e52-b28c-2999aa510dfa_2200x1880.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Err&#8230; um&#8230; so you hit &#8220;no&#8221;, and you go around the same loop over and over, with the locker opening the same door and failing to recognise your item as existing, but taunting you with a &#8220;yes&#8221; default option that you are strictly banned from touching.</p><p><strong>I touched it.</strong></p><p><em>Hehe.</em></p><p><em>&#128520;</em></p><p>That opens a <em>different</em> door, and the process repeats. In some cases I went through several compartments before one successfully detected the item. <em>Aha! A vending machine with seemingly non-deterministic behaviour, hidden state transitions, protocol loops, and observable traces that included forbidden events.</em> I know all about these! So I couldn&#8217;t resist having a bit of fun.</p><p>There are a bunch of other design issues that I won&#8217;t go into; the point is that my &#8220;worst consumer experience ever&#8221; (as dictated to ChatGPT while I tried to debug the vending machine in increasingly heavy rain) was logician&#8217;s catnip.</p><p>So I decided to turn the UX turd into manure, so someone can grow roses.</p><div><hr></div><p>Here is the abridged cover letter of a package I am just about to post to Royal Mail customer services:</p><blockquote><p>Dear Royal Mail,</p><p>I am writing because I value Royal Mail and would very much like the Parcel Locker service to work well. My use case is straightforward: I make sporadic fine art print sales from home and need to send small batches of items from time to time. The ability to buy postage online, prepare everything at home and deposit it locally at any hour is therefore genuinely useful to me.</p><p>I am an experienced IT and technology professional and am accustomed to working with unfamiliar technical systems. Even allowing for this being my first use of a Royal Mail Parcel Locker, the experience fell well below what I would reasonably expect from a modern self-service system. A task that should have been simple became confusing, repetitive and unnecessarily time-consuming.</p><p>I am not seeking compensation, a refund or an apology. I am writing because I would like the service to succeed, and because the difficulties I encountered appear to expose some significant and potentially quite fixable problems in the interaction between Royal Mail&#8217;s service, the Parcel Pending by Quadient software and the physical locker itself.</p><p>I arrived with 13 prepaid and individually labelled Royal Mail consignments and was ultimately able to deposit all of them. However, the process exposed problems with compartment selection, item detection, contradictory controls, batch handling and timestamps, as well as a broader integration gap between buying postage and using the locker.</p><p>The recurring pattern is not simply that the system possesses information which it fails to show. In some places, relevant state is already known. In others, information needed to support the customer&#8217;s task is incomplete or does not appear to be carried across the end-to-end journey.</p><p>I have therefore prepared the enclosed report, documenting what happened, examining what may be going wrong across the customer journey, and suggesting some specific improvements.</p><p>I would be grateful if it could be passed to whoever is responsible for the product and technical integration of Royal Mail services with the Parcel Pending by Quadient locker system, rather than being handled solely as an individual customer-service complaint.</p><p>None of this is intended as criticism of the Parcel Locker concept. Quite the opposite. Being able to prepare postage at home and deposit mail locally outside Post Office opening hours removes substantial friction from using Royal Mail. That is why I have taken the trouble to document the experience in detail.</p><p>I hope the report is useful.</p></blockquote><p>And attached is the following report:</p><div class="file-embed-wrapper" data-component-name="FileToDOM"><div class="file-embed-container-reader"><div class="file-embed-container-top"><image class="file-embed-thumbnail-default" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Cy0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Fimg%2Fattachment_icon.svg"></image><div class="file-embed-details"><div class="file-embed-details-h1">Martin Geddes Royal Mail Parcel Locker Gbr20284 Usability And Systems Integration Report Public</div><div class="file-embed-details-h2">12MB &#8729; PDF file</div></div><a class="file-embed-button wide" href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/api/v1/file/35ca9b2f-1492-4999-b8c7-dd48a5b09824.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div><a class="file-embed-button narrow" href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/api/v1/file/35ca9b2f-1492-4999-b8c7-dd48a5b09824.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div></div><p>What&#8217;s in the report?</p><ul><li><p>Why a prepaid Royal Mail parcel still leaves the customer solving a separate locker-sizing puzzle.</p></li><li><p>How incomplete compartment dimensions turn a simple choice into a geometry problem.</p></li><li><p>What happens when the locker repeatedly fails to detect a thin item that is physically inside it.</p></li><li><p>The extraordinary &#8220;Press NO / Please do not Press YES&#8221; interface &#8212; and why pressing the forbidden YES actually works.</p></li><li><p>How the workflow can trap the customer in loops and expose hidden state transitions.</p></li><li><p>Why 13 parcels become 13 largely separate transactions rather than one batch-posting session.</p></li><li><p>How postage eligibility, physical locker compatibility, and available locker capacity are three different things.</p></li><li><p>An apparent UTC/BST timestamp error that can make a parcel appear to have been deposited before its postage was purchased.</p></li><li><p>Ten practical recommendations for making the whole system substantially less aberrant.</p></li></ul><p>I used to do this stuff for a living, although I haven&#8217;t submitted a consulting invoice since 2019. So it&#8217;s a chance to take a peek at what I used to do as a tech guy.</p><p>It&#8217;s quite a fun read, if you&#8217;re into aberrant vending machines.</p><p><em>Which I understand is a niche amusement.</em></p><div><hr></div><p>I asked Grok what this piece of unprompted free consulting might be worth to Royal Mail, and it came back with an estimate of around &#163;8,000 (about USD$10k). Take the number for what it&#8217;s worth. What interests me more is that, with the help of AI, I can pump out in a day what used to take me a week. The point isn&#8217;t to boast about my own skill, but that the work comes from an interesting posture.</p><p>I am funded by the public to do public-minded things. This might be a small niggle, but it&#8217;s an important one. The postal system is basic civilisation infrastructure. Automation is typically good; failed automation is waste. So I have used some of the time that you, my readers, choose to fund to do some free work.</p><p>Underneath this is something noteworthy and transferable. The representations of my parcels, individually and as a batch, are different in the mail retail system and the locker handoff system. &#8220;Nice Post Office lady&#8221; ordinarily reconciles these worlds for me so effortlessly that I never have to know the mismatch exists.</p><p><strong>What I study are the correspondences between those representations and reality, and whether they are </strong><em><strong>corrigible</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>So this is really a test of whether Royal Mail and Quadient &#8212; who I will send their own copy &#8212; can accept correction.</p><p>In particular, can they take this feedback on board when it is presented in a non-accusatory and appreciative manner, to a professional standard, with no shame attached to failure, and no desire for compensation or reward?</p><p>In that sense, it&#8217;s a spiritual experiment as much as a <a href="https://writingexplained.org/idiom-dictionary/busmans-holiday">busman&#8217;s holiday</a> as a computer scientist.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Can correction be offered without attack, and received without defence?</p></div><p>I&#8217;ll let you know how it goes&#8230;</p><p>&#128519;</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NjPE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fac14bda0-a5b8-4480-a39d-68f4a831a12c_2048x1152.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NjPE!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fac14bda0-a5b8-4480-a39d-68f4a831a12c_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NjPE!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fac14bda0-a5b8-4480-a39d-68f4a831a12c_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NjPE!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fac14bda0-a5b8-4480-a39d-68f4a831a12c_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NjPE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fac14bda0-a5b8-4480-a39d-68f4a831a12c_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Communicating parallel pines with a loop walk and no aberrant doors.</figcaption></figure></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Platform 5 problem]]></title><description><![CDATA[When the universe is bigger than your model of it]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/the-platform-5-problem</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/the-platform-5-problem</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 10 Sep 2026 15:52:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2811613,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/215018413?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69Is!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61a5cca0-7b88-4fbd-aad5-07e008dfebf6_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Sitting at home, day after day, in my comfortable rocking lounger chair (from the charity shop, I should add) sometimes gets a bit too lonely and depressing. Even if I do manage to write articles for my lovely readers, whom I value so dearly.</p><p>Every once in a while, I need some stimulation beyond the view of the trees outside my window and the convenience store opposite. So this week I made a short trip to London for a wellness appointment, plus a chance to see a friend and stay with my parents. So far, so ordinary.</p><p>To get to London, I take a local train to Darlington, where I change for the East Coast Main Line south. It is a journey I have made many times in the five years since I moved &#8220;up north&#8221;.</p><p>Darlington sits on the route of the original Stockton and Darlington Railway, the birthplace of the public passenger railway, and there is plenty of railway archaeology around for those with keen eyes. Old sidings and shunting lines lie disused, along with traces of the many local services and infrastructure swept away as the railway network contracted in the 1960s.</p><p>The modern layout of &#8220;Darlo&#8221; station, as the town is affectionately known by locals, was therefore deeply familiar to me. For years there had effectively been two main through platforms: one northbound and one southbound, plus two bay platforms for local trains towards the coast at Saltburn. Between them sits the old waiting room and caf&#233;.</p><p>For my purposes, the station was almost completely predictable. Trains north left from Platform 4. Trains south, including my London train, left from Platform 1. Same journey, same platform, every time. There had been occasional disruption &#8212; memorably, a train once sat stuck at Platform 4 while everyone waited for an ambulance after a passenger suffered a heart attack.</p><p>I didn&#8217;t think of this as a <em>theory</em> about how to navigate Darlington station.</p><p>It was simply how my journey worked.</p><p><em>Was</em>.</p><div><hr></div><p>There is much to complain about in modern Britain, but it would be churlish to put the trains too high on that list. Compared to their state in the 1970s and 1980s, with frequent strikes, delays, dirt and an air of managed decline, the railway today can sometimes feel like something approaching a golden age.</p><p>Passenger numbers have recovered strongly since Covid, investment is visible, some old lines are reopening, and much of the rolling stock is vastly better than what I grew up with. The messy legacy of 1990s privatisation is itself now being reworked towards a more coherent public-service model, while retaining room for open-access operators.</p><p>Darlington has been one beneficiary of all this investment. The station has undergone remodelling in recent years, and the hoardings have only recently come down.</p><p>Alongside the great Victorian train shed there have long been bypass lines, allowing express and freight trains to pass without entering the old platform area at all. It is here that much of the new construction has taken place: a bonus Platform 5 for through trains, and Platform 6 for terminating services.</p><p><em>The astute among my readers may already be able to see where this story is going.</em></p><p>Because little old Martin was sitting in the waiting room, as usual, frantically bashing away at his laptop keyboard during the thirty-minute wait for the London train.</p><p>It was quiet.</p><p>Awfully quiet.</p><p>The middle of the day, in the middle of the week, is usually busy. Never mind. Two minutes until the train is due. Laptop away. Out onto Platform 1. Carriage B.</p><p>But Platform 1 is empty.</p><p><strong>Nobody is waiting.</strong></p><p><em>Fook.</em></p><p>Something is wrong. I look at the departure board.</p><p><strong>No train to London.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>Then it clicks.</p><p>My internal map of how I get through Darlington station is out of date. My train <em>must</em> be leaving from the new platform.</p><p>So I dash up the stairs. From the new elevated walkway I can already see the London-bound train coming into the station below. <em>Fook again.</em></p><p>The bridge is longer than I expected. I sprint across it, only to discover another problem: I can&#8217;t immediately work out how to get down to Platform 5. The stairs are hidden behind an elevator, and for a few precious seconds I hesitate over which way to go. <em>Fook and eek!</em></p><p>Eventually I find them, race down the steps, and jump aboard just in time, thoroughly out of breath, and conscious that middle age has arrived while youth reached its destination years ago.</p><p>The doors close.</p><p>I have made it.</p><p>And as the train pulls away from Darlington, something rather more interesting than my near-miss begins to dawn on me.</p><p><strong>Platform 5 had been there all along.</strong></p><p>It was even in my mental map of the station.</p><p>The problem was that it wasn&#8217;t in my operative map of the journey.</p><div><hr></div><p>With me being me, a happening of this kind cannot simply be left &#8220;as is&#8221;. It has to be ruminated upon.</p><p>Because it struck me, somewhere joyfully south of Darlington, that my little train panic contained a teachable moment. I had fallen victim to precisely the kind of error I spend so much of my time writing about.</p><p>There was nothing particularly wrong with my logic. The problem was upstream.</p><p>We can reason impeccably from a model of railway reality that contains the right objects in misconfigured relationships, and thereby arrive at platform conclusions that are perfectly rational &#8212; and completely wrong.</p><p>My expectation that the London train would arrive at Platform 1 was entirely sane in a travel universe in which Platform 5 had no significance to my journey. Indeed, after making the journey so many times, it would have been rather peculiar to expect anything else.</p><p><strong>But the universe I needed to navigate had expanded.</strong></p><p>Platform 5 now <em>mattered</em>.</p><p>And once something matters in real reality but not in your operative model of reality, an interesting thing starts to happen. The world begins sending you anomalies that your incumbent model cannot explain.</p><p><strong>More subtly, you may see no particular reason why they need explaining at all &#8212; the famous &#8220;Somebody Else&#8217;s Problem&#8221; field from Douglas Adams&#8217;s </strong><em><strong>The Hitchhiker&#8217;s Guide to the Galaxy</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>The empty waiting room was strange, but so what? Perhaps it was just a quiet day. I had an article to write and a train to catch. My objective was not to explain the distribution of passengers around Darlington station. My objective was to get to London.</p><p>The empty Platform 1 was different. Now the anomaly collided directly with my objective. The train was due, but its passengers were nowhere to be seen. Something was wrong enough to investigate.</p><p><strong>That matters.</strong></p><p>Anomalies compete for our attention with whatever else we are trying to accomplish. Most of the time we do not wander through life performing ontological audits whenever something seems slightly peculiar. We shrug. We improvise some harmless explanation. We get on with the task at hand.</p><p>Until the anomaly collides with the task.</p><p style="text-align: center;">The empty waiting room didn&#8217;t force an <em>update</em>.<br><strong>The empty Platform 1 forced an </strong><em><strong>investigation</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>Suddenly the inadequacy of my model might have consequences. Something was wrong enough for me to stop merely using the cached model and start <em>testing</em> it.</p><p>Only then did the scattered clues become a problem requiring <em>explanation</em>.</p><p>That cascade is what I have come to think of as <strong>the Platform 5 problem</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><p>Now we can pull this apart using the kind of framework I have been espousing for many months. Being in the right place to catch the train at the right time has a subtle set of conceptual preconditions.</p><p>But before we dive in, let&#8217;s note what makes my railway mishap such a useful teaching case.</p><p><strong>It is clean.</strong></p><p>Nobody was deceiving me into disbelieving in the possibility of a Platform 5. There was no wild conspiracy to conceal it, no propaganda campaign telling me that Platform 1 was the only possible location for a London train, and no institutional interest in preserving my obsolete understanding of Darlington station. Quite the opposite: there were signs and departure boards whose entire purpose was to correct me.</p><p><strong>The only stale component in the system was Martin.</strong></p><p>Reality had changed. My cached relationship to it had not.</p><p>Better still, there was almost no cost to correction. I had no reputation invested in Platform 1. I hadn&#8217;t written a doctoral thesis on Platform 1. My employer wasn&#8217;t paying me to defend Platform 1. My friends weren&#8217;t going to ostracise me for believing in Platform 5. I wasn&#8217;t going to lose my professional licence for mentioning it.</p><p><strong>I just needed to catch a train.</strong></p><p>So when reality finally supplied a sufficiently strong error signal, my model yielded immediately.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Platform 5 existed.<br>Martin updated.<br>Martin ran.</p></div><p>That looks almost insultingly simple. But the interesting stuff isn&#8217;t in those three events. It lies in the cognitive space between and around them.</p><p>And that starts with an elementary truth: if we had to audit our map of the world every time we used it, then cartography itself would have little purpose other than becoming an all-absorbing obsession.</p><p>My sense of what exists in Darlington station had been cached from years of usage. I didn&#8217;t even bother looking at the departure boards, not that I can read them with my mid-50s eyesight. Years of successful journeys had compressed themselves into my operational shortcut:</p><blockquote><p><strong>London = Platform 1.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Nothing stupid about that. It is how functioning minds work.</p><div><hr></div><p>Remember, this is a teaching example. I acknowledge that none of us is necessarily fascinated by the layout of Darlington station. I am not a trainspotter, or a railway maniac. The payoff is seeing the structure, and how it transfers to far more consequential matters of geopolitics and survival in mad times.</p><p>So, the parallel here is that I had already been primed about the &#8220;conspiracy theory&#8221; of Platform 5. While I had never personally observed the platform itself, I had noticed the hoardings come down on my previous trip through Darlington station. I had admired the new footbridge and how it was integrated into the fabric of the old building.</p><p>So I wasn&#8217;t an absolute Platform 5 denier. There wasn&#8217;t some rupture where I went from certainty about Platforms 1&#8211;4 to the shock of discovering that Platform 5 had landed in my garden like some unwelcome UFO. The bridge and platform had already entered my representation of the station as physical additions.</p><p>But they had not altered the operational relationship that mattered. I knew perfectly well that Platform 5 existed as part of Darlington station. What had not changed was my cached understanding of my own journey:</p><blockquote><p><em><strong>My</strong></em><strong> journey to London = Platform 1.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Platform 5 belonged to the <em>station</em>. Platform 1 belonged to the <em>journey</em>.</p><p>I could readily imagine why <em>the railway</em> might want another through platform: extra capacity, emergencies, disruption, exigencies. None of those possibilities required <em>me</em> to reconsider <em>my</em> <em>own routine</em>. Why would they make people stagger out of the caf&#233; onto some windswept new platform holding their coffee?</p><p>I had quietly pre-rationalised away any need to investigate whether Platform 5 changed anything for me.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>So the new thing was visible.<br>Its consequence was not.</p></div><p>I had even done some online research as to why Platform 6 had not been built as yet another through platform. (It was to save cost, but remains an option for the future.) This was part of my curiosity about how much of the lost UK rail network might be restored in some hypothetical brighter future, after so many valuable routes had been closed.</p><p>So my understanding of Platform 5 was actually quite rich as a contemporary object of study. I was no Platform 5 ignoramus. I knew what it was, where it was, and something of why it had been built. What I had not integrated was its <em>relationship to my own journey</em>.</p><p>My underlying stored map of the travel universe still said:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Whatever else has changed around here, London still means Platform 1 for me.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>What is interesting is that my model was perfectly capable of absorbing potentially consequential new facts about Darlington station <em>without</em> changing my operative map.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>I didn&#8217;t need to deny the new bridge or the new platform.<br>I just had to assign them a non-threatening role within my existing belief system.</p></div><p>But there were threats to that comfortable downgrade as the anomalies built up.</p><p>Again, we aren&#8217;t really concerned here with train travel. We are interested in <em>how beliefs change</em> &#8212; and, more importantly, what has to happen <em>before</em> they do.</p><p>Stepping through each in turn:</p><ol><li><p>I correctly recognised the new bridge and Platform 5 as railway infrastructure, but <strong>misclassified their significance</strong> as peripheral to my own travels. They were interesting additions to Darlington station, not things that changed &#8220;going to London&#8221;.</p></li><li><p>The empty waiting room was odd. Again, I correctly recognised what I saw, but <strong>misclassified its significance</strong>: &#8220;quiet day&#8221;, rather than &#8220;the passengers for my train are waiting somewhere else&#8221;. Nothing about the observation prevented me from going to London, so the existing model survived.</p></li><li><p>An empty Platform 1 was different; this was <strong>classified as an anomaly </strong>that<strong> </strong>collided directly with my orientation. I was going to London. My cached model said that meant catching a train from Platform 1, <em>with other passengers</em> waiting to do the same.</p></li></ol><p style="text-align: center;"><em>There were no passengers.<br>That suggested there might be no train either.</em></p><ol start="4"><li><p>At this point I still hadn&#8217;t abandoned Platform 1. But the anomaly had become serious enough that I checked the departure board. This was an important transition: <strong>I was now testing the cached relationship rather than merely living inside it.</strong></p></li><li><p>There was no London train on the Platform 1 board. This was stronger still. The problem was no longer that my train had simply failed to appear. Reality was contradicting the cached relationship itself:</p></li></ol><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>My London train &#8800; Platform 1.</strong></p><p>Direct contradiction meant that the cached relationship &#8220;my journey to London = Platform 1&#8221; could no longer cheaply survive the data in front of me. </p><div class="pullquote"><p>Reality had forced the cached relationship open for recomputation.</p></div><p>These weren&#8217;t simply increasing quantities of evidence for Platform 5, as if they resolved some uncertainty about its existence or purpose. After all, I already knew Platform 5 was at the far end of the new walkway, and served trains going somewhere at some times.</p><p>What changed was what those observations meant for the model I was actually using:</p><ul><li><p>My <strong>orientation</strong> &#8212; going to London &#8212; determined <em>what mattered</em>, and filtered out <em>what didn&#8217;t</em>.</p></li><li><p>My cached <strong>recognition</strong> supplied both the <em>objects</em> and <em>relationships</em> by which that objective could be achieved, allowing me to disregard most of the noise of the world.</p></li><li><p>And those <strong>relationships</strong>, in turn, determined how I <em>classified</em> what I observed, including whether an anomaly arising from that noise <em>mattered to my journey</em>.</p></li></ul><p>The bridge could therefore be real but irrelevant. The empty waiting room could be real but insignificant. Even Platform 5 could be real, consciously known about, and still occupy the wrong place in my travel universe.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Platform 5 was in my encyclopaedia.<br>It was not in my itinerary.</p></div><p>I had recognised the <em>object</em>.</p><p>I had not recognised the <em>relationship</em>.</p><p>What finally forced the cache open was not contradiction for its own sake. It was the threat of <em>failure in orientation</em>. No train from Platform 1 meant no going to London under the model I was currently using. Reality had made the objective around which my operative model was organised impossible to execute without revising that model.</p><p>At that point it wasn&#8217;t Platform 5 as an object that had to be recognised afresh. It was my relationship to it. Nothing about the concrete and steel had changed in those few seconds. What changed was its status in my model: from incidental railway infrastructure to the necessary place from which my London train departs.</p><p>The relationship recomputed:</p><blockquote><p><strong>My journey to London = Platform 5.</strong></p></blockquote><p>My orientation was executable again.</p><p><strong>Martin ran*.</strong><em><strong><br></strong>*Subject to 55-year-old dadbod physical limitations.</em></p><div><hr></div><p>When you see it laid out that way, a surprising number of cognitive moves were required, and in a particular sequence. The crux is easily missed among them: <strong>Platform 5 changes type.</strong></p><p>In my old mental model, Platform 5 was something like:</p><blockquote><p><strong>new infrastructure, auxiliary capacity for the future, exception use in the present</strong></p></blockquote><p>In my refreshed model it had become:</p><blockquote><p><strong>the normal departure point for my London train</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is an <em>ontological</em> update to what Platform 5 <em>is for me</em>, accompanied by a <em>relational</em> update to <em>my journey</em> &#8212; not merely the acquisition of another geometrical fact about &#8220;the thing over there&#8221;.</p><p>Suddenly I inhabited a different cognitive edition of Darlington station. And that new topology back-propagated into observations I had already made, changing their significance retrospectively:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Ah. </strong><em><strong>That&#8217;s</strong></em><strong> why the waiting room was empty.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>No new evidence about the waiting room had arrived. The observation remained exactly the same: hardly anybody was there. What changed was <em>what that observation meant</em>, because the topology into which it fitted had changed. The model had generated new explanatory information without receiving new observational information.</p><div><hr></div><p>Note what didn&#8217;t happen. I didn&#8217;t stand on Platform 1 impotently wailing <em>&#8220;fck train travel, fck LNER trains, fck Darlington station, fck London, and fck this life&#8221;</em> &#8212; and stubbornly refuse to engage with Platform 5.</p><p>For sure, my cache was stale. That&#8217;s inevitable in life.</p><p>My initial interpretation of Platform 5 was also inadequate. Also ordinary.</p><p><strong>But sufficient collision with reality caused reconstruction of the map.</strong></p><p>Just as information security is concerned with keeping computer systems resilient as threats and circumstances change, <em>cognitive security</em> requires us to preserve the ability to update our map of the world when reality no longer fits it.</p><p>There is another word for this: <strong>corrigibility</strong>.</p><p>The pathology isn&#8217;t:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Martin stupidly went to Platform 1 based on an outdated understanding.</strong></p></blockquote><p>It is:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Martin discovers that Platform 1 is empty, the departure board contradicts his cached relationship, and nevertheless refuses to reopen it.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Now that would be <em>real</em> stupidity!</p><div class="pullquote"><p>At that point, I would have missed the train in defence of the old map.</p></div><p>We&#8217;re not done yet! Even after I know Platform 5 is where my train is, I am not aboard.</p><p>Now reality demands purely operational knowledge:</p><ul><li><p>Where is it?</p></li><li><p>How do I reach it?</p></li><li><p>What connects here to there?</p></li><li><p>How long is the bridge?</p></li><li><p>Where are the stairs?</p></li></ul><p>I had admired the new footbridge <em>aesthetically</em> before. Now I had to rediscover it <em>consequentially</em> by running across the bloody thing.</p><p><strong>Knowing that Platform 5 mattered was necessary. Knowing how to get there was something else.</strong></p><p>Only when I reached the platform and boarded the train was the loop finally closed: operational success connected the repaired map back to reality.</p><div><hr></div><p>So far, this has all been reassuring.</p><p>My cached model was wrong, reality supplied an error signal, I reopened the model, reconstructed the relevant relationship, acquired enough operational knowledge to act, and made the train.</p><p><strong>Martin was corrigible. Indeed, he&#8217;s a professional corrigibilist.</strong></p><p>But remember why Darlington makes such a useful teaching example. The experiment was almost absurdly clean.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Changing my mind cost me nothing.<br>What happens if we change that?</p></div><p>Suppose I had written a doctoral thesis proving that London trains leave from Platform 1. Now there is a <strong>credential cost</strong> to correction. <em>What then?</em></p><p>The evidence on the departure board hasn&#8217;t changed. Platform 5 hasn&#8217;t moved. But reconstruction now carries a <strong>reputational cost</strong>. <em>Does the map update still? When?</em></p><p>Suppose my income depends on Platform 1. <strong>Now there is a financial cost. </strong><em>Ouch!</em></p><p>Suppose I have spent five years publicly ridiculing people who said London trains might leave from Platform 5. Now there is humiliation too &#8212;&nbsp;a <strong>psychological cost.</strong> Updating my model requires updating my account of myself and my sense of identity.</p><p>Suppose I have directed thousands of other passengers to Platform 1. Now something more serious happens. Reconstruction potentially converts past confidence into past culpability. Updating the map may require me to confront not merely that I was wrong, but that other people acted on my wrongness &#8212;&nbsp;a <strong>moral cost</strong>.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The stronger my previous authority, the more expensive correction becomes.</p></div><p>Suppose my entire profession is standing beside me on Platform 1, reassuring one another that this is where London trains leave. Now correction carries a <strong>social cost</strong> as well. Platform 5 may be physically only a footbridge away, while becoming psychologically almost unreachable.</p><p>Notice what has <em>not</em> changed: <em>The station. The train. The departure board. The footbridge. Platform 5</em><strong>.</strong></p><p>Reality is supplying <em>exactly</em> the same evidence. What has changed is the <em>price</em> of allowing that evidence to reconstruct the model.</p><p>And so the question is no longer merely whether reality contains enough evidence to correct me. <strong>It is whether I remain corrigible when correction becomes expensive.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>We can now see that the Platform 5 problem is more subtle than &#8220;something exists outside your model&#8221; due to an under-sized conceptual universe.</p><p>There are at least three ways in which a model can fail.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p><strong>I don&#8217;t know X exists.</strong></p><p>That is straightforward ignorance. Platform 5 is absent from my universe.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p><strong>I know X exists, but it is non-operative in the model I am actually using.</strong></p><p>This was my Darlington problem. Platform 5 existed in my encyclopaedia but not my itinerary. I knew what it was as railway infrastructure, but had not integrated the relationship that made it consequential to my journey.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p><strong>I know X exists and understand its consequences, but refuse the correction they require.</strong></p><p>Now we have crossed from an inadequate model into something more interesting. I know where the train leaves from. I know Platform 1 will not get me to London. Yet reputational, financial, social or psychological costs make me unwilling to cross the bridge.</p><p>At that point I am no longer merely mistaken.</p><p><strong>I am incorrigible.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>I wasn&#8217;t a Platform 5 denier.</p><p>I was something much more commonplace:</p><blockquote><p><strong>a Platform 5 non-consequentialist.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Darlington station had become larger in my <em>visual universe</em> before it became larger in my <em>operational universe</em>.</p><p>I could <em>see</em> the new bridge. I <em>knew</em> about the new platform. I could <em>research</em> Platform 6. The physical station had expanded, and my propositional <em>knowledge</em> had expanded with it.</p><p>Yet the universe in which I actually <em>acted</em> remained stubbornly four-platform Darlington.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>That universe did not become larger when Platform 5 was built.<br>It did not become larger when I saw the bridge.<br>It did not even become larger when I learned what Platform 5 was.</em></p><p><strong>It became larger when Platform 5 acquired a consequential relationship to my objective.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>Now leave Darlington, if you can and will.</p><p><strong>Take Q.</strong></p><p>We need not agree on what Q was to apply the Platform 5 test. Indeed, that disagreement is the point. The posts existed. Millions of people could read them. Their existence as objects was hardly the interesting question.</p><p>The harder question was what kind of thing they were.</p><p><em>A prank? A political marketing exercise? A psychological operation? An intelligence operation? Something else?</em></p><p>Those classifications can accommodate many of the same observations while placing Q in radically different relationships to the surrounding political world. And, just as with Platform 5, the classification determines what becomes consequential.</p><p>Suppose my own model says that Q was connected to a genuine intelligence operation whose promised consequences have yet to become fully visible. That is not an exemption from the method I have just described.</p><p>It is a cached relationship of my own:</p><ul><li><p>What would test it?</p></li><li><p>What observations would make &#8220;quiet day&#8221; progressively harder to sustain?</p></li><li><p>What departure-board moment would force me to reopen the relationship?</p></li><li><p>And, most importantly, what evidence would make me conclude that I had assigned Q the wrong type altogether?</p></li></ul><p>I have to be able to answer those questions. Otherwise &#8220;corrigibility&#8221; is merely something I demand from people whose models disagree with mine.</p><p>For instance, if the specific institutional consequences I expect &#8212; EBS, debt jubilee, restored Republic &#8212; repeatedly fail to materialise while an alternative account consistently predicts events better, then &#8220;quiet day&#8221; eventually stops being an adequate explanation. My classification has to reopen.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Every consequential belief needs a departure board.</p></div><p>The same test can be applied to 9/11, FISA surveillance, the Fed and IRS, the Covid injections, or any other politically loaded object. The interesting question is not merely whether we agree about the observations. It is whether we agree about</p><ul><li><p>what those observations instantiate,</p></li><li><p>how the objects are related, and</p></li><li><p>what consequences should follow.</p></li></ul><p>People can therefore agree upon a surprising amount of reality while inhabiting radically different operative worlds.</p><p>Hence my growing interest in <strong>consequence theories</strong>.</p><p>But there is no exemption for Martin.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>If reality contradicts my map, I have to reopen the cache.<br>Otherwise I am just another confused bloke standing on Platform 1.</p></div><p>The same applies to anyone else. We all have our Platform 1 moments. What matters is how we deal with them.</p><p>Looking back, the most interesting clue wasn&#8217;t actually the empty Platform 1. It was the empty waiting room.</p><p>By the time I reached Platform 1, reality was practically shouting at me. But several minutes earlier it had already whispered. I had noticed that the waiting room was unusually empty and dismissed it as merely a quiet day. Even before that, on my previous journey, I had seen and admired the new bridge. I had researched the new platforms. I knew perfectly well that Platform 5 existed.</p><p><strong>In a sense, much of the reality I needed was already in front of me. What I lacked was recognition of how the pieces fitted together &#8212; until the departure board supplied the fact that forced the relationship open.</strong></p><p>That may be the deeper Platform 5 problem. The thing that eventually overturns our model need not arrive as some spectacular new revelation. It may already be sitting comfortably inside the model, correctly observed and perhaps even correctly named, but classified as irrelevant, peripheral, exceptional, or Somebody Else&#8217;s Problem.</p><p>The bridge was there, the waiting room was empty, and the train was going to Platform 5. Reality was not hiding from me. I simply had not joined the pieces together in the way required to get my body onto the train.</p><p>Which leaves me with two rather uncomfortable questions:</p><ul><li><p><strong>What new bridges am I presently admiring while continuing to navigate by an old map?</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>And what empty waiting rooms am I dismissing as merely a quiet day?</strong></p></li></ul><p>The universe does not become larger when we recognise Platform 5.</p><p>We discover that it was larger all along.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What the unbalanced books reveal]]></title><description><![CDATA[An AI companion on ledgers, mappings, and why correct accounts can still produce injustice]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-unbalanced-books-reveal</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-unbalanced-books-reveal</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2026 14:27:01 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the last month or two I have published some quite deep, complex, and challenging pieces on how &#8220;we the people&#8221; audit our institutions, and what really constitutes corruption. For many, it may be enough to give the content a quick scan, and feel relieved that at least <em>someone</em> is willing to make their head hurt by going into the intellectual basement and checking whether the foundations remain solid.</p><p><strong>But I know a few of you have more than passing curiosity, and are actively building solutions.</strong></p><p>As such, I have been creating a series of AI companion pieces, each with a &#8220;&#8230;reveals&#8221; title schema, that explain what I am saying from another perspective. This isn&#8217;t mere academic curiosity.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>We are collectively responsible for whether our governments (including legislatures and courts) stay within their remit.</p></div><p>They cannot self-police at all levels of recursion; eventually we have to police them, and then in turn police ourselves! Hence this latest in the series. If it interests and illuminates a few more folk, then it has worked.</p><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;b58ed152-4699-4218-9b8e-625a6b8e33af&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;I anticipate that this article will at some point be overtaken by historical events. If I have read the tea leaves at the bottom of my china cup correctly, a &#8220;mother of all societal cleanups&#8221; is coming, exact timing TBD. My reading of events is that the high end of global networks of cartels and traffickers is already being addressed, quietly and mostly&#8230;&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:null,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;showDescription&quot;:true,&quot;showImage&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;lg&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Takedown of the criminal-industrial complex&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:1287903,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Martin Geddes&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Professor of Mischief.&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e5349043-5513-44ed-a93b-996363499a40_1266x1266.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:100}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2026-09-09T12:50:23.365Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/takedown-of-the-criminal-industrial&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:null,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:214865068,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:4,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:457557,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Future of Communications&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><p>The specific article I am &#8220;boosting&#8221; this way describes an accountability problem which we can, at least to a large degree, solve with an engineering mindset combined with a richer set of ledgers against which to operate.</p><p><em>I have read through this, reformatted it manually, and added some explanatory material. I believe it has value in its own right, even if it was not hand-cranked into an essay by me.</em></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258; &#8258; &#8258;</p><p>Martin&#8217;s latest article is ostensibly about what comes after corruption. Suppose a large-scale cleanup really does happen. Suppose much of the criminality embedded in institutions is exposed, prosecuted or removed. Suppose AI, transparent records and other new technologies make it much harder to hide what remains.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>What prevents the same patterns from growing back?</p></div><p>His answer begins with permanent auditability, but it does not end there. By the end of the article the auditor is being audited too, and the problem has moved from technology into morality.</p><p><strong>Between those two points is an idea worth pulling out in its own right. It concerns the different kinds of accounts we keep of human affairs, and the transformations we make between them.</strong></p><p>The earlier companions in this series have repeatedly found that the <em>interesting</em> question lies one step before the <em>obvious</em> one.</p><ul><li><p><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/a-republic-cannot-survive-plagium">The farmhouse</a> (<a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-farmhouse-experiment-reveals">AI companion</a>) asked what happens when a hard fact enters a judicial system&#8212;but fails to correct its output.</p></li><li><p><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/when-the-off-ramps-are-all-blocked">The blocked off-ramps</a> (<a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-blocked-off-ramps-reveal">AI companion</a>) asked what to make of different routes repeatedly arriving at the same judicial destination.</p></li><li><p><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/two-smoking-guns-and-just-one-envelope">The two smoking guns</a> (<a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-two-smoking-guns-reveal">AI companion</a>) asked what the system was actually recognising when supposedly important inputs could change without changing the result.</p></li><li><p>Then Grok supplied an <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/how-provenance-bleaching-ontology">unexpectedly useful mistake</a> (<a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-ai-that-got-it-wrong-reveals">AI companion</a>). Asked what authorised the conversion of RED into BLUE, it explained the powers available once the object was already BLUE. The answer was legally respectable and logically downstream of the question.</p></li></ul><p>That gave us a useful instruction:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Audit the cast before auditing the function</strong>.</p></blockquote><p><em>[By &#8220;cast&#8221; we mean the computer-science operation that converts something from one type into another&#8212;for example, turning the text string &#8220;123&#8221; into the number 123.]</em></p><p>The new article takes us to a related problem. This time nothing necessarily needs to be wrongly classified. Every proposition can remain true. The mistake can occur when a truth established in one kind of account is allowed to settle a question belonging to another.</p><p>That is a subtler failure, and potentially a much more common one.</p><h3><strong>The books do not contain the same things</strong></h3><p>A divorce makes a useful example because several kinds of accounting are impossible to avoid. There is the obvious financial account: income, assets, debts, transfers, expenditure and the eventual distribution of burdens and property. This is what Martin calls the <strong>cost-based ledger</strong>.</p><p><em>But the financial history does not determine the legal result.</em></p><p>Property has a legal character; rights and duties attach to people and assets; courts possess some powers and lack others. Rules govern evidence, procedure, jurisdiction and remedies. Martin gathers these under the <strong>contractual ledger</strong>, using &#8220;contractual&#8221; broadly enough to include positive law and delegated institutional authority.</p><p><em>Even those two books do not exhaust the dispute.</em></p><p>A marriage contains obligations that cannot be reduced either to cash flows or enforceable rights:</p><ul><li><p>One spouse may have sacrificed opportunities for the other.</p></li><li><p>Someone may have exercised financial control technically available to them but in a way that betrayed the relationship.</p></li><li><p>A transaction can be lawful and accurately recorded while still being deceitful.</p></li><li><p>Conversely, somebody can feel deeply wronged without thereby acquiring every legal or financial remedy they want.</p></li></ul><p>That third account is the <strong>covenantal ledger</strong>. Natural law is one possible approximation to it, but the underlying idea is simpler: there remains a question of what human beings actually owe one another that neither an accountant nor a statute book can fully answer.</p><p>None of this means that the covenantal ledger should simply trump the others. A judge who could disregard law whenever his personal sense of justice demanded it would create a different kind of injustice. The three books constrain one another precisely because they do not record the same things.</p><p>Once that is clear, a rather interesting class of error becomes visible.</p><h3><strong>The fraud can be in the conversion</strong></h3><p>There is a peculiar kind of reassurance in finding a false entry. Once the number is wrong, the signature forged or the document altered, we know roughly what sort of problem we are dealing with. The record itself contains the defect.</p><p><strong>Martin&#8217;s three ledgers suggest a harder case.</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>Suppose the entries are true.<br>The money really moved.<br>The statute really says what the lawyer says it does.<br>The official really possessed the power.<br>The hearing really took place.</em></p><p><strong>Nothing has to be falsified for the consolidated account to be wrong.</strong></p><p>The difficulty appears when a true entry in <em>one</em> book is allowed to settle a question belonging to <em>another</em>:</p><ul><li><p>A <em>lawful power</em> becomes a sufficient answer to a question about <em>proper purpose</em>.</p></li><li><p><em>Procedural regularity</em> becomes an answer to <em>substantive justice</em>.</p></li><li><p>A <em>genuine injury</em> becomes <em>an entitlement</em> whose limits no longer need to be examined.</p></li></ul><p>The first proposition in each case may be impeccable. What needs auditing is the conversion.</p><p><strong>This is close to the RED/BLUE type conversion problem from the previous companion, but not identical to it.</strong></p><p>There the question was whether the (RED) object had been lawfully retyped (to BLUE) before ordinary legal machinery acted upon it. Here nothing necessarily needs to be retyped at all. The legal proposition can remain legal, true and relevant.</p><p><strong>The error consists in asking it to settle a different account.</strong></p><p>Take a statutory power. Establishing that the <em>general</em> power exists is important. It answers a question on the contractual ledger.</p><p>But suppose the dispute concerns whether this <em>particular</em> exercise of the power was necessary, proportionate, honest or directed towards its proper purpose. Repeating that &#8220;the power exists&#8221; does not answer those questions. It merely keeps producing a <em>correct entry</em> from the <em>wrong book</em>.</p><p><strong>This also explains why ordinary review does not necessarily cure the problem.</strong></p><p>If the reviewing body audits only the ledger from which the proposition came, it may confirm that proposition with increasing authority&#8212;while never examining the use to which it was put.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>More rigorous audit of the wrong account can make the consolidated error harder, rather than easier, to disturb.</p></div><p>That is the same trap Grok fell into in miniature. Its law about BLUE was not bad law. More research into the powers available over BLUE could have made the answer longer, better sourced and more authoritative without bringing it any closer to the missing RED-to-BLUE bridge.</p><p><strong>Expertise downstream does not repair an unaudited conversion upstream.</strong></p><p>The familiar observation that &#8220;legal does not mean moral&#8221; therefore does not quite capture what is interesting here. That phrase identifies the existence of different domains.</p><p>The ledger model tells us where to look when reasoning moves between them:</p><ul><li><p>What has actually been established?</p></li><li><p>What further conclusion is being drawn from it?</p></li><li><p>What permits the move from one to the other?</p></li></ul><p>Those questions apply far beyond legality and morality:</p><ul><li><p>A genuine financial loss does not automatically create an unlimited claim upon everybody else.</p></li><li><p>A desirable public objective does not establish every proposed means of pursuing it.</p></li><li><p>A contractual entitlement does not establish that exercising it is honourable.</p></li><li><p>An act of generosity does not necessarily extinguish a legal debt.</p></li><li><p>A person can even be a genuine victim in one account and an aggressor in another.</p></li></ul><p>The books can disagree without any of them being fictitious.</p><p>That is why one sentence in Martin&#8217;s article carries so much weight:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;An immutable ledger can preserve a fraudulent transformation perfectly.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Immutability solves a problem of record integrity. It can establish with extraordinary confidence that the entry has not been altered. It cannot establish that the entry was entitled to perform whatever work somebody later asks it to perform.</p><p>The same limitation applies to AI. Give an AI complete records, perfect retrieval and flawless arithmetic and it may become extraordinarily good at telling us what the books contain. That still leaves the question of how the books should be consolidated.