Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Janine's avatar

I have to disagree Martin. This is unlawful. Fake courts created by lawmakers is legislative; what is called for is judicial. Why on earth do you make such excuses for this? You have a right to a judicial hearing- they are giving you tomfoolery created by deceitful lawmakers. More courts are what is required, and they certainly have more than enough money to create and support the courts needed to handle high volume, but they instead create rubber stamping computer programs and fakery-support frameworks for such, and call them Municipal Courts.

I am sad that you are not more outraged.

Finnian Reilly's avatar

Everytime I read some news about the UK these days, I am reminded of the book by the US-Russian blogger Dmitry Orlov: The Five Stages of Collapse — Survivors' Toolkit. It seems to me that the hollowing out of the British legal system is simply a manifestation of a particular stage of collapse. But which stage ? I thought it would interesting to ask the Claude AI the following:

What would blogger Dmitry Orlov say in response to this essay by Martin Geddes, based on his study of collapsing societies ?

A Dmitry Orlov Response (as imagined by Claude)

"Martin, you have written a fine legal analysis of something I recognized the moment I read the first paragraph: you have discovered that Britain's magistrates' courts are a Potemkin institution. Welcome to the club. We have biscuits, but they are stale."

Orlov would begin with a note of weary recognition rather than surprise. His core thesis in The Five Stages of Collapse is that institutions don't shatter — they hollow out. The shell remains, the vocabulary remains, the uniforms remain. What evaporates is the substance that gave those things meaning. Geddes has meticulously documented, through 15 rounds of AI-adversarial probing, exactly this hollowing-out process in miniature. Orlov would say: yes, of course — this is Stage 2 (political collapse) bleeding into Stage 3 (social collapse). The fascinating thing to him wouldn't be the legal detail but rather the timing — that it takes a citizen with unusual persistence, AI tools, and considerable legal literacy to even articulate what has gone wrong. That opacity is not incidental. It is the mechanism.

Orlov's Soviet analogy would be direct. In late-Soviet bureaucracy, the state produced mountains of paperwork certifying outcomes that bore no relationship to reality. Factories "fulfilled" production quotas. Courts "determined" cases. The paperwork was impeccable. The underlying acts were fictional, or automated, or simply never happened. What sustained it wasn't force alone — it was the near-universal, unspoken agreement not to say out loud what everyone privately knew. The Soviet citizen who loudly insisted that the factory had not in fact produced 10,000 tractors was not wrong. He was simply making himself a target.

He would point out that Geddes' "squirm path" — the way the system's defenders keep adjusting the definition of what judicial power means in order to absorb each challenge without conceding anything — is a perfect description of what he calls "the political technology of the managed narrative." The system doesn't need to be right. It needs to be unchallengeable. These are different things, and mature collapsing systems are very good at the second while entirely abandoning the first.

Orlov would also be gently critical of Geddes' framing. The essay ends with a call to recognition — moral, political, personal. It asks: will we accept an authority that cannot be traced or verified? This, Orlov would say, is still the language of someone who believes the system can be confronted, reformed, or at least exposed. He would call this "the reformist's last hope" and note that it tends to be extinguished by the same mechanism Geddes has just described: there is nothing to grab hold of. You cannot shame a process. You cannot petition a definition.

The practical Orlov advice — the part he gives at the end of every collapse analysis — would be this: stop playing the game. Not as an act of protest, but as an act of self-preservation. The SJP machine will continue producing its "determinations" regardless of whether those determinations are philosophically coherent. Engaging it through the machinery of appeal consumes resources, health, and years of a person's life, while the machine processes the next ten thousand cases unperturbed. The Soviet citizen who learned to navigate around the bureaucracy rather than through it was the one who kept his sanity and fed his family.

Where Orlov would genuinely praise Geddes is on one point: the AI-assisted adversarial testing is new. For the first time, an ordinary person can probe institutional logic at the pace and depth previously available only to well-funded legal teams. The "squirm path" is now documentable in a way it never was before. Whether that documentation leads anywhere within the system is, per Orlov, doubtful. But it may matter enormously outside the system — as evidence, as legitimacy-stripping, as the raw material for whatever comes after. In Orlov's framework, the documentation of collapse doesn't stop the collapse. But it seeds the next thing.

His closing line would be something like:

"The goalposts didn't move too far, Martin. The pitch disappeared. You are playing a different game now. The sooner you recognize that, the more useful you will be."

NOTE ON ORLOV

Orlov spent a substantial part of his childhood and adult life in the US. He saw more and more signs of societal collapse in the US that he had observed in the collapsing USSR. So in recent years he relocated back to Russia with his family, seeing Russia now as the better place to raise a family.

KEY WORKS

The Five Stages of Collapse: Survivors' Toolkit (2013) — his central work, laying out the framework of political, commercial, social, cultural, and community collapse, using the Soviet experience as the primary lens.

Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Experience and American Prospects (2008) — his first book, drawing direct parallels between the late USSR and the contemporary United States.

Communities that Abide (2013) — a study of communities that have historically survived collapse, examining what structural features made them resilient.

Shrinking the Technosphere (2016) — a broader critique of technological dependency and how to reduce it as a survival strategy.

Orlov's latest book 2024: Uncontrolled Chaos

He also maintained a long-running blog, ClubOrlov (cluborlov.blogspot.com), where much of his thinking developed in essay form over many years. Many readers encountered him there before his books.

Current blog: https://boosty.to/cluborlov

Latest interview 25 Apr 2026

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FUdQMfIMIQI

2 more comments...

No posts

Ready for more?