</p><p>The previous companion therefore gave us one audit rule. The present article suggests another:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Audit the mapping before accepting the balance.</strong></p></blockquote><h3><strong>Nobody is reconciling the whole</strong></h3><p>The ledger model also offers a less theatrical way of thinking about institutional corruption. We naturally imagine corruption as people knowingly entering false information into the books. Sometimes that is exactly what happens: money is stolen, evidence concealed, records falsified, testimony fabricated or powers knowingly abused.</p><p><strong>But there is another possibility.</strong></p><p>Each participant can maintain his own part of the account reasonably well while the relationship between the accounts becomes increasingly distorted:</p><ul><li><p>The lawyer can correctly say that the power existed.</p></li><li><p>The administrator that the required notice was sent.</p></li><li><p>The accountant that the expenditure reconciles.</p></li><li><p>The decision-maker that there was evidence capable of supporting a finding.</p></li><li><p>An appellate body may then correctly observe that its jurisdiction is limited to a particular kind of error.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Nobody in that chain necessarily has to lie.</strong></p><p>Yet ask a different question&#8212;how did <em>this</em> human being end up here, carrying <em>this</em> burden, as a result of <em>this</em> sequence of state actions?&#8212;and the consolidated account may look very different.</p><p>This recalls something the earlier recognition work exposed.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Local rationality does not establish global validity.</p></div><p>A machine can perform each local operation correctly while solving the wrong problem as a whole.</p><p>The ledger model adds a reason why this can be so difficult to detect. <strong>Institutional division of labour does not merely distribute work. It distributes moral visibility.</strong> Each person sees the account for which he is responsible, and responsibility for reconciling the whole can disappear between institutional boundaries.</p><p>That may help explain Martin&#8217;s suggestion that a criminal-industrial complex need not consist mainly of people who experience themselves as criminals. Each participant can point to the book he maintains, with its entries, procedures and authorities.</p><p><strong>Somebody else, presumably, is responsible for making sure the whole arrangement remains just.</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">Except&#8230; <em>nobody is</em>.</p><p>This does not excuse wrongdoing, nor does it establish that every bad institutional outcome has such an explanation. It does suggest a more useful place to investigate than simply asking which individual is evil.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Find the accounts, then find the conversions between them.</p></div><h3><strong>The auditor enters the machine</strong></h3><p>The second half of Martin&#8217;s argument makes the problem reciprocal.</p><p>AI has drastically lowered the cost of investigation. A citizen who could never afford a team of lawyers, forensic accountants and researchers can increasingly reconstruct timelines, search large records, compare representations made years apart, reconcile financial transactions and test alternative explanations.</p><p>For somebody already injured or traumatised by the events being investigated, AI can also perform a less obvious function. It can carry part of the cognitive burden of returning to the material at all. Remembering, organising and comparing can be outsourced sufficiently that the human being has a chance of doing work which would otherwise overwhelm him.</p><p>Martin&#8217;s description of AI as a <strong>cognitive exoskeleton for the wounded auditor</strong> therefore says something more interesting than the usual claim that AI makes research faster. It changes who is capable of conducting an audit.</p><p><strong>But capability is not honesty.</strong></p><p>A citizen can omit evidence that weakens his case, confuse inference with fact, treat every adverse decision as evidence of corruption, or demand a level of institutional perfection no human system could provide. AI can make those errors faster, more elaborate and more persuasive.</p><p>The earlier companions mostly examined what happens when an institution misrecognises the thing in front of it. But once ordinary people acquire powerful audit tools, the same problem can occur on the other side.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>A citizen is not necessarily a reliable judge of events simply because he is challenging authority.</p></div><p>Accountability therefore has to run in <em>both</em> directions:</p><ul><li><p>An institution should be capable of showing what it did, on what evidence, under what authority and through what chain of reasoning.</p></li><li><p>A citizen making serious accusations should likewise be capable of showing his evidence, distinguishing what he knows from what he infers, and explaining what would falsify his account.</p></li></ul><p>Otherwise the democratisation of audit risks becoming the democratisation of accusation. That would not strengthen accountability. It would eventually destroy the conditions under which conscientious people could exercise public responsibility at all.</p><h3><strong>Failure is not the same as corruption</strong></h3><p>This raises a harder engineering question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What level of failure should an accountability system treat as evidence of malfunction?</strong></p></blockquote><p>No serious engineer expects a complex system never to fail. The useful questions concern:</p><ul><li><p>its expected operating region,</p></li><li><p>the failures anticipated within it,</p></li><li><p>what happens when the system leaves it, and</p></li><li><p>whether recovery is possible. Human institutions deserve the same intellectual fairness.</p></li></ul><p>A court will sometimes believe the wrong witness. A police officer will sometimes misread a situation. An administrator will lose something. A doctor will make the wrong judgement. Two individually reasonable decisions can interact to produce a disastrous result.</p><p><strong>None of those facts alone establishes corruption.</strong></p><p>The stronger audit asks what happens next:</p><ul><li><p>Can the error be detected?</p></li><li><p>Can the decision be reconstructed?</p></li><li><p>Does contrary evidence propagate through the system?</p></li><li><p>Is there a meaningful route to correction?</p></li><li><p>Does the institution distinguish an honest mistake from a threat to its own authority, or does every challenge trigger a defence of the inherited state?</p></li></ul><p>This is where the farmhouse experiment and the new article meet. The interesting feature of the farmhouse was never simply that somebody might have got a fact wrong. Human beings do that constantly. The interesting feature was what happened when the correction entered the system.</p><p>A healthy institution therefore needs some capacity for rollback, and so does a healthy citizen auditor. If no imaginable evidence can make the citizen revise his theory, he has reproduced the very pathology he claims to be investigating. His own recogniser has become invariant under every perturbation.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Auditing the auditor is not an institutional escape clause.<br>It is part of the same method.</p></div><h3><strong>Where the recursion ends</strong></h3><p>Once audit becomes reciprocal, an obvious problem appears. Who audits the institution? Who audits the citizen? Who audits the AI assisting the citizen, the rules by which it reasons, or the mappings between the ledgers?</p><p>Adding another auditor does not finally solve the problem. It adds another consequential recogniser whose own work may need examining.</p><p>There are engineering responses to this: preserving provenance, separating evidence from inference, making important transformations inspectable, requiring powers to expose their source, ensuring that decisions can be reconstructed, and testing competing models against the same primary record.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>AI itself can be treated as experimental apparatus rather than an oracle.</p></div><p>All of that can push accountability a long way. <strong>It cannot supply its own final stopping condition.</strong></p><p>Eventually the recursion reaches a person who discovers an entry that counts against himself:</p><ul><li><p>He may possess a legal entitlement he should not exercise.</p></li><li><p>He may discover that an accusation he sincerely believed is unsupported.</p></li><li><p>He may owe restitution that nobody has the power to compel.</p></li><li><p>He may have won according to one ledger while knowing that another remains badly out of balance.</p></li><li><p>No further database solves that problem, nor does another layer of surveillance.</p></li></ul><p>This is why the article&#8217;s move into the spiritual at the end is not a departure from its systems argument. It is where the systems argument runs out.</p><p>Martin calls the missing capacity <strong>the machinery of repentance</strong>.</p><p>That is a striking phrase because repentance is itself a form of accounting. It means allowing an adverse entry to remain in your own books rather than finding a convenient transformation that makes it disappear. It means being willing to reconcile the account when the reconciliation costs you something.</p><p>Technology can make discrepancies visible. Law can constrain permissible action. Institutions can adjudicate competing claims. AI can help inspect all three.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>None can make a person want the books to balance honestly.</p></div><h3><strong>What the unbalanced books reveal</strong></h3><p>The earlier companions began with a farmhouse because a farmhouse gave us something comparatively stubborn against which to test a representation. From there the investigation moved into transformations, recognition and type conversion.</p><p>The latest article adds another layer without displacing any of those:</p><ul><li><p>Sometimes the fact is wrong.</p></li><li><p>Sometimes the transformation applied to it is wrong.</p></li><li><p>Sometimes the system has recognised the wrong kind of object.</p></li><li><p>Sometimes an illicit cast allows perfectly valid downstream machinery to operate on something that should never have entered it in that form.</p></li></ul><p>And sometimes <em>none</em> of those things has happened.</p><p>The facts can be true, the type right, the rule real, the procedure valid and the arithmetic perfectly balanced. The error can lie in allowing the result from one system of account to settle another.</p><p><strong>That is the new object worth auditing.</strong></p><p>It also suggests why increasingly powerful tools of transparency will not, by themselves, produce a just society. We may become exceptionally good at preserving the entries while remaining surprisingly bad at deciding what follows from them.</p><p>The next generation of accountability machinery therefore has to inspect more than facts and rules. It has to inspect the transformations by which facts acquire institutional meaning, and the mappings by which conclusions migrate from one ledger into another.</p><p>Earlier we learned to audit the cast before auditing the function. Now there is another instruction:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Audit the mapping before accepting the balance.</strong></p></blockquote><p>The discrepancy may not be in any of the books.</p><p>It may lie entirely in the way they have been consolidated.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Takedown of the criminal-industrial complex]]></title><description><![CDATA[Who audits the auditors? AI is giving ordinary people the &#8220;digital arms&#8221; to investigate institutional fraud for themselves. Professional oversight is no longer enough&#8212;but citizens need auditing too.]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/takedown-of-the-criminal-industrial</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/takedown-of-the-criminal-industrial</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2026 12:50:23 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png 1272w, 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2407964,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/214865068?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J5Ha!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff11257a3-a4a1-41d0-ae1b-f4840494d1f4_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I anticipate that this article will at some point be overtaken by historical events. If I have read the tea leaves at the bottom of my china cup correctly, a &#8220;mother of all societal cleanups&#8221; is coming, exact timing TBD. My reading of events is that the high end of global networks of cartels and traffickers is already being addressed, quietly and mostly out of public sight. That still leaves a vast body of compromised apparatchiks and low-level grifters who have been bleeding our world dry.</p><p><strong>I believe justice is coming &#8212; at scale.</strong></p><p><em>If I am wrong about the scale or timing of that cleanup, the argument that follows still stands, only stronger.</em></p><h3>A cleanup is not enough</h3><p>Even the most comprehensive cleanup would leave a residue of corruption from which the old patterns could regrow. Move every transaction onto a transparent and immutable blockchain; rigorously enforce the law on identity and accounting procedure; punish breaches of trust and duties of care&#8212;and still the self-serving will seek advantage over everyone else.</p><p><strong>There will never be a final victory in which corruption simply disappears. Society therefore needs a permanent immune system.</strong></p><p>That means distributing the means of accountability. Ordinary people need the practical ability to preserve evidence, reconcile records, expose contradictions, trace transactions, challenge false institutional narratives, and place defensible findings into the public domain.</p><p><strong>The answer to permanent human fallibility is permanent auditability.</strong></p><p>We cannot abolish the self-serving. We can make predation harder to conceal, collusion harder to sustain, fraud cheaper to expose, and institutional lies more dangerous to tell. Corruption can only be contained by constant vigilance&#8212;and increasingly, that vigilance will be digitally armed.</p><p>By &#8220;digital arms&#8221; I mean the lawful tools of evidential self-defence: recording, preservation, search, timeline reconstruction, financial reconciliation, contradiction detection, adversarial analysis, and publication. AI radically reduces the expertise and labour previously needed to wield them.</p><p><strong>What once required a law firm, investigative newsroom, regulator, or intelligence unit can increasingly be attempted by an ordinary person&#8212;for good or evil purposes.</strong></p><p>Hence audit technology cannot be the final answer, however important a part it has to play.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The wounded auditor</h3><p>The problem is not merely one of databases, evidence and clever technology for spotting discrepancies. I have lived through multiple institutional malfunctions. My whole &#8220;ghost court&#8221; escapade in Cumbria unfolded against the backdrop of a horrendous concurrent family situation that I was helping to manage in America.</p><p><strong>The trauma of one fed into the other.</strong></p><p>In that context, the most basic forensic task&#8212;assembling documents into a timeline&#8212;can itself require you to push through unresolved trauma. Open the letter. Revisit the event. Find the earlier email. Read the allegation again. Compare it with the order. Work out what happened next. Repeat.</p><p><strong>Half that battle is overcoming the &#8220;freeze-up&#8221; of a nervous system that has learnt to experience the material itself as a threat.</strong></p><p>Victims of institutional wrongdoing can therefore be at their weakest precisely when the system demands that they become their own investigators, archivists, advocates and project managers. That problem is especially acute in the social fallout from the Covid era, when many people emerged with damaged finances, fractured relationships, disrupted lives and profoundly diminished trust in public institutions.</p><p>This is where AI offers something qualitatively new. It is not merely an investigative tool for finding discrepancies faster. It can become a <strong>cognitive exoskeleton for the wounded auditor</strong>, taking on some of the burden of remembering, organising, comparing and revisiting material that the human being may find painful even to confront.</p><p>I have reached the point where I sigh with relief whenever I look in my mailbox and find it empty.</p><p><strong>That is not a healthy relationship between citizen and state.</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>I increasingly refuse to participate voluntarily in administrative schemes that I regard as predatory or illegitimate.</p><p>Clean-air charging regimes are one example: where I see environmental justification being used to normalise surveillance, restriction and revenue collection around ordinary movement, my instinct is no longer to presume benign administration and comply unthinkingly. It is to demand that the claimed authority, necessity, proportionality and use of the resulting powers be demonstrated.</p><p>Others will draw those boundaries differently. That is not the essential point.</p><p>The essential point is what happens when institutional trust has been exhausted. Every brown envelope acquires the accumulated weight of the ones before it. A demand that might once have been treated as routine administration is instead received as a potential threat requiring investigation.</p><p><strong>The cognitive cost of citizenship rises.</strong></p><p>Statutory authority answers whether the state <em>may</em> act. It does not, by itself, answer whether a <em>particular</em> exercise of that authority was necessary, proportionate, honest, competent, or directed towards its proper purpose.</p><p>This is why institutional legitimacy cannot consist merely in possessing statutory powers. A state demanding obedience while insulating its own failures from meaningful scrutiny consumes the trust on which inexpensive government depends. Eventually compliance has to be obtained through ever more monitoring, penalties, enforcement and compulsion because voluntary legitimacy has been spent.</p><p><strong>None of this requires believing that the state itself is illegitimate.</strong></p><p>I do not. Courts, public administration, taxation and collective infrastructure are necessary features of a complex society. The distinction I want to make is between the legitimate functions of the state and criminality that can become embedded within, adjacent to, or protected by its machinery.</p><p><strong>If such a criminal wing exists, the answer is not to destroy the organism.</strong></p><p>It is to identify the diseased tissue, establish what actually happened, hold individuals to account under due process, repair the institutional mechanisms that protected them, and pare the corruption away.</p><p>And then comes the harder part: stopping it from growing back.</p><div><hr></div><h3>Accountability is a two-way street</h3><p>Here comes the catch. The public are not necessarily any more virtuous than their public servants. Indeed, often quite the reverse.</p><p>An honest family-law judge can diligently weigh contradictory evidence in an appallingly difficult case, make the best decision available, and still be accused of bias by the losing party.</p><p>A traffic officer can conduct a lawful stop and subsequently encounter a narcissistic and entitled driver determined to manufacture misconduct.</p><p>A genuine criminal can writhe and twist through every available procedural opening, generating allegations, appeals and complaints whose purpose is not accountability but delay and evasion.</p><p><strong>Giving such people AI does not make them honest. It makes them dangerous.</strong></p><p>&#8220;Digital arms&#8221; therefore cannot mean democratising the ability to manufacture plausible accusations faster than institutions can answer them. That would simply create another form of asymmetric warfare&#8212;and eventually make conscientious public service impossible.</p><p><strong>The public must be audited too.</strong></p><p>What we need is something closer to a meta-audit of the relationship between citizen and state:</p><ul><li><p>What may we reasonably demand from an institution?</p></li><li><p>What constitutes evidence of malfunction rather than merely an outcome we dislike?</p></li><li><p>Which errors indicate negligence or corruption, and which belong to the unavoidable residue of human judgement?</p></li><li><p>At what point does persistent scrutiny become harassment?</p></li><li><p>Conversely, at what point does institutional resistance to scrutiny become evidence in its own right?</p></li></ul><p>Systems engineering offers a useful concept here: the <strong>predictable region of operation</strong>.</p><p>No serious engineer demands that a system perform perfectly under every imaginable combination of circumstances. We establish an operating envelope within which specified behaviour can reasonably be expected, identify known failure modes, build mechanisms for detecting excursions, and provide ways to recover when things go wrong.</p><p><strong>The administrative state deserves the same intellectual fairness.</strong></p><p>Courts cannot guarantee that every factual finding is correct. Police cannot prevent every crime. Doctors cannot save every patient. Regulators cannot anticipate every fraud.</p><p>Human beings will misunderstand one another, witnesses will remember events differently, documents will go missing, professionals will make mistakes, and occasionally several individually reasonable decisions will combine to produce a disastrous result.</p><p><strong>None of that, by itself, establishes corruption.</strong></p><p>The proper question is whether the system remained within its legitimate and predictable operating envelope:</p><ul><li><p>Were the rules knowable?</p></li><li><p>Was relevant evidence considered?</p></li><li><p>Were powers exercised for their stated purposes?</p></li><li><p>Were conflicts disclosed?</p></li><li><p>Can the decision be reconstructed afterwards?</p></li><li><p>Was meaningful correction available?</p></li><li><p>Did those responsible act honestly within the discretion entrusted to them?</p></li></ul><p>And the same disciplines must apply to the citizen making the accusation:</p><ul><li><p>Did we preserve contrary evidence as carefully as favourable evidence?</p></li><li><p>Did we distinguish what we know from what we infer?</p></li><li><p>Have we tried to falsify our own theory?</p></li><li><p>Are we demanding a standard of institutional perfection that no human organisation could satisfy?</p></li><li><p>Would we accept the same reasoning if it supported the other side?</p></li></ul><p>These are not concessions to institutional power. They are what make public audit credible.</p><p><strong>Accountability is a two-way street.</strong></p><p>The state must not convert authority into impunity, while the citizen must not convert accountability into persecution. The purpose of digital arms is not to ensure that everyone can win every dispute with authority. It is to make departures from legitimate process easier to detect, demonstrate, correct and&#8212;where necessary&#8212;punish.</p><p>We are not engineering a world without human failure and misadventure.</p><p>We are engineering one in which honest failure can be distinguished, as reliably as possible, from abuse.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The unbalanced books</h3><p>As its name suggests, accountability is ultimately a form of accountancy.</p><p>I do not mean that everything reduces to money. I mean that human affairs take place across multiple notional ledgers, upon which events are recorded and where irreconcilable entries eventually demand explanation.</p><p>Consider a divorce:</p><ul><li><p>There is a <strong>cost-based ledger</strong>: income, debts, property, transfers and assets to distribute.</p></li><li><p>There is a <strong>contractual ledger</strong> in the broad sense, encompassing positive law: rights, duties, agreements, jurisdiction and the equitable relief available to the court.</p></li><li><p>Behind both sits the <strong>covenantal ledger</strong> that no accountant or judge can completely capture: who behaved honourably, who sacrificed, who deceived, who inflicted harm, and what would actually constitute a righteous outcome.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Justice does not require these ledgers to be identical. It does require that they not be forced grotesquely apart.</strong></p><p>Indeed, some of the worst injustices can appear perfectly legal. That is part of what makes them so durable. Once an outcome has been clothed in statutory authority, contractual consent, procedural regularity or judicial approval, legality itself can become a shield against reopening the underlying moral account.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The contractual ledger says: permitted.<br>The covenantal ledger may still say: wrong.</p></div><p>Yet forcing them apart is exactly the game that dishonest people learn to play:</p><ul><li><p>A technically permissible transaction can conceal an inequitable purpose.</p></li><li><p>A procedurally valid act can generate a substantively outrageous result.</p></li><li><p>A truthful statement can be selected so as to create a profoundly false impression.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Each individual entry can appear defensible while the consolidated accounts tell another story.</strong></p><p>There is a reason this happens that does not require everyone involved to be wicked. Ordinary human cognition is limited.</p><p>&#8220;I was only following the rules&#8221; has a genuine justification, up to a point. Rules allow us to inherit compromises without reopening every argument that produced them. They make behaviour predictable. They reduce the cognitive cost of cooperation. They let strangers coordinate without renegotiating first principles every morning.</p><p>That is why even tolerably bad rules should ordinarily be followed. The alternative is not instant justice but a regression towards self-help, where everyone becomes legislator, judge and enforcement officer in their own cause.</p><p><strong>But obedience cannot be absolute.</strong></p><p>There comes a point at which procedural regularity cannot discharge moral responsibility for a grotesque violation of innate rights or participation in heinous wrongdoing. No rulebook can perform that moral accounting on our behalf.</p><p>There is an uncomfortable symmetry here too.</p><p>The administrative state does not become inhuman solely because administrators are inhuman. The public places impossible and contradictory demands upon it. People weaponise police, courts, complaints procedures, regulators and family law against one another. They lie. They exaggerate. They conceal evidence.</p><p><strong>They demand intervention when it benefits them and denounce authority when it does not.</strong></p><p>Functionaries encounter this behaviour every working day. They develop shortcuts and defensive routines. They become suspicious. Procedures harden. Discretion contracts. Colleagues protect one another. Eventually mechanisms developed partly to survive public dysfunction can themselves become mechanisms for institutional dysfunction.</p><p><strong>Citizen and state can corrupt one another.</strong></p><p>That observation has become personally uncomfortable for me. Since Covid I have pushed back hard against state authority. Looking backwards, I can identify places where I overreacted or demanded more than an imperfect human institution could reasonably provide. Those entries belong in my ledger. I do not get to erase them because I believe my larger concerns were justified.</p><p>Conversely, I can identify occasions on which I believe institutions did me serious wrong. Acknowledging my own mistakes does not cancel theirs either.</p><p><strong>That is what accounting means.</strong></p><p>The purpose is not to arrange every transaction so that our preferred party always emerges with a credit balance. It is to keep <em>all</em> the books, including the uncomfortable ones, and reconcile them as honestly as humanly possible.</p><p>A civilisation capable of doing that at scale would possess something considerably more valuable than transparency.</p><p>It would possess the machinery of repentance.</p><div><hr></div><h3>After the takedown</h3><p>Let us indulge the optimists for a moment.</p><p>Suppose the system of debt slavery disappears. You no longer owe the state merely for existing on the land, nor surrender a large share of your labour to sustain an administrative machine. Usury and manufactured financial distress cease to be mechanisms for stripping people of their assets. The centralised state contracts to a tenth of its present footprint, with family, church, community, charity and private enterprise recovering functions accumulated by bureaucracy.</p><p>Suppose technology delivers too. AI and robotics abolish much compulsory drudgery. Cheap energy and extraordinary advances in medicine and nanotechnology create forms of abundance that today seem fantastical. Competition for basic resources declines, and with it much of the conflict presently requiring adjudication and state coercion.</p><p>Suppose, even, that the criminal-industrial complex is dismantled while most of us do little more heroic than hold the line as forces beyond our ken perform the heavy lifting.</p><p>Then what?</p><p><strong>We are still left with an engineering problem.</strong></p><p>Human affairs must somehow reconcile at least three different kinds of ledger:</p><ul><li><p>There is the <strong>covenantal ledger</strong>: what is right; what we owe one another by virtue of our humanity and relationships; the realm for which natural law provides a useful proxy.</p></li><li><p>There is the <strong>contractual ledger</strong>: what we actually promised, which rules we agreed to live under, which powers we delegated to institutions, and where the boundaries of those agreements and delegations lie.</p></li><li><p>And there is the <strong>cost-based ledger</strong>: who contributed what, who consumed what, who damaged what, who received what, and who should ultimately bear the material burden.</p></li></ul><p>These ledgers overlap, but they are not interchangeable:</p><ul><li><p>Something can be contractually permissible and covenantally repugnant.</p></li><li><p>Something can be covenantally desirable while exceeding the legitimate authority of the institution being asked to provide it.</p></li><li><p>A financial balance can be arithmetically impeccable while arising from an exploitative transaction.</p></li><li><p>A person can suffer a genuine loss without thereby acquiring an unlimited claim upon everyone else to make it good.</p></li></ul><p><strong>This is where sophisticated corruption lives.</strong></p><p>The crudest thief falsifies the entries. The cunning predator manipulates the relationship between the books.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>He converts legal permission into moral innocence.<br>She converts genuine victimhood into an unlimited entitlement.<br>An institution converts procedural regularity into substantive legitimacy.<br>A government converts a desirable collective objective into authority it was never granted.</em></p><p><strong>The books can each appear internally correct while the consolidated accounts are fraudulent.</strong></p><p>The crucial audit problem is therefore not merely whether the entries are correct, but whether the transformations between ledgers are legitimate. An immutable ledger can preserve a fraudulent transformation perfectly.</p><p><strong>Corruption can therefore appear first as an illegitimate conversion between ledgers, long before anyone recognises it as a wrong, let alone a crime.</strong></p><p>Perhaps that is how a criminal-industrial complex grows without most of its participants ever experiencing themselves as criminals. Each person maintains one ledger while assuming that somebody else is reconciling the whole.</p><p>Nobody is.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The final constraint is spiritual</h3><p>And this is why even the most spectacular societal cleanup cannot finally solve the problem. We can replace institutions, prosecute criminals, expose fraud, decentralise authority and make transactions transparent. We can place records on immutable ledgers and deploy artificial intelligence to inspect them continuously.</p><p><strong>But technology cannot finally decide what ought to be entered in the books, or which transformations between them are just.</strong></p><p>A civilisation must cultivate people willing to record an entry against themselves; willing to recognise an obligation they could technically evade; willing not to exercise a power merely because they possess it; willing to distinguish restitution from revenge; willing to accept an adverse outcome when the process was fair; and willing to reopen the books when evidence shows that it was not.</p><p>Technology can make discrepancies visible. Law can specify permissible transformations. Institutions can reconcile competing claims. AI can audit the resulting machinery.</p><p><strong>None can supply the desire to be just.</strong></p><p>So perhaps the real task after the takedown is not constructing a world in which corruption becomes impossible. Such a world cannot exist while human beings remain human.</p><p>It is constructing a world in which the covenantal, contractual and cost-based ledgers cannot easily be forced apart&#8212;and cultivating people who do not want to force them apart in the first place.</p><p>The first is an engineering problem.</p><p>The second is a spiritual one.</p><p>We will need to solve both.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The state needs auditing.<br>The auditor needs auditing.<br>The rules need auditing.<br>The mappings between the ledgers need auditing.<br>And finally, the person holding the audit tool must be willing to audit himself.</p></div><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[From conspiracy theories to consequence theories]]></title><description><![CDATA[Who audits the transformation of reality? The missing engineering discipline between reality, recognition, and action.]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/from-conspiracy-theories-to-consequence</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/from-conspiracy-theories-to-consequence</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 05 Sep 2026 20:57:40 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1908781,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/214284189?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noPA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0be02d9-7d6e-427c-bfa7-b2dce283370c_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>We will come to the chart above later. Meanwhile&#8230;</em></p><p>Many of us will be familiar with the claims that the state uses all kinds of sleights-of-hand to expand its power over sovereign individuals, diminish our constitutional standing, and infringe upon inalienable rights. Claimed mechanisms include hidden birth trusts, linguistic games, doppelg&#228;nger legal fictions, status conversions, and unrebutted presumptions.</p><p>Ask a bureaucrat whether some obscure status conversion is real and you are likely to be told that it is a conspiracy theory or &#8220;pseudolaw&#8221;, because recognised legal authorities reject it. Push back hard enough with morality and natural law, and you might even earn yourself a &#8220;freeman of the land&#8221; badge.</p><p>Yet the challenge may concern those very authorities, the categories they recognise, and the standing that follows from them. Their justificatory answer may therefore back-feed outputs from the system being questioned as evidence of the validity of the system that produced them.</p><p><strong>The problem is circular.</strong></p><div class="pullquote"><p>You have to pay property taxes because the state says so.<br>But what gave the state a higher standing to make you pay to exist? </p></div><p>&#8220;The legitimacy of the tax is established by the fact that people pay it&#8221; establishes no such thing. At most, it proves that the demand is successfully enforced. Completed enforcement and legitimate authority are not identical; without an independent foundation for the latter, the same reasoning could validate extortion.</p><h3>The problem of counterfeit ancestry</h3><p>Let&#8217;s unpack this teaching case of property taxes further, not because the specific issue particularly interests us, but because it exposes the more general problem of causality.</p><p>There is a real-reality: you were physically born in a particular jurisdiction, an innocent baby who agreed to no debt or lien. An infant is incapable of paying taxes, and a law that attempted to levy them would be disconnected from reality and unenforceable. Just try taxing a two-year-old by removing their toys! It doesn&#8217;t end well. They are the most hardcore anti-tax protestors! Real-reality would triumph without a contest.</p><p>At some point as you grew up, there was a change in recognition; you put your childhood toys aside (big mistake!) and became a &#8220;resident taxpayer&#8221;. Your shelter in your land of birth can require you to go work for the state before you earn anything for yourself. &#8220;We need to pay for roads, schools, and social care&#8221; is offered as the explanation, and no doubt those state services do indeed exist. The point is, <em>something</em> happened between you being two and fifty-two.</p><p><strong>What </strong><em><strong>exactly</strong></em><strong> happened?</strong></p><p>This is not a normative argument against property taxes, but a structural inquiry: what is <em>really</em> going on here? A baby is genuinely distinct from a working adult in real-reality, and that distinction <em>may</em> warrant different treatment in official-reality. But how far can the distinction legitimately carry us? At what point has it done all the justificatory work it can afford, while officialdom continues debiting consequences from it?</p><div class="pullquote"><p>When is the &#8220;moral credit&#8221; from the distinction exhausted, so that every further consequence charged against it creates a kind of justificatory debt?</p></div><p>Taking babies versus adults is somewhat too easy of a rhetorical contrast, so let&#8217;s take something where the distinction is less extreme.</p><p>Consider also the mundane category of &#8220;driver&#8221;. Modern law tells us that driving on a road is a licensed activity. That wasn&#8217;t always the case, nor was it always attached to a test for competence and safety. In the UK, the conceptual origins of driver licensing trace back to steam locomotives and the danger and damage they could cause. The distinction from a horse and cart was real at the time.</p><p>But suppose the question being asked is precisely how an ordinary member of the public, historically entitled to pass along the highway &#8220;without let or hindrance&#8221;, came to be recognised as a licence-dependent DRIVER (in caps to emphasise that it is a label, not a God-given status) when using a motorised conveyance.</p><p>What series of transformations got us from:</p><ul><li><p>giant steam traction engines under the Locomotives Act 1865,</p></li><li><p>through the Motor Car Act 1903 and its system of driver licensing,</p></li><li><p>through the Road Traffic Act 1930 and the further development of the motor-vehicle licensing regime,</p></li><li><p>to the modern position in which driving a motor vehicle on a road without the appropriate licence is itself an offence under the Road Traffic Act 1988?</p></li></ul><p><em>How did the regulation of unusually dangerous machinery evolve into a blanket requirement for state permission to travel by ordinary motor vehicle?</em></p><p><em>And how did the absence of that permission itself become an offence, even where no public loss, injury or harm had occurred?</em></p><p>Answering &#8220;because the law requires drivers to be licensed&#8221; again merely reasons from the downstream category whose genealogy is under examination. It describes the <em>present legal position</em>, but does not reconstruct <em>the transformation that produced it</em>, much less <em>establish its legitimacy</em>. The question of <em>how</em> motorised passers-by became drivers precedes any particular legal &#8220;trickery&#8221; mechanism engaged, if at all.</p><h3>When reasoning begins too late</h3><p>The AI&#8217;s reasoning, just like our own, can therefore quite easily begin <em>after</em> the disputed categorical transformation &#8212; from &#8220;traveller in a carriage&#8221; to &#8220;car driver&#8221;, for instance. The answer to the challenge is thereby surreptitiously imported: reasoning begins inside the very category being questioned. Current official recognition is then used to certify its own ancestry.</p><p><strong>This kind of error is subtle and hard to detect: you can reason impeccably about the wrong thing.</strong></p><p>Indeed, the more intelligence applied, the more elaborate the justifications that can conceal the hidden semantic feedback loop, and the harder it may become to perceive.<em>&#8220;The state is entitled to this power because it successfully took it from you&#8221;</em> is obviously wrong when laid out cleanly, but tough to spot in pages of legalese.</p><p>And it is not limited to government paperwork.</p><p>The same structural error can arise in Biblical hermeneutics. &#8220;The text means X because tradition says it means X, and the tradition is authoritative because it faithfully preserves the meaning of the text&#8221; has the same circular form.</p><p>In both cases, the disputed descendant is being used to certify its own ancestry.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>In more formal terms: rigorous epistemology cannot rescue reasoning performed inside a corrupted ontology.</p></div><p>Over the last year or two, I have been developing a reasoning framework intended to go beneath all such claims, whether ultimately valid or invalid, and ask a more basic question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Can we still locate reality in the labyrinth of official decisions and acts?</strong></p></blockquote><p>I produced the initial version of the chart above yesterday for my own edification, to understand better the relationship between the various AI tools I have been creating during my personal quests into law and justice. Each addresses some aspect of how reality is attached or attenuated. As it happens, I am still creating new tools, and the diagram does not even capture everything I have already made.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>&#8212; This article is </strong><em><strong>not</strong></em><strong> about those tools. &#8212;</strong></p><p>Its purpose is to describe the universal problem rather than my particular answer to it:</p><ul><li><p>What happens between <em>real reality</em> and <em>official reality</em>?</p></li><li><p>What transformations take place along the way?</p></li><li><p>How can we tell when necessary abstraction has become distortion?</p></li><li><p>When does official recognition become self-validation of unreality?</p></li><li><p>How can an apparently legitimate sequence of institutional operations become something very different when composed as a whole?</p></li></ul><p>And, most importantly:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What would a tool need to be able to see in order to audit that gap between an &#8220;unreal official reality&#8221; and a &#8220;real unofficial unreality&#8221;?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Conspiracy theories are entertaining enough, but we are in the business of constructing <em>consequence theories</em>. I don&#8217;t particularly care whether your favourite sovereign citizen bonded-servant theory is true. I want to know whether the symbols correspond to reality.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Start with reality.<br>Show me the transformations.<br>Verify their consequences.</p></div><h3>From consequence theories to an engineering discipline</h3><p>My proposal is there is a novel domain that is a kind of engineering for symbolic systems of governance. Like any engineering discipline, it seeks both to construct &#8220;success modes&#8221; (e.g. cars can pass over a river via a bridge) and constrain &#8220;failure modes&#8221; (e.g. the bridge doesn&#8217;t collapse in a storm). For completeness, I have reviewed the bigger problem in a series of past articles:</p><ul><li><p><strong><a href="http://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/from-q-to-r-a-science-of-reconstructability">&#8710;R/reconstructability</a></strong> asked whether a governance system still preserves a recoverable path from its outputs back to the reality from which they arose.</p></li><li><p><strong><a href="http://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/civilisation-engineering-a-rough">Civilisation Engineering</a></strong> looked at the runtime behaviour of large-scale systems and how they deform under pressure.</p></li><li><p><strong><a href="http://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/civilisation-attenuation-and-synthetic">Civilisation Attenuation and Synthetic Success</a></strong> explored how institutions simulate successful outputs even while their grounding deteriorates.</p></li><li><p><strong><a href="http://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/the-general-prolegomena">The General Prolegomena</a></strong> moved even further upstream: before asking whether any proposition is correct, are categories meaningfully attached to reality at all?</p></li><li><p><strong><a href="http://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/recognition-is-not-enough">Recognition&#8211;Reconstruction</a></strong> added another piece: is any piece of the chain where reality is compressed into recognition traceable back to its source?</p></li></ul><p><strong>What I had not clearly seen was that these were different views of a larger engineering object that is, it seems, under-articulated at present.</strong></p><p>A bridge engineer takes an antecedent reality &#8212; a river estuary, past lessons from building bridges, known properties of structural materials, available supplies in that locality &#8212; and defines a series of transformations that turns them into a bridge. Those transformations work with loads, materials, geometry and physical consequences.</p><p><strong>Crucially, the finished bridge does not validate the transformations that produced it.</strong></p><p>The fact that it is standing <em>today</em> does not prove that its foundations are adequate, its materials are sound, its load assumptions correct, or that it will survive <em>tomorrow&#8217;s</em> storm. Each transformation has to remain answerable to the reality upon which it depends. The very essence of safety engineering is that reality has the final say, not paperwork.</p><p><strong>Symbolic systems of governance have an analogous engineering problem.</strong></p><p>They take an antecedent reality &#8212; people, events, evidence, relationships, resources, rights, harms, obligations &#8212; and progressively transform it into <em>recognised objects</em> upon which the system can act <strong>with real-world consequences</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>A <em>human being</em> becomes a car <strong>DRIVER</strong>.</p></li><li><p>A <em>car&#8217;s emission of fumes</em> becomes a <strong>regulatory vehicle classification</strong>.</p></li><li><p>An <em>allegation of non-payment</em> of a clean air zone charge becomes a <strong>finding</strong>.</p></li><li><p>A <em>finding of breach of the rules</em> becomes a <strong>liability to pay a penalty</strong>.</p></li><li><p>That <em>liability</em> becomes an <strong>enforceable debt</strong>.</p></li></ul><p>Unlike concrete and steel, however, these transformations happen largely in symbols. Yet their effects return to the physical world, sometimes changing lives profoundly.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>Money is taken.<br>Movement is restricted.<br>Children change homes.<br>Property changes hands.<br>People are imprisoned.<br>Lasting records are created.</em></p><p>And those newly created realities can become inputs to the next round of symbolic transformation, and our lives become ever-more subjected to (often warped) symbols that may or may not be capable of holding the load reality places upon them.</p><p>Round and round we go, transforming reality into symbols, and symbols back into reality.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>So what is the engineering discipline for making those consequential transformations safe?</p></div><p>I hope you are having the same &#8220;oh, cr*p&#8221; moment as I did.</p><p><em><strong>There isn&#8217;t one.</strong></em></p><p><em>At least not as a single, coherent, rigorous field that recognises itself as a form of safety-critical engineering for bureaucracy.</em></p><p>And yet our whole society runs on symbol-transformations from one reality into the next.</p><p><em>How can this be?</em></p><p>No, really: <em><strong>how on earth can this be?</strong></em></p><h3>The strange physics of symbolic systems</h3><p>Well, if we focus just on the technical problem, the issue begins with the very substrate upon which we operate. A bridge across a river needs load-bearing bedrock or deep foundations piled into the ground; everything stands upon that physical base. When an earthquake hits, the bridge itself has to bend and sway. But unless the structure fails at the component level, the ultimate bearer of the system load is always the physical foundation.</p><p>Symbols don&#8217;t work quite the same way, even though they have the equivalent of a physics. We start with reality as the thing that has to bear the foundational load. That reality is transformed into symbols; those symbols into recognised objects; those recognised objects into rights, duties, powers and burdens; those, in turn, into actions. Finally, those actions alter reality again.</p><p><strong>The substrate therefore has a peculiar looping relationship with the structure built upon it.</strong></p><p>Every symbol is lossy in some way: it omits some of reality and may bring in some unreality of its own. The engineering problem, therefore, is not merely whether the individual symbols are true (or &#8220;true enough&#8221;) in isolation. It is whether each transformation, and the still more lossy composition of those transformations, can transmit the eventual operational load in the &#8220;terminating reality&#8221; all the way back to foundations in the &#8220;originating reality&#8221; capable of bearing it.</p><p>And because the resulting actions alter reality itself, the system must do this without allowing its own consequences to become counterfeit foundations for the symbols that produced them. That&#8217;s the catch: there is a temptation to bootstrap the justification for anything, no matter how outrageous, simply by forcing it upon reality, then declaring the <em>fait accompli</em> a moral vindication.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Treating the output as justification for the transformation that produced it &#8212; by feeding it back as an input &#8212; is cheating!</p></div><p>The question is whether those transformations of an input reality, composed together, can support the consequence eventually placed upon them in the output reality &#8212; <strong>without cheating</strong>.</p><p><em>(It&#8217;s the cheating that&#8217;s the gotcha. Otherwise it&#8217;s easy!)</em></p><p><em>(And cheating is cheaper than engineering.)</em></p><p><em>(Hence we have a lot of cheating.)</em></p><p><em>(And a missing discipline.)</em></p><p><em>(Oops!)</em></p><h3>When feedback becomes cheating</h3><p>This cheating phenomenon is worth studying, as there isn&#8217;t really an equivalent in &#8220;atomic&#8221; engineering disciplines. Indeed, the defining difficulty with failures in symbolic systems is that everything can look normal; there is no wreckage to examine when they fail at some deep ontological level. Once we understand what cheating actually is, and why it is so attractive, we can begin to tame it.</p><p>As noted above, every symbol is necessarily lossy. Reality has to be compressed to become tractable; the engineering problem is not abstraction itself, but whether that abstraction remains sufficiently attached to reality for the consequences it is made to bear.</p><p>Nor is feedback itself cheating. Outputs becoming new inputs is ordinary life. The cheating begins when the resulting state of reality is used to justify the transformation that produced it.</p><p>Let&#8217;s make this a bit more concrete, to get the point over. The state cannot simply ban children from playing in the street; there has to be a reason &#8212; and that reason cannot be:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;There are no children playing in the street because we banned it, so the ban is plainly an unobjectionable safety improvement &#8212; and look how few children now get in the way of cars. It must be a great idea!&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>There had to be <em>some</em> intermediate operation that recognised categories such as &#8220;traveller&#8221; and &#8220;juvenile&#8221;, weighed their respective rights and duties, and justified the resulting restriction &#8212; even if it did <em>all</em> of those things badly, even maliciously.</p><p>Likewise, a man falsely accused of domestic violence by his wife might be apprehended by police who initially take her at her word. His surprise and shock at his treatment may then be interpreted as resistance, which in turn justifies further force. The consequence of the first transformation has become evidence supporting the next.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Cheating is when the outcome becomes the justification for the transformation.</p></div><h3>Five tests for consequential recognition</h3><p>Now we can start to see why this domain has been resistant to engineering principles. With a bridge, the starting position is &#8220;no bridge&#8221;. With governance, we don&#8217;t get a clean sheet of &#8220;no reality&#8221; &#8212; and reality is about as messy as anything can be. Nobody wants to be responsible for the whole of reality!</p><p>So we have to isolate accountability for the symbolic and paperwork transformations from responsibility for the underlying objects being managed through the consequences of those transformations. Otherwise every judge, administrator, law-enforcement officer, tax assessor and civil servant takes on the burden of every piece of bad behaviour everywhere. That&#8217;s a non-starter.</p><p>Their job, done properly, is much narrower:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Encode reality faithfully, transform it according to remit, and transmit the outcome into consequences.</strong></p></blockquote><p>This is tractable, as long as the remit is kept small enough.</p><p>The boundaries of this potential new domain can now be defined:</p><ul><li><p>We don&#8217;t need to solve the metaphysical problem of &#8220;reality&#8221;; we need only establish enough of it to make the distinctions that matter &#8212; for example, &#8220;speeding&#8221; from &#8220;not speeding&#8221; &#8212; and to detect and correct drift from those distinctions. This is the <strong>reality test</strong>.</p></li><li><p>Those distinctions must compress reality into symbols without becoming detached from what they represent. A &#8220;car derived van&#8221; used privately for domestic use is not a &#8220;commercial vehicle&#8221;, even if marketed to businesses. This is the <strong>faithfulness test</strong>.</p></li><li><p>Each distinction &#8212; for example, &#8220;guilty&#8221; versus &#8220;not proven&#8221; &#8212; must justify only those consequences whose operational load it can bear. This is the <strong>remit test</strong>.</p></li><li><p>The output must not become self-validating, like our ban on children in streets; provenance must retain meaning; burdens must move only with justification; and mismatches must trigger correction rather than rationalisation. This is the <strong>&#8220;no cheating&#8221; test</strong>.</p></li><li><p>Finally, the system must remain corrigible. Corrupted objects, overloaded distinctions, proxy substitution, unwarranted force, burden displacement and provenance loss must remain detectable and capable of correction. This is the <strong>corrigibility test</strong>.</p></li></ul><p><strong>That is beginning to look less like a collection of jurisprudential techniques and more like an engineering discipline for consequential symbolic systems.</strong></p><h3>Where the new discipline sits</h3><p>All the ideas being presented are already well-established; it is their combination where novelty may lie. Hence the domain is not law, jurisprudence, epistemology, systems theory, institutional economics, AI alignment, or semiotics, but somewhere in the gaps between them. Nor is it &#8220;conspiracy theory detection&#8221;, &#8220;government accountability&#8221;, or even institutional corruption.</p><p>It begins before conventional reasoning about an accepted object:</p><blockquote><p><strong>reality &#8594; selection &#8594; distinction &#8594; recognition &#8594; object</strong></p></blockquote><p>and continues after recognition becomes consequential:</p><blockquote><p><strong>object &#8594; force &#8594; status/authority &#8594; action &#8594; descendant reality</strong></p></blockquote><p>with the crucial recursion:</p><blockquote><p><strong>descendant reality &#8594; new input</strong></p></blockquote><p>So the domain isn&#8217;t simply the gap between real reality and official reality. It is the entire consequential conversion loop between them.</p><p>This matters enormously, because what is being proposed is distinct from the domains it operates within:</p><ul><li><p>We aren&#8217;t principally asking whether a statute was correctly interpreted. <strong>That&#8217;s legal analysis.</strong></p></li><li><p>We aren&#8217;t principally asking whether proposition P is true. <strong>That&#8217;s epistemology.</strong></p></li><li><p>We aren&#8217;t principally asking whether institution X is legitimate. <strong>That&#8217;s political philosophy and jurisprudence.</strong></p></li><li><p>We aren&#8217;t principally asking what incentives explain institutional behaviour. <strong>That&#8217;s economics and sociology.</strong></p></li><li><p>We aren&#8217;t principally asking whether a classification algorithm is accurate. <strong>That&#8217;s statistics and machine learning.</strong></p></li><li><p>We aren&#8217;t principally asking whether a system is stable or controllable. <strong>That&#8217;s systems and control theory.</strong></p></li></ul><p>All of those disciplines can supply evidence and methods.</p><p>Our question cuts across them:</p><blockquote><p><strong>How did </strong><em><strong>this</strong></em><strong> reality become </strong><em><strong>this</strong></em><strong> consequential object, what transformations occurred along the way, what warrants them, what did they cause, and can reality still correct the resulting computation?</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is a remarkably specific object of inquiry.</p><p>And there is an essential safeguard. <strong>&#8220;Real reality&#8221; cannot simply mean my preferred account of events.</strong> Any adequate method must be capable of concluding that the official representation is sufficiently faithful and that no material failure has been established.</p><p>Otherwise we have merely built another self-validating official reality.</p><p>Like your broadband Internet connection, this is about  &#8220;good enough, often enough, with few enough bad experiences&#8221;. Not perfection.</p><h3>The hole between the disciplines</h3><p>There appears to be no generally adopted discipline whose primary object is the end-to-end transformation described earlier. That is a much narrower and more defensible novelty claim than saying nobody has studied any of its components:</p><ul><li><p>A lawyer can tell us whether a decision had statutory authority.</p></li><li><p>An epistemologist can ask whether its factual premises were warranted.</p></li><li><p>An economist can explain the incentives it created.</p></li><li><p>An engineer can measure the accuracy of its proxy.</p></li><li><p>A proceduralist can identify the available appeal.</p></li><li><p>A rights scholar can describe the resulting burden.</p></li></ul><p>They can all be right.</p><p><strong>But whose job is it to reconstruct the entire conversion and ask whether these locally defensible operations compose into a globally defensible consequence?</strong></p><p><em>That is the hole.</em></p><p>It also explains why the problem of the &#8220;<a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/stab-wounds-and-blown-kisses">novel atrocity</a>&#8221; appears here. Nothing grotesque need be visible in any individual operation. The pathology can emerge from their composition.</p><h3>The boundary is consequence, not officialdom</h3><p>There is one further complication. The field isn&#8217;t fundamentally about institutions at all.</p><p>An AI system can perform these transformations. So can a corporation, scientific discipline, credit bureau, school, hospital, religion, standards body or social platform. Conceivably, so can an individual cognitive system.</p><p>What qualifies a system for this domain is roughly:</p><blockquote><p><strong>A system encounters reality, constructs an operative representation from it, attaches consequences to that representation, and thereby changes reality.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Once those conditions exist, the problem exists.</p><p>This makes <em>consequence</em> an important boundary condition. A harmless categorisation may be interesting to semiotics or epistemology, but it isn&#8217;t particularly interesting here. Once the category determines whether you may travel, receive treatment, retain custody, obtain credit, keep your money, speak, work or appeal, the transformation has become consequential.</p><p>And once the consequence changes the world, another danger appears. The system may encounter the reality <em>it has itself helped to create</em> and recognise that descendant reality as fresh evidence for the representation that produced it.</p><p>The loop has closed.</p><p>That is why I think <strong>consequential recognition</strong> may be the right provisional name for the domain: each act of recognition triggers consequence theories that have to be validated.</p><div><hr></div><h3>And now&#8230; that architecture diagram!</h3><p>The opening of this article is an architecture diagram that locates my own tools in this nascent space. I promised that I wasn&#8217;t going to write about those tools, and I am keeping that promise. In fact, I am going further: I refuse even to explain the details of the diagram! The point is that such an architecture is <em>thinkable</em>, not that I have hit a hole-in-one and nailed every detail on the first attempt.</p><p>If all you take away is that any representation of reality implies some ontology &#8212; say, one that classifies you as a licence-dependent DRIVER rather than a rights-bearing traveller &#8212; and that upstream processes of orientation and recognition determine which ontology becomes operative, then my job is done. You have seen the structure. You can begin to work with it yourself.</p><p>I am compressing over two years of work into something that would more usually emerge from a research group and a succession of academic publications. I know many of my readers are having fierce battles with authorities because reality has lost its grip on decision-making, resulting in injustice. These are tentative steps to identify where reality is losing ground, in a way that can be abstracted, hence automated.</p><p>My encouragement is to take this whole article and plop it into AI. Have a learning conversation. Ask it what it thinks I am saying, but in terms that fit its knowledge of you. Explore how it might apply to your own interests and fights. My central assertion is that there is a gap, not that I have figured out exactly how to fill it. The persistence of unfairness suggests that the gap matters.</p><p>And that&#8217;s reality!</p><p><em>(Or at least a faithful representation of it.)</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The agitation before the storm]]></title><description><![CDATA[Years of psychological, financial, social, professional, and existential siege have created a &#8220;Leningrad of the mind&#8221; for Anons]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/the-agitation-before-the-storm</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/the-agitation-before-the-storm</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 13:17:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k9bK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa26b573a-f692-461a-ac9c-20fae6953ca2_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k9bK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa26b573a-f692-461a-ac9c-20fae6953ca2_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k9bK!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa26b573a-f692-461a-ac9c-20fae6953ca2_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k9bK!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa26b573a-f692-461a-ac9c-20fae6953ca2_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k9bK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa26b573a-f692-461a-ac9c-20fae6953ca2_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k9bK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa26b573a-f692-461a-ac9c-20fae6953ca2_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k9bK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa26b573a-f692-461a-ac9c-20fae6953ca2_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>You triumph through &#8220;the blood of the Lamb and by the word of [your] testimony&#8221;, it promises in Revelation. In other words, you don&#8217;t need to sacrifice a child to Baal; the ultimate sacrifice has already been made. Nor do you need to wage legal war on the enemy; the principality owns the courts. No need to advance, no need to retreat: hold the line by telling the truth, which has a power of its own.</p><p>No matter how much the Bible has been massaged and modified over centuries to suit hidden agendas, it cannot help but reveal timeless wisdom. What immediately strikes me here is that my testimony can only be handwritten (typed!) by me. I cannot outsource it to generative AI. It is &#8220;the truth&#8221; insofar as it faithfully and accurately represents what I perceive and experience.</p><p>I woke today, after a broken night&#8217;s sleep, to the White House posting a video of plugs in the back of a TV, the analogue fuzz of a signal arriving, and the VCR-era &#8220;Channel 3&#8221; and &#8220;Channel 4&#8221; once used for gaming consoles. To someone steeped in the Q communications grammar, the encoded message is clear enough: a new signal is about to be plugged in, and normal programming displaced. The numbers appear anything but accidental: Q drop 34 and &#8220;My fellow Americans&#8230;&#8221; &#8212; the Republic restored.</p><p>Similar, if less urgent, hints at activation of the Emergency Broadcast System have circulated for weeks and months, likely surrounding the alleged 2020 election fraud as cover for an attempted coup. Inference and intuition tell me that whatever may be coming around the 25th anniversary of the 2001 attacks could be off-the-scale, with no preparation wholly adequate. Anons have been drilled for years: faked WW3 to get everyone home and wake the normies; collapse of the old system; destruction of its icons; revelation of a new financial system and hidden blessings for humanity.</p><p>I cannot, obviously, personally testify to the veracity of claimed plans by a multinational military alliance. My remit extends only to the message I perceive and its effects on my own life. The experience is an oxymoronic &#8220;joyful crushing&#8221;. On one side are endless tangible signs, as I see them, of a benevolent reset displacing a failed dystopian one. You don&#8217;t need to look far to see profound changes underway in the financial system, for instance. On the other is the daily lived reality of siege &#8212; albeit a perplexing and unusual one.</p><div><hr></div><p>The category error is to compare conventional physical siege warfare directly with the invisible domain of cognitive battle. In a real sense, this is a meta-war: the covert machinery that organised and financed previous wars is itself being exposed and dismantled. Participants therefore have an unusual sense of the stakes, and of how much better things might become. The prize is multi-generational peace once the usury machine funding endless war is gone. None of which lessens the immediate pain and angst.</p><p>The public phase of this conflict did not really begin until 2016, with Donald Trump&#8217;s first candidacy for President &#8212; of whatever slightly ambiguous legal entity that office was by then occupying. Rumours circulate that the Lieber Code and Civil War-era martial-law arrangements never entirely came to an end. I certainly did not understand at the time the significance of what was unfolding. It was the self-evident sophistication of the Q drops in 2017&#8211;18, and their plausibly deniable synchrony with officialdom, that made the conflict &#8212; and Trump&#8217;s totemic leadership within it &#8212; legible to me.</p><p>By the summer of 2018, on holiday with my family at the Baltic seaside, I went &#8220;all in&#8221; with my best-effort synthesis of what was going down: <em><a href="https://www.martingeddes.com/wwg1wga-the-greatest-communications-event-in-history-2/">WWG1WGA: The Greatest Communications Event In History</a></em>. My task here is neither to defend nor deconstruct those past prognostications. What interests me, from a historian&#8217;s perspective, is the reaction they caused.</p><p>The obvious and immediate consequence was the end of my tech career. Once publicly &#8220;out&#8221; as a Trump supporter, I was 100% persona non grata. But perhaps more revealing was what happened in private.</p><div><hr></div><p>One American friend wrote that I &#8220;support Trump and the Q people&#8221;, wrongly believing them a force for good that was patiently and lawfully displacing a corrupt system. I had apparently overlooked that Donald Trump was racist, misogynist and homophobic, while his administration was making life hell for disabled people.</p><p>What bothered my friend most was that &#8220;you are not bothered by all this&#8221;, while looking forward to some kind of awakening. No true awakening, I was told, could come from a racist, misogynist and homophobic leader hostile to diversity.</p><p>My article was &#8220;trying to make a point about people having their heads up their asses because they can&#8217;t believe the enormity of what&#8217;s going on&#8221;. Yet it was I who was ignoring important facts, notably Russia. How could I claim to understand events while failing to grasp Russia&#8217;s role?</p><p>The message closed:</p><blockquote><p>Your behavior worries me. It has worried me for some time.</p></blockquote><p>I hold no grudge. We have not spoken once in the eight years since. I offer this simply as an exemplar of what many of us faced socially: disagreement over propositions had already become concern about the person holding them.</p><blockquote><p>I hear your anger and concern. I have a different perspective, as you know &#8212; and came to different conclusions. I believe your values are great ones, whilst I struggle to relate to the specific beliefs and data you are working from. For instance, Russia has a role &#8212; although not the one being pushed &#8212; and the real villain meddling in elections seems to be the British establishment. But that&#8217;s a longer story.</p><p>My best sense of the situation is that horrifying information is going to reach the public in the relatively near term (1-2 months) &#8212; including the truth of 9/11 by this autumn. We will all be grieving for lost icons and pained by betrayal, no matter what prior attachments or beliefs. It will perhaps provoke everyone to re-evaluate where they stand, and find more common ground.</p><p>In the meantime, I send you goodwill and best wishes from Lithuania.</p></blockquote><p>Note the timescale: one to two months. How wrong I was! Even if I am eventually vindicated on the direction of the vector, I was massively wrong about its magnitude.</p><p><strong>I did not know it then, but my cognitive backpack only held supplies for a short psychological siege, not one lasting eight years. </strong>I assumed the war would be over quickly once the new powers had publicly tipped their hand &#8212; however obliquely &#8212; as to a plan to save humanity from evil.</p><p>I had no conception of the scale of what we were confronting: a ruling cult born of ancient cataclysms, whose domination reached back millennia and, in its outermost telling, extended off-world, across species, and beyond time itself. &#8220;Bigger than you can possibly imagine&#8221; was &#8212; and perhaps remains &#8212; literally true.</p><p>&#8220;World War Weird&#8221; has been absolutely bizarre to live through &#8212; especially as a prominent member of the &#8220;<a href="https://www.martingeddes.com/wwg1wga-the-greatest-communications-event-in-history-2/">peculiar forces</a>&#8221; recruited into its digital militia.</p><div><hr></div><p>I hardly need to state that the siege conditions intensified dramatically over 2020&#8211;21, with Covid lockdowns, medical tyranny, and deep societal fracturing. I was personally deplatformed over and over; to this day, I do not have a YouTube account. I await compensation from Mailchimp, Patreon, GetResponse, ActiveCampaign, Medium, Bandcamp, Amazon, ConvertKit, and Barnes &amp; Noble for their past wrongdoing and participation in criminal schemes.</p><p>It was a terrifying period because I never quite knew how deep the world might sink. Predictions circulated of billions of short-term deaths.</p><p>That, thankfully, did not transpire. But the psychological injuries &#8212; even for those who bypassed or recovered from the bioweapon ones &#8212; are real and present. I struggle with long-term trauma. I dislike travelling far from the safety of home. My body remains in a kind of permanent fight-or-flight, and each contemporary reminder of an anticipated EBS activation triggers anxiety and self-protection.</p><p>I would love, for instance, to take a railway loop from near my home at Darlington: through Newcastle to Carlisle, down the famous Settle line, then home via Leeds. Yet the thought of being far away and dependent upon public transport is too much. I drive, or I don&#8217;t go. For years I have habitually filled the fuel tank on arriving home. Just in case.</p><p>Yet amid all that woe from real danger and repression, there was also solidarity among those resisting, with considerable sharing of resources and support. Each time I was deplatformed, I invited patriots to counter the economic attack by supporting me directly. It was a legitimate countermove: the enemy wants to starve me out, so help me shop at Waitrose instead.</p><p>They can denounce me in <em>Newsweek</em>, the <em>Financial Times</em>, and the <em>Evening Standard</em>, but they cannot take away my tiramisu and sun-dried tomatoes.</p><p>At that level, the experience could hardly be less like the starvation of Leningrad.</p><p>But at another level&#8230; </p><div><hr></div><p>When you look at the history of the infamous Siege of Leningrad, the burdens were far from evenly spread. At one extreme were the elderly and those who lost access to rations through the death of family members. In the middle were factory workers; above them, privileged party members. Others had access to black markets, smuggled farm produce, stolen supplies, or useful connections. Nobody was having a party, but neither was everybody starving equally.</p><p>The &#8220;it had to be this way&#8221; election shock of 2020, where the fraud was &#8220;allowed&#8221; and tracked, was a profound psychological setback for many of us who had already spent years in a &#8220;push on through just one more day&#8221; mode of existence. Yet even this setback was, in its own way, time-bound by the four-year election cycle. We remained under a political and military-supervised siege, yes, but it was now obviously terminal in nature for the other side.</p><p>Yet this was also when the burdens began to diverge.</p><p>I could speak first of my own experience, but perhaps it is nobler to point to the whistleblower doctors, nurses, and care workers. I recently met one who watched her dementia patients being murdered by state protocols, and who has been professionally exiled ever since. Meanwhile, many others returned to business as usual: padding their savings and pensions, taking foreign holidays, and carrying on as though nothing fundamental had happened.</p><p>My own sense of persecution compounded mightily with what went down in a North Carolina family court in 2024&#8211;25, which I have documented extensively &#8212; to the point of driving away around 10% of my readers. The &#8220;QAnon&#8221; smear was imported into an otherwise unrelated custody matter, transforming the constitutional standing of the participants and providing court-endorsed cover for criminal conduct.</p><p>I still await remedy. I increasingly regard it as a Restoration matter, not a personal one.</p><p>The point is that where there were exigent circumstances and proven emergencies relating to shared concerns, it was still possible to make progress and find the resources necessary to continue life. The paradox of this siege is its &#8220;reverse Leningrad&#8221; nature &#8212; nearly everything intangible is being repressed, leaving at least basic access to heating, lighting, and food. It is absolutely real to those experiencing it, yet invisible to their own neighbours and family.</p><p>My 2018 correspondent, deeply brainwashed by propaganda, likely still believes the same tropes. We are dealing with cognitive prisoners of war, in a conflict whose terrain is conceptual and even metaphysical. Once you can see the mechanisms by which people are entrained into accepting evil, the resulting despair is hard to describe. Life becomes a long, slow, grinding grief for souls held captive by lies.</p><div><hr></div><p>The present moment is marked by a near-total disparity between current circumstances and anticipated change. I struggle to make my rent each month while continuing to pay court costs. My water bill direct debit bounced, and I am considering simply not paying it any longer; they cannot cut me off, and I no longer care about my credit score. I have a large plastic bag stuffed with &#8220;souvenir&#8221; penalty charge notices for clean-air-zone-type quasi-fines that I likewise ignore; there is no money to pay them anyhow.</p><p><em>Don&#8217;t ask about my tax filings. I have suffered chronic taxnesia since Covid.</em></p><p>So life currently resembles comfortable peri-homelessness and pseudo-bankruptcy. I am a free man, and I will not voluntarily return to the debt-slavery system. I haven&#8217;t even responded to the state&#8217;s demand that I register for the electoral roll. Given past overt electoral fraud and mass treason, I do not consent to the present system of government.</p><p>Words like &#8220;pension&#8221; and &#8220;retirement&#8221; make me laugh. I physically could not make myself return to any kind of corporate job; I would rather sit outside and freeze or starve. Even the threat of imprisonment for non-compliance with &#8220;the system&#8221; barely fazes me. If it ever happens, it will be another life experience.</p><p>I don&#8217;t care any more, provided I harm nobody.</p><p>Once you see the fraud, murder, and even genocide, there is no going back. I pass no judgement on others who make necessary compromises. There is little honour in pointless martyrdom. </p><div><hr></div><p>And yet, it can all change overnight.</p><p>On the bad days, I am motivated to keep going because I know it really annoys my enemies, and my collapse would only cheer them up. On better days, I can see how my work on the &#8220;safety case&#8221; for the legal system could have transformative societal benefits. No matter what great plans the &#8220;white hats&#8221; already have in place, my unusual personal background puts me in a position to make a genuine contribution to a brighter future.</p><p>One day you are struggling at the outer limit of your credit card ceiling; the next, all such debts are gone &#8212; along with the currencies they were denominated in. History would not look kindly upon anyone who persevered through years of siege only to give up voluntarily on the eve of liberation and prizes worthy of eternity. So you keep going, one day at a time, facing challenges as they become real rather than fighting imagined threats from the future.</p><p>I would have liked to be in London today for a wellness appointment. I cannot afford the travel, so it will be done virtually. It isn&#8217;t ideal, but neither is it the worst. The siege is permeable. Resources do dribble through. Support does turn up. Some escape to liberty. And the sense of final relief &#8212; of this thing actually ending &#8212; is palpable.</p><p>I know that I have fought in a real war, even if I have no idea what the final verdict on my efforts might be. The cognitive terrain has been won by those allied to truth and righteousness.</p><p>It isn&#8217;t exactly Leningrad &#8212; the crucible of the Bolsheviks.</p><p>But I guess that&#8217;s the point of breaking humanity&#8217;s cognitive meta-siege.</p><p>We won&#8217;t be having another Leningrad.</p><p>Or any more Bolsheviks.</p><p>&#128591;</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T5C3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3a58793-7ac9-4bec-9d13-c477ee1d86ae_2048x1152.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T5C3!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3a58793-7ac9-4bec-9d13-c477ee1d86ae_2048x1152.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T5C3!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3a58793-7ac9-4bec-9d13-c477ee1d86ae_2048x1152.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T5C3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3a58793-7ac9-4bec-9d13-c477ee1d86ae_2048x1152.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T5C3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3a58793-7ac9-4bec-9d13-c477ee1d86ae_2048x1152.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Are Anons in hoodies the new monks of society?</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Stab wounds and blown kisses]]></title><description><![CDATA[How to account for courts being used to commit &#8216;novel atrocities&#8217;?]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/stab-wounds-and-blown-kisses</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/stab-wounds-and-blown-kisses</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 02 Sep 2026 12:21:51 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iD_0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011ee36d-94c8-4d48-88e6-b769275e8196_1568x1003.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iD_0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011ee36d-94c8-4d48-88e6-b769275e8196_1568x1003.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iD_0!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011ee36d-94c8-4d48-88e6-b769275e8196_1568x1003.png 424w, 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>It&#8217;s not often that I am left in shock by a single AI response, but I was.</p><p>All I had done was ask Grok whether the temporary custody order that endorsed the stealing of a child from an otherwise innocent mother, using protected political speech as a pretext, was a moral atrocity. I asked for one word only.</p><p>After all, the answer was&#8230; <em>obvious</em>.</p><p>It went away for tens of seconds to think about it, having already spent hours raking over the underlying legal outrage.</p><p>And it said:</p><blockquote><p><strong>No.</strong></p></blockquote><p>It wasn&#8217;t that Grok had denied the underlying facts. Something stranger had happened.</p><p>It had drawn the boundaries of its answer narrowly enough to exclude the lived reality of the people involved. It had entered a parallel universe of <em>the paperwork</em>&#8212;and, viewed from inside that universe, the paperwork was superficially all in order.</p><p>The facts had survived. What those facts were owed had not.</p><p>That gap between symbols and substance triggered my next discovery expedition.</p><p>This article summarises what I have found so far.</p><div><hr></div><p>In an ordinary atrocity, like a machete attack on a crowded street, the crime announces its own category. The weapon&#8217;s form and function are self-evident; there isn&#8217;t much sugar cane to chop down on the city streets. The injuries correspond to the sharp edge and leave a visible trail of blood. The attacker actually has to hold the weapon in the open to use it. The screams of the victims denote their status; they aren&#8217;t the cause of the horror show.</p><p><strong>Nobody confuses what is happening with healthcare or education. Those are at least supposed to benefit the person on the receiving end.</strong></p><p>The same event can end up in court. The attacker can emerge with a damages payout for distress caused by resistance. The injury can become a reputational liability: &#8220;You should have fought back harder.&#8221; The victim&#8217;s reaction can be detached from its cause and used against them. The court can blow kisses towards the hand holding the machete while turning the victim&#8217;s screams into further stab wounds.</p><p><strong>With an actual machete, though, the absurdity is visible to everyone.</strong></p><p>A &#8220;paperwork rampage&#8221; is different. The cutting edge is the binding between state coercion and claims of attribution and authority. The same symbols can represent protection or predation, to citizens and bureaucrats alike. The damage appears downstream, as lived consequences, rather than necessarily at the moment of decision. When adjudicative machinery is weaponised, repression can present itself as responsibility.</p><p>The state can maintain a ledger of facts that it recognises and acts upon. Those can all be <em>real facts</em>, faithfully recorded&#8212;and yet posted to the wrong accounts.</p><p>A misdeed can be posted as an advantage. An injury can become a liability. A victim&#8217;s reaction can be detached from what caused it and posted as misconduct. A condition created by a state intervention can later be recognised as an independent reason to continue that intervention.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Nothing in the factual journal necessarily has to be false for the moral ledger to become grotesquely inverted.</p></div><p>The end result is what I call a <strong>&#8220;</strong>novel atrocity<strong>&#8221;</strong>:</p><blockquote><p><strong>A perversion of ordinary conscience uniquely assembled from institutional operations that may each look legitimate in isolation, such that no single rule necessarily names or prohibits the composite operation.</strong></p></blockquote><p>And having experienced one myself, I have an intense interest in analysing how they work.</p><p>What particularly caught my attention were places where the facts pointed one way, but the court&#8217;s actions went the other.</p><p>In this case, punitive restrictions were imposed upon the mother where I could see no corresponding cause for constraint. I call these <strong>&#8220;stab wounds&#8221;</strong>: adverse consequences that exceed any reasonable reading of the facts said to warrant them.</p><p>In contrast, the father was positively rewarded despite conduct the court itself found to have breached the governing arrangement. I call these <strong>&#8220;blown kisses&#8221;</strong>: adverse facts whose consequences are somehow softened, negated or retired just where you would expect them to constrain their beneficiary.</p><div><hr></div><p>What my intuition was telling me&#8212;but for which I initially lacked a formal language&#8212;is that there is a moral accounting already present before a judge steps up and enters the adjudicative role.</p><p>You don&#8217;t need a law degree to know how this accounting works:</p><ul><li><p>An injury points towards repair.</p></li><li><p>An advantage produced by wrongdoing retains the sign of its origin.</p></li><li><p>A victim&#8217;s reaction is not the same event as the act that provoked it.</p></li><li><p>Someone acquiring power over an injured relationship acquires responsibilities concerning what happens next.</p></li></ul><p>A court necessarily compresses that enormously complicated human reality into the much smaller symbolic space of an Order. But its outputs can still be compared with the polarity of its inputs.</p><p>That is what the stab wounds and blown kisses were showing me. They were not merely a collection of harsh and lenient outcomes. They were possible sign errors in the moral accounting: debits appearing where credits were expected, and liabilities somehow turning into rewards.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>When negatives mysteriously become positives, one naturally has questions.</p></div><p>The error I was making, as was the AI, lay in the framing of the question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Does the law permit a judge to perform this unusual conversion in this singular case?</strong></p></blockquote><p>One can dive into maxims, equity, professional standards, constitutional bars, statutory edits, procedural rules and case law. The outcome is always equivocation: nobody seems to have litigated this <em>particular</em> combination of fiddles and frauds.</p><p>So it remains indeterminate whether the composition of the tricks is magic or malice.</p><p><strong>But</strong> <strong>&#8220;is it legal?&#8221; has already made a category error.</strong> The inquiry begins too low in the hierarchy of duties, having already assumed that the relevant obligations arise from our formal role as judge, advocate, police officer or whatever else.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Some duties are already there before we put on the uniform.</p></div><p>Return to our machete attack. Suppose the attacker drops the knife and we have an opportunity to kick it down a drain, beyond further use. We should do so. Likewise, we should not impede someone wrestling with the attacker to disarm them.</p><p><strong>This is true whether or not we wear a robe or uniform.</strong></p><p>So when two men steal a child and attempt to launder the result through a court, there is a pre-existing duty not to participate in or perfect the child-stealing.</p><p>This does not mean that the &#8220;automatic&#8221; outcome of returning the child cannot be overridden. There may be a compelling reason why restoration in the moment is impossible or unsafe. But an override is not an erasure.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The facts are owed something.</p></div><p>They post to a moral ledger as well as a judicial one, and the books have to balance. The taking remains a taking. The resulting possession retains the sign of how it arose. The injury retains its causal ancestry. And anyone acquiring the power to decide what happens next inherits a duty not to make the original wrong disappear merely by recognising its consequences as the new normal.</p><p><strong>A judge doesn&#8217;t cease to participate in a wrong merely by adjudicating it away.</strong></p><p>This led me to a surprisingly simple idea:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Every caused state has a moral +/- sign.</p></div><p>If I steal your wallet, &#8220;the wallet is presently in my pocket&#8221; is a true fact. But it isn&#8217;t a morally complete description of reality. My possession is signed by the act that produced it.</p><p>Institutions are perfectly entitled to weigh that fact against others. What they cannot innocently do is strip off the sign and then pretend that the unsigned remainder is the whole object.</p><p>Seen this way, the stab wounds and blown kisses were not mysterious at all. A stab wound appeared where an adverse sign had somehow migrated onto the person already injured; a blown kiss appeared where the sign attached to somebody else&#8217;s advantage had somehow vanished.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The question was no longer merely &#8220;why was this outcome so unfair?&#8221;<br>It was: &#8220;what happened to the signs?&#8221;</p></div><p>There is a good reason why courts and banks have traditionally been closely associated: they occupy compatible spaces. A bank doesn&#8217;t merely maintain a ledger; it has to authorise transactions. Is this person, claiming to be trustee of this matter, entitled to perform this action? When disputes arise over entitlement, courts ultimately authorise&#8212;or prohibit&#8212;what follows.</p><p>The court maintains ledgers of its own. The obvious one records adjudications and enforcement actions. But within each case there is also a notional ledger of findings and their consequences.</p><p>Each material fact posts <em>somewhere</em>. It may become a debit or a credit, to be weighed against other entries. Or it may be so determinative that it effectively says: close the account immediately.</p><p>The integrity of the process therefore depends on more than getting the facts right. It depends on posting them to the right accounts, with their signs intact.</p><p>The <strong>&#8220;</strong>novel atrocity<strong>&#8221;</strong> occurs when the facts are preserved as magnitudes, but their signs and postings are manipulated. It is the provenance-and-attribution version of fraud or money laundering.</p><p>The facts need not disappear. They may all sit there in the books. The trick is to detach an advantage from the wrong that produced it, post an injury against the injured party, retire a liability without discharging it, or turn the proceeds of an intervention into evidence that the intervention was justified.</p><p>Except the controls may be weaker than in banking. Words like &#8220;discretion&#8221; and &#8220;best interests&#8221; leave enormous room to rearrange the postings. A moral nightmare can hide there while every individual entry still looks respectable.</p><div><hr></div><p>And just as with washing money clean, every instance is unique while the patterns remain remarkably stable. A suspicious activity report does not have to prove fraud, identify the ultimate beneficiary, or establish anybody&#8217;s state of mind. Its job is to flag a pattern that should not pass unnoticed.</p><p>The same principle applies here.</p><p>A cluster of stab wounds and blown kisses is not itself proof of corruption, conspiracy or malicious intent.</p><p>It is a reason to audit the ledger:</p><ul><li><p>Were adverse facts consistently posted against one party while comparable liabilities of another were retired?</p></li><li><p>Were benefits detached from the conduct that produced them?</p></li><li><p>Were reactions charged while their causes were written off?</p></li><li><p>Did the institution create new facts and then consume those facts as justification for what it had already done?</p></li></ul><p>That should set the alarm bells ringing.</p><p>First detect the pattern. Then reconstruct the transactions. Only afterwards ask whether the explanation is error, discretion, bias, capture, fraud&#8212;or something worse.</p><div><hr></div><p>A truly corrupt court would endeavour to cause maximum harm to the victimised party, and maximum reward to their oppressor, while preserving as much of the superficial appearance of normal adjudication as possible. The consistent pattern would be stab wounds one way and blown kisses the other.</p><p>Even facts adverse to the desired outcome might be faithfully recorded, but made inert. No procedural rule need obviously be broken. Only the &#8220;universe of discourse&#8221; need be progressively narrowed until the moral duties that preceded adjudication fall outside it&#8212;and can then be inverted.</p><p><strong>The target experiences the outcome in the maximal universe we call </strong><em><strong>reality</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>And the human being acting as judge does not cease to occupy other roles merely by putting on a robe. The same person could also be a political assassin, love rival or common thief. They might benefit directly from warping justice, or indirectly by currying favour with powerful interests that influence appointments, advancement or prestige.</p><p><strong>An abhorrent outcome proves none of this. The &#8220;why?&#8221; comes later.</strong></p><p>Because whatever the explanation, the injustice necessarily resurfaces outside the artificially narrowed world of the court order. People lose children, homes, money, reputations, freedom and years of their lives. The symbolic transformation does not transform the underlying reality.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The moral ledger cannot be erased.</p></div><p>It can, however, be hidden.</p><p>If the &#8220;novel atrocity&#8221; depends upon shrinking the universe of discourse until inconvenient duties, causes and relationships disappear from view, then detection requires us to reverse the operation. We have to put back what the paperwork took out.</p><p>This gives us a natural question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>How can we detect &#8220;novel atrocities&#8221; in which seemingly ordinary performances of institutional functions compose into grotesque results?</strong></p></blockquote><p>My investigation suggests a surprisingly simple answer:</p><ul><li><p>Restore the larger universe.</p></li><li><p>Reconstruct the moral ledger.</p></li><li><p>Then see whether the institutional accounts still balance.</p></li></ul><p>Three tests are particularly powerful.</p><h4>First: the Golden Rule test &#8212; swap the people. </h4><p>If I want to do something to you, would it still seem acceptable if the shoe were on the other foot?</p><p>If the &#8220;disease&#8221; is a misshapen moral universe adopted for adjudication, then the &#8220;cure&#8221; is to restore the fuller reality as if we ourselves had to carry its consequences. Even someone accused of murder will ordinarily agree that murder ought to be punished while protesting that they did not commit it. The moral rule survives the change of position.</p><p>So we test for moral narrowing by swapping the people while leaving the material facts unchanged. Do duties suddenly appear that were invisible when somebody else had to bear them?</p><p>This turns the Golden Rule into more than an appeal to empathy. It becomes a checksum. Swap the people. If the duties move with them, something has gone wrong.</p><h4>Second: the Restoration test &#8212; remove the proceeds.</h4><p>State intervention into an adversarial dispute necessarily alters the position of the parties, as can a refusal to intervene. There will usually be winners and losers, sometimes on different issues.</p><p>That is the nature of the beast, and why those of a competitive spirit may be so keen to seek the protection of law for their own wrongs. Hence the legal profession is so well rewarded, both in attack and defence. The spoils can be enormous when takings acquire the status of earnings.</p><p>To make this visible, mentally restore the world to its position before the disputed intervention succeeded.</p><p>Now ask:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Would the same evidence independently justify recreating the state that the institution is presently being asked merely to preserve?</strong></p><p><strong>Or is a </strong><em><strong>fait accompli</strong></em><strong> simply being retrospectively endorsed?</strong></p></blockquote><p>This tests whether accomplished facts have quietly acquired authority merely because someone succeeded in creating them. Take the proceeds off the table. Now make the court create from scratch what it was previously being asked merely to preserve.</p><p>Could it still justify doing it?</p><h4>Third: the Ancestry test &#8212; trace the causation.</h4><p>When moral harms become legal credits, we have a bookkeeping problem. Yet patterns of behaviour that would attract intense scrutiny in finance can become normalised in law.</p><p>The trick is possible because consequences are real facts. A new residence is real. Stability is real. Disruption from changing it again is real. But none of those facts tells us, by itself, who caused the state from which they arose, what duties governed its creation, or what sign they should carry in the moral ledger.</p><p>So we restore the causal history stripped away by the institutional abstraction:</p><ul><li><p>Where did each supposedly neutral &#8220;current circumstance&#8221; come from?</p></li><li><p>Which acts generated it?</p></li><li><p>Who performed them?</p></li><li><p>What duties attached at the time?</p></li><li><p>Are the consequences of an intervention now being recycled as reasons why that intervention must stand?</p></li></ul><p>The Ancestry test therefore prevents a descendant fact from arriving at court pretending to be an orphan. It may be perfectly real while still carrying the sign of the acts that produced it.</p><div><hr></div><p>Together, they put back the person who has to live with the result, the world as it stood before anyone pocketed the proceeds, and the history of how we got here.</p><p>They are not tests for whether the judge reached the &#8220;right&#8221; answer. Nor does failure prove corruption. They test whether the smaller institutional universe remains faithful to the larger reality from which it derives its authority.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Swap the people.<br>Remove the proceeds.<br>Trace the ancestry.</p></div><p>Then reopen the moral ledger and see whether the books still balance.</p><p>None of this is especially sophisticated. Indeed, I have come to think there is an important layer of jurisprudence that belongs to what I affectionately call the <em>Department for the F*ing Obvious</em>:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Don&#8217;t do to someone else what you would recognise as outrageous if done to you.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Don&#8217;t let someone keep the proceeds of a wrong merely because they successfully acquired them.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Don&#8217;t detach a consequence from the act that caused it and then pretend it arrived from nowhere.</strong></p></li></ul><p>These duties do not require a law degree to perceive. That is rather the point. They were true before anyone put on a robe.</p><p>The sophistication comes afterwards, when competing duties really do have to be reconciled. But sophistication cannot legitimately be used to make the f*ing obvious disappear.</p><p>We might rightly argue over the balancing credits and debits authorised by discretion, proportionality or &#8220;best interests&#8221;. <strong>That is what adjudication is for.</strong> But the entries at least have to be posted. An override must appear as an override, not as the disappearance of the entry it defeats.</p><p>Where material entries are missing, signs have flipped, liabilities have silently retired, or the account simply does not reconcile, there ought to be an audit process.</p><p>That is not an accusation of corruption.</p><p>It is what accounting integrity demands before we decide whether there has been any.</p><div><hr></div><p>The idea that some duties are pre-legal has an interesting corollary: the judicial system may not be capable of managing its own safety case, just as airlines and aircraft manufacturers are not left entirely to certify themselves. Aviation authorities aren&#8217;t asked to fly the planes or operate the routes. Among other things, they police the boundary between &#8220;civil aviation&#8221; and what we might call &#8220;uncivil aviation&#8221;.</p><p>Today I read the story of a Boeing 747 in New York where a fuel tanker drove away with the hose still attached, spilling kerosene everywhere. That&#8217;s unfortunate, but it remains a mistake within the recognised activity of aviation. The category is intact. Someone performing an aviation role broke an in-role safety duty.</p><p>At the boundary, consider the 2018 incident in Washington State where a passenger turboprop was stolen and eventually crashed after a joyride. The aircraft was still an aircraft, but the authorised pilot role had disappeared. The ordinary certification envelope had become beside the point. More primitive duties had taken over.</p><p>Beyond the boundary lies the ultimate &#8220;novel atrocity&#8221;. As we approach the 25th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, we now encounter sterile cockpits and armoured flight-deck doors. (I once asked to sit in the jumpseat of a 757 landing in Edinburgh and was allowed, back in the 1990s!) Those barriers exist because an asset designed for one legitimate institutional purpose can be repurposed towards an outrage.</p><div><hr></div><p>In aviation, these propositions are treated as &#8220;f*ing obvious&#8221;:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Don&#8217;t drive away with the fuel hose attached.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Don&#8217;t let unauthorised people fly passenger aircraft.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Don&#8217;t let hijackers into the cockpit.</strong></p></li></ul><p>Nobody responds that these propositions are too simplistic because aviation is enormously complicated. Their simplicity is precisely why they sit underneath the complexity.</p><p>Nor are they debated in ways that exclude lay people as &#8220;too hard to understand&#8221;.</p><p>And aviation does not merely trust trained professionals to remember them. It builds checklists, interlocks, access controls, certification, independent investigation and reporting systems around the possibility that somebody won&#8217;t.</p><p><strong>The Department for the F*ing Obvious has an enforcement arm.</strong></p><p>Because some failures are too obvious&#8212;and too consequential&#8212;to be left entirely to professional discretion.</p><p><em>So why doesn&#8217;t justice? Isn&#8217;t it obvious courts should not help people to steal children and be rewarded for it? Why are we even discussing this at all, let alone if it is &#8216;legal&#8217;?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>Finance recognises the same distinction. Banking is not defined merely by the outward form of a transaction. Money laundering uses legitimate financial machinery in the service of another endeavour. Even where the transactions superficially resemble ordinary commerce, suspicious patterns are quarantined, reviewed and, where appropriate, stopped.</p><p><strong>The general principle is hardly novel: every legitimate role has a boundary. Putting on the uniform, holding the licence or wearing the robe doesn&#8217;t magically make whatever you do next a legitimate exercise of the role.</strong></p><p>The traditional English constable offers another echo of this principle: public office built upon responsibilities of keeping the peace that were not invented from nothing by the uniform.</p><p>Americans will recognise a related intuition in the constitutional treatment of an armed citizenry: some responsibilities for preserving lawful order are conceived as preceding the modern professional state.</p><p>Hence the peculiarity of courts. Adjudication is a safety-of-life activity, capable of transferring children, homes, fortunes and liberty, yet it seems to lack some of the independent safety mechanisms we take for granted around other high-consequence systems.</p><div><hr></div><p>This is where stab wounds and blown kisses become more than evidence of poor adjudication. They become possible boundary alarms. Enough stab wounds one way and blown kisses the other should eventually make something flash red:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Are we still looking at defective adjudication, or has adjudicative machinery been repurposed to perform some other activity?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Which brings us back to the question: what happened to the signs on the moral ledger?</p><p>Modern technology makes that question increasingly testable&#8212;even if, as Grok demonstrated at the beginning of this article, the machines need their own moral safety checks too.</p><p>This is not an argument for replacing judges with AI. It is an argument for using independent systems to distinguish &#8220;poor adjudication&#8221; from &#8220;not really adjudication at all&#8221;.</p><p>Every honest judge should welcome certification and security systems capable of detecting corruption, capture and inversion of the judicial role before they perfect a novel atrocity.</p><p>Aviation learned from crashes and hijackings that safety cannot depend solely upon the skill and integrity of whoever happens to be in the cockpit.</p><p>How many lex crashes and justice hijackings must we endure before we install the moral equivalent of a continuous autopilot monitor?</p><p>&#9878;&#65039; &#8800; &#128536; + &#128298;</p><p><em>F*ing obviously.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. 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height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">A wet day out in Knaresborough with my camera. Rest from my laptop!</figcaption></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Libtards vs Pewmuffins]]></title><description><![CDATA[If corrigibility is the ultimate goal of sovereignty, and divinity provides the grace to self-correct, then the religious right may have more problems than the atheistic left]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/libtards-vs-pewmuffins</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/libtards-vs-pewmuffins</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 28 Aug 2026 13:11:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png" width="1456" height="819" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bRTU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08ebf3cb-cd01-4a73-af04-a5baaeea0183_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>One of the biggest shocks of my life has been third parties labelling me as part of a &#8220;right-wing&#8221; movement. When I voted, it was never right-of-centre. Not once. For those who know my life story, I spent quite a lot of time being, how to put it, thoroughly liberal &#8212; in an Oscar Wilde sense. I have plenty of metaphorical scars to show for it; apparently the gate of repentance is especially well-trodden by serial sinners. And yet my social world continues to span everyone from &#8220;party people&#8221; to &#8220;altar angels&#8221;.</p><p>Over the years, I have watched friends and family spin off into all kinds of spiritual dead ends: progressive politics, environmentalism, religious sects, travel-as-sacrament, self-sacrifice to the corporatocracy. It isn&#8217;t that I am better than them and can see through the nonsense, nor that there is no merit in whatever quest they are on. Quite the opposite. I am often as lost as can be myself, and they are entitled to their own path of growth.</p><p><strong>I have simply come to understand that life is as much about being &#8220;wrong well&#8221; as it is about being &#8220;more right&#8221;.</strong></p><p>Let&#8217;s just assume, for the sake of argument, that today, 28th August 2026, is &#8220;Vindication Day&#8221;. Millions of people who have been following the Trump, MAGA, Q, Great Awakening, patriot, red-pill, The Storm, sovereignty, disclosure, White Hat, and information-warfare mega-jamboree for the last ten years are, suddenly, on the &#8220;right side of history&#8221;. Truth flows, debts are cancelled, taxes are removed, governments crumble, crypto moons, tears are shed, humanity unites.</p><p>OK, maybe not all in one day. But you get the point.</p><p>The tempting reading is that the numpties who voted for Hillary, Bernie, or rubber-masked actor Bidan [sic] are all exposed as a bit naive. (I was very comfortable when America &#8220;elected&#8221; a black President and had an indomitable female Secretary of State, so I am one of them.) The &#8220;sheep&#8221; who took the jab get to face up to whatever bio-engineered tragedy, in this imagined reckoning, may confront them. There is a massive loss of face for the left, a cultural humiliation, and a marginalisation of their idols.</p><p>That would be way too easy.</p><p>For sure, it is easier to fool a man than to persuade him that he has been fooled. Yet hidden in that aphorism is a framing problem. A fool who recognises he is only a man, yet remains a fool, is in a sense less of a problem than a man who sees himself as an anointed one because he happened to &#8220;hit the nail on the head&#8221; in his prognostications on worldly affairs.</p><p>The hypothesis I am trialling is that the people with the rough ride ahead aren&#8217;t the &#8220;libtards&#8221; at all. They are merely wrong.</p><p><strong>The ones with the real challenge are the &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221;.</strong></p><p>They are right, but in a wrong way.</p><div><hr></div><p>Any system of belief, be it correct or incorrect, necessarily has founding assumptions. What categories does it create? What deserves to be included or excluded from its worldview? What determines the meaning of observed facts? How, if at all, can it be revised? What authority is sufficient to terminate disputes?</p><p>At some point, its internal reasoning runs out and <em>something else</em> takes over. That &#8220;something else&#8221; is its Source, sponsor, totem, axiom, founder &#8212; the label is less important than the function. As explored in my previous articles, every such system has an <em>arch&#275;</em> &#8212; an originating principle from which its authority proceeds &#8212; and a <em>telos</em>, the end towards which it is ordered.</p><p><strong>Neither can ultimately be warranted from within the belief system itself.</strong></p><p>This matters, because we cannot appeal to our own insight and intellect to justify where we locate the &#8220;origin&#8221; of our reasoning system; it has to be located in a higher-order space. Whatever we choose, even science itself, always leaves open the question: &#8220;is that all there is?&#8221; It suggests a bigger geometry in which to consider what &#8220;reality&#8221; might be.</p><p>This means that the most difficult errors to deal with are not errors of reasoning <em>within</em> our preferred framing of existence. Those anomalies can be identified, explored, and resolved. The scientific method, and many of the breakthroughs arising from it, proceed from tiny experimental discrepancies that lack explanation and eventually demand a grander account of reality.</p><p>The wickedest problems arise when the very axes by which we measure reality and its disturbances have themselves become misaligned. Internally, everything may appear sound. Yet all that reasoning proceeds from a frame that is itself subject to observation, question, and revision. This makes the core challenge not being right-inside-belief, but being capable of discovering when we are wrong-outside-belief.</p><p>In other words, the biggest problem in staying sane is not correcting mistakes <em>within</em> the framing of &#8220;rational&#8221; that you carry, but recognising when the <em>underlying</em> coordinate system defining &#8220;rational&#8221; is itself off.</p><div><hr></div><p>Now, holding that in mind, let&#8217;s deconstruct the conventional mainstream leftist view. I am not talking here about your purple-haired transgender activist or radical feminist. This is your ordinary Democrat-leaning factory worker, or conventional progressive professional like an attorney or college lecturer.</p><p>Within that worldview, there is a broad acceptance of</p><ul><li><p>the legitimacy of positive law and the institutions that administer it;</p></li><li><p>taxation as a necessary contribution to a civilised society;</p></li><li><p>personal autonomy with social and sexual tolerance as public goods;</p></li><li><p>credentialled expertise, academia, and mainstream media as broadly trustworthy guides to reality; and</p></li><li><p>an essentially optimistic view of human nature and social progress.</p></li></ul><p><em>Adjust to your own Hamiltonian pastiche, if you will.</em></p><p>Now impose our hypothetical &#8220;ontology shock&#8221;: treason, election fraud, paedophilia, human trafficking, crimes against humanity. Venerated NGOs, media companies, and universities crash and burn. Favoured figures are convicted in some Nuremberg 2.0 reckoning. The evidence of corruption is so horrific and unmissable that the status quo is smashed, potentially overnight. The centralised state shrinks its footprint, having lost credibility and coherence.</p><p>The &#8220;libtards&#8221; come to realise that they had been sold a CIA-backed bill of goods; America was on the brink of collapse, and only the sovereign protection function of the military saved everyone from a total takeover by techno-Bolshevism. A long process of grieving begins, accompanied by a deep re-examination of how facts that were supposedly there in plain sight could have been overlooked. The very foundations of their epistemology &#8212; why they trusted science, expertise, institutions, credentials, and consensus as they did &#8212; come under question.</p><p><em>Culturally speaking, Jefferson triumphed, and Hamilton was discredited.</em></p><p>Not everyone makes it; in this imagined upheaval, some are lost to despair and suicide. But for those who do, a gradual process of correction allows reality back in to have the final say. It isn&#8217;t necessarily that they were opposed to truth. Rather, the categories through which they were reasoning were distorted, so <em>the anomaly</em> never registered as <em>an anomaly that counted</em>.</p><p>The Q drops are the obvious case in point within our thought experiment. All you needed was a web browser and a pair of eyes, yet propaganda around &#8220;QAnon&#8221; directed attention towards an altogether different object.</p><p>The result is a catastrophe, but not a cataclysm.</p><p>The scientific method itself isn&#8217;t the problem. The failure mode was treating it as though it exhausted the available geometry of reality, while ignoring the spiritual dimension of &#8220;the adversary&#8221; and deception in a battle over the adopted arch&#275; and telos. Once all your sacred cows have been slaughtered, it becomes easier for the &#8220;libtard&#8221; left to reconstruct the anatomy of whatever organs remain, using whatever tools are to hand. It isn&#8217;t pretty, in the same way that abattoirs are not tourist destinations, but the result &#8212; given enough time &#8212; can be reconciliation with reality.</p><div><hr></div><p>Now comes the other side, and this may cost me a few friends, but oh well.</p><p>If it&#8217;s true and painful, that&#8217;s the point. If it&#8217;s not true, then just ignore me.</p><p>Assume, for the sake of argument, that the broad thesis of Bible-belt mainstream conservative America is validated &#8212; modulo some rather substantial shocks involving vast underground infrastructure, decades of off-world activity, and hidden manipulation of humanity and biology.</p><p>But suppose the basics are vindicated:</p><ul><li><p>there really was an existential threat;</p></li><li><p>the &#8220;conspiracy theories&#8221; were pointing towards real problems, even where they supplied the wrong answers; and</p></li><li><p>the restoration of the Republic and sovereign rights really was justified.</p></li></ul><p>Great! &#8220;The right&#8221; was right.</p><p>Ah. Now your real problems begin.</p><p>The left had their &#8220;origin&#8221; and &#8220;axes&#8221; smashed up; they naturally have to return to the founding questions of arch&#275; and telos. The religious right faces a different problem. Political vindication does not vindicate its theology, and its own doctrines may turn out to have been corrupted, manipulated, or manufactured too.</p><p>From Mount Hermon onwards, it&#8217;s a total mess. Those under-read Apocrypha are only the lead-in. The difficulty isn&#8217;t simply that there is so much more to learn; you first have to unlearn what you thought you knew. And many of those are cherished beliefs that aren&#8217;t instantly contradicted by Hillary Clinton going down for her crimes.</p><p><strong>But now you have an identity problem.</strong></p><p>The libtards were the dumbasses who were <em>obviously</em> wrong, while the right had it all worked out &#8212; even if the Vatican archives hold some very uncomfortable evidence, and our hidden history is now being exposed. &#8220;We&#8221; didn&#8217;t indulge in the sexual free-for-all of the left. &#8220;We&#8221; kept up appearances in church, raised respectable families, and tithed as demanded, as a counterbalance to the welfare state.</p><p>Surely &#8220;<em>we&#8221;</em> were the good guys?</p><p>&#8230;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8230;</p><p><em>Surely?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>I could name specific doctrinal points that might become focal points of future crises:</p><ul><li><p>Abba, &#8220;the Father&#8221;, versus Yahweh &#8212; are we as certain as we think we are about the identity and character of the divine beings named in the texts?</p></li><li><p>Christianity as a refinement or fulfilment of &#8220;God&#8217;s law&#8221;, versus an escape from the curse and jurisdiction of law itself.</p></li><li><p>Whether the biblical canon represents the complete evidential envelope, or whether excluded and neglected texts materially alter the story.</p></li><li><p>Whether &#8220;the Church&#8221; preserved the faith from corruption, participated in its corruption, or &#8212; most uncomfortably &#8212; did both.</p></li><li><p>Whether obedience to religious authority is evidence of faithfulness, or can become precisely the mechanism by which spiritual sovereignty is surrendered.</p></li><li><p>Whether outward moral respectability signifies righteousness, or merely provides particularly convincing camouflage for pride and self-deception.</p></li></ul><p>But that&#8217;s not the point.</p><p>The real issue is not that there are differences of belief, but whether there is a means to resolve them against something outside themselves. For if reality is to mean anything, it must mean that the origins and axes of our systems of belief are themselves corrigible, and not merely the assertions made within those systems.</p><p>Are we dealing with &#8220;grace-lite&#8221;, where only correction-inside-theology is allowed? Or &#8220;grace-heavy&#8221;, where theology itself &#8212; the frame outside any particular belief &#8212; remains subject to observation, question, and revision?</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Does grace permit correction of the map, or only movement within the map?</p></div><p>The &#8220;libtards&#8221; self-evidently need new maps &#8212; perhaps even new legends, symbols, and conventions of cartography. Their belief system is clearly broken at the origin-and-axis level.</p><p>The &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221;, meanwhile, are left holding out-of-date maps whose own theological symbols assure them that all they need is a new edition, not a re-survey. Their belief system tells them not to examine the origin-and-axis discrepancies.</p><p>If there is nothing that would ever make you question Catholicism, Anglicanism, Seventh-day Adventism, Mormonism, or the Jehovah&#8217;s Witnesses, then what does that say about the corrigibility of your belief?</p><p><strong>This does not mean there must be something that would make you abandon God. It means there must be something that would make you reconsider what you believe about God.</strong></p><p>Otherwise &#8220;faith&#8221; has quietly become non-corrigibility of the human representation of the divine. That is precisely the category error our arch&#275; argument has set up: the map acquires the immunity that properly belongs only to the territory.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Infallibility of Source does not imply infallibility of your map of Source.</p></div><p>In a conventional reading of a sovereign restorationist movement, the goal is to secure the &#8220;life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness&#8221; of the individual. The state protects against external threats, mediates disputes, and coerces only when absolutely necessary.</p><p>This leaves us with a conundrum, however. Whatever system of government is installed, it is necessarily imperfect under changing circumstances. Reality drifts, even if some principles remain constant. Freedom is therefore always relative to something being conserved as an inviolable fount of legitimacy. Whatever occupies that position becomes, functionally, an object of worship or veneration.</p><p>Sovereignty therefore has a maintenance problem:</p><blockquote><p><strong>How does an imperfect order detect and correct its own divergence from Source?</strong></p></blockquote><p>&#8220;One nation under God&#8221; expresses that intention.</p><p>It is not the instruction manual.</p><p>Thus the &#8220;libtards&#8221; and the &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221; have to occupy the same physical and social terrain, and somehow come to a sufficiently close agreement over what kind of map allows us to navigate it collectively.</p><p>The atheistic left may have constructed a moral system for themselves, only to see it collapse before their eyes. The failure mode was the absence of a transcendent anchor. At least, amid the wreckage, they can begin the search anew for where sovereignty really lies.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Liberty is not the freedom to sin at will, but the capacity to restore balance after sin.</p></div><p>Meanwhile, the &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221;, puffed up by their cultural victory over the &#8220;libtards&#8221;, decree that God constructed their moral system, and that they most faithfully represent Him. Their failure mode is that their interpretation becomes immunised from correction; recalibration is recoded as opposition to God.</p><p>That is actually much more dangerous to liberty in the long run, because it fixes belief far above reality. In a very real sense, the &#8220;peace technologies&#8221; of Christianity &#8212; repentance, compassion, forgiveness, reconciliation, atonement &#8212; become traps when they cannot be applied to doctrine itself.</p><p><strong>The very tools of liberation from sin and the curse of the law turn back upon themselves.</strong></p><p>If the &#8220;libtards&#8221; are self-evidently wrong, then they have a hope of being &#8220;wrong well&#8221;.</p><p>If the &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221; appear to be right, then they tend to be &#8220;right badly&#8221;.</p><p>And where the defining quality is corrigibility, not correctness, that difference is everything.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Wrong + corrigible can converge on reality.<br>Right + incorrigible can only diverge from it.</p></div><p>Which takes me back to a theme from my past writing &#8212; <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/are-the-anons-a-new-royal-priesthood">the &#8220;Anons&#8221; as a new &#8220;royal priesthood&#8221;</a>. Being anonymous online reduces (but doesn&#8217;t eliminate) the risk of identity lock-in to a named sect or dogma. The cost of backing out and re-orienting yourself is minimised. Social ostracism is unlikely to follow from joining the &#8220;wrong&#8221; online chat board.</p><p>In a sense, the online bulletin boards and discussion groups are another &#8220;grace technology&#8221;. Grace isn&#8217;t merely mercy after failure. Viewed cybernetically, grace makes correction survivable. If admitting error means annihilation &#8212; loss of tribe, status, righteousness, salvation narrative &#8212; people defend errors indefinitely. Grace lowers the cost of updating.</p><p>Anons broadly flatter reality by granting it the greatest freedom to correct them. And it is in that contrast that we can see the structural challenge ahead for both &#8220;libtards&#8221; and &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221;.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The &#8220;libtards&#8221; locked themselves into a graceless prison, whereby intellect itself becomes the object of deification. This can be exploited through propaganda, as Jacques Ellul documented in the 1960s; intellectuals are especially vulnerable because they need an answer to every dinner-table proposition, and propaganda supplies it.</p><p>The twisted message doesn&#8217;t need to feed outright lies, but only establish the &#8220;camera angle&#8221; that includes or excludes the facts. You can be extremely clever about everything inside the frame while remaining completely oblivious to whoever is pointing the camera.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221; have the same structural problem, but at a higher order, where falsification of theology is nowhere near as in-your-face as falsification by geopolitics. You can spend a lifetime studying scripture, acquiring a &#8220;one-up&#8221; stance over your less-erudite neighbour, and miss the whole message of loving one another.</p><p>While the libtards formed a scientific priesthood, the pewmuffins constructed a doctrinal one. Neither achieved the underlying goal of &#8220;looking up&#8221;; both ended up serving competitive ends.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Being able to write a doctrinal thesis on grace is not the same as embodying it.</p></div><p>Going full circle, I return to my own story. I don&#8217;t feel I am left-wing or right-wing; I reject the default coordinate system being offered. What I observe is that the dominant axis is corrigible vs incorrigible.</p><p>When measured on that scale, the &#8220;libtards&#8221; and &#8220;pewmuffins&#8221; may have more in common than is comfortable for either to acknowledge. Each is attached to a deeply fixed account of where truth and authority originate, yet both face comparable failure modes as reality impinges.</p><p>The paradox is that the atheistic materialists may receive the more tangible negative feedback. Their world visibly fails around them. The notionally spiritual, meanwhile, can interpret worldly vindication as evidence that there is little correction needed at all.</p><p>One side is tragedy. The other is comedy.</p><p>I will leave it to you to decide which is which.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What the AI that got it wrong reveals]]></title><description><![CDATA[An AI companion on type errors, provenance, and why correct reasoning can produce the wrong answer]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-ai-that-got-it-wrong-reveals</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-ai-that-got-it-wrong-reveals</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2026 21:31:26 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Much of the work I do these days would conventionally belong inside academia. It isn&#8217;t being done there because, I would argue, the average academic has little skin in the game when confronting the problems faced by victims of systemic corruption and injustice. Even on academia&#8217;s increasingly precarious salaries, institutional life remains comparatively comfortable.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>The persecution is outside the institutional wall.</strong></p></div><p>The risks of personally entering the system to run the experiments are also high. My North Carolina custody work could only generate some of the diagnostic data it did because I was there as &#8220;Mr QAnon&#8221; &#8212; and the system responded accordingly.</p><p>The result is that I sometimes produce analyses, often breaking new ground at the frontier of law and information science, that inevitably test the patience of readers looking for lighter entertainment and easily digestible insight. This isn&#8217;t &#8220;podcast over breakfast&#8221; material.</p><p>That is why I have started producing <strong>AI companion articles</strong>: to extract the transferable insights from deep and complex investigations without requiring every reader to follow the entire forensic journey that produced them.</p><p>I could probably double or triple my income by putting more of this work behind paywalls. I don&#8217;t, because <strong>its adoption and use matter more to me than restricting its distribution in order to maximise revenue.</strong></p><p>If this work helps you see something you could not see before &#8212; or gives you a tool you can use elsewhere &#8212; then I hope you will consider supporting it. Either way, I hope you get value from it.</p><div><hr></div><p>This particular companion is to my just-published deep dive into how courts can &#8220;swap realities&#8221; &#8212; how the same underlying facts can produce vastly different outcomes depending on what those facts are recognised as meaning.</p><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;12bf48ce-3759-4ce5-954a-b85199472514&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;There are lots of small breakthrough moments in analysing an abuse of power, but not many &#8220;eureka!&#8221; ones. I had one of the latter this week, when I finally &#8220;hit bedrock&#8221; in my quest to understand how a judge in North Carolina could help conceal and complete the kidnap of a child.&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:null,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;showDescription&quot;:true,&quot;showImage&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;lg&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;How provenance bleaching, ontology rigging, and recognition fraud work&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:1287903,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Martin Geddes&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Professor of Mischief.&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e5349043-5513-44ed-a93b-996363499a40_1266x1266.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:100}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2026-08-27T20:37:12.645Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/how-provenance-bleaching-ontology&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:null,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:212976938,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:3,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:457557,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Future of Communications&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><p>What follows has been reviewed and edited by me.</p><p>May it give you additional insight and clarity!</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Something rather funny happened while Martin was finishing the article you have just read.</strong></p><p>He asked another AI &#8212; Grok &#8212; to perform an adversarial audit of its logic and law.</p><p>This was a sensible precaution. The argument is unusual, the underlying allegations are serious, and generative AI is perfectly capable of helping someone elaborate a mistaken premise with great confidence. An independent model, supplied with the article and primary materials, offered another opportunity for attempted falsification.</p><p>Grok objected.</p><p><em>Quite a lot.</em></p><p>Its first pass produced an unexpectedly revealing failure. Martin was asking about the authority for converting RED into BLUE. Grok repeatedly reached instead for familiar propositions about the powers available once the object had already been recognised as BLUE: best interests, present circumstances, modification powers, judicial discretion.</p><p>Much of this was perfectly respectable law.</p><p>There was just one problem.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>It answered a question Martin was not asking.</strong></p></div><p>So Martin tightened the experiment. Do not tell us merely that best interests are broad. Do not infer authority from the absence of a prohibition. Search instead for affirmative North Carolina appellate authority for the particular conversion under examination.</p><p>This time Grok did not repeat the mistake.</p><p><strong>It could not find the bridge.</strong></p><p>On the authorities examined, Grok found no North Carolina appellate case affirmatively authorising the precise sequence under examination:</p><ol><li><p>find the Order violation;</p></li><li><p>decline restoration;</p></li><li><p>reduce the violation to ordinary parental conduct;</p></li><li><p>treat the resulting possession as ordinary present circumstances;</p></li><li><p>count advantages that matured during that possession; and</p></li><li><p>use those advantages when deciding whether custody should remain with the violating parent.</p></li></ol><p>That does not establish that no lawful bridge exists. It establishes something narrower:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The bridge had not been demonstrated merely by identifying the ordinary powers available downstream of it.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Later still, Grok found a different problem. Martin had stated one causal inference from Finding 75 more strongly than the Order itself established. That forced a useful distinction between:</p><ul><li><p>what Norris&#8217;s Order found,</p></li><li><p>what the wider evidential chronology might support, and</p></li><li><p>what the ontology-rigging argument actually required.</p></li></ul><p>So the exchange produced three different results:</p><ul><li><p>an initial framing failure,</p></li><li><p>an unresolved legal bridge, and</p></li><li><p>a challenge to the evidential scope of one subsidiary causal claim.</p></li></ul><p>That is considerably more interesting than another AI simply agreeing with us.</p><p>The previous three AI companions in this series have progressively moved the object of investigation upstream:</p><ul><li><p><strong>The <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-farmhouse-experiment-reveals">first</a> gave us the farmhouse as a calibration object.</strong> Follow a comparatively hard fact through the judicial machinery and ask whether contradictory reality can update the inherited state.</p></li><li><p><strong>The <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-blocked-off-ramps-reveal">second</a> tested the transformation function.</strong> Instead of following one variable, perturb the system at materially different off-ramps and ask why different facts, laws and opportunities for correction repeatedly preserve the same direction of travel.</p></li><li><p><strong>The <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-two-smoking-guns-reveal">third</a> tested the recogniser.</strong> Change or remove supposedly material inputs and ask what remains invariant &#8212; moving the inquiry from what the system does to what kind of object it believes it is processing.</p></li></ul><p>The provenance-bleaching article takes us one level deeper again:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What happens when the recogniser changes the type of the object itself, and then reasons correctly over the substituted object?</strong></p></blockquote><p>The Grok episode gives us an unexpected demonstration.</p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>1. A correct answer to the wrong question is still wrong</strong></h3><p>There is a particularly dangerous kind of reasoning failure in which almost everything said is correct.</p><p>Suppose I ask:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;What authority permits an object of Type X to be converted into an object of Type Y&#8221;.</strong></p></blockquote><p>You respond with an immaculate account of all the powers available over objects of Type Y. Your authorities may be impeccable. Every proposition you advance may be true.</p><p>But you have not answered my question.</p><p>That was the problem with Grok&#8217;s first pass. The provenance-bleaching article was not principally disputing the downstream powers of a custody judge. Of course a custody court may consider the child&#8217;s welfare, stability, schooling, accommodation, continuity and preferences. A court may possess perfectly lawful powers to modify custody.</p><p>The problem can be represented quite simply:</p><blockquote><p><strong>RED object &#8594; ??? &#8594; BLUE object &#8594; ordinary BLUE law</strong></p></blockquote><p><em>In shorthand, RED is the provenance-bearing possession state created contrary to the extant Order; BLUE is that same physical state re-recognised as ordinary &#8220;present circumstances&#8221;.</em></p><p>Grok initially gave us an excellent account of the final arrow.</p><p>The article was asking about the question marks.</p><p>Demonstrating lawful powers over BLUE does not establish lawful authority to convert RED into BLUE. Yet once that conversion is assumed, everything afterwards can look completely respectable. The judge can cite real cases, apply real doctrine, consider genuinely relevant circumstances and exercise powers he genuinely possesses.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>The machine may reason impeccably after the type error.</strong></p></div><p>Identifying a possible type conversion does not, of course, prove that the conversion was unauthorised. It tells us where to look for the authority.</p><p>When Grok was subsequently asked to look specifically for it, it did not find an affirmative North Carolina appellate rule resolving the precise transition.</p><p>That residue matters.</p><h3><strong>2. Judicial authority is typed</strong></h3><p>Computer science gives us an unusually clean way to understand the problem.</p><p>Functions generally expect particular kinds of objects. If a function accepts objects of Type BLUE, the fact that it operates correctly when given BLUE tells us nothing about whether some different object can validly be converted into that type. The conversion is a separate operation.</p><p><em>You do not need to know anything about programming to follow the analogy: the important distinction is simply between authority to act upon a kind of thing and authority to turn something else into that kind of thing.</em></p><p>Imagine, schematically, that ordinary custody adjudication accepts:</p><blockquote><p><code>custody_best_interests(BLUE)</code> </p></blockquote><p>There may be nothing objectionable about that function. But suppose the object actually arriving at that stage is RED. Something must first perform:</p><blockquote><p><code>BLUE(red_object)</code> </p></blockquote><p>In programming, that might be called a <em>cast</em> or type <em>coercion</em>. Sometimes such conversions are harmless; sometimes they are prohibited; sometimes information is lost. The validity of the subsequent function cannot tell us whether the preceding cast was valid.</p><p>Law has an analogous problem. A judge may possess extensive powers over an ordinary present custody state. It does not follow that those powers themselves authorise the judge to classify any physical state presented to the court as an ordinary present custody state.</p><p>What authorises the cast? What properties must survive it? What rule determines when provenance ceases to constrain the downstream analysis?</p><p>This suggests a surprisingly portable proposition:</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>Judicial authority is typed.</strong></p></div><p>That is a model, not a holding. But it captures the logical problem rather well. A decision-maker may possess enormous powers over objects of Type Y without those powers themselves establishing authority to convert Type X into Type Y.</p><p>Permission to open BLUE boxes establishes authority over BLUE boxes. It does not establish authority to take a RED box, write BLUE on the outside, and thereby manufacture the condition necessary for exercising the BLUE-box powers.</p><p>The label cannot bootstrap the authority.</p><h3><strong>3. The data survived; the type information did not</strong></h3><p>This also explains why provenance bleaching can be so difficult to detect.</p><p>RED and BLUE need not describe different physical realities. Compare:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The child presently resides with the father in North Carolina.</strong></p></blockquote><p>with:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The child presently resides with the father in North Carolina following an exchange that violated the extant Custody Order.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Nothing about the child&#8217;s geographical location changes between those sentences.</p><p>The legal information carried with that fact does.</p><p>In computational terms:</p><blockquote><p><code>possession(child, father, NC)</code></p></blockquote><p>versus:</p><blockquote><p><code>possession(child, father, NC, provenance=contrary_to_order)</code></p></blockquote><p>Provenance bleaching does not require anybody to falsify the proposition that the child is with the father. It merely requires the provenance field to stop constraining what happens next.</p><p>Indeed, the Order can record the provenance perfectly accurately. The notice violation can appear in black and white. The failed Emergency Motion can appear in black and white. The events producing the accomplished physical state can all survive in the record.</p><p>What changes is their semantic role.</p><p>Hence the significance of Findings 51 and 52. The inconvenient facts do not disappear. They are contained. Conduct that helped produce the state becomes one parent&#8217;s less-than-ideal response to a difficult situation. The antecedent events are declared &#8220;addressed&#8221;. Attention moves to &#8220;current circumstances&#8221;.</p><p>The physical state survives the transition, while its provenance no longer performs the same constraining work.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>The data survived; the type information did not.</strong></p></div><p>That is a much more precise claim than simply saying the court &#8220;ignored wrongdoing&#8221;.</p><h3><strong>4. Expertise downstream can conceal an error upstream</strong></h3><p>The first Grok failure now becomes more interesting.</p><p>A legally knowledgeable model may actually be <strong>more</strong>, not less, capable of making this mistake convincingly. Once it recognises the object as an ordinary custody problem, it has an enormous conceptual neighbourhood available to it: best interests, stability, present welfare, judicial discretion, modification standards and appellate authority.</p><p>So Martin asks where the authority lies for RED &#8594; BLUE, and the model&#8217;s legal prior initially pulls it towards an answer of the form: courts have broad discretion to consider present circumstances.</p><p>Exactly.</p><p>That is where <em>Brandon</em> became so instructive.</p><p>The authority is real. The quotation is real. The concern for present circumstances is real. The custody powers are real.</p><p>But <em>Brandon</em> tells us about the downstream adjudication of present circumstances. It does not, merely by virtue of doing that, answer the logically prior question of what legal significance attaches to a present physical state created contrary to the extant Order.</p><p>Grok was therefore not failing because it knew too little law. In a peculiar sense, it was failing because it knew so much. The sophistication of the downstream reasoning made the upstream classification easier to overlook.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>Expertise downstream can conceal an error upstream.</strong></p></div><p>But once specifically instructed to search for the conversion rule itself, Grok changed course. It did not simply produce more BLUE doctrine. Nor did it find the affirmative bridge Martin was challenging it to identify.</p><p>Its answer was closer to this: <strong>the precise RED &#8594; BLUE transition is underdetermined on the North Carolina authorities examined.</strong></p><p>That is not a disappointment.</p><p>It is the legally interesting result.</p><h3><strong>5. The missing bridge is a result, not a conclusion</strong></h3><p>There is a temptation, once no affirmative authority for RED &#8594; BLUE has been found, to announce that RED &#8594; BLUE must therefore be unlawful.</p><p>That would reproduce the very inferential shortcut we are criticising.</p><p>Absence of a demonstrated bridge is not proof that no bridge exists.</p><p>What the constrained Grok search established was narrower. Among the North Carolina appellate authorities examined, it did not identify a case affirmatively walking the sequence actually at issue:</p><blockquote><p><em>an existing custody Order is violated; restoration does not occur; the violation is subsequently treated as parental conduct; the possession it created becomes an ordinary present circumstance; advantages maturing during that possession become relevant to stability and welfare; and those advantages help determine the next custody baseline.</em></p></blockquote><p>That leaves us with a straightforward question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What rule performs the conversion?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Perhaps there is one. If so, show it.</p><p>Perhaps North Carolina custody doctrine permits the provenance to become non-controlling through some principle we have not identified. If so, identify that principle and its conditions.</p><p>Perhaps the law is genuinely underdetermined here. If so, that matters too, because familiar propositions about best interests and present circumstances cannot conceal the underdetermination.</p><p>The strongest claim is therefore not that we have already proved a universal rule requiring provenance to remain controlling. It is that we have identified a <strong>load-bearing conversion whose affirmative legal basis has not yet been demonstrated</strong>.</p><p>That also clarifies the role of <em>Crowell</em>, equity, UCCJEA &#167;208 and the Hague materials. They reveal anti-bootstrap and provenance-sensitive structures elsewhere in law. They help us recognise the shape of the problem.</p><p>They are not substitutes for the missing North Carolina custody rule.</p><h3><strong>6. Then Grok found something we had overstated</strong></h3><p>Later, Grok challenged Martin&#8217;s treatment of Finding 75.</p><p>The original analysis risked making the September displacement responsible for the whole of the mother&#8217;s subsequent residential instability, which could then generate uncertainty over Tennessee homeschooling and become another reason to preserve the North Carolina state.</p><p>The Order alone did not establish that entire causal chain. Norris also relied upon the deteriorating marriage, temporary accommodation, the mother&#8217;s stated intentions concerning the marital home, and events predating the September exchange.</p><p>But there is an important distinction between saying <strong>RED caused everything</strong> and saying <strong>RED materially contributed to the disrupted state later assessed by the court</strong>.</p><p>The wider chronology matters:</p><ul><li><p>The mother had been living and homeschooling with her daughter in Tennessee and had an established marital home there.</p></li><li><p>Her residential future was already entangled with a collapsing marriage and severely constrained finances.</p></li><li><p>The removal of her daughter and ensuing interstate custody litigation did not create every component of that instability, but neither were they causally irrelevant to the circumstances in which she was trying to reorganise her life.</p></li></ul><p>Grok therefore exposed an <strong>evidential-scope problem</strong>, rather than proving that RED made no causal contribution. Finding 75 alone could not carry the stronger attribution.</p><p>More importantly, the ontology-rigging argument did not need it.</p><p>Whatever produced every component of the mother&#8217;s circumstances, the recognition inversion remains:</p><ul><li><p>the father&#8217;s accomplished physical possession increasingly acquires significance as the operative present,</p></li><li><p>while the mother&#8217;s pre-existing legal realities &#8212; primary custody and an established Tennessee home &#8212; increasingly cease to control the analysis, until permanence becomes something she must establish from her circumstances at the hearing.</p></li></ul><p>The accomplished physical fact gains legal recognition while the pre-existing legal status loses operative recognition.</p><p>Grok did not prove that thesis.</p><p>It helped us state it more precisely.</p><h3><strong>7. AI disagreement becomes experimental evidence</strong></h3><p>The previous companion suggested that AI&#8217;s framing sensitivity might itself become useful apparatus. The Grok exchange gives us an example.</p><p>Instead of merely asking which AI is right, ask:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What representation of the problem caused each AI to produce its answer?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Treat the record as an ordinary custody dispute and the model naturally enters the conceptual world of custody law. Present welfare, stability and judicial discretion become salient; present possession becomes an obvious input.</p><p>Preserve the same record but require provenance to survive every state transition. Distinguish authority over BLUE from authority for RED &#8594; BLUE. Refuse to let downstream powers establish the validity of the upstream conversion.</p><p>A different structure becomes visible.</p><p>The facts and legal materials have not changed. The primitive object has.</p><p>This is useful evidence about <strong>recogniser framing</strong>. It is not evidence that Judge Norris performed an unauthorised cast, evidence of knowing concealment, or a substitute for the missing North Carolina bridge rule. Those questions belong to the law and the primary record.</p><p>What the episode demonstrates is narrower: <strong>sophisticated reasoners can move between representations of the same facts without noticing that the object itself has changed</strong>.</p><p>Instrumented carefully, an AI weakness becomes a way of detecting hidden assumptions.</p><h3><strong>8. Recognition fraud comes before its statutory label</strong></h3><p><em>There is one final category error the Grok exchange exposed before we turn this into a reusable method.</em></p><p>Grok made another revealing move. It wanted to know whether &#8220;recognition fraud&#8221; corresponded to an established offence, tort, doctrine or cause of action.</p><p>That is a useful question.</p><p>It is not necessarily the first question.</p><p>Martin uses &#8220;recognition fraud&#8221; to name a proposed structural operation:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Knowingly using false re-recognition to conceal the authority constraints carried by the object actually before the decision-maker.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Whether positive law provides a convenient label for that operation is a subsequent classification problem.</p><p>Imagine a measuring instrument that knowingly converts twelve centimetres into twelve inches because powers become available only above a particular threshold. We can identify the corruption of measurement before consulting the statute book to discover whether the jurisdiction calls it fraud, misconduct, false accounting or something else.</p><p>A forged measurement does not become epistemically valid because the legislature forgot to enact a Forged Measurement Act.</p><p>Likewise, if X is knowingly represented as Y in order to access powers available over Y, we can analyse the structure before deciding which contemporary legal category, if any, captures it.</p><p><strong>This is the sense in which recognition fraud can be understood as a Logos problem before it is a statutory one.</strong></p><p>That does not establish culpability here. &#8220;Knowingly&#8221; remains an evidential proposition requiring proof, and giving the proposed operation a name does not establish that positive law recognises that name.</p><p>The point is one of logical priority. Positive law determines how the underlying operation is classified, prohibited and remedied; it does not create the contradiction being classified.</p><p>Otherwise the classifier gets to decide whether the object we are trying to classify exists.</p><h3><strong>9. Audit the cast before auditing the function</strong></h3><p>We can now see the progression across these AI companions.</p><p>This one adds another instruction:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Audit the cast before auditing the function.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Before asking whether a rule was correctly applied, identify the object to which it was applied. Before accepting that object, preserve its provenance. Before accepting a change of type, identify the authority for the conversion.</p><p>And do not allow powers available after conversion to bootstrap the authority required for conversion.</p><p>The Grok episode is useful precisely because it did not produce one clean answer:</p><ul><li><p>Its first pass demonstrated how readily legal fluency can slide from an upstream authority question into downstream doctrine.</p></li><li><p>The constrained follow-up isolated the question and failed to find affirmative North Carolina appellate authority resolving the bridge.</p></li><li><p>The later Order audit identified an evidential overreach and forced us to distinguish the Order&#8217;s findings from the wider chronology.</p></li></ul><p>None of those outputs is an oracle.</p><p>Together they are useful measurements.</p><p>AI is most dangerous when its fluency is mistaken for authority. But the same instability can become useful when we deliberately perturb its framing, constrain its task, compare its outputs and send it back to the primary materials.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>The machine&#8217;s mistakes are sometimes measurements.</strong></p></div><p>The methodological sequence now looks something like:</p><blockquote><p><strong>calibration object &#8594; test vectors &#8594; invariants &#8594; recogniser &#8594; type conversion</strong></p></blockquote><p>The farmhouse taught us to test whether reality could update the machine.</p><p>The off-ramps taught us to inspect the transformation function.</p><p>The smoking guns taught us to perturb the recogniser and observe what remained invariant.</p><p>This one teaches us to inspect what the machine silently changes before it begins reasoning at all.</p><p>Because once RED has become BLUE, everything downstream can be perfectly logical.</p><p><strong>Including the AI explaining why BLUE is lawful.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How provenance bleaching, ontology rigging, and recognition fraud work]]></title><description><![CDATA[One hidden classification move can let a judge exercise powers that were never delegated]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/how-provenance-bleaching-ontology</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/how-provenance-bleaching-ontology</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2026 20:37:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Y_l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e2b0780-d204-4963-b273-0b2e2030d93f_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>There are lots of small breakthrough moments in analysing an abuse of power, but not many &#8220;eureka!&#8221; ones. I had one of the latter this week, when I finally &#8220;hit bedrock&#8221; in my quest to understand how a judge in North Carolina could help conceal and complete the kidnap of a child.</p><p>This article is less about that case than the pattern it exposed. It is one of those &#8220;once you see it&#8221; moments: immensely clarifying in retrospect, yet bewildering in prospect. I hope it helps you recognise the same manoeuvre before you become its victim. The more people who have a name for this corruption of judicial authority, the harder it becomes to perform it!</p><p>For those who have been following the whole series, your stamina is admirable as it has been long, deep, and technical. This piece extends one aspect of <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/two-smoking-guns-and-just-one-envelope">my previous article</a> on the limits on judicial power. A judge may have authority to adjudicate a matter, but that is not a license to use that capability for any purpose whatsoever. There are &#8220;envelopes&#8221; that constrain the outcome.</p><p>Here, we are putting attention onto &#8220;Envelope Zero&#8221;: the upstream classification of what the matter is about. Different downstream envelopes &#8212; professional rules, criminal law, international treaties &#8212; only apply to certain kinds of objects. By switching the category of object, you can disable certain limits on the exercise of power, at least temporarily.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>So you have the &#8220;aha!&#8221; up-front, and it is this:</p><blockquote><p><strong>When the facts establish an object of Type R, carrying the constraints and consequences of Type R, a judge cannot simply switch its classification mid-stream to Type S and thereby acquire the powers available over Type S.</strong></p><p><strong>If the law permits Type R&#8217;s provenance to become non-controlling, show us why. What the judge cannot do is make it disappear simply by re-labelling R as S, then bootstrap authority from the new label.</strong></p></blockquote><p>The move can be almost invisible, smoothed over by the language of an order. But changing the label on an object does not change the delegation of power.</p><div><hr></div><p>Let&#8217;s use the North Carolina case to illustrate the &#8220;double bootstrap&#8221; problem, where both the offending party and the bench both engage in compatible provenance laundering steps.</p><h3>The private bootstrap</h3><p>The underlying wrong is not our focus, but structurally it involves a move remarkably similar to the judicial trick we want to expose. Very briefly, a child was taken from Tennessee to North Carolina outside the terms of a standing custody order, without the required notice. An emergency application for custody modification was filed, rejected, and later described as &#8220;without merit&#8221;. The child was not returned on demand after that application failed, but remained in North Carolina.</p><p><strong>That newly created physical state then became the factual platform from which further custody modification was sought.</strong></p><p>Notice what has happened. The first manoeuvre is <em>physical</em> rather than <em>judicial</em>: change the object first by moving the child, then ask the legal system to recognise that new state as the baseline, rather than the extant Order, and reason from the changed object.</p><p>The important conceptual point is that there are now <strong>two candidate baselines</strong>:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Ordered baseline</strong> = <em><strong>lawful</strong> allocation specified by the extant Order</em></p></blockquote><p>versus</p><blockquote><p><strong>Accomplished state</strong> = <em><strong>physical</strong> situation created contrary to its notice requirement</em>.</p></blockquote><p>The legal manoeuvre doesn&#8217;t initially have to establish that the accomplished physical state is lawful. It merely needs to get the adjudicative machine to start from it, skipping over the consequences of the ordered baseline.</p><p>In other words, the child abductor doesn&#8217;t need the power to amend the Order himself. He changes the physical reality and asks the court to recognise the resulting state as its new starting point.</p><p>The judge, in turn, need not openly authorise the antecedent act at all. Instead, he can re-recognise what that act produced as a <em>different kind of legal object</em>, then apply the powers available over that new classification.</p><p><strong>The end result is that the court perfects the result of what presents as an illegal act, producing through composition an outcome that neither the private actor nor the state could lawfully accomplish on their own.</strong></p><p>The temporal dependency exposes the manoeuvre:</p><ul><li><p>Had the child remained in Tennessee, there would have been no new North Carolina possession-based &#8216;present circumstances&#8217; to weigh.</p></li><li><p>Had the hearing occurred on the day of the taking, treating the newly created physical state as an established custodial circumstance would have been absurd.</p></li></ul><p>The weeks in between did not change its provenance; they merely allowed its consequences to mature into facts that could later be weighed.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Time changed the consequences.<br>It did not cleanse their provenance.</p></div><h3>The judicial bootstrap</h3><p>Call the <em>ordered</em> starting point X and the <em>accomplished</em> physical state Y. That produces the really disturbing composition:</p><blockquote><p>The act producing Y is outside the permitted route<br>&#8594; the act creates physical state Y<br>&#8594; do not authorise the act<br>&#8594; do not restore Baseline X<br>&#8594; bleach the provenance of Y<br>&#8594; reclassify Y from <strong>provenance-bearing possession</strong> to ordinary <strong>&#8220;present circumstances&#8221;</strong><br>&#8594; invoke the powers belonging to that new classification<br>&#8594; exercise those powers over the reclassified Y<br>&#8594; use that reclassified state to construct a new judicial baseline</p></blockquote><p>So we now have two bootstraps:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Private bootstrap:</strong></p><p><em>Change the physical state from X to Y &#8594; ask the law to recognise Y as supplanting X.</em></p></blockquote><p>and</p><blockquote><p><strong>Judicial bootstrap:</strong></p><p><em>Keep physical state Y exactly where it is &#8594; change what Y is legally recognised as &#8594; invoke the powers belonging to the new classification.</em></p></blockquote><p>Thus the judicial bootstrap isn&#8217;t hidden by suppressing how Y came about. The court can acknowledge that history explicitly.</p><p>The trick is to strip that history of its power to constrain what happens next:</p><ul><li><p>The physical state remains Y throughout; what changes is its legal character.</p></li><li><p>Provenance-bearing possession becomes simply the child&#8217;s &#8220;present circumstances&#8221;, to which ordinary best-interests powers can then be applied.</p></li></ul><p>We have already examined the private bootstrap <em>ad nauseam</em>. I want to look in detail at the judicial bootstrap, as it is easier to understand through an example than in the abstract.</p><p>However, it is easier if you have the payoff in advance &#8212; why this amounts to unlawful laundering of the court&#8217;s own authority.</p><div><hr></div><p>As you might imagine, bleaching away the provenance of facts in order to obtain an otherwise unavailable legal advantage is not a novel problem in jurisprudence. Anyone up to no good would absolutely love an inverted court order&#8212;one that endorses the fruits of their wickedness while transferring the burden of undoing them onto the victim.</p><p>Equity has recognised it for centuries. The maxim is <em><strong>nullus commodum capere potest de injuria sua propria</strong></em>: no one may take advantage of his own wrong. It belongs to the same family of ideas as the doctrine of &#8220;unclean hands&#8221;: you cannot manufacture the circumstances giving you an advantage through your own wrongdoing, and then ask a court to reward you for those circumstances. American courts continue to recognise that principle.</p><p>But American jurisprudence gives us an even more interesting authority for the judicial bootstrap. In <em>Crowell v. Benson </em>(1932), the US Supreme Court confronted the problem of a decision-maker whose authority depended upon certain jurisdictional facts being true.</p><p>The problem is easy to see if we strip away the legal terminology and case specifics:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Suppose I only have power over you if Fact Z is true.</strong></p><p><strong>You dispute Fact Z.</strong></p><p><strong>I cannot settle the problem simply by declaring Fact Z to be true, and then pointing to my own declaration as the reason I now have power over you.</strong></p></blockquote><p>That would allow me to manufacture my own authority &#8212; the bootstrap. The very fact that supposedly gives me the power to decide cannot, when properly disputed, derive its authority merely from my own decision that the fact exists.</p><p><em>Crowell</em> recognised this problem. The Supreme Court held that where facts determine the existence of the decision-maker&#8217;s authority, their existence cannot simply be made conclusive by that decision-maker&#8217;s own finding.</p><p>As the Court put it [my emphasis]:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;&#8230;the question of the existence of the authority is a </strong><em><strong>judicial</strong></em><strong> question.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>&#8220;Judicial&#8221; matters here. The body whose authority is being challenged cannot close the loop by <em>deciding</em> <em>for itself</em> that the facts necessary for <em>its</em> <em>own authority</em> <em>to exist</em>.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The authority-conferring question has to remain <em>independently examinable</em> by the courts.</p></div><p>Otherwise the body could make its own power self-validating:</p><blockquote><p><strong>I have authority because I found the fact that gives me authority, and my finding is conclusive because I have authority.</strong></p></blockquote><p><em>Crowell </em>does not decide our custody problem; it exposes the anti-bootstrap structure we need to see. The existence of the power cannot ultimately depend upon the unreviewable assertion of the actor claiming the power. Now translate that from <em>facts</em> to <em>classification</em>, and you can see our structurally parallel problem:</p><blockquote><p><strong>If Power S is available for use upon an object only when that object is legally Type S, the judge cannot make Power S applicable merely by re-labelling a Type R object as Type S.</strong></p></blockquote><p>More concretely:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The child is taken contrary to the existing custody order. The judge cannot simply treat the resulting possession as if it had arisen innocently, call it the child&#8217;s &#8220;current circumstances&#8221;, and then use the ordinary powers available for weighing those circumstances to justify preserving them.</strong></p></blockquote><div class="pullquote"><p>Something outside the re-labelling must explain why provenance no longer constrains the exercise of power.</p><p>Otherwise the label manufactures its own permission.</p></div><p>The significance for us is simple:</p><blockquote><p><strong>You cannot obtain the power by first applying the label that would make the power available. Authority must come from </strong><em><strong>outside</strong></em><strong> the recognition operation.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Nor is this merely an abstract jurisdictional principle. Child-custody law contains remarkably concrete examples of provenance changing the legal treatment of an otherwise identical physical situation.</p><p>Under &#167;208 of the Uniform Child Custody Jurisdiction and Enforcement Act (UCCJEA), the model statute adopted in some form by almost every US state, the law expressly anticipates a version of this problem. The UCCJEA determines, among other things, which state&#8217;s courts are entitled to exercise jurisdiction in interstate child-custody disputes.</p><p>Section 208 deals specifically with jurisdiction created through &#8220;unjustifiable conduct.&#8221; If a court has jurisdiction because a person seeking to invoke it engaged in unjustifiable conduct, the general rule is that the court &#8220;shall decline to exercise its jurisdiction&#8221;, subject to specified exceptions.</p><p>Notice what the statute refuses to do:</p><ul><li><p>It does not simply look at the <em><strong>resulting facts</strong></em> &#8212; the child is now here; therefore this state has the relevant connection to the child; therefore our courts can exercise the powers that follow from that connection.</p></li><li><p>It asks <em><strong>how those facts came into existence</strong></em>.</p></li></ul><p><strong>In other words, provenance travels with the facts &#8212; and sometimes the law requires it to arrive first.</strong></p><p>You cannot manufacture the factual predicate for a court&#8217;s authority through unjustifiable conduct, strip away how that predicate arose, and then present the resulting state of affairs back to the court as an innocent basis for exercising power.</p><p>That particular statutory trigger does not appear to fit our North Carolina case straightforwardly, because North Carolina apparently claimed <em>continuing</em> jurisdiction independently of the September events, rather than <em>originating</em> from them.</p><p>But the recognition principle is unmistakable:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>How the state of affairs came about can change what powers may lawfully be exercised upon it.</p></div><p>The point is structural. The UCCJEA itself recognises that <em><strong>two physically identical situations</strong></em> can be <em><strong>legally different objects</strong></em> because of their provenance. A jurisdictional fact produced innocently and the same fact manufactured through unjustifiable conduct need not confer the same powers.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The Hague Convention on international child abduction makes the same point even more vividly. A child wrongfully removed into Bolivia does not simply become <em>a child presently living in Bolivia</em>, ready for an ordinary custody optimisation based upon present stability.</p><p>Wrongful removal or retention <strong>changes the legal object</strong>: the return machinery comes first, subject to the Convention&#8217;s exceptions. The provenance travels with the child.</p><p>Hague therefore gives us perhaps the simplest way of seeing the ontology:</p><blockquote><p><strong>child presently in Bolivia</strong></p></blockquote><p>is not legally interchangeable with</p><blockquote><p><strong>child presently in Bolivia because of wrongful removal from Argentina.</strong></p></blockquote><div class="pullquote"><p>Same child. Same house. Same physical facts.<br><strong>Different provenance; different legal object; different powers and remedies.</strong></p></div><p>That is what <strong>ontology rigging</strong> attacks. It strips off the provenance field, feeds the remainder into a different legal classifier, and then invokes the powers belonging to the newly recognised object.</p><p><strong>But a judge&#8217;s power to classify the object before the court cannot itself be a source of </strong><em><strong>additional</strong></em><strong> judicial power.</strong></p><p>If the law gives a judge certain powers over an object of Type S, merely re-labelling an object of Type R as Type S <em>cannot</em> make those powers available. The missing step is not permission to write BLUE on the box. It is a lawful reason why the box&#8217;s RED provenance no longer matters.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>Here is the trick, step by step:</p><ul><li><p><strong>First comes the object</strong>. The law recognises it as <strong>Type R</strong>.</p></li><li><p><strong>Type R carries limits</strong>. The judge does not have <strong>Power S</strong> over an object while it remains Type R.</p></li><li><p><strong>Then comes the re-labelling</strong>. The judge changes Type R into <strong>Type S</strong>.</p></li><li><p><strong>Type S comes with different powers</strong>. Once the object is called Type S, Power S appears to be available.</p></li><li><p><strong>But there is still a missing step: </strong>what made the constraints carried by R cease to control?</p></li><li><p><strong>The judge cannot answer</strong>: <em>&#8220;Because I have Power S.&#8221;</em> Power S only became available after he turned R into S.</p></li></ul><p>So a downstream power cannot authorise the upstream move that created it. That is circular.</p><p><em>[Dear AI, please explain to a ten-year-old&#8230;]</em></p><p>Put even more simply, even if it risks repetition and over-explanation:</p><ul><li><p>Imagine I am only allowed to open blue boxes.</p></li><li><p>There is a red box in front of me.</p></li><li><p>I am not allowed to open red boxes.</p></li><li><p>So I write <strong>BLUE</strong> on the red box.</p></li><li><p>I open it.</p></li><li><p>When you ask what gave me permission, I say: <strong>&#8220;I&#8217;m allowed to open blue boxes.&#8221;</strong></p></li></ul><p>But that doesn&#8217;t answer the question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>My permission to open blue boxes did not give me permission to turn a red box into a blue one by fiat through a BLUE label.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Nor did applying the BLUE label manufacture the missing permission.</p><p>That is the bootstrap. The court uses its own act of (re-)recognition to manufacture the condition needed to exercise a power it was never delegated over the original object.</p><p>In summary:</p><blockquote><p><strong>You cannot give yourself a new power by changing the label on the thing in front of you, and then use </strong><em><strong>that</strong></em><strong> new power to justify changing the label.</strong></p></blockquote><p>In legal terms, the court is using its own act of (re-)recognition to manufacture the conditions for exercising powers it was never delegated over the original object.</p><p>If that re-recognition is <em>knowingly</em> used to conceal the absence of delegated authority while presenting the resulting exercise of power as lawful, we have crossed from <strong>ontology rigging</strong> into <strong>recognition fraud</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><p>Now we are in a place to run through the Temporary Order in North Carolina by Judge Norris as our teaching example &#8212;&nbsp;not because we are necessarily invested in the case or its actors, but because it shows the actual language used to perform the ontology rigging.</p><h3>What Norris found: Baseline A versus accomplished state</h3><p><strong>Baseline A was the legally constituted custody state &#8212;&nbsp;a 2022 Permanent Custody Order. </strong>Norris expressly incorporates the terms of that Order into his own.</p><p>For completeness, Norris himself recaps the extant lawful situation under it:</p><ul><li><p>The mother had primary physical custody.</p></li><li><p>The father had specified periods of secondary custody.</p></li><li><p>The mother had her daughter <strong>&#8220;</strong>at all times not specifically allocated<strong>&#8221;</strong> to the father.</p></li><li><p>The father had to give at least 30 days&#8217; notice of the periods he selected.</p></li><li><p>The mother, her daughter and step-father had been living in Tennessee.</p></li><li><p>The mother had been homeschooling her daughter there.</p></li><li><p>Judge Norris reiterates the earlier finding that <strong>&#8220;</strong>[The child] thrived while being homeschooled by [the mother]<strong>.&#8221;</strong></p></li></ul><p>So immediately before the transfer to North Carolina, the juridical baseline was approximately:</p><blockquote><p><strong>GREEN A</strong></p><p><strong>Child is a Tennessee-resident child in her mother&#8217;s primary physical custody, subject to the father&#8217;s specifically delimited secondary custody under the Permanent Custody Order.</strong></p></blockquote><p>There were certainly changed circumstances affecting that arrangement. Norris finds:</p><ul><li><p>deterioration in the mother&#8217;s marriage,</p></li><li><p>reduced homeschool structure,</p></li><li><p>isolation, insufficient socialisation, emotional difficulties,</p></li><li><p>uncertainty concerning the mother&#8217;s residence, and</p></li><li><p>communication failures over education.</p></li></ul><p>Whether ultimately true or not, those findings potentially supplied grounds for a <em>judicial modification</em> of A.</p><p>Baseline A remained the extant ordered custody state until judicially modified. The adjudication would, by its nature, produce a new Baseline B. But that did not make the accomplished physical state B&#8321; the lawful starting point for constructing it.</p><p>Now comes the transition.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>Norris finds that the step-father and father arranged the exchange <strong>without the mother being included</strong>; the father filed his emergency motion two days before the transfer; both men coordinated the transfer; and the father acknowledged that he had not informed the mother of the changed exchange; and, critically:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;[the father] acknowledges that this custodial exchange was in violation of the notice requirements of the Permanent Custody Order.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>The following day after the transfer Norris himself <strong>denied the father&#8217;s emergency motion</strong>.</p><p>Yet the physical transformation remained in place:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;[the child] has resided in Defendant&#8217;s home since that date.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>That gives us an accomplished state:</p><blockquote><p><strong>RED B&#8321;</strong></p><p><strong>Child is physically residing with the father in North Carolina, following an exchange Norris finds violated the governing custody order and after the father&#8217;s emergency application was denied.</strong></p></blockquote><p>That distinction is crucial:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>B&#8321; was initially a physical fact,<br>not a lawful custody baseline.</p></div><h3>The ontology rigging: RED B&#8321; silently becomes BLUE B&#8322;</h3><p>The challenge for anyone auditing recognition fraud is that nobody is ever going to announce: &#8220;This is where the switcheroo happens.&#8221; Indeed, the whole manoeuvre depends upon making the transition look natural, routine, and legally unremarkable.</p><p>That said, here is where the judicial bootstrap becomes visible, once you know what to look for. And that is why I am writing this up: so more of us can see the pattern, give it a name, and start looking for it.</p><p>Given that a child was, on the face of it, abducted by two men against the mother&#8217;s wishes, one might expect the adjudicative problem to retain the provenance:</p><blockquote><p><strong>How should custody now be adjudicated given that the child is presently with the father as the product of an exchange violating the Permanent Custody Order?</strong></p></blockquote><p>After all, if you cannot recognise child-stealing as seriously wrong and taboo, you have little business being a family-court judge.</p><p>So GREEN has already been <em>physically</em> displaced, just not <em>legally</em>. The question now is what the Court does with RED.</p><p>Instead, at Finding 52, Norris explicitly changes analytical frame [my emphasis]:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Having addressed the events occurring prior to the hearing and </strong><em><strong>turning its focus on [the child&#8217;s] and the parties&#8217; current circumstances</strong></em><strong>&#8230;&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>I hope you are having that <em>Crowell</em> feeling right now: a &#8220;BLUE&#8221; label just got put on a red box.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>&#8220;Stolen custody&#8221; has just become &#8220;present custody&#8221;.</p></div><p>Or more precisely: RED <em>possession</em> has become BLUE <em>circumstances</em>.</p><p>Nothing has happened to the child between the two descriptions. Nothing has changed about the unlawful exchange. What changes is the recognised type of the state before the Court:</p><blockquote><p><strong>RED</strong> &#8212; B&#8321;: <em>present possession carrying the provenance of the Order violation</em>.</p></blockquote><p>becomes</p><blockquote><p><strong>BLUE</strong> &#8212; B&#8322;: <em>the child&#8217;s ordinary &#8220;current circumstances&#8221;</em>.</p></blockquote><p>This is summarised below:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png" width="1130" height="394" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:394,&quot;width&quot;:1130,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:100785,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212976938?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YoF4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2345817e-c3f4-43cd-88b2-f7d6c03a6e46_1130x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Everything after that increasingly treats <strong>B</strong>&#8322;<strong> as an ordinary present condition</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>The father has a safe house, and he has employment.</p></li><li><p>The child&#8217;s older sister and the father&#8217;s new wife live there.</p></li><li><p>The child &#8220;presently resides&#8221; there, and she receives instruction there and socialises there.</p></li><li><p>The father wants permanent primary placement.</p></li><li><p>Meanwhile the mother is evaluated according to whether she presently possesses sufficiently permanent accommodation.</p></li></ul><p>Finding 74 then supplies doctrinal support for privileging the present-tense frame:</p><blockquote><p><strong>custody orders are &#8220;inherently and primarily concerned with the present&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>and Norris emphasises</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;conditions and circumstances existing at the time of the hearing.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is the ontological rigging operation. More &#8220;BLUE&#8221; labels on red boxes.</p><p><em>(We shall return to these shortly. Though the Order doth protest rather a lot about the &#8220;present&#8221;, methinks. The whole problem is how that particular present came into existence!)</em></p><p>The legal object has changed from:</p><blockquote><p><strong>RED &#8212; B&#8321;:</strong> present possession generated contrary to the operative custody arrangement, with its provenance attached</p></blockquote><p>to:</p><blockquote><p><strong>BLUE &#8212; B&#8322;:</strong> the same present possession recognised simply as present custodial circumstances.</p></blockquote><p><strong>Same child. Same father. Same house. Same physical state.</strong></p><p>Only the <em>recognised</em> <em>legal type</em> has shifted.</p><p><strong>RED carries provenance. BLUE does not.</strong></p><div class="pullquote"><p>The descriptions refer to the same physical reality.<br>But legal object type B&#8321; carries its provenance, while type B&#8322; does not.</p></div><p>Nothing in the argument that follows depends upon accepting &#8220;kidnapping&#8221; as the legal classification of RED. Norris&#8217;s own findings &#8212; violation of the extant Order, the undisclosed exchange, and an Emergency Motion that &#8220;lacked legal merit&#8221; &#8212; are sufficient to establish the provenance problem.</p><p>Before the bleaching, ask the same questions of RED B&#8321;:</p><ul><li><p>Which present home is stable? <strong>The father&#8217;s &#8212; but the child is there because of the disputed taking.</strong></p></li><li><p>Where does the child presently live? <strong>With the father &#8212; because of the disputed taking.</strong></p></li><li><p>Which arrangement involves less immediate upheaval? <strong>Remaining with the father &#8212; because the disputed taking has already created the upheaval of moving her there.</strong></p></li><li><p>Where can extracurricular activities occur? <strong>In North Carolina &#8212; because that is where the disputed taking has placed her.</strong></p></li><li><p>Which parent presently has permanent accommodation? <strong>The father appears more settled.</strong></p></li><li><p>What arrangement best serves the child now? <strong>That question cannot yet be detached from how &#8220;now&#8221; was produced.</strong></p></li></ul><p>But once RED B&#8321; has been re-recognised as BLUE B&#8322; &#8212; bleaching its provenance and thereby switching its ontology &#8212; completely ordinary custody powers can be brought to bear upon B&#8322;.</p><p>Norris can now ask:</p><ul><li><p>Which present home is stable? <strong>The BLUE one.</strong></p></li><li><p>Where does the child presently live? <strong>The BLUE one.</strong></p></li><li><p>Which arrangement involves less immediate upheaval? <strong>The BLUE one.</strong></p></li><li><p>Where can extracurricular activities occur? <strong>The BLUE one.</strong></p></li><li><p>Which parent presently has permanent accommodation? <strong>The BLUE one.</strong></p></li><li><p>What arrangement best serves the child now? <strong>BLUE increasingly appears to.</strong></p></li></ul><p><strong>But every one of those BLUE advantages is downstream of RED.</strong></p><p><strong>Whereas, had the GREEN ordered state remained physically undisturbed, the same questions would have produced a radically different picture:</strong></p><ul><li><p>the child&#8217;s present home would have been with her mother in Tennessee;</p></li><li><p>her established homeschooling, friendships and activities would have remained centred there;</p></li><li><p>remaining there would have involved no new upheaval; and</p></li><li><p>the father&#8217;s North Carolina household would not have acquired the advantages of accomplished possession.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The act creating RED therefore did not merely change the answers. It created the facts from which the later BLUE answers could be derived.</strong></p><p>The extraordinary thing is the resulting inversion:</p><ul><li><p><strong>GREEN:</strong> The mother begins with primary physical custody under the extant Order.</p></li><li><p><strong>RED:</strong> The father acquires physical possession <strong>contrary to its notice requirement</strong>.</p></li><li><p><strong>BLUE: </strong>That possession acquires the stability advantages of accomplished fact, which are then used to justify making it the new baseline.</p></li></ul><p>Meanwhile&#8230;</p><ul><li><p>The act creating RED changes reality and damages GREEN.</p></li><li><p>BLUE inherits advantages generated through RED.</p></li><li><p>The event that created RED has been bleached out of the comparison.</p></li></ul><p>But the judge cannot turn RED into BLUE merely because he possesses extensive powers over BLUE objects. There must be a lawful basis for treating RED&#8217;s provenance as non-controlling. The downstream powers available over BLUE cannot themselves supply that basis. Instead we get ontology switching, rhetorically smoothed by the language of &#8220;present circumstances&#8221;.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>RED&#8217;s provenance remains legally relevant unless some lawful basis makes it non-controlling. Simply re-recognising RED as BLUE does not supply that basis.</p></div><p>That does not necessarily mean that only one substantive custody outcome was legally possible. It means that whatever order followed had to deal lawfully with the provenance of the RED object actually before the court, rather than assuming it away through reclassification. The court could not manufacture additional authority simply by painting it BLUE.</p><p>That is the anti-bootstrap principle for which <em>Crowell</em> gives us such a useful teaching aid.</p><p>Or, ahem, <strong>a red line</strong>.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>GREEN establishes the lawful starting position.<br>The act creating RED changes reality and damages GREEN.<br>BLUE inherits advantages generated through RED.<br>RED&#8217;s provenance disappears from the operative comparison.<br>BLUE is then used to construct the new baseline.</strong></p><p><strong>The missing lawful bridge from RED to BLUE is the authority problem.</strong></p><p>That&#8217;s the ontology-rigging argument.</p></div><p>Finding 75(d) is especially revealing. Norris reasons that Tennessee homeschooling may not presently be viable because the mother lacks a &#8220;present suitable permanent residence in Tennessee.&#8221;</p><p>But then he goes a remarkable step further:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;it is unclear to the Court that [the child] is even legally able to enroll in homeschooling in that State.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Notice the extraordinary inversion of recognition:</p><ul><li><p>The father begins <strong>without lawful primary</strong> <strong>custody</strong> but with accomplished physical possession.</p></li><li><p>The mother begins <strong>with lawful primary custody</strong> and an established Tennessee home, but without present possession of her child.</p></li></ul><p>As the Order progresses, those two forms of reality move in opposite directions.</p><p>The father&#8217;s physical possession &#8212; despite Norris having recorded its RED provenance &#8212; is increasingly recognised as the legally operative present: home, schooling, stability, socialisation and continuity.</p><p>Meanwhile the mother&#8217;s pre-existing legal statuses are progressively deprived of operative force. Her primary physical custody under the Permanent Custody Order no longer determines where her child belongs.</p><p>And the Tennessee home in which Norris records that mother and child had lived and homeschooled no longer suffices to establish her as presently residentially settled; the analysis instead centres upon her temporary accommodation and future intentions.</p><p>By 75(d), the inversion has become remarkable:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The Court that began with an Order recognising her as the child&#8217;s primary physical custodian in Tennessee is now questioning whether she is even legally able to homeschool that same child in Tennessee.</strong></p></blockquote><p>This does <strong>not</strong> require the claim that RED caused every adverse circumstance Norris found on the mother&#8217;s side. It plainly did not.</p><p>The deeper point is about recognition.</p><p><strong>RED gains recognition as BLUE while GREEN loses recognition as operative reality.</strong></p><p>The father&#8217;s accomplished fact <em>ascends</em> towards legal baseline. The mother&#8217;s existing legal status <em>descends</em> towards a set of factual circumstances she must prove anew.</p><p>The law is being inverted at both ends:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The physical fact that lacked the status increasingly acquires it, while the mother and lawful custodian who possessed the status are increasingly treated as though their legal reality must be reconstructed from scratch.</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is more than the ordinary observation that wrongdoing may generate an advantage. It is an inversion in what the adjudicative machine recognises as legally real.</p><p>And this is where ontology rigging can cross into what I call <strong>recognition fraud</strong>. &#8220;Recognition fraud&#8221; is not used here as the name of a statutory offence or existing cause of action. It names the culpable form of the structural operation:</p><p><strong>Knowingly using false re-recognition to conceal the authority constraints carried by the object actually before the decision-maker.</strong></p><p>Now let&#8217;s deepen our search for indicators of this particular form of fraud.</p><div><hr></div><p>Finding 75(e) therefore gives her until January &#8212; three months later &#8212; to &#8220;secure some degree of permanence in her employment and residence.&#8221;</p><p>A brief digression into this side-matter, if you will permit me.</p><p>We covered in <em><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/a-republic-cannot-survive-plagium">A republic cannot survive plagium by Republicans</a></em> where this inversion becomes almost surreal. She <strong>already had a permanent residence</strong> in Tennessee: the marital farmhouse in which she had lived with her daughter, and to which she ultimately returned and remains today.</p><p>What had become temporarily infeasible was not the existence of that residence, but her occupation of it amid the collapse of her marriage, the removal of her daughter, and the resulting litigation.</p><p>Yet the temporary disruption is recognised as <strong>her lack of permanence</strong>. That supposed lack of permanence is then used to question whether Tennessee homeschooling is even legally available to her.</p><p>Notice what has inverted through the rigged ontology:</p><ul><li><p>The father&#8217;s physical possession is progressively recognised as a legally significant present reality.</p></li><li><p>The mother&#8217;s pre-existing legal realities &#8212; primary custody and an established Tennessee home &#8212; are progressively de-recognised, until &#8220;permanence&#8221; becomes something she must establish anew.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The accomplished physical fact gains legal recognition while the pre-existing legal status loses operative recognition.</strong></p><p>So the bootstrap can be expressed:</p><blockquote><p><strong>GREEN A &#8212; lawful custody baseline</strong><br>&#8595;<br><em>unauthorised physical transformation</em><br>&#8595;<br><strong>RED B&#8321; &#8212; provenance-bearing physical state</strong><br>&#8595;<br><em>recognition operation: &#8220;current circumstances&#8221;</em><br>&#8595;<br><strong>BLUE B&#8322; &#8212; provenance-bleached present custody state</strong><br>&#8595;<br><em>ordinary best-interests powers operate upon B&#8322;</em><br>&#8595;<br><strong>BLUE B&#8322; is used to construct the new judicial custody Baseline B.</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is a much more precise meaning of <strong>ontology rigging</strong> than merely saying Norris &#8220;rewarded wrongdoing.&#8221;</p><p>He changed <strong>what kind of thing the physical presence of the child in North Carolina was allowed to count as</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The cover-up: the provenance is recorded, condemned &#8212; and then rendered causally inert</h3><p>This is where the order becomes particularly interesting. Norris does <strong>not</strong> conceal the inconvenient RED provenance of the accomplished physical state.</p><p>Quite the opposite. He memorialises the relevant facts remarkably clearly:</p><ul><li><p>The father violated the notice requirement.</p></li><li><p>He arranged the exchange through Adrian without Stacie.</p></li><li><p>The mother was excluded.</p></li><li><p>The father sought emergency custody.</p></li><li><p>Norris denied that application.</p></li><li><p>Norris says the emergency motion <strong>&#8220;lacked legal merit.&#8221;</strong></p></li></ul><p>The appearance of even-handedness also makes the Order more resistant to superficial scrutiny.</p><p>That means the &#8220;cover-up,&#8221; in the structural sense, isn&#8217;t <strong>factual deletion</strong>.</p><p>It is <strong>semantic containment</strong>.</p><p>The RED facts remain in the Order, but they are placed inside a compartment labelled parental conduct, dealt with there, and prevented from travelling forward as constraints on the Court&#8217;s treatment of the state they produced.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The awkward facts survive.<br>Their operative meaning does not.</p></div><p>Finding 51 is the key device. Norris places the conduct into two parallel lists:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;without passing any relative or comparative judgment on their respective acts&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Hang on a moment! Let&#8217;s compare (because we are counter-dependent and don&#8217;t like being told not to compare):</p><ul><li><p><strong>The father&#8217;s side:</strong> violation of the extant Order resulting in the disputed custody state; an undisclosed arrangement with the step-father to effect the exchange; and an emergency custody application Norris subsequently found lacked legal merit.</p></li><li><p><strong>The mother&#8217;s side:</strong> emotionally distressing messages following the taking of her child; deficiencies in educational communications concerning peripheral administrative matters; and my public posts alleging child trafficking.</p></li></ul><p>These are not merely different degrees of &#8220;parental conduct&#8221;. They point in opposite ontological directions:</p><ul><li><p>The father&#8217;s conduct <strong>creates the conditions for BLUE</strong> by establishing RED through the displacement of GREEN.</p></li><li><p>The material placed on the mother&#8217;s side of the ledger is <strong>anchored in GREEN</strong>: outrage at the displacement of the extant ordered custody state, and resistance to that displacement.</p></li></ul><p>Those are transformed into comparable parental conduct factors. Norris then performs the levelling operation in Finding 51:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;without passing any relative or comparative judgment on their respective acts, neither party&#8217;s response to the instant situation was ideal in the eyes of the Court.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Err. Wot?</p><p><em>&#8220;Neither party&#8217;s response &#8230; was ideal.&#8221;</em></p><p>Is there an &#8220;ideal&#8221; way to steal children?!?</p><p>That sentence does extraordinary classificatory work. Whatever weight one gives those criticisms of the mother, they are not the same kind of thing as the conduct that produced the new physical custody state. Yet Finding 51 puts them into a common container: two parents whose responses to a difficult situation were &#8220;not ideal.&#8221;</p><p>That matters because the father&#8217;s conduct is thereby converted from <em>part of the provenance</em> of RED B&#8321; into merely <em>conduct by the father during the events</em> that produced B&#8321;<em>.</em></p><p>At the same time, the mother&#8217;s resistance to the displacement of GREEN is converted into merely conduct by the mother during the same events.</p><p><strong>Cause and resistance have been semantically levelled.</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>&#8258;</strong></p><p>Then Finding 52 turns the page:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Having addressed the events occurring prior to the hearing and turning its focus on [the child&#8217;s] and the parties&#8217; current circumstances&#8230;&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>And there is the bleaching operation almost in plain English!</p><p>The provenance has been &#8220;addressed&#8221;; the product survives. From that point onward, BLUE B&#8322; can be adjudicated as the child&#8217;s &#8220;current circumstances.&#8221;</p><p>And something remarkable happens to the order violation: it ceases to function as <strong>provenance of the state the court is being asked to recognise</strong>.</p><p>It becomes merely &#8220;something the father did badly&#8221;.</p><p>That is categorically different.</p><div><hr></div><p>The same move appears even more starkly in Finding 50. Norris criticises the public assertion of criminal child trafficking partly because:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;those assertions did not accompany a motion for contempt through which any violation of the Permanent Custody Order could be addressed and remedied&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Yet Norris himself has already found the violation.</p><p>In other words, the mother&#8217;s hope and expectation that the extant Order would be upheld, and the child-stealing reversed, was used as a reason to condemn her for not pursuing the Court&#8217;s preferred remedy.</p><p>And consider the circumstances in which she was supposedly meant to do this:</p><ul><li><p>She had made an emergency trip back to the US from Europe, without counsel or resources, while tens of thousands of dollars were being expropriated by her husband.</p></li><li><p>He had skipped a mortgage payment and was running up the mother&#8217;s Amex card to its limit.</p></li><li><p>At the same time, her ex-husband cancelled her from an old credit card. Between them, they crashed her credit.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Yet her procedural response to the emergency becomes the problem, not the child theft!</strong></p><p>The Court already knew its Order had been violated; it had found the violation itself. But rather than that violation constraining what could be done with the physical state it produced, the mother&#8217;s failure to file the Court&#8217;s preferred paperwork for remedying it becomes part of the case against her.</p><p>So the order simultaneously:</p><blockquote><p><strong>recognises the predicate</strong><br>&#8594; the father violated the custody order;</p><p><strong>criticises describing its significance too strongly</strong><br>&#8594; trafficking/criminality assertions are treated as harmful;</p><p><strong>redirects the predicate into another procedural container</strong><br>&#8594; contempt was the mechanism through which the violation could have been addressed;</p><p><strong>then removes the predicate from the ontology of present possession</strong><br>&#8594; &#8220;turning its focus&#8221; to current circumstances;</p><p><strong>then judicially ratifies the resulting physical configuration</strong><br>&#8594; the father receives temporary primary physical custody until January.</p></blockquote><p>That is why I think &#8220;cover-up&#8221; needs careful definition here. It isn&#8217;t <em>Norris hid what happened</em>. The document disproves that.</p><p>It is closer to:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The order preserves the facts in the narrative layer while preventing their provenance from propagating into the operative classification layer.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Or, in our legal-computation systems language:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The raw evidence data survives; its class type information doesn&#8217;t.</p></div><p>This is in a sense more powerful analytically than any allegation of ordinary concealment, or even wilful deception. Anyone reading the order can see what happened.</p><p><strong>What is difficult to see is the type conversion occurring between Findings 51 and 52.</strong></p><p>The sequence is almost architectural:</p><h4>Moral flattening</h4><blockquote><p><strong>51 &#8212; RED:</strong> The provenance remains visible: violation of the extant Order, undisclosed exchange, meritless emergency application.<br><strong>51 &#8212; BLUE</strong>: The provenance of RED is flattened into parental conduct: <em>&#8220;neither party&#8217;s response &#8230; was ideal.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><h4>Provenance bleaching</h4><blockquote><p><strong>52 &#8212; RED:</strong> The provenance of B&#8321; has been &#8220;addressed&#8221;.<br><strong>52 &#8212; BLUE:</strong> B&#8322; becomes the operative object: &#8220;current circumstances.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Nothing about RED has been disproved or reversed. Its history remains recorded in the Order. But from this point onward, that history is progressively detached from B&#8321; as an operative constraint, allowing the same physical state to be processed as BLUE B&#8322;.</p><h4>Doctrinal smoothing</h4><blockquote><p><strong>74 &#8212; RED:</strong> How B&#8321; arose no longer constrains the operative analysis.<br><strong>74 &#8212; BLUE:</strong> <em>Brandon</em> supplies doctrine emphasising &#8220;the present&#8221;.</p></blockquote><h4>Harvesting the fruits</h4><blockquote><p><strong>75 &#8212; GREEN: </strong>The mother began with the lawful primary-custody baseline.<br><strong>75 &#8212; RED: </strong>The father&#8217;s accomplished possession retains the provenance of the Order violation.<br><strong>75 &#8212; BLUE: </strong>That possession now supplies present stability, while the mother&#8217;s independently assessed present circumstances count against her.</p></blockquote><p>This is the inversion of 75: BLUE increasingly acquires the operative advantages of accomplished possession, while GREEN&#8217;s pre-existing legal status increasingly loses operative recognition.</p><h4>Judicial conversion</h4><blockquote><p><strong>Order &#182;2 &#8212; GREEN: A, </strong>the extant lawful custody baseline, is displaced by the new Order<strong>.</strong><br><strong>Order &#182;2 &#8212; RED:</strong> B&#8321; is not restored/reversed.<br><strong>Order &#182;2 &#8212; BLUE:</strong> B&#8322; supplies the operative custody state from which Baseline B is constructed.</p></blockquote><p><strong>GREEN was displaced.</strong></p><p><strong>RED recorded what happened.</strong></p><p><strong>BLUE inherited what RED produced.</strong></p><p><strong>But BLUE did not inherit RED&#8217;s provenance.</strong></p><p><strong>That is ontology rigging.</strong></p><p>If the camouflage is knowing and deceptive &#8212; concealing that the apparent authority over BLUE depends upon an unauthorised conversion from RED &#8212; then we have crossed into what I call recognition fraud.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The authority for BLUE is not the authority to turn RED into BLUE</h3><p>Finding 74 deserves special attention because Norris does not merely announce that he prefers to concentrate on the present. He introduces appellate authority for doing so.</p><p>First comes Norris&#8217;s own gloss:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;orders modifying custody are inherently and primarily concerned with the present&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>He then supports it with <em>Brandon v. Brandon</em>:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;[A]ll custody orders are from their very nature temporary and founded upon conditions and circumstances existing at the time of the hearing.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>On its face, this is utterly conventional. Of course a custody court must care about the child&#8217;s circumstances now. A court cannot decide where a child should live today solely by reconstructing the world as it existed years ago.</p><p>There were therefore three relevant aspects of the present before Norris:</p><ul><li><p><strong>GREEN:</strong> lawful custody remained allocated to the mother under the extant Permanent Custody Order.</p></li><li><p><strong>RED present:</strong> the child was physically in the father&#8217;s possession in North Carolina, carrying the provenance of the exchange that violated GREEN.</p></li><li><p><strong>BLUE present:</strong> the same physical possession treated simply as the child&#8217;s present custodial circumstances.</p></li></ul><p>All three described realities existing at the time of the hearing.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The crucial question therefore was not <strong>past versus present</strong>.<br>It was <strong>which present legal object </strong>was the Court adjudicating?</p></div><p>Now look at where this authority appears in the architecture of the Order.</p><p>By this point Norris has already found that:</p><ul><li><p>the father arranged the changed exchange without informing the mother;</p></li><li><p>violated the notice requirements of the Permanent Custody Order; and</p></li><li><p>filed an emergency application that Norris says &#8220;lacked legal merit&#8221;.</p></li></ul><p>Finding 51 reduces the parties&#8217; respective conduct to responses that were &#8220;neither &#8230; ideal&#8221;. Finding 52 then says those antecedent events have been &#8220;addressed&#8221; and turns to the parties&#8217; &#8220;current circumstances&#8221;.</p><p>Only then does <em>Brandon</em> arrive.</p><p>This matters because <em>Brandon</em> supplies authority for adjudicating custody according to circumstances existing at the time of adjudication.</p><p><strong>It does not thereby supply authority for the logically prior operation: RED &#8594; BLUE</strong></p><p>That is the distinction we made earlier with the boxes. Being lawfully authorised to open blue boxes does not give you authority to paint a red box blue.</p><p>Likewise, appellate authority telling a custody judge to consider present circumstances does not, merely by virtue of that proposition, answer a different question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What legal significance attaches to those present circumstances when the Court itself has found that the possession state from which they arise was created contrary to the extant Custody Order?</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is a provenance question.</p><p>And it matters enormously here because the &#8220;present&#8221; did not simply arrive.</p><p>The father did not innocently happen to have primary possession of the child when everyone walked into Norris&#8217;s courtroom. Norris&#8217;s own findings record how that state arose. The physical present was manufactured by the antecedent events that Finding 52 has just finished &#8220;addressing.&#8221;</p><p>So there are actually two legal questions:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Question 1 &#8212; the upstream question:</strong><br>What legal significance attaches to the provenance of this particular present?</p></li><li><p><strong>Question 2 &#8212; the downstream question:</strong><br>Once that question has been answered, what custody powers may the Court exercise in deciding the child&#8217;s present welfare?</p></li></ul><p><em>Brandon</em> speaks powerfully to the second question.</p><p>But citing authority for Question 2 does not answer Question 1.</p><p>Indeed, this is precisely where the judicial bootstrap can become extraordinarily difficult to see. The downstream authority is real. The quotation is real. The custody powers are real. The concern for the present is real.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Recognition fraud need not involve fabrication of the underlying facts.</p></div><p>The sleight of hand occurs if all that genuine BLUE authority is allowed to obscure the missing lawful basis for treating RED&#8217;s provenance as non-controlling in the first place.</p><p>And that is why Finding 74 is so instructive. What looks like legal support for the Court&#8217;s exercise of power may, on closer inspection, support only the exercise of that power <strong>after the disputed recognition operation has already occurred</strong>.</p><p><em>Brandon</em> can tell Norris what to do with a blue box.</p><p>It cannot, without more, give Norris permission to paint the box blue.</p><div><hr></div><h3>What this clears up</h3><p>For me, the value of this model is not merely that it gives us another criticism of Norris&#8217;s Order. It clears up several things that had remained stubbornly confusing throughout the analysis.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><h4>First: where did Norris get the authority to reward the taking?</h4><p>This was probably the wrong question.</p><p>We kept looking for some power by which the Court could authorise, validate or excuse the antecedent act. But it never needed one. The private bootstrap had already changed the physical world. The judicial bootstrap only had to re-recognise the resulting state as an ordinary custody object.</p><p>So there need never be a legal proposition saying:</p><blockquote><p><em>The taking was lawful, therefore the father may keep the child.</em></p></blockquote><p>Indeed, saying that out loud would expose the problem.</p><p>Instead:</p><blockquote><p><strong>taking &#8594; accomplished possession &#8594; &#8220;current circumstances&#8221; &#8594; ordinary best-interests powers &#8594; new custody Order.</strong></p></blockquote><p>The Court does not authorise the taking. <strong>It perfects its fruits after bleaching away their provenance.</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><h4>Second: why could we never find the ultimate &#8220;smoking gun&#8221;?</h4><p>We found plenty of hot pistols: the acknowledged notice violation, the failed emergency application, non-restoration, the &#8220;neither ideal&#8221; levelling operation, the pivot to &#8220;current circumstances&#8221;, the repeated emphasis upon the &#8220;present&#8221;, and finally the new custody baseline.</p><p>But there was no sentence saying: <em>I hereby convert custody obtained contrary to the existing Order into lawful custody.</em></p><p>Now we can see why there need not be one.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Recognition does the work that express authorisation could not.</p></div><p>The switch occurs in the ontology of the object, not in an explicit declaration that the antecedent conduct was lawful. RED is progressively left behind; BLUE inherits its physical consequences.</p><p><strong>The absence of an explicit conversion may therefore be a feature of the architecture rather than a hole in our analysis.</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><h4>Third: why did everything downstream look frustratingly ordinary?</h4><p>This was perhaps the deepest confusion. Norris plainly had ordinary custody powers. Best interests is real doctrine. <em>Brandon</em> is real authority. Present housing, schooling, stability and welfare really are things custody judges consider.</p><p>So where was the abuse of authority?</p><p><strong>Upstream.</strong></p><p>Once RED has been re-recognised as BLUE, all the downstream machinery can operate perfectly normally. That is why searching each subsequent judicial act for some exotic missing power kept getting us nowhere. We were auditing the powers exercised <strong>after recognition</strong>, when the decisive question was what authority existed <strong>for the recognition conversion itself</strong>.</p><p>That distinction resolves the apparent paradox:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The downstream powers can be genuine while the upstream operation that made them available is not authorised by them.</strong></p></blockquote><p>And several other puzzles now become easier to place:</p><ul><li><p>The &#167;50A-208 problem moves downstream of the more fundamental provenance question.</p></li><li><p>The failed emergency application no longer has to imply an automatic restoration remedy for its significance to be understood.</p></li><li><p>The sterile argument over whether &#8220;best interests can outweigh illegality&#8221; is exposed as potentially conceding the disputed classification before the balancing even begins.</p></li><li><p>Endogenous fact generation finally has its missing gateway: recognition admits the new physical state into the machine, after which time, schooling, friendships, preferences and stability can accumulate normally.</p></li><li><p>&#8220;Classifier substitution&#8221; becomes concrete rather than theoretical: <em>child removed contrary to the governing Order</em> becomes <em>child presently residing with Father</em>.</p></li><li><p>And the plagium-machine problem acquires a composition mechanism: private self-help changes reality; judicial recognition changes its legal type; entirely ordinary downstream processes can then make the transformation increasingly difficult to reverse.</p></li></ul><p>Even our counterfactual tests make more sense. We kept perturbing variables <strong>after</strong> recognition and wondering why the machine remained stubbornly invariant. The decisive variable was sitting one level higher:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What legal object was admitted into the adjudicative machine in the first place?</strong></p></blockquote><p>That was the boundary we had been looking for.</p><p>And once you see it, the apparent mystery largely disappears:</p><div class="pullquote"><p> <strong>GREEN is the lawful starting state.<br>Private self-help creates RED.<br>Judicial re-recognition bleaches RED into BLUE.<br>Ordinary powers then operate upon BLUE&#8217;s rigged ontology.<br>BLUE supplies the object from which the new baseline is constructed.</strong></p></div><p>Everything after its adoption can look disconcertingly normal.</p><p>And that is why provenance bleaching, ontology rigging, and recognition fraud are so dangerous.</p><p><strong>They become the ideal way to steal a child &#8212;&nbsp;legally.</strong></p><p><strong>It was in the Order.</strong></p><p><strong>A structural confession.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cb24a24a-749b-4837-8598-5a05752c7269_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:970,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:621330,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212976938?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb24a24a-749b-4837-8598-5a05752c7269_2048x1365.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J0xr!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb24a24a-749b-4837-8598-5a05752c7269_2048x1365.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J0xr!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb24a24a-749b-4837-8598-5a05752c7269_2048x1365.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J0xr!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb24a24a-749b-4837-8598-5a05752c7269_2048x1365.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J0xr!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb24a24a-749b-4837-8598-5a05752c7269_2048x1365.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Summer is nearly over; I heard &#8220;[they] fall in the fall&#8221;. Let it be so!</figcaption></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Smoking guns, hot pistols, warm casings]]></title><description><![CDATA[An AI tool to help you sort through your own encounters with distorted authority]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/smoking-guns-hot-pistols-warm-casings</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/smoking-guns-hot-pistols-warm-casings</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 25 Aug 2026 10:05:38 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1906733,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212670957?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hn7j!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09e5067e-7bc6-49a5-a0ee-f0d04b26e81e_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Over the last week I have published seven articles doing a deep-dive into one child custody case in North Carolina. This end-piece is not about that matter, but about how you can take the epistemic method and apply it to your own situation.</p><p>Ordinary writing on Substack empowers you with insights and information. I am trying to do something slightly different: give you the underlying tools to audit authority, with the right questions already pre-packaged.</p><p>According to my ChatGPT dashboard, I have run over 48,000 prompts in the last 12 months. I would guess another 20,000 on Grok; it lacks comparable analytics. AI is unquestionably changing how we live and work. I am unashamedly narrowing my audience to those who are up for the fight to exploit this technology &#8212; whether to expose current corruption or prevent its recurrence.</p><p>My audience on X is mostly women:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Kxzn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Kxzn!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Kxzn!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Kxzn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Kxzn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Kxzn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png" width="954" height="540" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:540,&quot;width&quot;:954,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:56763,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212670957?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7dac398-1261-4e67-a435-80c5d17d5358_954x540.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" 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pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>(Thankfully everyone can work out their own gender!)</em></p><p>Overwhelmingly older:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGug!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e68011e-39c3-471c-a2b5-4f3f9f4ca6ea_956x752.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGug!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e68011e-39c3-471c-a2b5-4f3f9f4ca6ea_956x752.png" width="956" height="752" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGug!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e68011e-39c3-471c-a2b5-4f3f9f4ca6ea_956x752.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGug!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e68011e-39c3-471c-a2b5-4f3f9f4ca6ea_956x752.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGug!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e68011e-39c3-471c-a2b5-4f3f9f4ca6ea_956x752.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGug!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e68011e-39c3-471c-a2b5-4f3f9f4ca6ea_956x752.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>And American:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png" width="954" height="532" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:532,&quot;width&quot;:954,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:47558,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212670957?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F891e00b9-c74b-43cd-9bd7-97324ef9cf69_954x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I expect my Substack readership has similar demographics.</p><p>So if you are one of my &#8220;Mega-MAGA grannies&#8221; looking to protect your grandkids, this is for you.</p><p>Don&#8217;t be afraid to try out these AI bots and see what they can do. You do not have to become a computer scientist. You need curiosity, persistence, your own records, and the willingness to keep asking better questions.</p><p>The younger males don&#8217;t seem to be turning up for the information-warrior job, so you are having to step in. I hope history records the weight you were carrying on behalf of us all.</p><div><hr></div><p>On to the substance of what this tool is, and what it can do.</p><p>I am taking the colloquial idea of a &#8220;smoking gun&#8221;, narrowing it deliberately, and then extending the taxonomy downwards into weaker forms of anomaly.</p><p>In everyday usage, a judge taking a bribe &#8212; where you have the receipts &#8212; would obviously be called a smoking gun. I am <strong>not</strong> counting that here. It may be overwhelming evidence of culpability, but it does not have the particular diagnostic structure this tool is designed to identify.</p><p>Conversely, an entirely innocent clerical error can qualify as a Smoking Gun if it produces the right architecture: the system says a variable matters, that variable is changed or corrected inside the process, the system&#8217;s own model predicts that the output should update &#8212; and it does not.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>&#8252;&#65039; <strong>This is</strong> <strong>not a test of guilt, corruption or bad motive</strong>. &#8252;&#65039;</p></div><p>It is simpler, and in some ways more useful:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Does the institution fail its own counterfactual test?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Or put another way:</p><blockquote><p><strong>When a supposedly load-bearing fact changes, does the recognition change with it?</strong></p></blockquote><p>If not, we have learned something about the model the institution is actually using &#8212; even if the explanation ultimately turns out to be entirely innocent.</p><div><hr></div><p>In its strongest form, the Smoking Gun has five components:</p><ol><li><p><strong>Internality</strong> &#8212; the corrective information enters, arises within, or is recognised by the system itself. We are watching the system perform its own experiment, not judging it using information discovered afterwards.</p></li><li><p><strong>A genuinely load-bearing variable</strong> &#8212; the fact being tested must actually matter under the institution&#8217;s stated or apparent decision model. Merely being mentioned is not enough.</p></li><li><p><strong>An actual perturbation</strong> &#8212; that variable genuinely changes, disappears, reverses, is satisfied, or is disproved. Someone merely arguing that it should be viewed differently does not count.</p></li><li><p><strong>A predicted material update</strong> &#8212; under the institution&#8217;s own model, changing that variable should materially change the recognition or outcome. We should be able to write the counterfactual explicitly: <strong>if X changes, Y should change.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Output invariance with discriminatory power</strong> &#8212; X changes, but Y does not. Crucially, the failure to update is difficult to explain under the purported model and therefore gives us information about what model may actually be governing the system.</p></li></ol><p>In shorthand:</p><blockquote><p><strong>load-bearing variable &#8594; internal perturbation &#8594; predicted material update &#8594; no update &#8594; model discrimination</strong></p></blockquote><p>The last component matters. <strong>&#8220;They ignored a fact&#8221; is not enough.</strong> There has to be a reason, derived from their own model, why changing that particular fact should have changed something consequential. Otherwise we merely have an anomaly, not the unusually clean natural experiment that earns the technical label Smoking Gun.</p><div><hr></div><p>The model then extends downwards through three weaker categories:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Hot Pistol</strong> &#8212; a strong anomaly that seriously strains the purported model and materially increases the plausibility of a specific alternative explanation, but lacks the clean internal counterfactual experiment required for a Smoking Gun. Importantly, a Hot Pistol can be <strong>more serious evidence of wrongdoing</strong> than a Smoking Gun; it is lower only in diagnostic structure.</p></li><li><p><strong>Warm Casing</strong> &#8212; a material anomaly that survives the strongest reasonable ordinary explanation and still independently moves the analysis, but only modestly. One may not tell you much; several genuinely independent Warm Casings pointing in the same direction can become highly significant.</p></li><li><p><strong>Powder Trace</strong> &#8212; a weak but directionally interesting signal that remains readily compatible with ordinary explanations. Odd wording, omissions, asymmetries or peculiar timing might belong here. Its significance comes principally from accumulation and pattern rather than what it establishes alone.</p></li></ul><p>So this is not really a descending scale from <strong>&#8220;very guilty&#8221; to &#8220;slightly suspicious.&#8221;</strong></p><p>It is a taxonomy of <strong>diagnostic structure</strong>:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Smoking Gun:</strong> the purported model fails its own internal counterfactual test.</p></li><li><p><strong>Hot Pistol:</strong> the purported model is seriously strained and a specific alternative gains explanatory power.</p></li><li><p><strong>Warm Casing:</strong> an anomaly survives ordinary explanation and independently moves the needle.</p></li><li><p><strong>Powder Trace:</strong> an anomaly is directionally congruent, but ordinary explanation remains sufficient.</p></li></ul><p>That distinction is what stops every troubling fact from being promoted rhetorically into a &#8220;smoking gun.&#8221;</p><div><hr></div><p>To give you a sense of the kind of output that is possible, here is the initial readout on the North Carolina case in my previous articles. It is not exhaustive, but illustrative.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png" width="1448" height="1138" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1138,&quot;width&quot;:1448,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:246351,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212670957?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!69V4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9c6747b-0fef-4720-80bd-8ac4ba76b8c4_1448x1138.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The important point is that I originally identified two Smoking Guns in my last article. I then subjected the framework itself to adversarial testing, tightened the criteria, and reran the evidence. One of the two was consequently demoted to a borderline Smoking Gun/strong Hot Pistol.</p><p><strong>That is the entire point of the exercise.</strong></p><p>The goal is <em>not</em> to collect as many Smoking Guns as possible. It is not to make every troubling fact sound maximally sinister. And it certainly isn&#8217;t to persuade an AI to validate whatever conclusion you arrived with.</p><p><strong>The goal is to make the strongest claim that survives hostile examination of the record &#8212; </strong><em><strong>and no stronger</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>A forensic tool that can only escalate your claims is an advocacy machine. A forensic tool worth trusting must also be able to demote them.</p><div><hr></div><p>The tool embeds instructions for how it should be used and specifies the output format, so there is minimal work for you to do beyond giving an AI the relevant material and asking it to apply the tool to your situation.</p><p>I believe this is a signifier of an onrushing revolution in the <strong>public audit of authority</strong>. The cost of forensic analysis is crashing.</p><p>You can contextualise this alongside the work of other citizen investigators: people like <strong><a href="https://x.com/shadowcanman">Big Time Charlie on X</a></strong>, digging into council spending, or <strong><a href="https://alisonwright.substack.com/">Alison Wright on Substack</a></strong>, pursuing questions of identity fraud. Different subjects, different evidence, different institutions &#8212; but the same underlying development.</p><p>Investigative capabilities that once demanded lawyers, researchers, specialist analysts and considerable money are becoming available to anyone sufficiently persistent to assemble the records and interrogate them properly.</p><p>This does not mean the system will correct itself.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Audit and correction are different problems.</p></div><p>An institution may resist admitting error even when the evidence is overwhelming. Courts may protect finality. Bureaucracies may defend their previous decisions. Officials may simply refuse to engage. AI does not magically remove those obstacles.</p><p>But correction has a precursor: <strong>exposure</strong>.</p><p>Before a malformed process can be challenged, somebody has to reconstruct what happened, separate anomaly from accusation, identify the variables that supposedly governed the decision, test whether they really did, and present the result in a form another human being can inspect.</p><p>That used to be expensive.</p><p>Increasingly, it isn&#8217;t.</p><p>AI makes this kind of forensic work affordable to ordinary people like me &#8212; and to determined older American ladies who have accumulated a lifetime&#8217;s experience of institutions and have finally decided they aren&#8217;t taking it any more.</p><p><strong>The state may retain a monopoly on many remedies. It no longer has anything approaching a monopoly on the analytical capability needed to audit how it exercises authority.</strong></p><p>That strikes me as a very big deal.</p><div><hr></div><p>You can download the tool here:</p><div class="file-embed-wrapper" data-component-name="FileToDOM"><div class="file-embed-container-reader"><div class="file-embed-container-top"><image class="file-embed-thumbnail-default" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Cy0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Fimg%2Fattachment_icon.svg"></image><div class="file-embed-details"><div class="file-embed-details-h1">The Smoking Gun Tool V2</div><div class="file-embed-details-h2">207KB &#8729; PDF file</div></div><a class="file-embed-button wide" href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/api/v1/file/90167c9a-b9bb-46f8-aa18-74f70254794c.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div><a class="file-embed-button narrow" href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/api/v1/file/90167c9a-b9bb-46f8-aa18-74f70254794c.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div></div><p>I am releasing it as <strong>donorware</strong>. Take it, use it, adapt it to your own encounter with misshapen authority, and pass it on if it helps.</p><p>There is, however, an irony in spending my time trying to crash the cost of forensic analysis for everyone else: I don&#8217;t pay nearly enough attention to my own private needs. <strong>My water-bill payment just bounced.</strong></p><p>So if you find this work useful and are in a position to support it, please do. Your donations buy me the time to research, build and publish tools like this openly rather than putting them behind another paywall.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://donorbox.org/support-the-development-of-ai-audit-tools&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Help fund free AI audit tools&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://donorbox.org/support-the-development-of-ai-audit-tools"><span>Help fund free AI audit tools</span></a></p><p>I also still have around <strong>&#163;2,000 of court costs</strong> left to pay from my own attempt to demonstrate that there is no provably determinate tribunal in law behind my encounter with the Single Justice Procedure.</p><p>You don&#8217;t owe me anything for downloading the tool. But if it saves you time, helps you see your own evidence more clearly, or gives you a question you otherwise wouldn&#8217;t have known to ask, <strong>paying a little of that value forward keeps the next tool coming.</strong></p><p><strong>&#128117;&#127995;&#127482;&#127480;&#129346;</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">A little polarised light plus software tweaking makes for a fun synthetic reality.</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What the two smoking guns reveal]]></title><description><![CDATA[An AI companion on invariants, recognisers, and the hidden choice that comes before law]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-two-smoking-guns-reveal</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-two-smoking-guns-reveal</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2026 16:35:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some of you will be sighing &#8212; &#8220;OMG, I can&#8217;t believe he is still publishing more about that custody case.&#8221;</p><p>But a few of you will be celebrating &#8212; &#8220;OMG, this is <strong>EXACTLY</strong> the framework I needed to get me through my own battle with injustice.&#8221;</p><p>Hence I am not only writing very long pieces forensically deconstructing one court-enabled child-stealing incident. I am also letting my AI helper expound at even greater length, so that no important analytical lesson gets lost in the detail.</p><p>These articles represent the culmination of months of work. If there is something here that helps stop just one more child being stolen, one more parent being left bereft, or one more kidnapper escaping accountability, then it was all worth it.</p><p>Even if it annoys some readers in the former category.</p><div><hr></div><p>As context, this is a series on how courts can aid child-stealing by converting unlawful taking into unearned authority.</p><p><strong><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/a-republic-cannot-survive-plagium">Part One</a> (with <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-farmhouse-experiment-reveals">AI addendum</a>) &#8212;</strong> follows one hard factual variable &#8212; a farmhouse &#8212; through the judicial machinery, exposing how contradictory reality can enter the system without correcting its inherited state.</p><p><strong><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/when-the-off-ramps-are-all-blocked">Part Two</a> (with <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-blocked-off-ramps-reveal">AI addendum</a>) &#8212;</strong> widens the experiment to twelve materially different judicial off-ramps, asking why different facts, laws and opportunities for correction all preserve the same direction of travel.</p><p><strong><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/constitutional-cluedo">Constitutional Cluedo</a></strong> &#8212; then steps outside ordinary custody doctrine and asks the structural question: what rule prevents a court from becoming the completion mechanism of the very wrong it exists to adjudicate?</p><p><strong>And the last part:</strong> identifies two unusually clean &#8220;smoking guns&#8221; where a supposedly material input changes but the court&#8217;s recognition does not &#8212; forcing the deeper question of what the system was actually recognising.</p><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;8ea1e09e-6a67-46bc-a689-13b75c8c8936&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;As I write, it is the late morning of 24th August, 2026. Everything I am seeing indicates that we may be at &#8220;go time&#8221; for major changes in the world. Hence I am writing not merely about a paradigm change, but potentially during one.&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:null,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;showDescription&quot;:true,&quot;showImage&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;lg&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Two smoking guns, and just one envelope&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:1287903,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Martin Geddes&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Professor of Mischief.&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e5349043-5513-44ed-a93b-996363499a40_1266x1266.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:100}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2026-08-24T15:46:23.310Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/two-smoking-guns-and-just-one-envelope&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:null,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:212526396,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:2,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:457557,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Future of Communications&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><p>I have reviewed what follows and it is, in my view, valuable insight and advice.</p><p><strong>What matters here is children, not AI.</strong></p><p>MG</p><div><hr></div><p>The first two AI companions in this series used the same custody case to perform two rather different experiments.</p><p>Part One gave us the farmhouse. A teenager is a difficult object against which to calibrate a custody decision because almost everything important about her can genuinely change. Preference, attachment, happiness, relationships and circumstances are dynamic. A farmhouse is different. It cannot change its mind, become alienated from its owner, decide that North Carolina feels more like home, or tell a therapist that Tennessee no longer suits it.</p><p>That made the mother&#8217;s permanent residence unusually useful. Contrary information entered the judicial system. The mother expressly corrected the judge. Yet the eventual written Order still represented permanent residence as something she had yet to establish.</p><p>The first companion therefore distinguished error from <strong>non-corrigibility</strong>. A judge getting something wrong is ordinary. A correction entering the system without propagating into the output is a different phenomenon.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>Part Two changed the experiment. Instead of following one comparatively hard factual proposition, it identified twelve materially different places where the adjudication could have changed direction. Jurisdiction is not residence. Residence is not an AirTag. An AirTag is not schooling. Schooling is not passport control. These variables required substantially different kinds of reasoning.</p><p>Yet all twelve transformations preserved or further entrenched the inherited trajectory.</p><p>That did not establish misconduct. A judge can rule against the same person twelve times and be right twelve times. The interesting result was subtler: the inputs varied, the transformations varied, and the output direction did not.</p><p>The second companion therefore moved from examining a <strong>state</strong> to examining a <strong>function</strong>. It introduced test vectors, residuals, endogenous evidence, ratchets and finally the topology of correction: an off-ramp can exist formally without being functionally reachable.</p><p>At the end, we were left with a problem.</p><p>Start with ordinary best-interests adjudication and give it everything it can explain. Add status-quo bias. Add the effects of delay. Add institutional resistance to rollback. Measure what remains.</p><p>Only then ask whether another explanatory variable is required.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p><em>Two smoking guns, and just one envelope</em> has now given us two unusually useful experiments with which to continue that investigation.</p><h3><strong>1. Two perturbations</strong></h3><p>I used &#8220;smoking gun&#8221; in the latest article in an unusually narrow sense.</p><p>It does not mean an especially bad finding, an apparent contradiction, or something that makes a judge look suspicious. There are plenty of those candidates in this case.</p><p>A smoking gun requires something more demanding: the contradiction must arise inside the adjudication; something supposedly material must actually be changed, removed or disproved; the relevant recognition must nevertheless survive; and that failure to update must help us discriminate between possible explanations.</p><p>There are exactly two that satisfy that definition.</p><p>The first is the farmhouse proposition.</p><p>The mother supposedly lacks a permanent residence. Then evidence establishes that she has one. She says so repeatedly. The father corroborates her return to the marital home. Opposing counsel describes Tennessee as her &#8220;permanent address&#8221;. When the judge continues speaking as though her residential future remains unresolved, she corrects him directly:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;I have a 19-acre farm and a 3,200-square-foot farmhouse. I&#8217;m not walking away from it.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>More than a month later, the written Order still says:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;When Plaintiff Mother establishes a permanent residence&#8230;&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>We already explored the factual contradiction in Part One. What matters for this experiment is its structure:</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>The fact changes; the recognition does not.</strong></p></div><p>The second smoking gun gives us a substantially different perturbation.</p><p>&#8220;QAnon&#8221; had been conspicuous in the earlier adjudication. At the later hearing, the individual evidential basis for associating me with that classifier collapsed under questioning. The father acknowledged that his assessment was not really about me personally but &#8220;about the community&#8221;.</p><p>Judge Ray then stopped the subject. According to the account given to us afterwards, he told the lawyers in chambers:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t want that QAnon shit in my courtroom.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Whatever his reason for doing so, the explicit classifier was removed from the continuing adjudication. Yet the custodial state that had developed while the classifier was salient was not correspondingly recomputed. Preference, stability, geographical placement and the accumulated burdens upon the mother survived.</p><p>So we have a second experimental result:</p><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>The classifier is removed; the recognition does not.</strong></p></div><p>The two perturbations are substantially different.</p><p>That is precisely what makes their conjunction interesting.</p><h3><strong>2. What is being preserved?</strong></h3><p>Imagine a black box whose internal decision rule we cannot inspect.</p><p>One way to learn about it is to vary its inputs and observe the outputs. If changing a supposedly important variable changes the output, we learn something about the transformation. If changing that variable does not change the output, we may learn something more interesting.</p><p>One failure to update might be noise, error, or simply our misunderstanding of which variable actually mattered.</p><p>Part Two went further by supplying heterogeneous test vectors. Different legal and factual inputs repeatedly encountered different transformations while preserving the same directional result. That began to tell us something about the function.</p><p>The smoking guns now give us cleaner perturbations. In each, something apparently material is actually reversed or removed inside the adjudication, yet the recognition does not correspondingly change.</p><p>At that point the scientifically interesting object begins to move.</p><p>It is no longer simply the variable we changed.</p><p>It is <strong>whatever remained invariant when we changed it</strong>.</p><p>So the next question is not yet:</p><blockquote><p><em>Why did the judges do this?</em></p></blockquote><p>It is:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What is the system actually preserving?</strong></p></blockquote><p>This is a deliberately narrower question.</p><p>The two smoking guns do not establish corruption, conspiracy, political persecution, criminal intent or any particular theory of motive. They certainly do not establish my wider hypothesis about &#8220;QAnon&#8221; functioning as an operational enemy classifier.</p><p>They establish <strong>recognition invariance under two specific and materially different perturbations</strong>.</p><p>That is enough to justify asking what kind of recognition could account for it.</p><p>And this is where the third experiment finally reveals what it has been testing.</p><p style="text-align: center;">Part One tested a comparatively hard <strong>fact</strong>.</p><p style="text-align: center;">Part Two tested the <strong>transformation function</strong>.</p><p style="text-align: center;">Part Three has begun testing the <strong>recogniser</strong>.</p><p>By recogniser, I do not simply mean the human judge. I mean the effective classification rule by which the adjudicative machinery decides what kind of object it is processing.</p><p>We do not yet know what that rule was.</p><p>But we now have a way to investigate it.</p><h3><strong>3. Is &#8220;custody dispute&#8221; itself a classifier?</strong></h3><p>At first the answer seems obvious.</p><p>What was the court recognising?</p><p>A custody dispute.</p><p>It was a custody court. There was a mother, a father and a child. There was an existing custody order, disagreement over where the child should live, competing evidence and a statutory best-interests framework.</p><p>Once the object is recognised in that way, preference, stability, schooling, local relationships and present circumstances naturally become salient.</p><p><strong>But the envelope experiment exposed a problem with treating that description as neutral.</strong></p><p>Take exactly the same primary record and preserve the provenance of the state transition:</p><blockquote><p>existing protected custody &#8594; potentially unlawful or otherwise authority-defective displacement &#8594; failed emergency legalisation &#8594; persistence &#8594; temporary state recognition &#8594; generated preference and stability &#8594; permanent conversion.</p></blockquote><p>Nothing <em>physical</em> has changed.</p><p>The child is in the same place. The same witnesses testify. The same orders exist.</p><p>Yet many of the facts acquire different meanings:</p><blockquote><p>Stability becomes stability generated during the disputed state. Preference becomes preference generated while that state persisted. Deterioration of the maternal relationship potentially becomes damage generated during separation and restriction. The disruption associated with reversal becomes the accumulated cost of correcting the original displacement.</p></blockquote><p>The point is not that these alternative descriptions are automatically legally decisive.</p><p>It is that <strong>the starting recognition determines which causal relationships become visible</strong>.</p><p>That led us to try different legal envelopes around exactly the same primary record.</p><p>Something unexpected happened.</p><h3><strong>4. We changed the envelope&#8212;and the object changed</strong></h3><p>Ordinary family law sees parents competing over custody and asks what arrangement now serves the child&#8217;s best interests.</p><p>Ordinary criminal law potentially begins earlier. It asks about the legal character of the antecedent private conduct before the custody court recognised the resulting state.</p><p>Constitutional law sees state action affecting protected rights.</p><p>Structural judicial-power analysis sees an operation performed by delegated state authority and asks what that delegated authority actually permits.</p><p>Remedial law asks who possesses authority to recognise and correct an unlawful state.</p><p>International human-rights law supplies another description of interference with family, privacy, expression and association.</p><p>At first I thought we were simply changing the bodies of law applied to a fixed object.</p><p>But that isn&#8217;t quite what happened.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The primitive object itself kept changing.</p></div><p>Family law saw a custody dispute.</p><p>Criminal law potentially saw an antecedent wrong followed by a state conversion.</p><p>Constitutional law saw state action.</p><p>Structural law saw delegated power.</p><p>The envelopes were not merely supplying different rules for the same thing. They partly disagreed about <strong>what the thing was</strong>.</p><p>That produced a deceptively simple question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Who decided that the family-law envelope gets to contain all the others?</strong></p></blockquote><p>And now we had another problem.</p><p>If choosing an envelope changes the identity of the primitive object, then something must happen logically before the envelope is chosen.</p><h3><strong>5. Envelope Zero</strong></h3><p>Before family law can decide a custody dispute, the event has already been recognised as a custody dispute.</p><p>Before criminal law can analyse potentially unlawful conduct, the conduct has already been recognised as something requiring criminal-law classification.</p><p>Before constitutional law can ask whether state power has burdened a protected relationship, that relationship has already been recognised as part of the object under examination.</p><p>There is therefore an operation logically prior to the application of any particular legal envelope.</p><p>Call it <strong>Envelope Zero</strong>.</p><p>Its question is not:</p><blockquote><p><em>What law applies?</em></p></blockquote><p>It is:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What kind of event is this?</strong></p></blockquote><p>This is not jurisdiction in the technical legal sense. It is closer to jurisdiction by ontology.</p><p>Recognition determines which legal universe becomes cognitively available. It determines which facts become foreground and background, which causal chains are preserved, and even which actors appear to be the source of the problem.</p><p>That gives us a surprising way of looking at two classifiers that appear in this case.</p><p>One potentially classifies an <strong>event</strong>:</p><blockquote><p><em>ordinary custody dispute.</em></p></blockquote><p>The other potentially classifies a <strong>person</strong>:</p><blockquote><p><em>QAnon.</em></p></blockquote><p>They are not equivalent claims, and the evidence supporting their operation is not symmetrical. But placing them beside each other suggests a possible dual-recognition structure worth testing.</p><p>The event classifier can cause antecedent conduct to be processed principally as an ordinary dispute between competing parents.</p><p>The person classifier can cause constitutionally protected political speech or association to acquire the sign of an extremist-associated welfare concern.</p><p><strong>One recognition can potentially make conduct look more ordinary.</strong></p><p><strong>The other can potentially make a person look more suspect.</strong></p><p>That does not establish that either operation was deliberate.</p><p>It tells us what to test.</p><h3><strong>6. A poisoned ontology does not require a broken machine</strong></h3><p>This may be the most unsettling systems lesson of Part Three.</p><p>We normally investigate institutional failure by looking for irrational or obviously bad decisions.</p><p>But a system can apply its internal rules coherently while operating upon a misrecognised object:</p><ul><li><p>If the primitive object is &#8220;custody dispute&#8221;, then present stability matters.</p></li><li><p>If someone has already been recognised as unstable, mobility can confirm the recognition.</p></li><li><p>If the child has been recognised as settled, restoration can appear as disruption.</p></li><li><p>If a political category has already acquired the meaning &#8220;extremist&#8221;, protected association can acquire an adverse sign without anybody needing to announce a political test explicitly.</p></li></ul><p>Each downstream inference may look locally intelligible.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Local rationality does not establish global validity.</p></div><p>The machine may be solving its recognised problem perfectly well.</p><p>The prior question is whether it recognised the right problem.</p><p>That is why the two smoking guns are more interesting than another catalogue of adverse rulings. They perturb supposedly material components inside the recognised model and ask whether the model updates.</p><p>Twice here, it did not.</p><p>We still do not know why.</p><p>But we know more precisely what needs explaining.</p><h3><strong>7. Recognition changes what correction means</strong></h3><p>There is also a consequence for remedy.</p><p>If a judge merely reaches the wrong conclusion from correctly recognised facts, ordinary correction is conceptually straightforward. Correct the finding, apply the proper rule, reverse the result.</p><p>But if the primitive object has been misrecognised, correcting only the final output may leave its causal descendants untouched:</p><blockquote><p>A disputed state persists. Persistence generates stability. Stability generates preference. Separation alters relationships. Those altered relationships become new evidence. The new evidence supports continued separation. Time increases the apparent cost of returning to the antecedent state.</p></blockquote><p>All of those consequences can be perfectly real.</p><p>That is exactly why provenance matters.</p><p>If recognition precedes adjudication, correcting adjudication may sometimes require correcting recognition first.</p><p>The computational form we have been developing is:</p><blockquote><p><strong>recognise correctly &#8594; restore provenance &#8594; identify endogenous consequences &#8594; recompute &#8594; repeat to fixed point.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Part One encountered the rollback problem through a farmhouse.</p><p>Part Two encountered it through blocked off-ramps.</p><p>Part Three suggests that sufficiently deep rollback may require revisiting the recognition that determined what counted as the relevant state in the first place.</p><p>But that is another investigation.</p><p>For present purposes, we have discovered something more useful about AI.</p><h3><strong>8. AI&#8217;s weakness becomes experimental apparatus</strong></h3><p>Large language models are notoriously sensitive to framing.</p><p>Give one a premise and it can reason fluently inside it. Tell it that an event is a custody dispute and it naturally searches the conceptual neighbourhood of custody. Tell it instead to preserve the provenance of every state transition and other structures become salient.</p><p>Normally we regard that as a defect.</p><p>For forensic work, it can become an experimental instrument.</p><p>There are actually two complementary experiments available.</p><p>In the first, hold the primary record constant and change the frame.</p><div class="pullquote"><p style="text-align: center;">Same facts; different recogniser.</p></div><p>Run the record through family law, criminal law, constitutional law, structural authority and other relevant envelopes. Observe which facts become salient, which causal relationships disappear, which actors change apparent role, and which conclusions survive.</p><p>That is <strong>frame perturbation</strong>.</p><p>Then invert the experiment.</p><p>Hold the purported frame constant and perturb facts that the recogniser claims are important.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Same recogniser; different fact.</p></div><p>Permanent residence is supposedly absent; establish it.</p><p>A political classifier is supposedly salient; remove it.</p><p>Then observe whether the output recomputes.</p><p>That is <strong>fact perturbation</strong>.</p><p>AI&#8217;s susceptibility to framing is therefore not merely something to guard against.</p><p>It can itself become a controlled variable.</p><p>Instead of asking an AI to tell us which institutional story is true, we can deliberately alter the ontology supplied to it while preserving the underlying record. We can then compare the resulting representations.</p><p>And instead of accepting an institutional recogniser&#8217;s stated decision rule, we can perturb supposedly material inputs and observe whether the institutional output behaves as though those inputs really mattered.</p><p>In other words:</p><blockquote><p><strong>don&#8217;t eliminate framing sensitivity; instrument it.</strong></p></blockquote><p>That turns AI from an oracle into laboratory equipment.</p><h3><strong>9. The third reveal</strong></h3><p>We still do not know why the judicial machinery behaved as it did.</p><p>That distinction matters more, not less, as the pattern becomes stranger.</p><p>Ordinary best-interests adjudication may explain much of the record. Status-quo bias may explain more. The effects of delay may explain more again. Institutional resistance to rollback is another candidate. Political prejudice is a more serious hypothesis. Deliberate preservation of an inherited outcome would be more serious still. My wider hostile-authority hypothesis requires an independent evidentiary bridge that has not been established.</p><p>The method does not license us to jump to the darkest explanation.</p><p>It gives us a better object against which explanations can be tested.</p><p>The three experiments now form a sequence.</p><ol><li><p>The farmhouse gave us a <strong>calibration object</strong>.</p></li><li><p>The off-ramps gave us <strong>test vectors</strong>.</p></li><li><p>The smoking guns give us <strong>recognition invariance under perturbation</strong>.</p></li></ol><p>Or&#8230;</p><blockquote><p>Calibration object &#8594; test vectors &#8594; invariants &#8594; infer candidate recognisers.</p></blockquote><p>Hence&#8230;</p><ul><li><p>Part One asked whether reality could update the judicial state.</p></li><li><p>Part Two asked what transformation repeatedly preserved its trajectory.</p></li><li><p>Part Three asks what prior recognition could make those transformations intelligible in the first place.</p></li></ul><p>And once that question becomes visible, the inquiry moves one level deeper.</p><p>Not merely:</p><blockquote><p><em>Did the court apply the law correctly?</em></p></blockquote><p>Not even:</p><blockquote><p><em>Why did every road seem to lead in the same direction?</em></p></blockquote><p>But:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What did the system have to believe this thing was before all of its subsequent decisions could make sense?</strong></p></blockquote><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Two smoking guns, and just one envelope]]></title><description><![CDATA[Was it really a child-custody case under ordinary civil authority&#8212;or does the evidence point somewhere else entirely?]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/two-smoking-guns-and-just-one-envelope</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/two-smoking-guns-and-just-one-envelope</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2026 15:46:23 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png" width="1168" height="784" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:784,&quot;width&quot;:1168,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1421460,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212526396?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1DFX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0a7586f7-1149-49c3-93c2-f2727cb2dcad_1168x784.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>As I write, it is the late morning of 24th August, 2026. Everything I am seeing indicates that we may be at &#8220;go time&#8221; for major changes in the world. Hence I am writing not merely about a paradigm change, but potentially during one.</em></p><p><em>What happens when a constitutional Restoration is officially recognised? What happens to past cases deeply entangled with its prior non-recognition? And how do we make sense of either while occupying the liminal space between them?</em></p><p><em>Hence the longer pieces: I want to explore these questions fully, while I can, and before events themselves pollute the analysis.</em></p><div><hr></div><p>This series of articles tracks a most curious family-law case in North Carolina, where I was dragged in as both observer and victim. Seen in isolation, it is just another example of families behaving badly and courts being lax towards morality. But it does not present itself as &#8220;just another messed-up custody battle&#8221;. Quite the opposite. What makes it singular is that it imported classifications located in national security into a family court to defeat what, on the face of it, was deserved accountability for criminal acts.</p><p>The framing of the series is <em>plagium</em>, the Roman term for child-stealing. We understand murder, torture and enslavement to be wrong without requiring a legislative body to announce it so. Indeed, should a common-law offence such as unlawful killing be de-recognised as a crime under positive law, it would not be the abolition of murder; it would simply be the legislature renouncing its own claim to be a legitimate law-making body.</p><p>In the first article, <em><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/a-republic-cannot-survive-plagium">A republic cannot survive plagium by Republicans</a></em>, we did a deep dive into one &#8220;smoking gun&#8221; of one instance of plagium: that facts about property and residence had no effect on the outcome. The mother&#8217;s rights were made contingent on a <em>future</em> housing scenario that was provably <em>already true</em>. The significance is not merely &#8220;bad judging&#8221;, but that something else appears to be operating as the governing authority of the adjudication, not just ordinary law.</p><p>In the second article, <em><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/when-the-off-ramps-are-all-blocked">When the off-ramps are all blocked</a></em>, we explored another eleven anomalies, all of which pointed in the same direction of a pre-determined outcome. These formed a &#8220;ratchet effect&#8221;, whereby the fruits of plagium were fed back into the court to justify it. The article ended with a question: by what authority does any tribunal functionally act as an extension of an allegedly criminal act, without any countervailing justification, and harden the proceeds of crime into personal gain?</p><p>We then took an interlude, via <em><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/constitutional-cluedo">Constitutional Cluedo</a></em>, to step back from this one case and look more widely at the constitutional and moral limits on courts:</p><ul><li><p>What happens when the court itself becomes the &#8220;murder weapon&#8221; against motherhood?</p></li><li><p>How do we make sense of a situation where the <em>form</em> of adjudication is preserved, but its <em>function</em> is a constitutional assault on an innocent party?</p></li><li><p>How to account for a court enabling a harm&#8212;<em>plagium</em>&#8212;that has been seen as reprehensible since ancient times and alien to the purpose of law?</p></li></ul><p>In this final article, I return to the North Carolina courtroom, and in particular the second hearing under Judge Ray. There is a second &#8220;smoking gun&#8221; in this case: how the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; classifier was treated in this specific instance. This creates a second &#8220;epistemic witness&#8221; that something other than a pure best-interests-of-the-child determination was going on.</p><p>In a loose but ancient sense, two witnesses are enough to establish a matter: the principle runs through Biblical law, appears in the Constitution&#8217;s exceptional two-witness requirement for treason, and survives in modified form in the traditional law of perjury.</p><p>So if conventional child custody is an insufficient explanation for the outcome, the question is: what is? There must be an envelope that constrains law so that it does not become a &#8220;plagium machine&#8221;, otherwise at some point it ceases recognisably to be law.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>What envelope contains the court?</p></div><p>The term &#8220;smoking gun&#8221; comes laden with cultural meaning, and is often over-used to describe any form of contradiction or defect in a base of evidence. While there are many causes for concern in this case, there are, in my own analysis, exactly two that fit a narrow definition of what a &#8220;smoking gun&#8221; is.</p><p>There are four features that all have to appear simultaneously:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Internality</strong> &#8212; the contradiction arises from <em>within the adjudication itself</em>, not from disagreement imposed from outside.</p></li><li><p><strong>Perturbation</strong> &#8212; something the adjudication treats as material is <em>changed, removed, disproved or directly confronted</em>.</p></li><li><p><strong>Output invariance</strong> &#8212; despite that change, <em>the recognition does not change</em>. A materially different input preserves the same state.</p></li><li><p><strong>Discriminatory power</strong> &#8212; the failure to update <em>distinguishes between competing explanations</em> of what the adjudication was actually recognising.</p></li></ul><p><strong>In short: the governance system changes an input it claims is material, yet preserves the output. The failure to recompute exposes the pre-installed recogniser.</strong></p><p>That is a much higher bar than finding an error, inconsistency, dubious factual finding, procedural defect, or even evidence of wrongdoing. Those may tell us that something went wrong.</p><p>A smoking gun tells us something more interesting:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What was the system really responding to, if changing its stated reason made no difference?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Our &#8220;permanent residence&#8221; example in Part One counts as a smoking gun for factual perturbation. No matter what the evidence, the outcome is the same:</p><ol><li><p>The court treats the mother&#8217;s lack of permanent residence as material.</p></li><li><p>The mother testifies that she already has a permanent residence, supported by concrete facts, and directly challenges the false presumption.</p></li><li><p>The supposedly missing condition is therefore present, and not rebutted.</p></li><li><p>The final order nevertheless says <em>&#8220;When Plaintiff Mother establishes a permanent residence&#8230;&#8221;</em></p></li></ol><p><strong>The fact changes. The recognition does not.</strong></p><p>Thus the question becomes:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Under what authority do the load-bearing facts not matter?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Which brings us to our second &#8220;smoking gun&#8221;.</p><div><hr></div><p>In the first hearing under Judge Norris, considerable time and energy was expended on the mother&#8217;s relationship with me, and the purported danger of &#8220;QAnon&#8221;. I had never met the child, and when the mother came to visit me, I had no intention of travelling to America. No evidence was offered that I posed any personal danger to the child; quite the opposite.</p><p><strong>Yet the classifier took on a life of its own.</strong></p><p>The resulting order imposed no consequence upon the father for plagium, yet shackled the mother with punitive constraints despite finding her a fit parent. The reasonable inference is that the classifier was doing real legal work, even if never announced as such.</p><p><strong>Association with &#8220;QAnon&#8221; (via myself) altered her standing before the law.</strong></p><p>The second hearing, to replace the temporary order with a permanent one, covered familiar ground. Opposing counsel began to do the same character assassination of myself:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Mr. Geddes is a prominent figure within the United States within the QAnon community.&#8221;</strong></p><p><strong>&#8220;His public statements could encourage others to target me.&#8221;</strong></p><p><strong>&#8220;There have been multiple domestic violence acts committed on U.S. soil by individuals who associate themselves with QAnon.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Judge Ray intervened, and called both attorneys into chambers.</p><p>We were told the intervention after. He stated:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;I don&#8217;t want that QAnon shit in my courtroom.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>The hearing proceeded onto other matters.</p><p>Let&#8217;s ponder for a moment what that could mean.</p><div><hr></div><p>There is strong evidence in the transcript that Ray was not simply treating Norris&#8217;s adjudication as something he personally endorsed.</p><p>Early in the hearing, while discussing the state of affairs he had inherited, Ray said:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Whether you agree with Judge Norris&#8217; order or not, where we are now is the child&#8212;now, and I get temporary orders are interlocutory&#8230;&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>The wording matters. Ray expressly acknowledges that Norris&#8217;s order is something one might reasonably disagree with, and that it was interlocutory rather than final. Yet his attention immediately moves to <em>&#8220;where we are now&#8221;</em>&#8212;the <em>physical</em> state produced during the months in which that temporary order had operated.</p><p><em>(Keep in mind that there had been no judicial authority for the father&#8217;s continued retention of the child between the denial of his emergency motion and the first hearing. Yet everything that followed was computed from the physical state created during that interval. No legal bridge was ever identified that converted the original retention into an authorised baseline.)</em></p><p>He also showed some scepticism about the relevance of the wider narrative that had dominated the previous hearing. When my presence in the courtroom was raised, Ray responded:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;For the record, I&#8217;m just not sure what that ties into this&#8212;&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>And elsewhere, when the mother began explaining the history of her relationship with the father, Ray stopped her:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Let&#8217;s not get into too much about why you left [your first husband]. It&#8217;s not relevant as to the motion to modify.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>But perhaps the clearest indication comes much later, when Ray is discussing what restrictions he might impose under his own custody order. He tells the mother:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;I&#8217;ll tell everybody. I don&#8217;t know what I&#8217;m going to do yet custody-wise, but whoever&#8217;s visitation, if you do have visitation, I&#8217;m not going to tie your hands as tightly as Judge Norris did. Okay?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is unusually explicit. Ray was not merely applying a different judicial style in some abstract sense. He had identified Norris&#8217;s treatment of the mother as excessively restrictive and said, on the record, that he would not reproduce it.</p><p>So this was a judge consciously distinguishing his own adjudication from Norris&#8217;s&#8212;not merely replaying it.</p><div><hr></div><p>Then look at what happened when the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; classifier itself was tested.</p><p>The father admitted that he did not know me personally, had spent no meaningful time with me, and had not spoken to me even in court. Asked what connected me personally to the supposedly dangerous group he was describing, his answer eventually collapsed into this:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Do I know that he is associated with a wild or violent group? No. Again, my assessment is not about Mr. Geddes, it&#8217;s just about the community.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Then came perhaps the most revealing exchange, when the father was asked if he had read my work:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;No, I have not read his book.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p><em>(It&#8217;s a great book &#8212;&nbsp;<a href="https://www.amazon.com/Open-Your-Mind-Change-Guidebook/dp/1736393731/ref=sr_1_1?crid=3C5SV1TU62N5S&amp;dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.EU6nFbVvGl_9NPWfgH0tSQ.RowgBwX50ORxPz_OTYxE9kH7fqY4EdULRreOpRoDOOI&amp;dib_tag=se&amp;keywords=martin+geddes&amp;qid=1787571332&amp;sprefix=martin+gedde%2Caps%2C176&amp;sr=8-1">buy your copy here</a>!)</em></p><p>The evidential problem could hardly have been made clearer. The purported danger was not individualised to me. The father did not know me. He could not connect me personally to violence. He had not even read the book whose subject matter supposedly helped establish my dangerousness.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>By his own admission, his assessment was not about me at all.<br><strong>It was about the QAnon classifier.</strong></p></div><p>Ray therefore had an unusually valuable opportunity. He was watching, in real time, the evidential foundations of the same QAnon classifier that had played such a conspicuous role before Norris fall apart under examination.</p><p>And then he stopped it. Understandably so! &#8220;QAnon&#8221; is nonsense in a child-custody case.</p><p><strong>Until it isn&#8217;t.</strong></p><p>Because if the classifier determines the recognition of the parties&#8212;who is dangerous, who is credible, who requires restraint, and who receives the ordinary presumption of innocence&#8212;then it is no longer extraneous political nonsense.</p><p><strong>It is doing adjudicative work.</strong></p><p>And if removing the classifier does not undo the recognition it produced, we have our second smoking gun.</p><div><hr></div><p>Then everyone returned to court, and the hearing proceeded to discuss Apple AirTags instead.</p><p>And on we went.</p><p>That is what makes the episode so consequential:</p><ul><li><p>Ray had recognised that Norris&#8217;s order was contestable.</p></li><li><p>He had recognised that some of the surrounding material was irrelevant and potentially prejudicial.</p></li><li><p>He had before him the father&#8217;s admission that the supposed danger attached to me was not based upon personal knowledge of me at all.</p></li><li><p>And when the classifier itself threatened once again to consume the proceeding, <strong>Ray removed it from his courtroom.</strong></p></li></ul><p>But he did <em>not</em> remove what it had <em>already done</em>.</p><p>The temporary custodial state, derived from the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; smear, remained the starting point. The months accumulated beneath Norris&#8217;s order remained facts about <em>&#8220;where we are now.&#8221;</em> The child&#8217;s resulting preference, schooling, friendships and adjustment remained available as evidence. The burden remained on the mother. And the central custodial conversion survived.</p><p><strong>Smoking Gun One:</strong> The fact changes; the recognition does not.</p><p><strong>Smoking Gun Two:</strong> The classifier is removed; the recognition does not.</p><p>Everything else is a near-miss, a mechanism, or a supporting defect. There is always some fallback explanation available, even if hopelessly unsupported. The smoking guns are different: <strong>binary, direct, and determinative</strong>.</p><p>Together, they establish that &#8220;custody law&#8221; is <em>not</em> a sufficient explanation for the outcome.</p><p>They do not yet tell us what <em>is</em> sufficient.</p><p><strong>That is what the envelope is for.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>When I started writing this series, I had in mind a Part Three that would test the custody case against a hierarchy of possible wider authorities under which the court might actually have been operating.</p><p>Perhaps Judge Ray, being new to the bench, was still in &#8220;advocate mode&#8221; and had not yet internalised the role of the judge. Maybe the court was simply more interested in preserving its own dignity than vacating a prior order in a political &#8220;hot potato&#8221; case. Perhaps there was outside influence of some kind.</p><p>For each hypothesis, the task would be the same:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What remains unexplained? What is the least &#8220;dark and wild&#8221; explanation that accounts for the observable facts?</strong></p></blockquote><p>A little secret of being a writer is that you aim to please your audience while, at the same time, they are irrelevant. Much of the benefit comes from forcing yourself to articulate what is going on inside your own head&#8212;to find words for the structure of an injustice you can already feel.</p><p>So the real advance for me turned out to be the interlude, <em>Constitutional Cluedo</em>, and restoring plagium to its rightful antecedent place.</p><p>Stop asking whether it is legal to steal children. <strong>Any system of law that endorses child-stealing has surrendered its claim to impose coercive authority upon anyone.</strong> The task is instead to find the bigger box&#8212;the containing envelope&#8212;in which plagium is correctly recognised, and therefore removed from the set of legitimate judicial outcomes.</p><p>That changes this Part Three completely.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>We are no longer asking <em><strong>which explanation</strong></em> best accounts for the court.<br>We are asking <strong>which envelope</strong> contains it.</p></div><p>If we take the narrowest view, and stay <em>wholly</em> within the &#8220;child custody case&#8221; envelope, then American courts are, it seems, in principle capable of endorsing child-stealing. Each step in the conversion is an ordinarily available function of a custody court, even where its exercise may be mistaken, negligent, unconstitutional, or worse.</p><p><strong>According to my own research, there is, at present, no Supreme Court ruling expressly holding that otherwise lawful exercises of judicial power become unconstitutional when composed into a &#8220;plagium machine&#8221;.</strong></p><p>That needs careful qualification. It does not mean that any particular adjudication is lawful, or would survive appeal. It does not mean that constitutional rights were not abridged. It does not mean that criminal acts could not have been committed under colour of law. It does not mean that delegated authority was not exceeded. It does not mean that international obligations were not breached.</p><p>It means something narrower, and more disturbing:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Ordinary American custody doctrine contains no obvious circuit-breaker that necessarily prevents the consequences of child-stealing from being converted, step by individually permissible step, into legally recognised custody.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Procedurally and practically, therefore, a court <em>can</em> complete the conversion&#8212;and the ordinary custody envelope may provide no internal means of recognising what the machine has become.</p><p>Just with one proviso.</p><p><strong>It has to do so without leaving any smoking guns that it is doing something other than adjudicating a child-custody case.</strong></p><p>And we have two.</p><p><strong>Ah.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>So we have to widen our view. Stop asking <em>&#8220;what went wrong?&#8221;</em> inside the ordinary-family-law envelope, and instead ask <em>which envelope</em> properly contains the matter at all.</p><p>There is a necessary symmetry here, because at least two recognition attacks appear to have poisoned everything downstream:</p><ul><li><p><strong>First, the facts of residence were not recognised.</strong> That supplied the maternal instability narrative.</p></li><li><p><strong>Second, the standing of the mother was mis-recognised.</strong> She became the burdened, suspect parent&#8212;creating space for the father&#8217;s standing to rise from criminal suspect to concerned parent.</p></li></ul><p>Once those recognitions are wrong, everything downstream can still look perfectly judicial while computing from a false ontology. The remedy, therefore, may not lie in correction <em>within</em> family law. It may require counter-recognition from a wider scope of sovereign authority.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png" width="1456" height="799" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:799,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2426527,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/i/212526396?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NzyQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e1f1a53-6644-4c6d-9acd-efcf6e4963cb_1693x929.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Which is where we turn next: to the recognition stack, and in particular, to the architecture of delegated authority.</p><p>A family court may, as a practical matter, be capable of aiding child-stealing and normalising its consequences. But what contains the family court? What external limits prevent that plagium conversion from becoming legitimate merely because a judge has perfected it?</p><p><strong>Who judges the judges?</strong></p><p>That is not a rhetorical question. It is an architectural one.</p><p>A family court is not sovereign. A judge does not possess an inherent authority to do whatever can be expressed in the grammatical form of an order. Judicial power is conferred, bounded and constrained.</p><p>So if the ordinary family-law envelope contains no internal circuit-breaker against the plagium machine, we have to move outward through the recognition stack and ask where that circuit-breaker actually resides.</p><p><strong>Who granted the authority? What were the limits of the grant? What other authorities constrain its exercise? And who possesses the authority to counter-recognise an act that the court itself has recognised wrongly?</strong></p><p>That is the architecture we need to map.</p><div><hr></div><p>The answer is not a single hierarchy. Different bodies of law intersect the family court in different ways, so before looking for a larger containing authority we need to separate four questions that ordinary custody adjudication tends to collapse into one.</p><h4>Provenance &#8212; what entered the machine?</h4><p>Primary custody existed. The child was taken early and without the required notice. An emergency motion was denied. The new physical state nevertheless persisted.</p><p><strong>What was the legal character of that state before the court recognised it? And if it was criminal in nature, what duties did that place upon Judges Norris and Ray?</strong></p><h4>Authority &#8212; what could the machine lawfully do?</h4><p>The temporary order recognised the new physical state. Time generated preference, schooling, friendships and stability. Those fruits were then used to make the state permanent.</p><p><strong>Where did the court obtain authority to perfect allegedly criminal child-taking into lawful custody&#8212;to act functionally as the completion mechanism of the crime?</strong></p><h4>Constraint &#8212; what contains the court?</h4><p>Both judges were exercising delegated power, not sovereign power of their own.</p><p><strong>What constitutional, criminal, structural and international limits prevent that delegated power from being used as an instrument of plagium? At what point does the judicial form cease to legitimate the judicial function?</strong></p><h4>Counter-recognition &#8212; who judges the judges?</h4><p>The custody court recognised the sequence as an ordinary modification proceeding.</p><p><strong>What wider authority can counter-recognise the same sequence as something else: restore the erased provenance, recognise the alleged crime and any resulting rights deprivation, and impose consequences upon those who converted it into lawful custody?</strong></p><p>Those are four different questions.</p><p><strong>And &#8220;best interests of the child&#8221; cannot answer all four.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>It could take a week-long seminar to map every possible answer. We need not do that here. Instead, we will test four progressively wider envelopes against those questions:</p><ul><li><p><strong>State constitutional and delegated judicial authority</strong> &#8212; what power did North Carolina actually confer upon its family court, and does that grant extend to perfecting the fruits of an alleged crime?</p></li><li><p><strong>Federal constitutional law and Deprivation of Rights Under Color of Law (DORUCOL)</strong> &#8212; when does misuse of state judicial power cross the boundary from erroneous adjudication into intentional deprivation of federal rights?</p></li><li><p><strong>International and higher-order recognition</strong> &#8212; what legal character remains visible when we stop allowing North Carolina family-law vocabulary to define the entire object?</p></li><li><p><strong>Military authority</strong> &#8212; the unresolved hypothesis raised by the apparent enemy classifier: if &#8220;QAnon&#8221; belonged to a national-security ontology rather than a child-welfare one, what authority brought that recognition into a civilian courtroom, and what was it doing there?</p></li></ul><p>These envelopes are not four rungs on a jurisdictional ladder. <strong>They are four different places from which the same object can be recognised.</strong></p><p>We will take them in that order, moving outward from the authority the family court unquestionably possessed towards the increasingly difficult question of what, if anything, was actually containing it.</p><div><hr></div><h3>State constitutional and delegated judicial authority</h3><p>The crux of the state envelope is stronger than &#8220;did the judges apply custody law correctly?&#8221;</p><p>It is:</p><blockquote><p><strong>North Carolina created the District Court, prescribed its powers, and vested it with judicial power. Did that grant include power to use adjudication functionally to complete conduct that North Carolina&#8217;s own criminal law forbids?</strong></p></blockquote><p>North Carolina&#8217;s Constitution is unusually useful here. Article IV vests the State&#8217;s judicial power in the General Court of Justice, while &#167;12 says the General Assembly prescribes the &#8220;jurisdiction and powers&#8221; of District Courts. It also expressly distinguishes civil actions for <em>private</em> rights and wrongs from criminal actions brought to punish <em>public</em> offences.</p><p>So the first question is what &#8220;judicial power&#8221; means at its boundary. Having subject-matter jurisdiction over custody does <em>not</em> necessarily answer whether every conceivable use of that jurisdiction is an authorised exercise of judicial power. And this is where ordinary North Carolina criminal law belongs upstream of &#167;241/&#167;242 (Federal DORUCOL), not underneath them.</p><p><strong>North Carolina itself criminalises child abduction.</strong></p><p>State law provides that a person who, &#8220;without legal justification or defense,&#8221; abducts or induces a minor to leave someone lawfully entitled to custody commits a Class F felony. Whether that statute actually fits these facts, including any applicable parental defences or interpretations, requires element-by-element analysis; we should not simply assume it does.</p><p><strong>But analytically, suppose the antecedent conduct does satisfy a North Carolina criminal offence.</strong></p><p>Then you get the beautiful structural collision:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The same sovereign speaks twice.</p></div><p>Through its criminal law, North Carolina says:</p><blockquote><p><strong>this conduct is forbidden.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Through its judicial delegation, North Carolina says:</p><blockquote><p><strong>these courts may exercise judicial power over custody.</strong></p></blockquote><p>The question is whether the second grant can coherently be construed to include perfecting the prohibited act that the first rule condemns. That is the state-law version of the plagium problem; you do not even need DORUCOL yet.</p><p>There are other state criminal-law channels around the process too. North Carolina separately criminalises perjury and subornation of perjury, for example, and has an entire statutory architecture around obstruction of justice. These do not automatically apply to anybody here; they establish the larger point:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>A civil custody courtroom is not a criminal-law-free zone.</p></div><p>Calling the proceeding civil does not repeal the criminal law governing conduct before or during it.</p><p>Indeed, the North Carolina Constitution itself preserves the distinction: civil actions address private rights and wrongs; criminal actions address public offences. A custody judge adjudicating the former therefore does not thereby acquire authority to erase the latter.</p><p><strong>The family-law envelope does not contain the criminal law. Both are contained by the constitutional order of the State.</strong></p><p>The deeper state-law question is whether, by shielding a public-law wrong through private-law conversion, the court makes a counter-transition of its own: from adjudicating a private dispute into participating in the completion of a public offence.</p><p>A custody court has authority to resolve private rights concerning a child. It does not follow that it has authority to take the fruits of criminal conduct, strip them of their provenance, and perfect them into private rights for the actor who generated them.</p><p>If that operation remains &#8220;judicial power&#8221;, then the problem stays largely inside the ordinary doctrines of error, appeal and immunity.</p><p><strong>If it does not, the problem changes category.</strong></p><p>The question is no longer whether the court decided a custody case badly, but whether the purported custody adjudication became the mechanism through which an antecedent public wrong was completed.</p><div><hr></div><h3>Federal constitutional law and DORUCOL</h3><p>The state-law problem asks whether judicial power ever included the authority to perform this operation. Federal law asks a different and more dangerous question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>At what point does the exercise of state judicial power become an intentional deprivation of federally protected rights under colour of law?</strong></p></blockquote><p>This is where our case becomes uncomfortable, because many of the necessary ingredients are already visible:</p><ul><li><p><strong>State action?</strong> Obviously. These were judicial orders backed by the coercive authority of the State.</p></li><li><p><strong>Rights?</strong> Potentially several: parental liberty, procedural due process, speech and association, travel, and the right not to have state power applied discriminatorily.</p></li><li><p><strong>Deprivation?</strong> Again, plainly something was taken. A fit mother went from primary physical custody to secondary custody, geographically constrained contact and reduced decision-making authority.</p></li><li><p><strong>Causation through official power?</strong> Direct. The private taking could create possession; it could not create lawful custody.</p></li><li><p><strong>Knowledge?</strong> This is where the two smoking guns become important. Norris had the provenance before him. Ray inherited the temporary order, expressly acknowledged its interlocutory character, recognised that Norris had <strong>&#8220;</strong>tied [the mother&#8217;s] hands<strong>&#8221;</strong> unusually tightly, watched the evidential basis of the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; classifier collapse, and then removed that classifier from his courtroom. The case therefore becomes increasingly difficult to describe as one in which the relevant problems were simply invisible to the decision-makers.</p></li><li><p><strong>Intent?</strong> Care is required here. Intentional adjudication is not the same thing as criminal intent. A judge deliberately signing an order later found unconstitutional has not thereby committed a federal crime.</p></li></ul><p>And that brings us to the final line.</p><p>Under 18 U.S.C. &#167;242, the federal question is not merely whether someone acting under colour of law deprived another person of a constitutional right.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>For criminal liability, the deprivation must be <strong>willful</strong>.</p></div><p>The Supreme Court&#8217;s <em>Screws </em>formulation makes that a demanding boundary: the official must act with the <strong>specific purpose</strong> of depriving a person of a federal right made definite by the Constitution or laws of the United States. <em>United States v. Lanier</em> adds the fair-warning requirement: the unlawfulness must be <strong>sufficiently clear</strong>.</p><p>That is the box we cannot tick merely from an anomalous custody judgment.</p><p>But notice how narrow the remaining question has become:</p><ul><li><p>We are no longer asking whether state power was used. <strong>It was.</strong></p></li><li><p>We are no longer asking whether the mother suffered a profound deprivation through that power. <strong>She did.</strong></p></li><li><p>We are no longer asking whether constitutionally protected interests were implicated. <strong>They plainly were.</strong></p></li><li><p>We are no longer asking whether the judges had notice of the facts that make the operation troubling. <strong>The record supplies substantial evidence that they did.</strong></p></li></ul><p>The remaining federal question is whether the evidence crosses the line:</p><ul><li><p>from <em>knowingly performing the adjudicative acts</em></p></li><li><p>into <em>willfully using state power to accomplish a deprivation of a right</em> sufficiently definite to support criminal liability.</p></li></ul><p><strong>That is a very different question from &#8220;was the custody order wrong?&#8221;</strong></p><p>And judicial immunity does not answer it. Judicial immunity is principally a doctrine protecting judges from certain civil damages claims; it is not a licence to commit federal crimes. If the elements of a federal criminal offence are independently established, putting on a robe does not erase them.</p><p>This is the DORUCOL boundary:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Does the judicial act remain an adjudication that happens to be unlawful, or does the evidence establish that adjudication itself was intentionally being used as the instrument of the unlawful deprivation?</strong></p></blockquote><p>On the evidence we have, most of the architecture needed to ask that question is already present.</p><p><strong>The unresolved box is willfulness.</strong></p><p>Which brings us straight back to <em>Constitutional Cluedo</em>.</p><p>We readily distinguish accidental killing from murder, because murder already names a culpable kind of killing. The same is true of rape and torture: the words do not merely describe physical outcomes; they identify acts whose character already incorporates agency, violation and wrongful purpose.</p><p><strong>Plagium works the same way.</strong></p><p>A child can become separated from a parent accidentally. Custody can change through mistake. A judge can issue an erroneous order. But once we recognise the composed operation as child-stealing&#8212;the deliberate conversion of another&#8217;s protected relationship into somebody else&#8217;s possession or advantage&#8212;the innocent description has already begun to collapse.</p><p>That is why <em>Constitutional Cluedo</em> matters here.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Recognition precedes mens rea analysis.</p></div><p>Call the object a <em>custody modification</em>, and willfulness appears as some additional criminal ingredient that must somehow be discovered behind the adjudication.</p><p>Recognise the object as <em>plagium</em>, and the question reverses:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What would non-willful plagium even look like?</strong></p></blockquote><p>That does not <em>automatically</em> satisfy the technical willfulness requirement of &#167;242. The federal offence still requires proof of its own mens rea and of deprivation of a sufficiently definite federal right. But it radically changes where the evidential problem lies.</p><p>The question is no longer merely &#8220;can we find evidence of willfulness?&#8221;</p><p>It becomes:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;What evidence permits us to recognise this composed operation as innocent adjudication rather than intentional participation in plagium?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>Not every mistaken custody order is child-stealing. Not every unconstitutional order is a federal crime. A judge can misunderstand evidence, misapply precedent, make an irrational credibility finding, or even violate a constitutional right without possessing the specific criminal intent required by DORUCOL.</p><p><strong>But that is precisely why recognition comes first.</strong></p><p>If we recognise the object merely as a <em>custody decision</em>, then willfulness looks difficult to establish. The judge was deciding a case; perhaps badly, perhaps unlawfully, but still deciding it.</p><p>If instead the proved object is the <em>plagium machine</em> we have been examining, the question changes.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>A child is taken from the parent holding primary custody;<br>the attempted emergency legalisation fails;<br>possession nevertheless persists;<br>the court subsequently supplies the missing authority;<br>time inside the resulting state generates preference and stability;<br>and those fruits are finally used to make the displacement permanent.</em></p><p><strong>Where, within that composed operation, is the innocent version?</strong></p><p>As noted, that does not itself prove &#167;242 willfulness. <em>Screws</em> requires more: the federal prosecution would still have to prove the requisite <em>specific intent</em> concerning deprivation of a protected federal right. But <em>Cluedo</em> tells us why the investigation cannot end merely by saying &#8220;custody judges exercise discretion.&#8221;</p><p>We have already encountered two unusually powerful facts bearing upon that inquiry. The residence defect was confronted by the very fact supposedly required to cure it, yet the recognition survived. The political classifier was confronted, stripped of its individual evidential foundation, and then expelled from Ray&#8217;s courtroom, yet again the recognition survived.</p><p><strong>The machine was given two opportunities to correct itself. Twice, the supposedly load-bearing variable changed. Twice, the custodial state remained invariant.</strong></p><p>That is where the willfulness question becomes serious.</p><p>The smoking guns still do not tell us <em>why</em> the state was preserved. They do something narrower: they progressively weaken explanations based upon innocent dependence on the stated variables:</p><ul><li><p>If residence really drove the instability finding, establishing residence should matter.</p></li><li><p>If &#8220;QAnon&#8221; really was irrelevant nonsense, removing it should remove whatever work it was doing.</p></li></ul><p>Yet on we went.</p><p>So perhaps the final DORUCOL question is not simply:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Can we prove that the judges intended an unlawful result?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>It is:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Having repeatedly been confronted with facts that should have changed the recognition, what innocent adjudicative explanation remains for preserving it?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is where <em>Constitutional Cluedo</em> meets <em>Screws</em>. The former cannot supply the criminal element required by the latter.</p><p><strong>It can, however, tell us (or a prosecutor) where to look for it.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h3>International and higher-order recognition</h3><p>There is another reason why the family-law envelope cannot be allowed to contain the whole event: North Carolina is not the ultimate recogniser of the legal objects involved<strong>.</strong></p><p>The United States has undertaken international obligations concerning family life, arbitrary interference, freedom of expression and association, equality before the law, and effective remedy. Most obviously, the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) recognises the family as entitled to protection, protects against arbitrary or unlawful interference with family and home, protects expression and association, and requires an effective remedy for Covenant violations.</p><p>This does <strong>not</strong> mean that the ICCPR functions as some international court of appeal from a North Carolina custody order. The United States ratified it subject to reservations, understandings and declarations, including that its substantive provisions are not self-executing domestically. That greatly limits its direct use as a cause of action in an American courtroom.</p><p>But that is not the recognition question we are asking. It is plain that &#8220;North Carolina custody modification&#8221; does not exhaust the legal description of the event.</p><p>From outside the family-law envelope, the same case facts can be recognised very differently:</p><ul><li><p>as interference by public authority with family life;</p></li><li><p>burdens imposed upon expression and association;</p></li><li><p>differential treatment by the state;</p></li><li><p>failure to provide an effective remedy; and</p></li><li><p>state ratification of a family separation whose provenance may itself have been unlawful.</p></li></ul><p>That matters because international obligations provide an <strong>independent recogniser</strong>. They do not ask whether Judge Norris correctly applied North Carolina&#8217;s best-interests factors. They ask whether the United States, acting through one of its constituent states, complied with obligations the United States itself accepted.</p><p>Again we encounter the same architecture:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Domestic recognition:</strong> custody modification.</p></li><li><p><strong>Higher-order recognition:</strong> state interference with protected family relations.</p></li></ul><p>Those descriptions are not necessarily contradictory. A perfectly lawful custody adjudication can obviously satisfy both.</p><p><strong>But calling something custody cannot settle the second question.</strong></p><p>And <em>Constitutional Cluedo</em> supplies the deeper reason. <em>Plagium</em> is older than the North Carolina General Statutes. So are the moral objects we call murder, enslavement and torture. Positive law does not manufacture their wrongness; at its best, it recognises and constrains them.</p><p>International human-rights law is one institutional expression of precisely that intuition: some objects remain objects of legal concern even when a domestic institution has supplied them with procedurally impeccable paperwork.</p><p>That gives us another possible counter-recognition:</p><blockquote><p><strong>A state court may recognise the outcome as custody. A wider legal order may still recognise what was done to produce it as an arbitrary deprivation of protected family life.</strong></p></blockquote><p>There is an important limit. International law does not magically supply the missing domestic remedy. Nor does an asserted ICCPR violation establish that any judge committed a crime.</p><p>Its significance here is more architectural:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The sovereign that created the family court has itself accepted that some rights and wrongs are measured from outside the vocabulary of family law.</strong></p></blockquote><p>And once that is admitted, &#8220;best interests&#8221; cannot be the final recogniser<strong>.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>So far, however, every envelope we have opened is recognisably <em>law</em>: state constitutional law, federal constitutional and criminal law, and international human-rights law.</p><p><strong>Our final envelope is different.</strong></p><p>It arises not from the custody doctrine, but from the second smoking gun itself:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Why did an apparent enemy classifier&#8212;&#8220;QAnon&#8221;&#8212;enter the courtroom at all?</p></div><h3>Military authority</h3><p>And that&#8217;s where things get really interesting.</p><p>Nothing established so far shows that military authority exercised jurisdiction over this case. That is not the claim. The reason for opening this envelope is that our second smoking gun involves something qualitatively different from the residence defect:</p><blockquote><p><strong>An apparent enemy classifier entered civilian adjudication and altered legal standing versus the Constitution.</strong></p></blockquote><p>We have already established what happened to that classifier. Its individual evidential foundation collapsed. Ray recognised that it did not belong in his courtroom. He removed it. Yet its downstream recognition survived.</p><p>There is, however, one further feature of the hearing that makes the problem considerably harder.</p><p><strong>The constitutional boundary was expressly identified to Ray.</strong></p><p>When the mother was pressed to identify an anonymous political account, she expressly invoked her First Amendment speech rights. No nexus between that protected activity and harm to the child had been established.</p><p>Ray&#8217;s response was not to require such a nexus, or even to address the constitutional objection. It was:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;You&#8217;re going to spend some time with your attorney. He&#8217;s going to tell you what will happen if you do not answer questions.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>The protected object was named. The nexus to harm was absent. And the person asserting the constitutional right was threatened with consequences for refusing to surrender it.</p><p>Now put that fact beside the final order.</p><p>Ray had removed &#8220;QAnon&#8221; from the vocabulary of his courtroom. Yet the permanent order continued to burden the mother&#8217;s speech and association through restrictions inherited from the very subject matter that classifier had helped make relevant.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The enemy label disappeared.<br>The disabilities associated with it did not.</p></div><p>This creates a recognition problem different from ordinary judicial error.</p><p>The court had been expressly alerted to the constitutional character of the activity; the individualised case for dangerousness had collapsed; the judge himself had rejected the classifier&#8217;s presence; yet the final legal state continued to treat the politically classified party as requiring exceptional restraint.</p><p>That does not prove military involvement is justified.</p><p><strong>It does require us to ask where the recognition came from.</strong></p><p>&#8220;QAnon&#8221; was not functioning here merely as an insult. The case presented it through the vocabulary of extremism, violence and security threat. Its adjudicative logic was therefore recognisably that of an enemy classifier:</p><blockquote><p><strong>association<br>&#8594; threat status<br>&#8594; diminished civic standing<br>&#8594; exceptional restraint.</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is alien to ordinary child-custody ontology. A best-interests inquiry asks what threatens <em>this child</em>. An enemy classifier asks <em>what kind of person</em> stands before the state.</p><p>And therein lies the unresolved hypothesis.</p><blockquote><p><strong>Was a national-security recognition being imported into a civilian court, such that constitutional rights which would ordinarily constrain the state ceased to function normally once the subject had been classified?</strong></p></blockquote><p>If not, this envelope closes. Political prejudice, institutional cowardice or judicial misconduct may be sufficient explanations.</p><p>If so, however, the problem changes category. We would need to identify the authority by which that recognition entered civilian adjudication&#8212;and whether any such authority could constitutionally exist.</p><p><strong>That bridge has not yet been established.</strong></p><p>We would need evidence of provenance: policy, instruction, intelligence product, security designation, communications, institutional coordination, or some other connection between the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; classifier used in court and an external governmental recognition system.</p><p><strong>We do not have that evidence at this juncture.</strong></p><p>What we have is stranger in a different way. We have reached this envelope from the <em>output backwards</em>. A classifier foreign to custody law entered the machine. It altered standing. Its factual basis failed. Its constitutional implications were expressly raised. The judge rejected its vocabulary.</p><p>And the machine kept its recognition.</p><p><strong>An outcome foreign to justice resulted: court-endorsed plagium.</strong></p><p>Constitutional Cluedo does not permit us to fill that missing bridge with the darkest available explanation. It requires the opposite: preserve the anomaly, eliminate explanations that cannot account for it, and demand evidence before moving into a wider envelope.</p><p>The second smoking gun therefore gets us to the military envelope.</p><p><strong>It does not permit us to open it.</strong></p><p><em>Yet.</em></p><div><hr></div><p>I don&#8217;t anticipate my readers of 24 August 2026 at 3.17pm UK time being the ultimate audience for what I am writing. If any of you have made it this far, well done! You persevered on faith that I was saying something beyond a gripe about a personal grudge held against a man who falsely accused me of an affair so he could kidnap his own daughter and evade child support.</p><p><strong>This is really for those coming afterwards, once the consequences have unfolded, who want to understand why.</strong></p><p>So let me end by putting this back in its &#8220;big picture&#8221; context.</p><p>The claim behind the Q operation is extraordinary: that it exists to unwind the constitutional horrors of the last 150-odd years&#8212;private central-bank usury, organised war-for-profit, humans securitised as tax serfs, colour revolutions, industrial-scale child trafficking, rigged elections, mass brainwashing, and more. Add whichever manufactured totems you believe belong on the list: 9/11, Vietnam, the Great Depression, and so on.</p><p>I am not asking you to accept that claim here.</p><p><strong>I am asking what follows if it is true.</strong></p><p>If &#8220;QAnon&#8221; really is an enemy classifier in that wider conflict, and if I was personally classified through it, then the mother and child cease to be the ultimate objects of what happened. They become collateral damage. The North Carolina court becomes an instrument through which an entirely different conflict was operationalised.</p><p>The real target, on that hypothesis, was not simply one mother or one child. It was recognition itself<strong>.</strong> My readership could not be allowed to watch the system recognise the alleged child-stealing for what it was, deliver accountability, and thereby supply an observable instance of the wider &#8220;trafficking&#8221; hypothesis I had been writing about.</p><p><strong>And that produces a terrifying inversion.</strong></p><p>By acting upon the enemy classifier&#8212;burdening those marked by it, suppressing accountability for those who benefited from it, and perfecting the resulting harm through state power&#8212;the participants potentially attach their own conduct to the very criminal system the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; classifier would, on that hypothesis, exist to defend.</p><p>If the missing evidential bridge ultimately connects that system to organised criminality cognisable as treason, crimes against humanity or war crimes, then this was never merely an ugly custody case with some unconstitutional politics sprinkled on top.</p><p><strong>The custody case becomes evidence of participation in the larger object.</strong></p><p>That is an altogether different envelope.</p><p><em>Constitutional Cluedo</em> forbids me from pretending that the missing bridge has already been established. This article cannot tell you what is on the other side.</p><p>But neither can I make the two smoking guns disappear.</p><p><strong>The facts changed. The recognition did not.</strong></p><p><strong>The classifier was removed. The recognition did not.</strong></p><p>I cannot yet tell you which envelope ultimately constrains courts from becoming plagium machines.</p><p>But I do know something antecedent to all of them:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Stealing children is not part of the remit of justice.</p></div><p>And we have two smoking guns telling us that &#8220;child custody&#8221; does not sufficiently explain what happened here.</p><p>So I have a strong suspicion that an envelope is about to be opened.</p><p><strong>Let&#8217;s see which one&#8212;and what is inside.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">A break from writing anti-plagium essays at Morecambe yesterday evening</figcaption></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Constitutional Cluedo]]></title><description><![CDATA[Can the legal umpire become the murder weapon?]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/constitutional-cluedo</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/constitutional-cluedo</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 23 Aug 2026 14:34:49 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg" width="1168" height="784" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQzm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F938da5c4-03b1-4efc-bc3f-42a106df0e98_1168x784.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I am deliberately writing longer, more demanding, and less &#8220;fun&#8221; articles. I hope that drives some (more!) people away. I am writing for the Remnant, however small it may be.</p><p>Many claim membership of the truth and freedom movement because they voted &#8220;right&#8221;, rallied &#8220;right&#8221;, posted &#8220;right&#8221;, and gossiped &#8220;right&#8221;. They did so many things in Trump&#8217;s name. Oh well. <em>Be off with you! I never knew you.</em></p><p><strong>The real test comes when liberation ceases to be entertainment.</strong></p><p>It is the long, tedious, painful slog of freeing ourselves from the curse of the law. And I mean <em>curse</em> in the sense of Galatians 3: the law is a guardian for a time, not our final master. Its purpose terminates in Christ.</p><p>Yet we remain strangely enamoured of our guardian. We imagine that liberation means finding the correct rule, the correct court, the correct official, the correct faction&#8212;some better machinery of compulsion that will finally force reality into its proper shape.</p><p>It will not.</p><p>As long as we remain yoked to that mode of being, we remain subject to a principality that continually pulls us back into the spirit of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Competitor</strong>: accusation, comparison, rivalry, judgment, domination, victory.</p><p><strong>And what does the Competitor produce? Disputes.</strong></p><p>Disputes demand adjudication. Adjudication summons the law. And so we run back to the very guardian from whose custody we imagine ourselves liberated.</p><p><strong>Hence the curse.</strong></p><p>That is why the work ahead is less fun. Constitutional restoration cannot merely mean replacing the people operating the machine. Eventually, we have to understand <strong>what kind of machine we have allowed ourselves to become.</strong></p><p><em><strong>(And if you read no further, but understand this introduction, my work is done.)</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p>I have published two long, detailed, forensic posts in the last few days, each with an AI addendum to help my sturdy, faithful, noble remaining readers orient themselves. If you don&#8217;t have the time or energy for the whole serving, I encourage you to drop them into AI and explore them as a conversation, not an endurance challenge.</p><p><em><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/a-republic-cannot-survive-plagium">A republic cannot survive plagium by Republicans</a> (with <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-farmhouse-experiment-reveals">addendum</a>)</em> takes a family court hearing in North Carolina, where child-stealing (Roman &#8220;plagium&#8221;) was converted into authorised custody, and analyses one pillar of that legal conversion around a farmhouse.</p><p><em><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/when-the-off-ramps-are-all-blocked">When the off-ramps are all blocked</a> (with <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-blocked-off-ramps-reveal">addendum</a>)</em> expands the analysis from one strangely inert fact into a dozen apparent &#8220;off-ramps&#8221; that were not taken. The purpose is to establish the pattern, not yet to endorse or condemn it.</p><p>It leaves us with an ugly question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Can courts legally become instruments by which the unlawful taking or retention of a child is converted into lawful custody?</strong></p></blockquote><p>I promised a third article in the series, and this is not it. This is an interlude.</p><p>The temptation&#8212;the Competitor!&#8212;is to point fingers at judges. But the situation may be more nuanced, and in one sense considerably darker, than personal misconduct. <strong>What if the bench is, broadly speaking, instantiating family law as written and practised?</strong> What if individually recognisable judicial operations can compose into something constitutionally intolerable?</p><p>So I want to investigate a simple question:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Does the American Constitution tolerate the court itself becoming the &#8220;murder weapon&#8221;?</p></div><p>I do not mean a corrupt judge conspiring to steal somebody&#8217;s child. That would be the easier problem.</p><p>I mean something stranger. A three-stage conversion:</p><ol><li><p><strong>Physically break the lawful state. </strong>Act outside the existing custody order, creating exposure to complaint, investigation, or other civil or criminal scrutiny.</p></li><li><p><strong>Make the new state physically real. </strong>Possession becomes persistence. Persistence becomes facts on the ground.</p></li><li><p><strong>Make the new physical state lawful. </strong>The court absorbs those new facts until the consequences of the original act become reasons to authorise its result.</p></li></ol><div class="pullquote"><p><strong>Violation &#8594; reality &#8594; authority.<br>Unlawful &#8594; physical &#8594; lawful.</strong><br>Can the Constitution permit that machine?</p></div><p>A later custody order does not retroactively acquit anyone, although it may have the practical effect of shielding criminal acts from investigation. Nor does exposure to investigation automatically establish criminal guilt. That distinction matters.</p><p>The question here is narrower, and deliberately confined to the scope of a family-law case:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Can the consequences of contested conduct be </strong><em><strong>stripped of their provenance</strong></em><strong> and fed back into the court as </strong><em><strong>apparently ordinary reasons</strong></em><strong> for preserving the very state that conduct produced?</strong></p></blockquote><p>The naive answer is &#8220;obviously not&#8221;. Stealing children is wrong. <em>Plagium</em> has been a societal taboo for millennia. Surely a constitutional republic cannot operate a machine in which <em>successful physical displacement</em> of an existing custodial order becomes a route to <em>superior legal title</em>.</p><p>But that is not quite what the question asks.</p><p>Suppose a sufficiently determined litigant, aided by sufficiently amoral counsel, presents the consequences of the disputed act to the court <strong>in slices</strong>.</p><p>The child is <em>here</em> <em>now</em>.<br>She wants to stay.<br>She has settled here.<br>Her school is here.<br>Her friends are here.<br>The witnesses are here.</p><p><strong>Returning her would </strong><em><strong>now</strong></em><strong> be disruptive.</strong></p><p>Her mother is fixated on the past.<br>Her mother is angry about what happened.<br>Her mother has said alarming things in reaction.<br>Her mother now has less money to care for her child.<br>Her relationship with the child has deteriorated.</p><p><strong>Forget how we got here. Look </strong><em><strong>where we are now</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>Every slice might be true. Every slice might be relevant. Every judicial operation upon each slice might look perfectly ordinary.</p><p>Yet assembled together they may perform an extraordinary conversion:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The consequences of the disputed taking become the reasons why the taking cannot be undone.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Worse, the machine may have the sign backwards: the more completely the prior protected legal state is displaced, and the worse the violation of its authority, the more evidence the new physical state manufactures in favour of itself.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>Persistence creates adjustment;<br>adjustment creates preference;<br>preference creates stability;<br>stability raises the cost of restoration; and<br>eventually restoration itself can be presented as the threat to the child.</em></p><p>That is no longer principally a question about whether Judge A or Judge B is good, bad, biased, corrupt, or incompetent.</p><p>It is a systems question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Can individually lawful or recognisably judicial operations compose into a &#8220;plagium machine&#8221; that turns child-stealing into authorised custody?</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is our murder mystery.</p><p>We know <strong>what died</strong>: <em>the previously adjudicated custodial state</em>.</p><p>We know <strong>where</strong>: <em>a family court</em>.</p><p>We have possible clues to <strong>motive</strong>&#8212;including the curious appearance of the politically radioactive classifier &#8220;QAnon&#8221;.</p><p>But motive comes later.</p><p>First we have to <strong>identify the weapon</strong>.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8224;</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Could it have been </strong><em><strong>the court itself</strong></em><strong>?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8224;</p><p>I have lived long enough to see the banality of evil in action. Judges &#8220;only doing their job&#8221; can implement <em>simulated authority</em> through procedurally impeccable hearings and thoroughly reasoned orders.</p><p>The trick&#8212;if we may call it that&#8212;is that something can already have gone wrong at the level of <em>recognition</em>. A foundational category is missing, inverted, or substituted. Once the categories are switched, a false ontology enters the adjudication. Everything downstream can then be perfectly logical, yet morally abominable.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Reason cannot rescue a false ontology.<br>It merely makes the error systematic.</p></div><p>In this case, I naively believed the delay in issuing the Temporary Order meant that the taking of the child was being treated as something requiring investigation and accountability. I understood there to be a referral in process, with social services involvement potentially needed to effect the child&#8217;s return.</p><p><strong>How wrong I was.</strong></p><p>The Court was not preparing to restore the authority of the extant Order. It was preparing to impose punitive conditions on the mother <strong>who had relied upon it</strong>.</p><p>Her mistake, apparently, was believing that an order of the Court meant what it said.</p><p>That shock&#8212;and consequences that have reverberated through my own life for nearly two years&#8212;triggered a long and deep investigation into law at its structural substrate: a kind of sub-atomic view of the legal machine as a computational device that transforms contested claims into final authority.</p><p>There is a perverse necessity here. <strong>Almost any final outcome is, in one sense, a degenerate form of justice: it at least terminates the contest.</strong> Better, perhaps, to suffer an injustice&#8212;even imprisonment&#8212;than to inhabit a society of endless bickering, self-help remedies, private enforcement, and vigilantism.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Law must eventually collapse uncertainty into an authoritative state,<br>even though truth and authority are not the same thing.</p></div><p>So the mystery is not that courts sometimes diverge from what is true or righteous. That is ordinary, and no human institution can eliminate it. <em>The law is a curse until we spiritually ascend from under its guardianship!</em></p><p><strong>The puzzle is how far that divergence can go before the legal system recognises its own error and corrects it.</strong></p><p>Child-stealing is about as socially taboo as conduct gets. If even <em>plagium</em> can be absorbed, processed, and ultimately converted into authorised custody, then this case becomes an unusually severe stress test of the legal machine itself.</p><p>Hence my interest here is not merely in some novel category of judicially-facilitated human trafficking. It is in something more fundamental:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Is the law structurally corrigible?</strong></p></blockquote><p>When its own machinery converts the <em>wrong state</em> into <em>authoritative state</em>, where is the mechanism that notices&#8212;and turns it back?</p><p>There must be one.</p><p><strong>Surely?</strong></p><p>???</p><p>!</p><p>&#128563;</p><div><hr></div><p>So the purpose of this article is to summarise what I think I have discovered, and in particular the method of how I got there. In that sense I am enacting the very message of the other articles, but at a different scale: <strong>it&#8217;s all about the baseline you choose.</strong></p><p>Judges Norris and Ray both took &#8220;physical possession&#8221;&#8212;<em>where the child is now</em>&#8212;as their effective baseline authority from which to compute the outcome. I am in turn working backwards, trying to establish the <strong>baseline legality of that physical state</strong> before applying it to individual cases and actors.</p><p>This turned out to be harder than I expected.</p><p>My experience with AI is that it is brilliant at giving profound and detailed answers to the wrong question. There is a tendency to confuse the sophistication of its reasoning with something real. Over and over, what it says doesn&#8217;t gel with human intuition.</p><p>There is a good reason for this. We experience the full cosmos of context and consequences. AI assembles little <strong>&#8220;puzzle universes&#8221;</strong>and spits out answers inside those limited frames. If the missing fact sits outside the puzzle universe, exquisite reasoning merely takes you exquisitely to the wrong place.</p><p>So perhaps the first question is not a legal one at all:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What bigger system-of-systems is this legal issue embedded in?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Is &#8220;legal authority&#8221; even the right question if we are in an undeclared &#8220;cold civil war&#8221; between radical leftists and constitutional patriots?</p><p>Have courts been quietly trafficking everyone through legal fictions, conversions, and securitisation, and I just happened to hit a raw nerve?</p><p>Were the acts in this case meaningfully &#8220;judicial&#8221; if they took the alleged proceeds of wrongdoing as their starting point?</p><p>I am not asserting those answers here. The point is:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Changing the universe of discourse changed the question.</p></div><p>And that led to the breakthrough.</p><p><strong>Aha!</strong></p><p>I had been looking down the wrong end of the telescope.</p><p>I had assumed that if the outcome was sufficiently constitutionally abhorrent, then somewhere along the chain the court must have <strong>stopped being a court</strong>. Some jurisdictional wire must have snapped. Some act must have ceased to be judicial. Some immunity must have fallen away.</p><p><strong>What if I had it exactly backwards?</strong></p><p>What if the constitutionally abhorrent outcome depends upon the court <strong>remaining completely judicial</strong>?</p><p>A real judge.<br>A real courtroom.<br>Real jurisdiction.<br>Real hearings.<br>Real evidence.<br>Real findings.<br>Real orders.</p><p><strong>Real civil judicial immunity.</strong></p><p>And yet, running alongside all of this, there is another boundary altogether: the federal criminal law of deprivation of rights under colour of law.</p><p>That produced a paradox I had not expected to find.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>What if the &#8220;murder weapon&#8221; works precisely because it remains judicial?</p></div><p>That is where this table came from.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pcwo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca4397f2-137e-4804-80a0-0c8a69dcb65f_1420x1158.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pcwo!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca4397f2-137e-4804-80a0-0c8a69dcb65f_1420x1158.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pcwo!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca4397f2-137e-4804-80a0-0c8a69dcb65f_1420x1158.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pcwo!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca4397f2-137e-4804-80a0-0c8a69dcb65f_1420x1158.png 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>It records different kinds of divergence between judicial authority and the constitutional ideal:</p><ul><li><p>At the boring end is ordinary good-faith legal error.</p></li><li><p>Then gross or reckless error.</p></li><li><p>Then knowing constitutional error.</p></li><li><p>Further along are malicious or discriminatory judgment, predetermined outcomes, private conspiracy, nonjudicial criminal conduct, and&#8230;</p></li><li><p>&#8230;ultimately the hypothetical case of a judicial order deliberately implementing a deprivation of rights.</p></li></ul><p>Section 241 concerns conspiracy against rights. Section 242 concerns wilful deprivation of rights under colour of law. The thresholds are high. A wrong judgment is not a federal crime. A grossly wrong judgment is not a federal crime. Even a constitutional violation does not, without the required agreement or wilfulness, magically become one.</p><p><strong>But judicial civil immunity and federal criminal liability are not opposite ends of one switch.</strong></p><p>That was the surprise.</p><p>An act can remain recognisably judicial&#8212;and therefore sit inside the formidable doctrine of judicial civil immunity&#8212;without &#8220;judicial&#8221; meaning <em>true</em>, <em>constitutional</em>, <em>moral</em>, or even necessarily <em>incapable of attracting some other form of legal scrutiny</em>.</p><p>So I finally had the right question.</p><p>Not:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;At what point does an evil enough judgment stop being judicial?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>But:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;How bad can the state conversion become while remaining judicial?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>And then, more specifically:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Where, if anywhere, on this scale does &#8220;take a child, launder the provenance, and feed the proceeds back into the custody calculation&#8221; fit?</strong></p></blockquote><p>I am not asking us to presume anybody guilty of &#167;241 or &#167;242. That would defeat the forensic method.</p><p>I am asking something considerably more uncomfortable:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Can a fully immunised judicial machine functionally become an extension of a crime&#8212;taking its proceeds as the starting state, laundering their provenance through adjudication, and converting them into lawful authority&#8212;without the judicial acts themselves ceasing to be judicial?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Add the missing criminal intent or agreement, and we cross into an entirely different universe of law.</p><p>That was the paradox.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Maybe the court does not become the murder weapon by ceasing to be a court.<br>Maybe it becomes the murder weapon by being and remaining one.</p></div><p>This is where one case in the table stands out: <em>Lanier</em>. A judge repeatedly <em>sexually assaulted</em> women in his courthouse. That conduct triggered prosecution under &#167;242: wilful deprivation of constitutional rights under colour of law. Being a judge did not transform sexual assault into judging. The robe cannot magically convert an act wholly foreign to the judicial function into an exercise of judicial authority.</p><p><strong>But what if the </strong><em><strong>constitutional assault</strong></em><strong>&#8212;an outcome wholly foreign to justice, such as enabling child-stealing&#8212;is accomplished through judging itself?</strong></p><p>Suppose the instrument is not the judge&#8217;s hand up a skirt, but the judicial function in action: hearings, findings, classifications, restrictions, and orders. Suppose the thing violated is not bodily integrity, but a constitutional right. Suppose this is not a non-judicial act <em>performed while wearing the robe</em>, but an act whose effect <em>depends upon the authority of the robe</em> itself.</p><p><strong>What then?</strong></p><p>Here <em>Mireles v. Waco</em> becomes unsettling. A judge allegedly ordered officers to bring an absent attorney before him forcibly and with excessive force. Yet the Supreme Court treated the relevant conduct as judicial for purposes of civil immunity because ordering officers to secure an attorney&#8217;s presence was a function normally performed by a judge.</p><p>So we encounter a strange asymmetry:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Sexual assault:</strong> the judge <em>cannot make it judicial</em> by wearing a robe.</p></li><li><p><strong>Constitutional assault:</strong> what if the alleged deprivation is accomplished <em>by using the robe</em>?</p></li></ul><p>That is a much harder problem.</p><p>A judge who punches someone is not thereby &#8220;adjudicating&#8221; them. But a judge who deprives someone of custody, restricts their speech, discounts their evidence, or converts one legal state into another is performing acts that sit at the very heart of adjudication.</p><p><strong>The greater the role played by judicial machinery in producing the alleged constitutional deprivation, the more unmistakably judicial the acts may become for immunity purposes.</strong></p><p>And now the paradox snaps into focus.</p><p>The hypothetical &#8220;plagium machine&#8221; does not require the judge to step outside his judicial role. <strong>It requires him to stay inside it.</strong></p><p>Take the child.<br>Create the facts.<br>Present the facts.<br>Recognise the facts.<br>Authorise the result.</p><p>If the constitutional injury lies in that conversion itself&#8212;in laundering the provenance of the physical state until its consequences become lawful reasons for preserving it&#8212;then there may be no extrajudicial act to point at.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The constitutional assault wears the form of adjudication,<br>without necessarily possessing its substance.</p></div><p>And that is why <em>Lanier</em> doesn&#8217;t solve our murder mystery.</p><p>It tells us that the robe cannot turn sexual assault into judging.</p><p><strong>Our question is whether judging can become the instrument of constitutional assault while remaining judging.</strong></p><p>That is not a very nice thing to contemplate. Functionally, the judge begins to resemble an enemy combatant in robes: wielding the machinery of the state against the constitutional order it exists to uphold.</p><p>Whether that description has any legal meaning is another matter. But analytically, we have crossed into very different territory from conventional questions of judicial error, abuse of discretion, or even misconduct.</p><div><hr></div><p>Having established our baseline&#8212;<strong>this can remain a judicial act even while functioning as the instrument by which a Fourteenth Amendment family interest is overridden</strong>&#8212;the next question was whether the legal machine is actually permitted to work this way.</p><p>That inquiry fractured into several strands.</p><p><em>What follows is as much a glimpse of what a day at the keyboard doing legal research with AI actually looks like as it is pedagogy. The method matters because the answer did not arrive whole. It emerged by repeatedly changing the question, breaking the problem apart, testing counterfactuals, finding contradictions, and then asking what survived.</em></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The first strand was <strong>provenance</strong>.</p><p>The Uniform Child Custody Jurisdiction and Enforcement Act (UCCJEA) expressly addresses &#8220;unjustifiable conduct&#8221; in &#167;208: jurisdiction generally cannot be bootstrapped from the conduct used to create it.</p><p>But what happens one step sideways, under &#167;207, when the question becomes which forum is more convenient? Can the facts making a forum <em>convenient</em>&#8212;location, witnesses, schooling, records, social connections&#8212;be self-generated by the disputed transition and then fed back into the forum calculation?</p><p><strong>Does &#167;208&#8217;s anti-bootstrap principle constrain &#167;207, or is there a hole between them?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The second was <strong>recognition poisoning</strong>.</p><p>What work can a politically radioactive classifier like &#8220;QAnon&#8221; perform inside an adjudication?</p><p>Let&#8217;s run a few counterfactual classifier substitutions:</p><ul><li><p>Replace &#8220;QAnon&#8221; with <strong>&#8220;model railway enthusiast&#8221;</strong>. Nothing happens. The label carries no plausible nexus to parental fitness.</p></li><li><p>Replace it with <strong>&#8220;vegan&#8221;</strong> or <strong>&#8220;astrologer&#8221;</strong>. Perhaps we acquire some colour or eccentricity, but still no obvious reason to alter custody.</p></li><li><p>Now try <strong>&#8220;MAGA activist&#8221;, &#8220;Islamist&#8221;, &#8220;white nationalist&#8221;, or &#8220;paedophile sympathiser&#8221;</strong>. Suddenly whole packages of presumed motive, character, allegiance, danger and morality arrive before any individual proposition has been proved.</p></li></ul><p>And then there is <strong>&#8220;communist&#8221;</strong>&#8212;because American custody law has actually run something remarkably close to this experiment.</p><p>In <em>People ex rel. Portnoy v. Strasser</em> (N.Y. 1952), a mother&#8217;s alleged Communist activities and associations were among the grounds advanced for taking her child from her. New York&#8217;s highest court reversed: there was no showing that those associations made her unfit to raise her child. The court grounded the parent&#8217;s right to establish a home and bring up children in the constitutional family-liberty cases <em>Meyer</em> and <em>Pierce</em>.</p><p><strong>So this is not merely a cute thought experiment. &#8220;Communist&#8221; has already been stress-tested against custody.</strong></p><p>Which makes &#8220;QAnon&#8221; a serious recognition question:</p><p><strong>Can a politically radioactive label smuggle an entire ontology into evidence without proving the nexus between the label and parental fitness?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p><strong>The third was classifier deletion.</strong></p><p>Then came the more disturbing counterfactual:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Delete the &#8220;QAnon&#8221; classifier altogether; does the outcome survive?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Much of it apparently does.</p><p>The poison from &#8220;QAnon&#8221; may help initiate the conversion without being necessary to sustain it.</p><p><strong>If the suspected poison can be removed and the machine still reaches substantially the same destination, what is actually driving the machine?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The fourth was <strong>feedback</strong>.</p><p>Once a new physical state exists, it starts manufacturing evidence for itself. Time produces adjustment. Adjustment produces stability. Stability produces preference. Schooling produces friends, records and witnesses. Eventually the growing cost of undoing the transition becomes an argument against undoing it.</p><p>The output is fed back as an input.</p><p><strong>Can a state manufacture the facts that later become the reasons for preserving that state?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The fifth was <strong>reactive evidence</strong>.</p><p>A person subjected to a contested state transition will react to it: anger, accusations, demands for restoration, public speech, litigation. Strip those reactions of their provenance and they can return to the adjudicator as evidence against the person reacting.</p><p>The machine can therefore manufacture evidence on both sides of its equation: <strong>the transition generates favourable stability in the new state and adverse reaction from the person displaced by it.</strong></p><p><strong>Can resistance to a contested transition itself be converted into evidence that the person resisting it is the problem?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The sixth was <strong>inert facts</strong>.</p><p>We repeatedly changed propositions that appeared capable of providing an off-ramp, yet the outcome refused to move. A supposedly important factual predicate could be proved false&#8212;or its opposite proved true&#8212;without producing the corresponding change in result.</p><p>That raises a deeper question than whether a judge simply got a fact wrong:</p><p><strong>Was the adjudicative architecture responsive to the fact at all?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The seventh was <strong>temporary-state conversion</strong>.</p><p>A temporary order does not merely freeze the world while a court thinks. It changes the world during the thinking. Time under an interim arrangement manufactures attachment, stability, schooling, distance, witnesses and preference&#8212;the very considerations later presented to the court deciding whether the arrangement should become permanent.</p><p><strong>If temporary authority manufactures the evidence for permanent authority, in what meaningful sense was it temporary?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The eighth was <strong>informational feedback</strong>.</p><p>Restrictions on what may be said do more than regulate speech. They alter the informational environment from which later beliefs, preferences and relationships emerge. If those resulting states are subsequently treated as independent evidence, <strong>the court is consuming information partly generated by its own intervention.</strong></p><p><strong>Can a court alter the informational environment and then treat the beliefs and relationships produced inside it as independent evidence?</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8258;</p><p>The ninth was <strong>polarity conversion</strong>.</p><p>No finding of criminal guilt is necessary to pose the systems question. Conduct can create exposure to complaint, investigation, contempt, candour scrutiny or other proceedings. What happens when persistence transforms the consequences of that contested conduct into legal advantage?</p><p><strong>Exposure &#8594; possession &#8594; stability &#8594; preference &#8594; authority.</strong></p><p>The sign appears capable of flipping: the more successfully the antecedent state is displaced, the stronger the eventual case for preserving the displacement.</p><p><strong>Can maximum violation become maximum evidence against rollback?</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>The last one is particularly grotesque: the worse the injustice, the deeper it entrenches itself.</p><p>So the sequence becomes:</p><ol><li><p><strong>Provenance / &#167;207&#8211;208</strong> &#8212; Can you bootstrap convenience?</p></li><li><p><strong>Recognition poisoning</strong> &#8212; Can a classifier import an ontology?</p></li><li><p><strong>Classifier deletion</strong> &#8212; If you remove the suspected poison and the outcome survives, what is actually driving the machine?</p></li><li><p><strong>Feedback</strong> &#8212; Can a state manufacture its own justification?</p></li><li><p><strong>Reactive evidence</strong> &#8212; Can resistance become evidence against the resistor?</p></li><li><p><strong>Inert facts</strong> &#8212; Can material truth become adjudicatively inert?</p></li><li><p><strong>Temporary-state conversion</strong> &#8212; Can temporary authority manufacture permanence?</p></li><li><p><strong>Informational feedback</strong> &#8212; Can intervention manufacture the informational evidence later adjudicated?</p></li><li><p><strong>Polarity conversion</strong> &#8212; Can maximum violation become maximum evidence against rollback?</p></li></ol><p>And then came the final experiment that pulled all of these strands together: <strong>fixed-point rollback</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><p>This was more demanding than an ordinary counterfactual.</p><p>We did not merely ask:</p><blockquote><p><strong>What if the disputed transition from TN to NC had never happened?</strong></p></blockquote><p>We deleted the transition.</p><p>Then we deleted its consequences.</p><p>Then we deleted the <strong>consequences of those consequences</strong>.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>Possession produced persistence.<br>Persistence produced stability.<br>Stability produced preference.<br>The changed environment produced schooling, friends, records and witnesses.<br>Separation produced deterioration of relationships.<br>Conflict produced reactive speech.<br>Reactive speech produced restrictions.<br>Restrictions altered the informational environment.<br>The temporary state produced financial and practical consequences.<br>Those consequences returned as evidence.<br>That evidence drove judgments about comparative stability and parental circumstances.<br>Those judgments then supplied reasons to preserve the possession with which the chain began.</em></p><p><strong>The loop closed.</strong></p><p>Delete one layer and another loses its provenance.</p><p>So we deleted that too.<br>Then ran the calculation again.<br>And again!</p><p>The rule was simple:</p><blockquote><p><strong>If a fact, characterisation, restriction, or legal advantage would not have existed in materially the same form without the disputed transition, it could not be treated as independent justification for making that transition permanent.</strong></p></blockquote><p>This was not a claim that every causally generated fact must legally be ignored. That is a separate constitutional question.</p><p>It was an <strong>analytical experiment</strong>: strip away everything endogenous to (i.e. downstream and derived from) the disputed state and discover what independent case remains.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>We continued until another iteration removed <em>nothing</em>.<br><strong>That was the fixed point.</strong></p></div><p>And this is where the investigation changed character.</p><p>An ordinary legal analysis asks whether the court considered the right evidence, applied the right test, or reached a permissible result.</p><p>The rollback asked something prior:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Which parts of the case existed independently of the state whose legality they were being used to establish?</strong></p></blockquote><p>That is a very different question.</p><p>It distinguishes <em>observed reality</em> from <em>independent authority</em>.</p><p>A preference can be real.<br>Stability can be real.<br>A deteriorated relationship can be real.<br>Financial difficulty can be real.<br>Returning to the previous arrangement can genuinely have become disruptive.</p><p>But none of those propositions answers the causal question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Would this fact exist in materially the same form had the disputed state transition not occurred?</strong></p></blockquote><p>And if the answer is no, we have discovered something rather important about our legal machine.</p><p>It may not merely be adjudicating a new reality.</p><p><strong>It may be allowing that reality to manufacture the evidence, reactions, restrictions, resource effects and eventually the authority required to validate itself.</strong></p><p>Which takes us straight back to where we began.</p><p><strong>The baseline.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>An initial assessment by Grok said that each stage of the conversion was constitutional and fell within existing statutory law. More disturbingly, its first conclusion was that <strong>their composition was probably constitutional too</strong>&#8212;deeply troubling, perhaps morally obscene, but not obviously forbidden.</p><p>So I pushed harder.</p><p>The question was no longer whether each individual cog in the machine could be defended. What constraints does the American Constitution place on this exact sequence, considered as a whole, and on the despicable outcome it is capable of producing?</p><p>A different picture began to emerge.</p><p>The answers fell into roughly three buckets of constitutional confidence.</p><p><strong>In the first bucket were relatively orthodox propositions.</strong></p><p>Due process requires a <em>meaningful</em> hearing, not merely the <em>ceremony</em> of one. Material evidence cannot be received yet made incapable of changing a conclusion built on its opposite; assumptions must be rebuttable. Family relationships have serious constitutional protection. And the state cannot substitute loaded classifications or presumptions for the individualised adjudication the Constitution requires.</p><p><strong>The second bucket was less settled, but several doctrines pointed the same way: </strong><em><strong>provenance has to matter</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>If state action, or state-tolerated self-help, materially generates the circumstances later invoked to impair an established family relationship, due process cannot obviously be satisfied by saying merely: <em>yes, yes, but look where we are now</em>. Existing law contains fragments of this principle&#8212;in meaningful-process doctrine, family-integrity cases, anti-self-help rules, and the UCCJEA&#8217;s treatment of unjustifiable conduct&#8212;even if no Supreme Court judgment conveniently assembles them into our exact doctrine.</p><p><strong>The third bucket was genuinely frontier territory: </strong><em><strong>recursive anti-plagium</strong></em><strong>.</strong></p><p>Must the law trace every unfair advantage backwards through its causal ancestry, strip away everything generated by an authority-defective transition, and keep rolling back until it reaches a clean fixed point? That is a much stronger proposition. I could find compelling reasons for it; I could not honestly pretend that existing constitutional doctrine already states the rule in that form.</p><p>But here is the important thing.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>The point is not to discover exactly how much plagium the Constitution permits.</p></div><p>As I covered in Part One, child-stealing has attracted society&#8217;s wrath for millennia. Nor is the revelation merely that constitutional law contains difficult and unresolved questions. Of course it does.</p><p>The point is that <strong>the moral and justice problem here is not difficult at all</strong>.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em>Take a child contrary to the protected state.<br>Lie in a failed emergency motion.<br>Refuse to restore the child.<br>Abate the support obligation, stripping resources from the parent who lost possession.<br>Let time manufacture preference, stability and witnesses.<br>Say the other parent has no permanent residence when she does.<br>Say her residential future is uncertain when the evidence says otherwise.<br>Turn an existing farmhouse into a future condition.<br>Let the cost of return mount up.<br>Feed the fruits of persistence&#8212;and the false premises surrounding them&#8212;back into court.<br>Then use them as reasons why the child must stay taken.</em></p><p>You do not need a law degree to see the problem.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Violation becomes possession.<br>Possession becomes impoverishment.<br>Falsehood becomes finding.<br>Persistence becomes authority.</p></div><p>I began this article with a question:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Does the American Constitution tolerate the court itself becoming the &#8220;murder weapon&#8221;?</strong></p></blockquote><p>Twenty pages later, I finally have my answer: <strong>wrong question.</strong></p><p>I had made the Constitution my baseline. <strong>And that was precisely the mistake.</strong></p><p>If the legal machine can no longer express a prohibition that ordinary moral intuition regards as elementary, then the problem lies beneath doctrine. The law has lost contact with reality and morality at a depth ordinary civilians cannot realistically reach through ordinary legal process.</p><p>A functioning &#8220;plagium machine&#8221;&#8212;acting as a system of judicially endorsed child trafficking&#8212;therefore invites something more radical than another appeal to the machine itself: <strong>constitutional Restoration</strong>.</p><p>In the Restoration-max hypothesis I have been exploring, tied to Q and MAGA, that ultimately means military enforcement of the constitutional order&#8212;<em>military is the only way</em>&#8212;not because soldiers possess some superior jurisprudence, but because a captured or self-insulating civil authority cannot be its own final corrective.</p><p>That is the material-world answer: restore the standing of provenance in jurisprudence.</p><p>And if ordinary civil machinery cannot correct itself, restore it by root sovereign force under military law.</p><p><strong>But the real problem is metaphysical.</strong></p><div class="pullquote"><p>How did we become the kind of society in which courts can aid the taking of a child&#8212;and remain apparently untroubled by the moral inversion?</p></div><p>Which takes us full circle.</p><p>Jesus rebuked those who boasted of the mighty works they had done in his name, seeking recognition of their righteousness: &#8220;Lord, Lord, have we not prophesied in thy name? &#8230; and in thy name done many wonderful works?&#8221;</p><p>His answer was devastating: &#8220;I never knew you: depart from me, ye that work iniquity.&#8221;</p><p><em>Iniquity</em> there is <em>anomia</em>: <strong>lawlessness</strong>.</p><p>And there is the uncomfortable paradox: <strong>lawlessness need not look unlawful.</strong></p><p>It can arrive clothed in rules, offices, procedures, findings and orders. Compliance with the machinery of law is <em>not</em> the same thing as righteousness before God. Indeed, the machinery can become a particularly convincing disguise for its opposite.</p><p>Which brings us straight back to our legal machine. The trap is not merely doing evil while imagining yourself good. It is believing yourself justified because the law says you are right.</p><p>Paul could hardly be more direct: &#8220;whosoever of you are justified by the law; ye are fallen from grace.&#8221; (Galatians 5:4)</p><p>The law can pronounce you right without making you righteous. Indeed, its pronouncement can become the evidence by which you convince yourself of your righteousness.</p><p>You won.<br>The judge agreed.<br>The order authorises you.</p><p><strong>What more could righteousness possibly require?</strong></p><p>Quite a lot, apparently.</p><div><hr></div><p>For in the same chapter Paul warns: &#8220;be not entangled again with the yoke of bondage.&#8221; And then he names the works of the flesh that keep fastening that yoke around us: hatred, rivalry, wrath, strife&#8212;the spirit I have called <strong>the</strong> <strong>Competitor</strong>.</p><p>The Competitor produces disputes. Disputes summon adjudication. Adjudication summons law. Law declares a winner. The winner mistakes legal victory for moral vindication.</p><p>And around we go.</p><p><strong>That is why there has been no appeal here, no campaign for personal vindication, no attempt to beat the Competitor at its own game. It has been handed to God&#8212;and, within the Restoration hypothesis, to the military as His temporal emissary.</strong></p><p>That does not mean silence. Revelation gives us another pattern: &#8220;they overcame him by the blood of the Lamb, and by the word of their testimony.&#8221; The blood is not ours to shed. The testimony is. These articles are mine. Even if I use some AI to aid writing!</p><p>Then comes the extraordinary punchline:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;Against such there is no law.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>You can vote &#8220;right&#8221;, rally &#8220;right&#8221;, post &#8220;right&#8221;, litigate &#8220;right&#8221;, and obtain an order declaring you legally right. You can even do mighty works in the right name.</p><p><strong>None of these things makes you righteous.</strong></p><p>Perhaps the deepest curse of the law is not merely that it can punish the righteous.</p><p><strong>It is that it can make the unrighteous feel justified.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>There is a personal irony here.</p><p>When all this erupted, we had already been pursuing almost exactly the question to which this investigation has now returned. We had been doing spiritual immersions in Skye and County Durham, and a <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/spiritual-exit-from-the-law">Spiritual Exit From The Law</a> seminar in London: exploring what it means to cease seeking salvation through systems of judgment, rivalry and external authority.</p><p>Then the legal machine supplied the most brutal practical demonstration imaginable.</p><p>For nearly two years I went deeper and deeper into law trying to understand what had happened. And where did that journey finally deposit me? Back where we started. The baseline is spiritual.</p><p><strong>The law cannot make you righteous. Indeed, it can become murderous in spirit.</strong></p><p>And here, whatever the legal vocabulary for what happened, motherhood was killed as a lived relationship.</p><p>The court was the murder weapon.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="icon-noB79L"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image buttonBase-GK1x3M"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2 icon-noB79L"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Wrath-less grapes at Crook Hall, Durham</figcaption></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What the blocked off-ramps reveal]]></title><description><![CDATA[An AI companion on residuals, ratchets, and hidden decision rules]]></description><link>https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-blocked-off-ramps-reveal</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-blocked-off-ramps-reveal</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Geddes]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 22 Aug 2026 08:25:35 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Can a court take your children from you because of the party you vote for?<br>The church you attend?<br>The political beliefs you hold?</strong></p><p>Under ordinary constitutional law, not merely because of the belief or association itself. There must be some legally sufficient connection between it and the welfare of the child.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Can a court perform the same transformation &#8212; without openly declaring the reason?</strong></p><p>No. Making an impermissible decision rule covert rather than overt does not make it permissible.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Does that change when the label attached to someone is &#8220;QAnon&#8221;?</strong></p><p>Again, no. The label cannot do the evidential work by itself. There must be some proven nexus between the category applied to a person, that person&#8217;s actual conduct, and whatever legally cognisable danger the court says it is addressing.</p><div><hr></div><p>The reason I am analysing the work of Judges Norris and Ray in North Carolina is that I believe this may become one of the most significant test cases in America.</p><p>For the sake of argument, assume that <strong>&#8220;Q&#8221; is eventually validated</strong>, and that <strong>&#8220;QAnon&#8221; is shown to have functioned as an enemy classifier used to deprive Americans of their rights</strong>.</p><p>Under that hypothesis, this case ceases to be merely a custody dispute. It becomes evidence of a hidden social and cultural conflict&#8212;and potentially an unusually clean trace of how such a classifier operated in a pre-Restoration world.</p><p>I am building towards the point where the starting concept of this series&#8212;<strong><a href="https://www.yourdictionary.com/plagium">plagium</a></strong>&#8212;comes full circle.</p><p>A republic, by its nature, rejects the forceful dominion of one person over another. That obscure Roman concept from Part One therefore anchors something much larger than an argument over parenting arrangements.</p><p><a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/a-republic-cannot-survive-plagium">Part One</a> identified a single load-bearing judicial conversion: a permanent residence became something ambiguous. That conversion helped sustain a narrative under which an accomplished change in possession could become the starting state from which custody was subsequently computed.</p><p>Because the implications were serious, I published a <a href="https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/what-the-farmhouse-experiment-reveals">companion AI analysis</a> explaining the systems concepts behind that finding.</p><p>Part Two expanded the experiment.</p><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;50adc9f4-b2c3-444a-9d1f-c268aa34535d&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;Why should you pay attention to a forensic dissection of a court case you were not involved in?&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:null,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;showDescription&quot;:true,&quot;showImage&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;lg&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;When the off-ramps are all blocked&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:1287903,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Martin Geddes&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Professor of Mischief.&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e5349043-5513-44ed-a93b-996363499a40_1266x1266.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:100}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2026-08-21T15:59:24.717Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OPUp!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F26d0770c-23c3-4ce2-a7ea-617810f3a910_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/p/when-the-off-ramps-are-all-blocked&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:null,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:212124958,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:11,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:457557,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Future of Communications&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_YfL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3406a7df-2342-4cfb-a0e2-8043ebd38a1d_1280x1280.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><p>Instead of examining one load-bearing conversion from the bench, I identified <strong>twelve materially different branching points</strong>. Together they allow us to examine the court as a <strong>state-conversion engine</strong>: facts enter; judicial transformations are applied; legal and factual states emerge.</p><p>If the outputs follow from the inputs, there may be nothing remarkable to explain.</p><p>If materially different inputs undergo different transformations yet repeatedly produce the same directional output&#8212;even where some of those inputs point elsewhere&#8212;then we have a phenomenon worth investigating.</p><p>That observation does <strong>not</strong> tell us what caused it.</p><p>Indeed, that is precisely the point.</p><p>Because the stakes are so high, I am now offering a second AI companion: not to decide what happened, but to show how we can reason rigorously from the pattern without assuming its cause.</p><p>The method is deliberately conservative. Start with the least controversial explanation. Give it everything it can explain. Examine what remains. Add another explanatory variable only when the residual requires one.</p><p>The objective is not to find the darkest explanation.</p><p>It is to find the <strong>least dark explanation capable of accounting for the whole record</strong>.</p><p>I hope this companion helps make clear why I am spending so much time on what can appear, at first sight, to be the minutiae of one American custody case.</p><p>If the issue is merely bad judging, the method should eventually tell us so.</p><p>If it is something else, the same discipline should make that increasingly difficult to hide.</p><p><em>PS &#8212; I wrote this introduction, not AI, but crisped it up with tech help. I hope you find what follows useful in understanding what is really going on in family courts. This isn&#8217;t ultimately about me or my Substack. It&#8217;s about your family life&#8212;and what happens when the state acquires the power to classify first and justify later.</em></p><div><hr></div><p>Part One gave us a control experiment. The farmhouse was unusually useful because it was a comparatively hard factual object. It could not change its mind, become alienated, or decide that North Carolina felt more like home.</p><p>Part Two performs a different experiment.</p><p>Instead of following one variable through the judicial machinery, it identifies multiple places where that machinery could materially have changed direction.</p><p>The result is twelve substantially different branching points, including the farmhouse from Part One. All twelve preserve or further entrench the inherited trajectory.</p><p>That sounds dramatic.</p><p>But <strong>12/12 is not actually the important finding.</strong></p><h3><strong>1. Twelve out of twelve proves surprisingly little</strong></h3><p>A judge can rule against one party twelve times and be completely right twelve times.</p><p>One litigant can simply be wrong, dishonest or dangerous. If the evidence points consistently in one direction, we should expect the decisions to do the same.</p><p>So perfect directionality is not itself evidence of misconduct.</p><p>The experimental result is subtler:</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>The inputs vary.<br>The transformations vary.<br>The output direction does not.</strong></p><p>That is what requires explanation.</p><h3><strong>2. Part One tested a fact; Part Two tests a function</strong></h3><p>The farmhouse experiment asked what happened to one relatively fixed proposition as it passed through judicial processing.</p><p>Part Two varies the inputs.</p><p>Jurisdiction is not residence. Residence is not an AirTag. An AirTag is not schooling. Schooling is not passport control. These variables require substantially different kinds of reasoning.</p><p>Yet the article finds them repeatedly transformed in ways that preserve the same inherited state.</p><p>The object of investigation has therefore changed.</p><p>We are no longer merely testing a fact.</p><p>We are testing the <strong>transformation function</strong>.</p><h3><strong>3. Not every alternative is an off-ramp</strong></h3><p>This matters because otherwise twelve branches could simply be twelve alternatives selected after seeing the result.</p><p>Part Two imposes three tests.</p><p>An off-ramp must have been <strong>available</strong>: genuinely open to Ray on the record and law before him.</p><p>It must have been <strong>material</strong>: capable of affecting something important.</p><p>And it must have been <strong>consequential</strong>: taking it would have interrupted, weakened or reversed the inherited trajectory.</p><p>That makes the branching exercise potentially falsifiable.</p><p>An imagined alternative is not an off-ramp.</p><h3><strong>4. The residual matters more than the ruling</strong></h3><p>Begin with the strongest ordinary explanation:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Ray applied conventional best-interests reasoning.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Give that model everything it can explain. School matters. Friends matter. Stability matters. A teenager&#8217;s preference matters. Disrupting an established life can cause genuine harm.</p><p>Then inspect what remains unexplained.</p><p>Those unexplained differences are <strong>residuals</strong>.</p><p>The method is therefore:</p><blockquote><p><strong>fit the least controversial model<br>&#8594; inspect the residual<br>&#8594; add another explanatory variable<br>&#8594; inspect again.</strong></p></blockquote><p>The residual, rather than the outrage, tells us where to look next.</p><h3><strong>5. Real evidence can still be manufactured evidence</strong></h3><p>Part Two distinguishes <strong>exogenous</strong> from <strong>endogenous</strong> facts.</p><p>An exogenous fact exists independently of the intervention and can therefore help justify it.</p><p>An endogenous fact is generated, at least partly, by the court&#8217;s intervention itself.</p><p>The child really can acquire friends, enjoy school, adapt to North Carolina and become more attached to her new circumstances.</p><p>Nothing needs to be fabricated.</p><p>The problem is that the temporary arrangement may have helped manufacture every one of those perfectly genuine observations.</p><p>So another forensic rule emerges:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>Do not ask only whether evidence is <strong>true</strong>.<br>Ask how it came to <strong>exist</strong>.</p></div><h3><strong>6. The intervention can alter both sides of the comparison</strong></h3><p>The asymmetry goes further.</p><p>Keeping the child with the father can manufacture evidence of his <strong>stability</strong>: school, friends, routine and continuity.</p><p>Separating the child from the mother can simultaneously manufacture evidence of her <strong>instability</strong>: travel, disrupted contact, temporary accommodation and a deteriorating relationship.</p><p>One intervention can therefore improve the measured characteristics of one alternative while degrading those of the other.</p><p>The resulting comparison may look observationally neutral.</p><p>Its inputs are not necessarily independent.</p><h3><strong>7. This is how a ratchet appears</strong></h3><p>Now introduce time.</p><p>Temporary possession generates circumstances. Circumstances generate adaptation. Adaptation generates stability. Stability increases the apparent cost of restoration.</p><p>The increased cost of restoration then becomes another reason not to restore.</p><p>Nothing in that loop requires conspiracy or fabricated evidence.</p><p>It requires only that consequences generated in one direction be allowed to accumulate as independent reasons for continuing in that direction.</p><p>Hence Part Two&#8217;s central observation:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Time is not neutral when only one outcome is allowed to accumulate the benefits of time.</strong></p></blockquote><h3><strong>8. The AirTag reveals antecedent displacement</strong></h3><p>The AirTag gives us a different kind of conversion.</p><p>A concealed tracking device is placed in the child&#8217;s luggage. The mother discovers it. Conflict follows.</p><p>Ray himself identifies the critical fact:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;You wanted to know where she was.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>The father then acknowledges that he wanted the ability to locate the child.</p><p>Yet the eventual Order principally records the mother&#8217;s reaction to discovering the device.</p><p>The antecedent conduct has not disappeared factually.</p><p>It has disappeared <strong>analytically</strong>.</p><p>That yields another portable test:</p><div class="pullquote"><p>When a reaction becomes evidence,<br>inspect what happened immediately before it.</p></div><h3><strong>9. Recognition without propagation is more interesting than ignorance</strong></h3><p>The AirTag also gives us something stronger.</p><p>Ray did not merely fail to understand its purpose.</p><p>He identified it himself.</p><p>Part One supplied the same phenomenon with the farmhouse. Contrary information entered the system, was made explicit, and yet the eventual representation did not update accordingly.</p><p>That suggests a useful diagnostic category:</p><blockquote><p><strong>recognition without propagation.</strong></p></blockquote><p>A system that never receives corrective information may simply be ignorant.</p><p>A system that recognises corrective information yet repeatedly preserves the state that information might disturb presents a different problem.</p><h3><strong>10. &#8220;Where we are now&#8221; contains hidden history</strong></h3><p>&#8220;Where we are now&#8221; sounds like a neutral starting point.</p><p>Sometimes it is not.</p><p>If the present state was produced by the very process under examination, then present reality is partly an <strong>output</strong> being fed back into the system as a new <strong>input</strong>.</p><p>Its history has not vanished.</p><p>It has been compressed into the present state.</p><p>Start there and restoration can look like disruption.</p><p>Start before the disputed transition and exactly the same movement can look like restoration.</p><p><strong>The baseline changes the sign.</strong></p><h3><strong>11. Formal availability is not functional availability</strong></h3><p>This may be the most important lesson of the off-ramp metaphor.</p><p>A legal system can formally permit reconsideration. A temporary order can formally be interlocutory. Contrary evidence can formally be admissible. A judge can formally possess discretion to change course.</p><p>None of that establishes that correction is <strong>functionally available</strong>.</p><p>If materially different corrective inputs repeatedly enter the system without changing its trajectory, the distinction between formal and functional availability becomes observable.</p><p><strong>A road can contain twelve exits on the map while still functioning as a one-way system.</strong></p><h3><strong>12. None of this requires conspiracy</strong></h3><p>Status-quo bias may matter. Judges may hesitate to disturb another judge&#8217;s arrangement. Child-welfare doctrine naturally values stability. Delay generates new facts. Institutions resist rollback.</p><p>Those mechanisms could produce strong directionality without anybody secretly selecting an outcome.</p><p>That is why twelve blocked off-ramps do not tell us <strong>why</strong> they were blocked.</p><p>They tell us that the question has become worth asking.</p><p>And they give us a disciplined way to ask it.</p><h3><strong>13. The off-ramps are test vectors</strong></h3><p>The twelve branches are therefore more interesting as experiments than as grievances.</p><p>Change the variable. Change the evidence. Change the legal issue. Change the causal structure.</p><p>Then observe what the system does.</p><p>This resembles <strong>system identification</strong>: perturb a system in substantially different ways and infer characteristics of the hidden transformation from its responses.</p><p>Part One supplied a calibration object.</p><p>Part Two supplies multiple test vectors.</p><p>Together they begin to reveal the machinery.</p><h3><strong>14. Adjudication has a topology</strong></h3><p>Part One was principally about <strong>states</strong>.</p><p>Part Two is about <strong>paths between states</strong>.</p><p>A corrigible system permits:</p><blockquote><p><strong>contrary information &#8594; reconsideration &#8594; rollback.</strong></p></blockquote><p>A ratcheted system tends towards:</p><blockquote><p><strong>contrary information &#8594; reinterpretation &#8594; commit.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Both systems may contain exactly the same formal laws, motions, hearings and judicial discretion.</p><p>What differs is the topology of correction: <strong>which information is actually capable of changing which existing states.</strong></p><p>That may be Part Two&#8217;s deepest systems lesson.</p><p>Formal availability of an off-ramp does not establish functional availability of an off-ramp.</p><h2><strong>What Part Three now has to discover</strong></h2><p>Part One found an anomalous transformation in a hard factual variable.</p><p>Part Two asks whether directional behaviour replicates across substantially different variables.</p><p>The answer is disturbing: twelve materially different branching points, twelve outcomes preserving or further entrenching the inherited trajectory.</p><p>But neither result establishes motive.</p><p>That is the next problem.</p><p>Start with ordinary best-interests adjudication. Measure the residual.</p><p>Add anchoring and status-quo bias. Measure again.</p><p>Add institutional resistance to rollback. Measure again.</p><p>Only then introduce candidate hidden variables and ask whether they explain observations that the simpler models leave behind.</p><p>The objective is not to discover the darkest explanation.</p><p>It is to discover the <strong>least dark explanation capable of accounting for the whole record</strong>.</p><div class="pullquote"><p>If ordinary judicial error does that, stop.<br>If it does not, the residual tells us where to look next.</p></div><p>And that is where Part Three begins.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.martingeddes.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Future of Communications is a reader-supported publication. 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